Ironman Australia 2015 – Analyzing Results

Course Conditions

This year’s race in Port Macquarie had pretty slow conditions, especially on the run. A low adjustment of -2:35 (mainly caused by a -1:16 run) leads to a new course rating of 4:15. After a few year’s of smaller fields (9 athletes in 2012 and 8 in 2013), this year had a larger field with 16 Pros.

Male Race Results

Paul Ambrose took the lead in the second half of the bike, building a lead of almost 7 minutes into T2. Luke Bell was working hard to close the gap and whittled it down to about a minute with 5k to go. Paul was then able to find another gear and won by just over two minutes while Luke Bell had to settle for second. Brian Fuller finished third, resulting in an all-Australian podium.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Paul Ambrose AUS 00:47:34 04:39:24 03:05:22 08:35:53 -12:50 US$ 10000
2 Luke Bell AUS 00:44:58 04:49:01 03:01:01 08:38:34 -14:46 US$ 5000
3 Brian Fuller AUS 00:48:28 04:49:53 03:08:30 08:49:39 -14:36 US$ 3250
4 Luke Martin AUS 00:50:30 04:54:20 03:08:13 08:56:19 00:32 US$ 2500
5 Nick Baldwin SEY 00:48:24 04:46:59 03:21:11 08:59:44 06:07 US$ 1750
6 Carl Read NZL 00:50:28 05:07:47 02:58:47 09:02:08 04:31 US$ 1250
7 Petr Vabrousek CZE 00:52:43 05:01:17 03:18:07 09:16:07 14:01 US$ 750
8 Dan McGuigan AUS 00:58:38 04:51:16 03:23:50 09:18:50 -40:59 US$ 500
9 Pete Jacobs AUS 00:44:59 04:57:28 03:53:06 09:38:34 49:52  
10 Graham O’Grady NZL 00:44:56 04:59:05 03:51:24 09:38:34 08:22  
11 Matt Randall NZL 00:55:20 04:59:21 03:54:28 09:52:35 00:28  
12 Josef Svoboda CZE 01:09:27 06:07:50 04:16:34 11:42:28 -15:48
  Matt Burton AUS 00:52:37 04:56:32   DNF  
  Peter Robertson AUS 00:48:27 05:05:48   DNF  
  Lachlan Kerin AUS 00:48:21     DNF  

Both Luke Bell (3.665) and Paul Ambrose (2.875) will some more Kona points for a safe July slot. However, Pete Jacobs validated his Automatic Qualifier slot with a 9th place finish in 9:38. He was in the lead until 120k on the bike, but said on Twitter after the race that he ran out of gas at that point. 

Female Race Results

Lisa Marangon was leading the race into T2, but had to end her race early in the run. At that point, Jessica Fleming took the lead, but she was run down by Michelle Bremer who won the race with the fastest marathon. Jessica finished second, while Michelle Gailey took the third place in her come-back race.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected Prize Money
1 Michelle Bremer NZL 00:53:13 05:18:15 03:23:17 09:38:24 -07:28 US$ 10000
2 Jessica Fleming AUS 00:56:26 05:11:50 03:30:35 09:42:18 -10:34 US$ 5000
3 Michelle Gailey AUS 00:52:54 05:24:59 03:28:56 09:50:51 00:01 US$ 3250
4 Marie Sorrell NZL 00:55:52 05:24:53 03:32:24 09:57:06 n/a US$ 2500
5 Caroline Gregory USA 00:53:15 05:44:45 03:35:35 10:16:56 -03:13 US$ 1750
6 Michelle Wu AUS 00:53:18 05:54:08 03:31:52 10:24:49 19:30 US$ 1250
  Lisa Marangon AUS 00:51:59 05:13:34   DNF  
  Christie Sym AUS 00:53:01 05:16:57   DNF  
  Marina Jurjevic AUS 01:00:14     DNF  

At this point, it seems unlikely that any of the female Pro athletes from IM Australia will be able to get a Kona slot.

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