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Ironman Australia 2017 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Conditions in Port Macquarie seemed to be quite normal this year, the adjustment of of 8:37 was only a bit faster than the new course rating of 6:54, but it was still almost ten minutes quicker than the last two years.

Men’s winner David Dellow improved the course record set by Tim Reed only one year ago even if by just about one minute.

Male Race Results

As expected Clayton Fettell led the race into T2 – and similar to last year he was again run down by David Dellow and Tim Reed. This year David had the fastest run, his 2:47 marathon just missed the run course record set by Tim Berkel in 2012 by 21 seconds. Still, David won the race in a new course record and with a gap of more than seven minutes over Tim. Clayton hang on for this place, producing the same podium as last year just in a slightly different order.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 David Dellow AUS 00:49:13 04:34:31 02:47:41 08:15:36 -01:53 US$ 8,000 2000
2 Tim Reed AUS 00:49:11 04:34:33 02:54:42 08:22:43 01:44 US$ 4,000 1600
3 Clayton Fettell AUS 00:45:19 04:30:40 03:10:26 08:30:03 -04:24 US$ 3,000 1280
4 Michael Fox AUS 00:45:23 04:46:25 02:57:02 08:32:15 04:59 US$ 2,500 960
5 Chris McDonald AUS 00:50:22 04:44:27 02:57:21 08:35:54 00:29 US$ 1,500 720
6 Paul Ambrose AUS 00:49:08 04:43:25 03:10:42 08:47:03 13:10 US$ 1,000 540
7 Nathan Shearer AUS 00:55:28 05:11:17 03:15:43 09:26:24 n/a 405
8 Carl Read NZL 00:52:10 05:45:19 03:04:58 09:49:38 56:24 305
9 Daniel Brown AUS 01:03:39 05:43:49 03:51:59 10:47:52 -14:11 230
Nick Baldwin SEY 00:49:07 04:42:38 DNF

Female Race Results

Karen Thibodeau had the fastest swim, but it didn’t take long for Laura Siddall to take control of the race on the bike, building a lead of 17 minutes into T2. Laura also had the strongest run of the day, with a 3:13 marathon she won her first Ironman race. Second place went to Michelle Gailey, returning to racing after a break of two years. Jessica Mitchell had the best race relative to her previous results – she was more than twenty minutes quicker than expected and finished in third place.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Laura Siddall GBR 00:56:34 05:03:14 03:13:05 09:16:39 -01:20 US$ 8,000 2000
2 Michelle Gailey AUS 00:55:43 05:21:57 03:21:53 09:44:16 -01:23 US$ 4,000 1600
3 Jessica Mitchell AUS 01:01:29 05:23:44 03:22:18 09:53:49 -23:42 US$ 3,000 1280
4 Karen Thibodeau CAN 00:52:25 05:32:56 03:44:48 10:14:46 32:44 US$ 2,500 960
5 Jessica Richards AUS 01:05:59 05:24:12 04:53:26 11:28:45 56:25 US$ 1,500 720

Kona Qualifying

Two athletes secured their Kona slots: Tim Reed (just needed a decent validation race after winner 70.3 World Champs) and Laura Siddall (already being close, and adding 2.000 points for the win was more than enough for a slot) can now plan for the summer and October racing.

David Dellow (now at 2.520 points) is still short of the projected cutoff of 3.500 points, but one more good result (maybe in Cairns?) can put him over the threshold.

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Challenge Taiwan 2017 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

After last year’s race in Taiwan was pretty slow, this year was back to the normal “quick” conditions, especially on the bike (adjustment of +19 minutes).

Fredrik Crobeborg posted a new overall course record, his 8:03 was a big improvement over the 2013 time of 8:16 by Dylan McNeice. Fredrik was also under the old bike course record (4:26 by Jason Shortis), but Guy Crawford’s 4:13:27 was a few seconds quicker.

Female winner Verena Walter also posted a new bike course record, her 4:52 was the only sub-5 split of the day and an improvement on Britta Martin’s 2014 bike time of 4:54.

