Author Archive | Thorsten

IM Germany 2012 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Conditions seemed to be pretty typical for Germany: Adjustment was 13:10, leading to a new course rating of 12:19. It was cold and rainy in the morning (leading to a few bike crashes), but compared to last year (when Caroline Steffen struggled a lot with the rain on the run) it cleared for the run and was even sunny.

Male Results

After winning in Austria for a couple of years, Marino Vanhoenacker won in Frankfurt this year. Andreas Raelert didn’t have a great day, but he finished in a solid fourth place and validated his Kona spot.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 00:45:07 04:26:26 02:48:19 08:03:31 08:07:03
2 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:48:58 04:25:28 02:51:38 08:09:55 08:11:02
3 Clemente Alonso-McKernan ESP 00:44:22 04:40:07 02:45:10 08:14:04 08:27:10
4 Andreas Raelert GER 00:44:20 04:38:56 02:50:14 08:17:36 08:01:40
5 Jan Raphael GER 00:44:21 04:37:56 02:52:02 08:18:17 08:26:48
6 Jeremy Jurkiewicz FRA 00:44:18 04:43:17 02:51:44 08:23:24 08:30:30
7 Stephan Vuckovic GER 00:46:55 04:40:36 02:59:32 08:31:37 08:32:28
8 Uwe Widmann GER 00:46:28 04:40:29 03:05:57 08:37:40 08:32:05
9 Alejandro Santamaria ESP 00:50:58 04:49:00 02:54:44 08:38:45 08:45:38
10 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 00:46:59 04:47:46 03:02:41 08:41:49 08:56:24
11 Stefan Schmid GER 00:50:37 04:38:06 03:11:33 08:44:49 08:47:36
12 Mike Schifferle SUI 00:58:09 04:47:23 02:53:06 08:45:12 08:58:16
13 Edo Van der Meer NED 00:45:08 04:42:03 03:17:55 08:49:50 n/a
14 Alexander Grigoryev RUS 00:48:46 04:50:02 03:08:29 08:52:52 n/a
15 Marcel Bischof GER 00:52:38 04:49:14 03:07:41 08:54:57 09:19:33
16 Stephane Poulat FRA 00:44:15 04:37:43 03:29:37 08:55:54 08:18:59
17 Jarda Brynda CZE 00:48:18 04:54:55 03:14:54 09:02:36 09:15:59
18 Steven Osborne GBR 00:52:24 05:12:47 02:56:43 09:07:08 09:47:44
19 Todd Israel AUS 00:48:20 05:05:33 03:16:04 09:14:54 08:29:17
20 Hiroyuki Nishiuchi JPN 00:47:22 05:11:28 03:22:02 09:25:54 09:14:45
21 Yu Shinozaki JPN 00:52:40 05:05:26 03:52:44 09:55:10 n/a
22 Ivan Kharin RUS 01:01:44 05:12:44 03:33:59 09:56:06 12:24:10
23 Sean Donnelly GER 00:44:46 04:55:49 04:20:41 10:06:15 n/a
24 Marek Nemcik SVK 01:04:58 05:38:51 04:58:00 11:48:31 11:54:09

Female Results

Caroline Steffen put in another commanding race, coming very close to Chrissie Wellington’s course record.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Caroline Steffen SUI 00:48:58 04:52:34 03:06:52 08:52:33 09:08:41
2 Anja Beranek GER 00:48:39 04:54:50 03:18:06 09:05:41 09:51:03
3 Corinne Abraham GBR 00:56:06 05:12:28 03:08:14 09:21:03 09:24:59
4 Susan Dietrich GER 00:52:47 05:07:24 03:17:40 09:22:07 09:32:43
5 Sofie Goos BEL 00:52:04 05:06:59 03:23:38 09:28:03 09:28:51
6 Mareen Hufe GER 00:54:23 05:09:43 03:23:06 09:31:32 09:37:58
7 Amanda Stevens USA 00:45:04 05:18:10 03:23:41 09:33:10 09:23:38
8 Heather Wurtele CAN 00:50:56 05:21:57 03:23:53 09:42:10 09:15:47
9 Kristin Moeller GER 00:58:52 05:30:34 03:09:12 09:43:48 09:35:16
10 Nina Pekerman ISR 00:52:48 05:25:30 03:31:34 09:55:38 10:12:17
11 Maki Nishiuchi JPN 00:52:29 05:39:58 03:56:33 10:35:44 10:07:13
12 Venla Koivula FIN 00:57:13 05:26:59 04:13:02 10:42:15 n/a
13 Zeljka Saban CRO 00:52:38 05:54:20 03:48:53 10:42:45 11:05:31

Anja Beranek (probably better known under her maiden name Anja Ippach) was the surprise of the race, pushing Caroline on the bike and refusing to crumble on the run. Heather Wurtele finished and validated her Kona spot, but only two weeks after her CdA disqualification she wasn’t fresh enough to finish higher than 8th.

IM Austria 2012 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Conditions in Austria were not really fast this year: Rough conditions during the swim and heat during the run prevented any sub-8 and sub-9 results. The adjustment was only 11:03, much slower than the course rating of 17:08 and last year’s 27:53.

