Challenge Weymouth 2014 (Sept 14) – Predictions

This is the first race on this course. (Weymouth replaces Henley as the location for the Challenge race in the UK.) Therefore there are no course records, ratings or expected times.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 1 Stephen Bayliss GBR n/a 08:57:09 00:48:20 04:52:55 03:07:29 85
2 5 Joe Skipper GBR n/a 08:58:57 00:53:00 04:45:43 02:59:02 95
3 2 Joel Jameson GBR n/a 09:05:31 00:56:47 04:53:45 02:57:55 127
4 7 Keegan Williams NZL n/a 09:16:36 00:53:04 04:56:04 03:12:46 169
5 3 Egoitz Zalakain ESP n/a 09:19:40 00:55:38 04:58:41 03:10:19 (182)
6 6 Darren Jenkins AUS n/a 09:30:21 01:03:40 05:01:31 03:00:01 (218)
7 12 Chris Goodfellow GBR n/a 09:37:37 00:54:23 05:09:33 03:29:04 (246)
8 4 Craig Twigg GBR n/a 09:54:49 00:53:35 04:58:57 03:42:50 313
8 Philip Mosley GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
9 Karl Alexander n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
10 Thomas Vickery n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
11 Magnus Magnoy n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 29 Michi Herlbauer AUT n/a 09:49:46 00:54:16 05:09:45 03:12:22 (50)
2 26 Charisa Wernick USA n/a 10:07:07 00:59:39 05:30:38 03:23:03 (87)
3 27 Joanna Carritt GBR n/a 10:23:10 01:02:36 05:30:35 03:36:00 112
4 31 Tamsyn Hayes NZL n/a 10:23:54 00:58:22 05:19:14 03:47:05 116
5 30 Gabriella Zelinka HUN n/a 10:31:14 00:58:41 05:28:23 03:27:36 (128)
6 28 Eleanor Haresign GBR n/a 10:48:09 00:59:53 05:31:43 03:37:56 (144)
32 Caroline Livesey n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Based on his previous results, Stephen Bayliss has to be the pre-race favorite, but Joe Skipper will be raring to go for a win after his break-through performance as second in IM UK:

  • Stephen Bayliss: 39% (2-1)
  • Joe Skipper: 25% (3-1)
  • Joel Jameson: 18% (5-1)
  • Keegan Williams: 14% (6-1)
  • Egoitz Zalakain: 3% (31-1)

Female Race Participants

We can expect an interesting race on the women’s side, the field is a great mixture of solid, established athletes (Jo, Tamsyn), athletes just getting started (Michi who has only one IM – but that was a sub-9h in Austria) and athletes coming back after a break (Charisa who hasn’t raced an IM for more than a year).

  • Charisa Wernick: 40% (1-1)
  • Tamsyn Hayes: 24% (3-1)
  • Michi Herlbauer: 18% (4-1)
  • Joanna Carritt: 11% (8-1)
  • Gabriella Zelinka: 4% (21-1)
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