Male Race Results

Fredrik Croneborg didn’t have any of the fastest splits of the day, but he was the most consistent overall and won the race by eight minutes. Dougal Allan – usually the best biker in almost any field – had a great run to secure second place. Guy Crawford was leading the race in T2 and was a solid 3rd place finisher.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Fredrik Croneborg SWE 00:48:14 04:13:34 02:53:34 08:03:21 -21:21 EUR 8,000
2 Dougal Allan NZL 00:54:02 04:16:00 02:52:57 08:11:23 -05:24 EUR 5,000
3 Guy Crawford NZL 00:48:15 04:13:27 03:13:41 08:23:47 -32:18 EUR 3,500
4 Denis Sketako SLO 00:54:06 04:31:18 02:52:56 08:31:22 -08:56 EUR 2,500
5 Karol Dzalaj SVK 00:53:57 04:25:20 03:17:37 08:45:30 -02:24 EUR 2,000
6 Petr Vabrousek CZE 00:54:09 04:41:44 03:16:11 09:02:31 01:24
7 Young Hwan Oh KOR 00:58:12 04:45:03 03:10:41 09:03:14 -08:55
8 Till Schramm GER 00:54:02 04:31:33 03:34:13 09:12:48 15:04
9 Valentin Zasypkin RUS 01:07:45 05:18:38 03:22:39 09:58:03 -24:21
10 Josef Svoboda CZE 01:09:13 05:59:38 04:18:29 11:41:08 18:51
Ritchie Nicholls GBR 00:48:11 DNF

Female Race Results

German athlete Verena Walter won the race with a 16 minute margin by posting a new bike course record and following that up with a solid run. Lucie Reed (Zelenkova) lost too much time to Verena on the bike for her best splits on the swim and run to produce a better result than second place. Kathryn Haesner took the last spot on the podium.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Verena Walter GER 00:58:11 04:52:43 03:25:03 09:25:51 -10:07 EUR 8,000
2 Lucie Reed CZE 00:53:36 05:18:24 03:20:07 09:42:11 05:02 EUR 5,000
3 Kathryn Haesner NZL 00:53:56 05:13:47 03:28:32 09:46:20 -09:44 EUR 3,500
4 Alyssa Godesky USA 00:58:12 05:12:32 03:38:18 09:58:58 11:07 EUR 2,500
5 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 00:53:44 05:08:32 04:07:49 10:20:51 37:14 EUR 2,000
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Ironman Brasil 2017 (May 27th) – Entry List

IM Brasil is the third of the Regional Championships for 2017. For now, there are a couple of names on the list that probably only had Brasil as a back-up race for IM Texas. For example, Texas has gone well for Tyler Butterfield (3rd) and Alicia Kaye (5th) – both are safe for a Kona slot and unlikely to race in Florianopolis. Harry Wiltshire had a DNF in Texas, so he may need his “backup”. Some more athletes are chasing hard for their Kona slots: Susie Cheetham, Annah Watkinson and Jenny Fletcher have raced IM South Africa and Kristin Möller DNF’d – they still need more points to make it to Kona.

Update April 29th: Liz Lyles announced on Instagram that she won’t race Brasil but will focus on IM Frankfurt instead.

Update May 11th: Added Mariana Andrade, Kate Bruck, Bruna Mahn, Laurel Wassner, Eneko Llanos, Brent McMahon, Luiz Francisco Paiva Ferreira and Ivan Tutukin. Also Updated the KPR points and added preliminary bibs. Based on the latest list Michael McKernan, Maren Hufe, Caroline Livesey, and Jessica Jones are not racing, but I’m pretty sure that Mareen still plans to race.

