Ironman Barcelona 2016 (Oct 2nd) – Predictions

IMBarcelona

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2014 Clemente Alonso McKernan (ESP) 08:04:13 Eva Wutti (AUT) 08:49:21
2015 David Plese (SLO) 08:02:20 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:46:44

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 David Plese SLO 00:50:39 04:25:28 02:43:38 08:02:20
2 Anton Blokhin UKR 00:47:45 04:19:06 02:56:18 08:05:50
3 Per Bittner GER 00:47:44 04:19:28 02:56:37 08:06:23

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 00:59:57 04:41:28 03:02:48 08:46:44
2 Kaisa Lehtonen FIN 00:53:22 04:46:41 03:05:34 08:48:40
3 Elisabeth Gruber AUT 01:00:19 04:48:34 03:02:12 08:54:03

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:02:20 David Plese 2015-10-04
Swim overall 00:47:32 Oliver Simon 2015-10-04
Bike overall 04:17:11 Bryan McCrystal 2015-10-04
Run overall 02:43:38 David Plese 2015-10-04
Total female 08:46:44 Yvonne Van Vlerken 2015-10-04
Swim female 00:53:22 Kaisa Lehtonen 2015-10-04
Bike female 04:41:28 Yvonne Van Vlerken 2015-10-04
Run female 03:02:12 Elisabeth Gruber 2015-10-04

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Barcelona is 27:16.

Race Adjustments for IM Barcelona

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2014 19:27 -02:15 18:17 04:17 47 of 70 19:27 -02:15 18:17 04:17
2015 35:06 00:16 29:45 07:27 48 of 65 27:16 -00:59 24:01 05:52

