Ironman Canada (Whistler) 2014 (July 27th) – Predictions

You can submit your own top picks on IM Predictions for a chance to win some nice prizes!

Previous Winners

Last year was the first time that IM Canada was held on its new course in Whistler.

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2013 Trevor Wurtele (CAN) 08:39:33 Uli Bromme (USA) 09:28:13

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Trevor Wurtele CAN 00:54:27 04:46:51 02:54:31 08:39:33
2 Matthew Russell USA 00:58:13 04:42:53 03:00:12 08:45:15
3 Paul Amey GBR 00:51:07 04:55:51 03:02:19 08:53:27

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Uli Bromme USA 01:03:02 05:13:51 03:06:53 09:28:13
2 Lisa Roberts USA 01:03:04 05:22:10 03:08:53 09:38:34
3 Gillian Moody CAN 00:56:51 05:29:16 03:18:39 09:49:09

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:39:33 Trevor Wurtele 2013-08-25
Swim overall 00:48:45 Bryan Rhodes 2013-08-25
Bike overall 04:42:53 Matthew Russell 2013-08-25
Run overall 02:52:44 Mike Schifferle 2013-08-25
Total female 09:28:13 Uli Bromme 2013-08-25
Swim female 00:55:13 Christine Hammond 2013-08-25
Bike female 05:13:51 Uli Bromme 2013-08-25
Run female 03:06:53 Uli Bromme 2013-08-25

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Canada is 03:14.

Race Adjustments for IM Canada

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2013 03:14 -00:01 -01:14 03:20 19 03:14 -00:01 -01:14 03:20

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Canada has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 75k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 2 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 08:21:54 08:24:55 00:48:33 04:32:01 02:59:04 8
2 11 Jeff Symonds CAN 08:40:22 08:43:30 00:51:04 04:41:47 02:55:07 (54)
3 Paul Ambrose GBR 08:43:28 08:46:37 00:48:21 04:40:06 03:13:39 59
4 3 Matthew Russell USA 08:49:32 08:52:43 01:00:20 04:46:21 02:58:38 90
5 1 Trevor Wurtele CAN 08:54:08 08:57:21 00:54:02 04:47:54 03:09:44 111
6 5 Matt Lieto USA 09:12:56 09:16:16 00:52:23 04:49:55 03:26:40 194
7 10 Anthony Toth CAN 09:22:27 09:25:50 00:57:34 05:00:34 03:18:10 224
8 6 Stephen Kilshaw CAN 09:25:41 09:29:06 00:55:14 05:02:15 03:26:18 243
7 Andrew Drobeck USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 21 Bree Wee USA 09:43:13 09:46:44 00:54:01 05:19:07 03:26:30 57
2 25 Mackenzie Madison USA 09:45:45 09:49:17 01:02:36 05:22:51 03:15:35 65
3 20 Jackie Arendt USA 09:48:15 09:51:48 00:55:05 05:28:03 03:21:05 71
5 23 Karen Thibodeau CAN 10:06:23 10:10:02 00:55:00 05:27:50 03:25:48 (106)
6 26 Christine Fletcher CAN 10:13:46 10:17:28 00:59:15 05:27:32 03:43:16 125
7 27 Jenni Plane USA 12:47:35 12:52:13 01:02:32 06:25:46 04:45:10 (162)
24 Anna Cleaver NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Trevor Wurtele is the defending champion, but it won’t be easy to repeat. My favorite is Marino Vanhoenacker who seems to be finding his way back to his great form from the 2012 season. In addition, Trevor faces Matthew Russell (who battled with him for most of he 2013 race) and Jeff Symonds who’d love to follow his win on the old course (now Challenge Penticton) with a win on the new Ironman Canada course.

  • Marino Vanhoenacker: 55% (1-1)
  • Trevor Wurtele: 20% (4-1)
  • Jeff Symonds: 11% (8-1)
  • Matthew Russell: 8% (12-1)

Female Race Participants

This race promises to be an interesting race for the final KPR July slots: Bree Wee and Jackie Arendt are not too far off the mark, and a win will probably give them enough points for a Kona slot. Bree Wee is my pre-race favorite – she will race from the front and give everything she has. Jackie Arendt is strong enough to battle it out with Bree. If Mackenzie finds her great 2011 form, she might offer a surprise.

  • Bree Wee: 35% (2-1)
  • Mackenzie Madison: 25% (3-1)
  • Jackie Arendt: 24% (3-1)
  • Karen Thibodeau: 4% (25-1)

KPR Situation

Men

There are three athletes that are in still in the race for KPR points: Matthew Russell (3.615 points) should already have enough points to qualify – he can further improve his total by finishing at least 8th. Marino Vanhoenacker is currently at 2.920 points, he needs about 600 points to get to my projected cutoff at 3.500 points. This means that he has to aim to finish 5th or higher. Paul Ambrose is a late entry tp Canada, he’s currently at 2.055 points and would able to qualify with a second place. Last year’S winner Trevor Wurtele with 1.965 points is also able to score enough points for a slot, but he has already indicated that he is not interested in racing Kona this year.

Women

My projected cutoff for the women is at 4.900 points which makes it quite hard for the participants to reach this number. Heather Jackson (4.260 points) would have had the best chances – but she is missing from the latest start list. Bree Wee (3.250 points) and Jackie Arendt (2.925) might be able to qualify with a win, but as they already have five results (and their worst result would get bumped from their total score) qualifying will be very close even with a win.

Comments are closed.

Powered by WordPress. Designed by Woo Themes

By continuing to use the site, you agree to the use of cookies. more information

The cookie settings on this website are set to "allow cookies" to give you the best browsing experience possible. If you continue to use this website without changing your cookie settings or you click "Accept" below then you are consenting to this.

Close