Male Race Participants

Bib Name Nation KPR points KPR races
11 Tyler Butterfield BMU 4040 1+2 (2890/435)
1 Brent McMahon CAN 3170 2+2 (340/605)
8 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 3050 1+2 (2455/55)
5 Harry Wiltshire GBR 3040 3+1 (235/500)
2 Tim Don GBR 2515 0+2 (0/920)
9 Leon Griffin AUS 2025 1+2 (1335/345)
52 Patrick Evoe USA 1828 2+1
6 Ivan Tutukin RUS 1700 1+1
10 Thiago Vinhal BRA 1600 1+0
43 Esben Hovgaard DEN 1135 2+1
3 Igor Amorelli BRA 1043 1+2 (3/500)
50 Mario De Elias ARG 1040 1+2 (160/240)
4 Guilherme Manocchio BRA 1025 2+2 (230/75)
56 Reinaldo Colucci BRA 935 0+2 (0/435)
45 Felipe Van de Wyngard CHI 755 0+2 (0/320)
51 Matt Chrabot USA 665 0+2 (0/25)
54 Pedro Gomes POR 585 1+2 (540/10)
46 Fellipe Santos BRA 580 0+2 (0/180)
42 Eneko Llanos ESP 565 2+1
48 Luis Henrique Ohde BRA 540 1+2 (120/100)
55 Philipp Koutny SUI 430 2+1
37 Barrett Brandon USA 340 1+1
49 Luiz Francisco Paiva Ferreira BRA 320 0+1
38 Bruno Matheus BRA 288 1+2 (3/45)
44 Fabio Carvalho BRA 155 1+0
39 Christian Carletto ARG 115 0+1
57 Rodrigo Sanchez ARG 110 0+2 (0/10)
47 Frank Silvestrin BRA 45 0+1
59 Vinicius Canhedo BRA 35 0+1
7 Josef Svoboda CZE 15 1+0
41 Eduardo Diaz ARG 7 0+1
40 Diego Vasquez ECU 5 0+1
Michael Patrick Alonso Mckernan ESP
53 Paul Matthews AUS
36 Andreas Raelert GER
58 Sylvain Sudrie FRA

Female Race Participants

Bib Name Nation KPR points KPR races
12 Alicia Kaye USA 4870 2+2 (340/640)
35 Susie Cheetham GBR 3530 1+1
Mareen Hufe GER 3250 2+1
17 Celine Schaerer SUI 3000 3+1 (515/345)
Elizabeth Lyles USA 2685 2+1
29 Linsey Corbin USA 2635 1+2 (1900/320)
22 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 2325 2+0
18 Elisabeth Gruber AUT 2320 2+0
13 Annah Watkinson ZAF 1625 1+1
33 Pamela Tastets CHI 1485 1+2 (960/180)
23 Haley Chura USA 1290 0+2 (0/540)
30 Magali Tisseyre CAN 1165 0+1
26 Kirsty Jahn CAN 1125 0+2 (0/500)
Caroline Livesey GBR 1030 1+2 (685/125)
28 Laurel Wassner USA 960 1+2 (340/220)
27 Kristin Moeller GER 775 1+1
16 Carolina Furriela BRA 755 0+2 (0/320)
32 Nicole Valentine USA 620 1+2 (305/135)
14 Ashley Paulson USA 555 2+2 (85/20)
20 Bruna Mahn BRA 545 1+1
15 Brooke Brown CAN 540 1+0
19 Erika Simon ARG 240 0+2 (0/115)
31 Mariana Andrade BRA 100 0+1
24 Jenny Fletcher CAN 90 1+0
25 Kate Bruck USA
Jessica Jones USA
21 Carolin Lehrieder GER
34 Sonja Tajsich GER

Ironman Australia 2017 (May 7th) – Seedings

IMAustraliaLogo

Update May 4th: Pedro Gomes announced on Twitter he’s focusing on IM Brasil.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:25:44 Lisa Bentley (CAN) 09:13:20
2006 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:20:42 Lisa Bentley (CAN) 09:19:44
2007 Patrick Vernay (NCL) 08:21:49 Rebekah Keat (AUS) 09:12:59
2008 Patrick Vernay (NCL) 08:31:32 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 09:03:54
2009 Patrick Vernay (NCL) 08:24:53 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:57:10
2010 Patrick Vernay (NCL) 08:23:54 Carrie Lester (AUS) 09:23:46
2011 Pete Jacobs (AUS) 08:29:28 Caroline Steffen (SUI) 09:29:54
2012 Paul Ambrose (AUS) 08:17:38 Michelle Gailey (AUS) 09:34:57
2013 Luke Bell (AUS) 08:30:23 Rebecca Hoschke (AUS) 09:34:55
2014 Elliot Holtham (CAN) 08:35:18 Melissa Hauschildt (AUS) 09:28:43
2015 Paul Ambrose (AUS) 08:35:53 Michelle Bremer (NZL) 09:38:24
2016 Tim Reed (AUS) 08:16:34 Beth Gerdes (USA)
Michelle Bremer (NZL)
09:10:28
09:13:34

Beth Gerdes was DQ’d a couple of months after the 2016 race because of increased levels of Ostarine, possibly caused by tainted salt tablet. For more details, please check out her blog post about this incident.

