Challenge Almere 2014 (Sep 13th) – Predictions

Previous Winners

Almere is the second-oldest Ironman-distance race. It has been a member of the challenge family since 2013.

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2013 Bart Colpaert (BEL) 08:34:50 Susan Blatt (GER) 09:24:40

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Bart Colpaert BEL 00:46:14 04:46:34 02:57:24 08:34:50
2 Georg Potrebitsch GER 00:49:20 04:49:23 03:00:12 08:43:19
3 Erik-Simon Strijk NED 00:53:07 04:42:55 03:05:03 08:45:48

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Susan Blatt GER 00:56:19 05:06:12 03:17:25 09:24:40
2 Irene Kinnegim NED 01:07:27 05:14:35 03:17:17 09:47:37
3 Kathrin Walther GER 00:56:44 05:23:27 03:40:01 10:07:44

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:34:50 Bart Colpaert 2013-09-14
Swim overall 00:46:10 Dylan McNeice 2013-09-14
Bike overall 04:42:55 Erik-Simon Strijk 2013-09-14
Run overall 02:57:24 Bart Colpaert 2013-09-14
Total female 09:24:40 Susan Blatt 2013-09-14
Swim female 00:51:37 Hillary Biscay 2013-09-14
Bike female 05:06:12 Susan Blatt 2013-09-14
Run female 03:17:17 Irene Kinnegim 2013-09-14

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Almere is 11:13.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Almere

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2013 11:13 00:18 01:44 03:49 16 11:13 00:18 01:44 03:49

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 4 Markus Fachbach GER 08:33:10 08:44:03 00:49:48 04:43:09 03:04:05 (46)
2 6 Gerrit Schellens BEL 08:34:51 08:45:46 00:53:25 04:57:39 02:46:36 (49)
3 8 Dejan Patrcevic CRO 08:39:57 08:50:59 00:52:14 04:58:05 02:54:39 (63)
4 2 Georg Potrebitsch GER 08:47:33 08:58:44 00:49:19 04:54:11 03:13:06 93
5 5 Petr Vabrousek CZE 08:49:36 09:00:50 00:55:10 04:52:38 03:03:45 104
6 11 Sergio Marques POR 08:49:59 09:01:13 00:55:07 05:01:41 02:58:59 109
7 1 Bart Colpaert BEL 08:50:03 09:01:17 00:46:55 04:46:44 03:05:38 (110)
8 7 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 08:53:05 09:04:23 00:48:34 04:55:51 03:09:52 120
9 9 Tuukka Miettinen FIN 09:00:21 09:11:49 00:55:34 04:54:28 03:06:22 (153)
10 21 David Naesvik SWE 09:03:36 09:15:08 00:55:11 04:48:47 03:16:38 161
11 3 Dirk Wijnalda NED 09:04:52 09:16:25 00:57:00 05:00:07 03:06:33 171
12 10 Thomas Naasz NED 09:24:53 09:36:52 00:55:35 05:01:20 03:18:32 (248)
13 15 Thijs Koelen NED 09:29:15 09:41:19 00:51:50 04:54:33 03:26:33 (267)
14 19 Evgeniy Nikitin RUS 09:51:16 10:03:48 00:51:04 05:10:48 03:45:08 351
15 18 Georgy Kaurov RUS 09:59:52 10:12:35 00:50:24 05:00:19 03:33:54 (376)
16 14 Diederik Scheltinga NED 11:29:29 11:44:06 00:51:44 05:23:30 04:52:03 (455)
12 Alexey Brylev RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
13 Vladimir Savic SRB n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
16 Bart Candel NED n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
17 Valentin Zasypkin RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
20 Jon Thorp NOR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
22 Aleksandr Kocetkov LTU n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
23 Margus Nomm EST n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
24 Jan Jakubicek CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
25 Petr Minarik CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 51 Heleen Bij De Vaate NED 09:47:37 10:00:05 01:05:40 05:16:11 03:29:31 75
2 53 Kristin Lie NOR 10:04:14 10:17:03 01:12:06 05:18:06 03:29:02 103
3 52 Celia Kuch GER 10:12:28 10:25:27 01:03:20 05:25:28 03:38:10 123
4 59 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 10:27:52 10:41:11 01:10:18 05:31:08 03:30:48 (142)
5 56 Tineke Van den Berg NED 10:29:42 10:43:03 01:09:09 05:11:29 03:40:30 (142)
6 54 Vanessa Pereira POR 10:35:28 10:48:57 01:02:01 05:39:14 03:41:40 148
7 57 Rahel Bellinga NED 10:50:03 11:03:50 01:02:49 05:18:42 04:00:32 (157)
8 60 Zeljka Saban CRO 11:00:33 11:14:34 00:56:00 06:04:53 03:59:46 (159)
9 55 Corine Nelen NED 11:12:55 11:27:11 01:01:31 05:32:12 04:10:57 (160)
58 Victoria Gill GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
61 Anna Kusch GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Bart Colpaert is back to defend his title, but he faces strong competition by last year’s second finisher Georg Potrebitsch and by Markus Fachbach who is my pre-race favorite:

  • Markus Fachbach: 33% (2-1)
  • Georg Potrebitsch: 23% (3-1)
  • Bart Colpaert: 14% (6-1)
  • Sergio Marques: 10% (9-1)
  • Gerrit Schellens: 10% (9-1)
  • Dejan Patrcevic: 6% (16-1)
  • Petr Vabrousek: 2% (58-1)

Female Race Participants

The women’s race appears to be a close call between Kristin Lie (solid racer who will probably have to chase after the swim) and veteran Heleen Bij De Vaate. Celia Kuch will be in the mix early on but will probably fall back on the bike and run:

  • Kristin Lie: 40% (1-1)
  • Heleen Bij De Vaate: 34% (2-1)
  • Celia Kuch: 22% (3-1)
  • Lina-Kristin Schink: 2% (55-1)

Trackbacks/Pingbacks

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