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Barcelona is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 50.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 1 Patrik Nilsson SWE 07:49:10 08:24:07 00:49:42 04:11:16 02:43:11 6% +65% -29% (7) 10
2 2 Bas Diederen NED 08:02:31 08:27:24 00:48:41 04:15:01 02:53:49 44% +7% -48% (17) 18
3 5 Miquel Blanchart Tinto ESP 08:09:51 08:38:04 00:50:03 04:26:36 02:48:12 93% +7% -0% (13) 52
4 47 Tim Brydenbach BEL 08:14:26 08:41:26 00:48:19 04:26:05 02:55:02 100% +0% -0% (3) 61
5 3 Victor Del Corral ESP 08:14:38 08:38:35 00:56:54 04:23:20 02:49:25 51% +0% -49% (15) 54
6 8 Guilherme Manocchio BRA 08:16:43 08:50:50 00:51:11 04:23:27 02:57:04 47% +27% -26% (11) 95
7 19 Mark Oude Bennink NED 08:17:23 08:56:23 00:48:56 04:24:19 02:59:08 17% +51% -32% (7) 112
8 4 Ritchie Nicholls GBR 08:17:57 08:58:34 00:51:20 04:34:07 02:47:30 47% +0% -53% (4) (123)
9 64 Johann Ackermann GER 08:18:26 08:45:17 00:48:56 04:19:25 03:05:05 43% +0% -57% (7) 77
10 59 Herve Faure FRA 08:20:44 08:50:23 00:52:20 04:23:57 02:59:28 45% +0% -55% (8) (95)
11 44 Roman Deisenhofer GER 08:23:04 08:59:36 00:53:35 04:19:54 03:04:35 27% +73% -0% (5) 127
12 65 Luis Henrique Ohde BRA 08:23:37 09:01:04 00:49:08 04:30:14 02:59:14 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (132)
13 73 Ivan Risti ITA 08:24:04 08:59:38 00:49:09 04:29:30 03:00:25 47% +20% -32% (7) 128
14 28 Alexander Schilling GER 08:25:43 09:03:20 00:48:00 04:30:10 03:02:33 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (137)
15 20 Ben Collins USA 08:25:51 08:58:11 00:50:03 04:26:22 03:04:26 100% +0% -0% (2) (123)
16 77 Christian Brader GER 08:26:17 08:52:33 00:57:13 04:30:31 02:53:33 69% +14% -17% (35) 99
17 6 Philip Graves GBR 08:26:57 08:50:18 00:50:30 04:21:49 03:09:38 100% +0% -0% (6) 94
18 29 Pavel Simko SVK 08:27:50 09:05:36 00:53:05 04:22:39 03:07:06 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (151)
19 50 Carlos Lopez Diaz ESP 08:30:35 09:05:53 00:48:41 04:29:37 03:07:17 26% +13% -61% (6) (151)
20 79 Andreas Niedrig GER 08:30:45 09:07:05 00:48:28 04:17:53 03:19:24 47% +39% -14% (13) 156
21 10 Stanislav Krylov RUS 08:31:04 09:09:04 00:48:53 04:28:20 03:08:51 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (163)
22 13 Xavier Torrades ESP 08:32:29 09:10:41 00:50:57 04:30:37 03:05:55 57% +0% -43% (3) 168
23 61 Markus Liebelt GER 08:32:49 09:10:57 00:56:16 04:22:10 03:09:23 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (169)
54 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 08:33:02 unrated 00:50:19 04:34:18 03:03:26 85% +5% -10% (26) n/a
25 71 Hannes Cool BEL 08:34:06 09:09:02 00:52:24 04:28:34 03:08:08 54% +31% -15% (6) 162
26 60 Marcel Bischof GER 08:34:26 09:12:02 00:57:48 04:32:04 02:59:34 65% +35% -0% (14) 172
27 72 Lars Vold NOR 08:36:01 09:14:23 00:55:45 04:31:38 03:03:38 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (181)
28 16 Daniil Sapunov UKR 08:39:34 09:13:17 00:50:01 04:41:04 03:03:29 100% +0% -0% (2) (177)
29 70 Nicolas Hemet FRA 08:44:14 09:19:58 00:56:52 04:32:37 03:09:45 30% +0% -70% (7) 193
30 14 Allan Hovda NOR 08:45:48 09:19:35 01:04:29 04:32:15 03:04:04 100% +0% -0% (3) 191
31 9 Till Schramm GER 08:46:58 09:24:15 00:56:50 04:31:41 03:13:27 5% +54% -41% (7) 204
32 68 Oliver Simon GBR 08:47:16 09:38:53 00:49:16 04:30:02 03:22:58 55% +0% -45% (12) 238
33 33 Kasper Ougaard DEN 08:51:47 09:28:34 01:01:33 04:35:39 03:09:35 9% +36% -54% (6) (217)
34 15 Darren Jenkins AUS 08:52:07 09:30:04 01:07:10 04:40:30 02:59:26 51% +0% -49% (9) 219
35 11 John Manuel Galindo Rooney ESP 08:53:23 09:39:40 00:52:20 04:44:56 03:11:06 6% +55% -39% (4) 241
36 55 Hywel Davies GBR 08:55:41 09:24:27 01:05:37 04:43:01 03:02:03 99% +1% -0% (7) 205
37 37 Pierre-Yves Facomprez FRA 08:56:44 09:37:27 01:03:52 04:41:55 03:05:57 21% +79% -0% (2) (237)
38 17 Thomas Leboucher FRA 08:57:40 09:37:39 00:54:41 04:42:33 03:15:26 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (237)
39 24 Harri Sokk EST 08:58:15 09:27:49 00:59:16 04:32:13 03:21:46 100% +0% -0% (4) 215
40 41 Emanuele Ciotti ITA 08:58:31 09:49:11 00:52:26 04:42:22 03:18:42 21% +23% -55% (4) (258)
41 56 Maciej Chmura POL 08:58:31 09:38:34 00:51:33 04:52:38 03:09:19 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (238)
42 35 Enric Gussinyer ESP 08:59:33 09:36:44 00:51:55 04:34:33 03:28:05 75% +0% -25% (8) 233
43 43 Ivan Jezko SVK 09:00:37 09:41:15 01:00:53 04:40:03 03:14:40 44% +30% -26% (13) 244
44 53 Craig Twigg GBR 09:01:02 09:59:04 00:54:13 04:27:01 03:34:47 2% +17% -81% (13) (269)
45 26 David Jilek CZE 09:01:44 09:39:13 00:59:03 04:38:08 03:19:33 64% +21% -15% (7) 239
46 45 Peter Kern IRL 09:05:16 10:08:55 00:57:18 04:37:34 03:25:24 2% +0% -98% (8) (276)
47 74 Vincent Depuiset FRA 09:12:32 09:52:53 01:10:13 04:44:43 03:12:36 60% +28% -12% (9) 262
48 23 Gilian Oriet SUI 09:22:12 10:20:05 00:58:34 04:44:23 03:34:15 15% +7% -78% (13) 282
49 32 Gergely Nagy HUN 09:25:53 10:20:58 00:55:26 04:46:00 03:39:27 19% +63% -17% (6) (284)
50 36 Nis Lind DEN 09:30:25 10:05:33 01:01:58 04:40:49 03:42:38 88% +0% -12% (6) 274
51 21 Robert Brundish GBR 09:32:01 10:14:33 00:56:25 04:21:38 04:08:59 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (279)
52 39 Rob Bobbaers BEL 09:37:28 10:20:31 01:03:01 04:45:35 03:43:53 65% +0% -35% (3) (283)
53 22 David Krupicka CZE 10:19:31 10:59:26 01:06:02 05:00:27 04:08:03 100% +0% -0% (2) (295)
54 76 Ignacio Rubio Gomez ESP 10:47:39 11:29:48 00:53:49 05:16:20 04:32:31 100% +0% -0% (2) (297)
55 18 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:02:50 12:16:37 01:14:02 05:18:04 04:25:44 30% +23% -47% (36) 298
25 Roman Thuerauer AUT n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
27 Dennis Matzen DEN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
31 David Berthou FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
34 Frantz Andersen DEN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
38 Marius Elvedal NOR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
40 Sacha Cavelier CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
42 Ohad Sinai ISR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
46 Christian Hoerper GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
48 Petr Bednar CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
49 Simone Mantolini ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
51 Kevin Thewes GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
52 Kirill Goldovskiy RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
57 Philipp Koutny SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
58 Romain Garcin FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
63 Filip Przymusinski POL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
66 Pavel Andreev RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
67 Alen Kralj SVN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
69 Patrick Dirksmeier GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
75 Zoltan Biro HUN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
78 Jonathan Ciavattella ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
80 Ivan Tutukin RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Here’s the signing-sheet for the female Pros (thanks to Chris Decker, husband of Astrid Stienen):