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Tim Reed AUS 00:47:00 04:34:30 02:51:32 08:16:34
2 David Dellow AUS 00:44:42 04:36:48 02:57:23 08:22:18
3 Clayton Fettell AUS 00:43:47 04:29:14 03:07:02 08:23:22

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Beth Gerdes USA 00:56:47 05:13:54 02:56:10 09:10:28
2 1 Michelle Bremer NZL 00:54:28 05:03:54 03:11:46 09:13:34
3 2 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 00:56:51 05:17:25 03:24:17 09:42:16
4 3 Melanie Burke NZL 01:01:31 05:24:27 03:26:54 09:56:54

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:16:34 Tim Reed 2016-05-01
Swim overall 00:43:47 Clayton Fettell 2016-05-01
Swim overall 00:43:47 Josh Amberger 2016-05-01
Bike overall 04:27:51 Dougal Allan 2016-05-01
Run overall 02:47:20 Tim Van Berkel 2012-04-29
Total female 08:57:10 Chrissie Wellington 2009-04-05
Swim female 00:48:42 Melissa Ashton 2006-05-11
Bike female 05:00:57 Carrie Lester 2010-03-28
Run female 02:56:10
03:01:06
Beth Gerdes
Lisa Bentley
2016-05-01
2006-05-11

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Australia is 06:44.

Race Adjustments for IM Australia

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 06:16 02:34 -05:19 01:33 30 06:16 02:34 -05:19 01:33
2007 06:51 02:07 -03:18 01:24 36 06:34 02:20 -04:18 01:29
2008 03:29 00:33 -00:35 00:38 24 05:32 01:45 -03:04 01:12
2009 05:55 00:15 -02:50 00:47 28 05:38 01:22 -03:00 01:06
2010 11:09 05:12 03:02 -02:52 18 06:44 02:08 -01:48 00:18
2011 06:26 02:03 -02:30 01:27 14 06:41 02:07 -01:55 00:30
2012 10:09 02:50 00:15 04:52 9 07:11 02:14 -01:36 01:07
2013 12:58 01:43 -01:55 05:23 9 07:54 02:10 -01:39 01:39
2014 12:30 04:04 -02:38 09:33 15 of 17 08:25 02:22 -01:45 02:32
2015 -00:46 03:36 -00:50 -01:52 18 of 24 07:30 02:30 -01:40 02:05
2016 -00:50 02:24 03:31 01:35 23 of 29 06:44 02:29 -01:11 02:03