Male Results

Faris Al-Sultan posted another solid summer result, again beating his predicted time:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Faris Al-Sultan GER 00:50:57 04:25:38 02:50:38 08:11:31 08:16:55
2 Daniel Fontana ITA 00:50:57 04:26:52 02:58:23 08:20:37 08:23:31
3 Pedro Gomez POR 00:54:05 04:31:58 02:55:52 08:26:31 08:41:45
4 Franz Höfer AUT 00:53:38 04:33:33 02:56:23 08:28:41 n/a
5 David Plew NZL 00:55:29 04:30:35 02:59:43 08:30:47 09:16:48
6 Tom Lowe GBR 00:57:06 04:30:02 02:58:57 08:31:15 08:19:55
7 Balazs Csoke HUN 00:50:52 04:36:35 03:07:26 08:39:57 08:59:56
8 Michael Goehner GER 00:57:03 04:30:07 03:10:42 08:42:42 08:26:14
9 Patrick Jaberg SWI 00:58:07 04:33:54 03:05:28 08:43:09 08:51:31
10 Georg Swoboda AUT 01:00:31 04:31:27 03:06:51 08:43:58 09:06:42
11 Markus Fachbach GER 00:54:15 04:33:20 03:12:46 08:45:08 08:36:35
12 Petr Vabrousek CZE 00:58:13 04:41:08 03:01:23 08:46:19 08:46:16
13 Andreas Fuchs AUT 00:59:23 04:32:41 03:21:55 08:58:48 09:01:41
14 Mark Livesey GBR 00:56:50 04:42:45 03:19:44 09:04:56 n/a
15 Mika Luoto FIN 00:58:04 04:45:44 03:19:17 09:08:34 08:34:30
16 Jose Luis Villanueva ESP 01:07:39 04:48:15 03:10:46 09:13:20 08:43:32
17 Rene Vallant AUT 00:58:05 04:41:45 03:39:51 09:25:16 09:14:31
18 Bojan Maric SCG 01:03:07 05:03:35 03:41:53 09:55:18 10:02:21
19 Matej Paradiz SLO 00:58:05 05:00:16 03:52:59 09:57:34 n/a
20 Josef Krivanek CZE 01:07:21 05:06:07 03:37:08 09:58:36 n/a
21 Evgeniy Nikitin RUS 00:54:08 04:52:23 04:17:42 10:10:41 n/a
22 Matjaz Kovac SVN 00:56:59 04:56:45 04:58:29 10:57:58 09:39:13
23 Marek Nemcik SVK 01:16:27 05:38:54 04:56:05 11:58:50 11:56:47
24 Ivan Kharin RUS 01:09:31 04:56:48 06:14:11 12:27:28 n/a

Female Results

On the women’s side, Linsey Corbin held on to her first position on the run:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Actual Time Expected Time
1 Linsey Corbin USA 00:59:18 04:54:09 03:11:07 09:09:58 09:17:27
2 Erika Csomor HUN 00:57:01 05:00:11 03:09:55 09:12:09 09:24:09
3 Michaela Rudolf AUT 01:07:26 05:02:47 03:28:22 09:44:37 n/a
4 Dana Wagner GER 01:03:32 05:09:49 03:27:02 09:46:10 10:01:17
5 Simone Fürnkranz AUT 01:08:25 05:05:00 03:50:09 10:09:53 n/a
6 Simona Vykoukalova CZE 01:19:08 05:35:04 03:35:17 10:40:00 n/a

IM Lake Placid 2012 – Predictions

As I’ll be on summer vacation, I‘m only able to release a short predictions post containing the winning odds. For a full list of participants and their ratings, please download my Summer Rating Report.

Male Participants

  • Pete Jacobs: 50%
  • Andy Potts: 31%
  • Maik Twelsiek: 13%
  • Romain Guillaume: 4%

Female Participants

  • Alison Fitch: 39%
  • Jessie Donavan: 27%
  • Hillary Biscay: 11%
  • Jacqui Gordon: 10%
  • Sarah Piampiano: 5%
  • Amber Ferreira: 4%

IM Switzerland 2012 – Predictions

As I’ll be on summer vacation, I‘m only able to release a short predictions post containing the winning odds. For a full list of participants and their ratings, please download my Summer Rating Report.

Male Participants

  • Ronnie Schildknecht: 72%
  • Stefan Riesen: 15%
  • Alejandro Santamaria : 4%

Female Participants

  • Erika Csomor: 48%
  • Simone Braendli: 34%
  • Katja Rabe: 13%

Challenge Roth 2012 – Predictions

As I’ll be on summer vacation, I‘m only able to release a short predictions post containing the winning odds. For a full list of participants and their ratings, please download my Summer Rating Report.

Male Participants

  • Timo Bracht: 59%
  • Cameron Brown: 25%
  • James Cunnama: 6%
  • Mike Aigroz: 4%

Female Participants

  • Rachel Joyce: 46%
  • Rebekah Keat: 20%
  • Sonja Tajsich: 16%
  • Gina Crawford: 8%
  • Lucie Zelenkova: 5%

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