NewImage

Those that have signed are still planning to start, but there may be some that signed later or missed the Pro briefing.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 82 Elisabeth Gruber AUT 09:01:51 09:38:14 01:01:59 04:49:56 03:04:56 100% +0% -0% (6) 45
2 83 Emma Bilham SUI 09:03:55 09:38:59 00:55:31 04:50:33 03:12:51 100% +0% -0% (2) (49)
3 94 Astrid Stienen GER 09:07:42 09:52:25 01:00:10 04:45:47 03:16:45 43% +12% -44% (9) (70)
4 85 Evi Neuscheler GER 09:17:15 09:55:05 01:04:38 04:45:10 03:22:27 60% +40% -0% (3) (77)
5 96 Carolin Lehrieder GER 09:18:40 09:57:14 00:56:37 04:56:39 03:20:24 48% +17% -35% (7) 81
6 87 Annah Watkinson ZAF 09:19:59 09:56:25 01:00:26 05:00:26 03:14:07 100% +0% -0% (2) (80)
7 98 Lucie Reed CZE 09:23:19 09:50:00 00:53:29 05:03:29 03:21:21 59% +0% -41% (26) 63
8 88 Kate Comber GBR 09:30:43 10:01:00 00:55:28 05:02:48 03:27:27 100% +0% -0% (3) 88
9 86 Michaela Rudolf AUT 09:32:54 10:03:19 01:06:23 04:54:49 03:26:42 100% +0% -0% (7) 92
10 90 Nicole Woysch GER 09:41:46 10:15:54 01:02:52 05:00:35 03:33:18 44% +2% -53% (23) 112
11 100 Celia Kuch GER 09:43:31 10:18:46 01:05:24 05:01:42 03:31:25 84% +16% -0% (18) 119
12 95 Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 09:51:30 10:30:23 01:02:16 05:26:51 03:17:23 25% +0% -75% (5) (139)
13 91 Amy Javens USA 09:51:33 10:23:31 01:08:35 05:01:28 03:36:29 100% +0% -0% (5) 128
14 97 Nina Kuhn GER 09:51:41 10:35:41 01:02:31 05:11:49 03:32:21 62% +0% -38% (2) (149)
15 93 Bruna Mahn BRA 10:00:53 10:45:34 00:57:53 05:30:00 03:28:00 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (155)
89 Pamela Tastets CHI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Patrik Nilsson: 50% (1-1)
  • Bas Diederen: 20% (4-1)
  • Mark Oude Bennink: 8% (11-1)
  • Miquel Blanchart Tinto: 8% (12-1)
  • Guilherme Manocchio: 6% (17-1)
  • Tim Brydenbach: 4% (26-1)
  • Victor Del Corral: 3% (38-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Elisabeth Gruber: 41% (1-1)
  • Emma Bilham: 35% (2-1)
  • Astrid Stienen: 16% (5-1)
  • Evi Neuscheler: 3% (32-1)
  • Carolin Lehrieder: 2% (49-1)
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