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Australia is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 40.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 8% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 1 Tim Reed AUS 08:13:55 08:34:05 00:45:53 04:33:57 02:49:04 9% +37% -53% (5) (40)
2 3 David Dellow AUS 08:18:53 08:25:23 00:44:21 04:37:04 02:52:28 76% +2% -23% (15) 19
3 5 Michael Fox AUS 08:24:20 08:40:35 00:43:54 04:39:41 02:55:46 66% +34% -0% (3) 70
4 7 Brad Kahlefeldt AUS 08:24:51 08:30:57 00:43:53 04:44:11 02:51:47 68% +0% -32% (3) (29)
5 4 Clayton Fettell AUS 08:25:00 08:42:35 00:43:03 04:31:58 03:04:59 41% +14% -45% (10) 74
6 2 Paul Ambrose AUS 08:32:57 08:42:17 00:47:39 04:38:56 03:01:21 49% +3% -48% (21) 73
7 8 Pedro Gomes POR 08:33:06 08:35:16 00:49:45 04:44:56 02:53:25 67% +1% -31% (25) 51
8 6 Chris McDonald AUS 08:35:32 08:43:39 00:50:26 04:39:50 03:00:16 65% +15% -20% (44) 78
9 9 Nick Baldwin SEY 08:47:48 09:00:02 00:50:18 04:45:48 03:06:42 69% +0% -31% (18) 137
10 12 Levi Maxwell AUS 08:49:21 09:04:50 00:51:28 04:56:04 02:56:49 48% +52% -0% (2) (153)
11 10 Carl Read NZL 08:55:34 09:08:04 00:50:59 05:01:24 02:58:11 74% +8% -18% (11) 160
12 11 Daniel Brown AUS 10:47:36 11:30:42 01:01:09 05:37:06 04:04:21 45% +0% -55% (2) (295)
13 Nathan Shearer AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 1% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 21 Laura Siddall GBR 09:19:33 09:32:32 00:54:50 05:05:37 03:14:06 63% +30% -7% (10) 33
2 20 Michelle Gailey AUS 09:41:10 09:54:58 00:52:46 05:24:26 03:18:58 70% +0% -30% (10) (70)
3 25 Karen Thibodeau CAN 09:48:05 09:57:46 00:51:27 05:29:28 03:22:10 81% +0% -19% (12) 73
4 22 Jessica Mitchell AUS 10:21:32 10:39:35 01:02:22 05:36:59 03:37:12 100% +0% -0% (2) (141)
5 24 Jessica Richards AUS 10:38:28 11:02:49 01:05:40 05:25:39 04:02:09 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (147)
23 Lauren Parker AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (3) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

2016 Champion Tim Reed is back to defend his title. He faces a number of strong Australian athletes that can easily win the race on a good day:

  • Tim Reed: 47% (1-1)
  • David Dellow: 29% (2-1)
  • Michael Fox: 9% (10-1)
  • Clayton Fettell: 8% (12-1)
  • Chris McDonald: 2% (39-1)
  • Brad Kahlefeldt: 2% (40-1)
  • Paul Ambrose: 2% (61-1)

Female Race Participants

Laura Siddall has already raced two IM distance races in February (2nd at Challenge Wanaka) and March (2nd at IM New Zealand), but she needs a couple more Kona points to qualify (probably xth or better). She’s the clear favorite to win her first IM-distance race, especially as her second place at Challenge Melbourne in April showed that she has recovered well from the racing at the start of the year:

  • Laura Siddall: 73% (1-1)
  • Michelle Gailey: 16% (5-1)
  • Karen Thibodeau: 9% (10-1)

Ironman Lanzarote 2017 (May 20th) – Entry List

Male Race Participants

Romain Guillaume tweeted that Bart Aernouts and Victor Del Corral will also be racing.

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 2500 1+1
Cyril Viennot FRA 2420 2+1
Jesse Thomas USA 2085 1+2 (1100/345)
Carlos Lopez Diaz ESP 2000 1+0
Romain Guillaume FRA 1670 0+2 (0/750)
Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 845 2+0
Cedric Lassonde FRA 820 1+1
Samuel Huerzeler SUI 710 2+0
Konstantin Bachor GER 560 2+1
Mike Schifferle SUI 525 2+0
Alessandro Degasperi ITA 450 1+0
Philipp Koutny SUI 430 2+1
Diego Van Looy BEL 289 2+1
Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 115 2+0
Alain Djouad-Guibert MOR 80 0+2 (0/15)
Erik Holmberg SWE 30 1+0
Josep Vinolas ESP 10 1+0
Timothy Van Houtem BEL 0 0+0
Malte Bruns GER
Stephen Donnelly IRL
Guillaume Lecallier FRA
Philipp Mock GER
Victor Rodriguez ESP
Frederic Schaffner FRA
Dominique Fernan Wymmersch Gallego ESP

Female Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Lucy Gossage GBR 3445 1+0
Diana Riesler GER 2785 1+1
Darbi Roberts USA 2540 2+0
Alexandra Tondeur BEL 2140 2+1
Kelly Fillnow USA 2005 2+2 (405/140)
Tine Holst DEN 1700 2+1
Kate Comber GBR 1240 2+1
Saleta Castro Nogueira ESP 235 1+0
Lucy Charles GBR 115 0+1
Camille Deligny FRA 0 0+0
Pia Englyst DEN

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