Ironman Japan 2015 (Aug 23rd) – Predicitions

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Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2013 Martin Jensen (DEN) 08:47:53 Shiao-yu Li (TWN) 10:12:42
2014 Michael Ruenz (GER) 08:53:40 Shiao-yu Li (TWN) 09:58:30

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Michael Ruenz GER 00:54:22 05:01:23 02:52:36 08:53:40
2 Harry Wiltshire GBR 00:49:23 05:04:26 03:08:17 09:06:34
3 Cedric Lassonde FRA 00:54:24 05:01:00 03:06:40 09:07:44

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Shiao-yu Li TWN 01:04:34 05:31:05 03:17:05 09:58:30
2 Jessica Fleming AUS 01:00:19 05:33:54 03:26:32 10:06:49
3 Keiko Tanaka JPN 00:56:42 05:44:39 03:22:43 10:09:24

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:47:53 Martin Jensen 2013-08-31
Swim overall 00:49:20 Kuniaki Takahama 2014-08-24
Bike overall 04:40:07 Timothy Beardall 2014-08-24
Run overall 02:52:36 Michael Ruenz 2014-08-24
Total female 09:58:30 Shiao-yu Li 2014-08-24
Swim female 00:56:42 Keiko Tanaka 2014-08-24
Bike female 05:31:05 Shiao-yu Li 2014-08-24
Run female 03:13:20 Shiao-yu Li 2013-08-31

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Japan is – 15:17.

Race Adjustments for IM Japan

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2013 -14:53 -00:23 -19:38 -07:52 11 -14:53 -00:23 -19:38 -07:52
2014 -15:42 -01:08 -15:49 01:10 16 -15:17 -00:46 -17:44 -03:21

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Japan is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 7 Guilherme Manocchio BRA 08:59:14 08:52:43 00:50:04 05:00:36 03:03:34 100
2 13 Swen Sundberg GER 09:11:25 08:52:39 00:52:58 05:02:36 03:10:51 99
3 2 Nick Baldwin SEY 09:13:12 08:58:13 00:53:17 05:05:42 03:09:13 122
4 1 Patrick Evoe USA 09:14:33 08:57:29 00:56:38 05:03:15 03:09:40 119
5 11 Thiago Vinhal BRA 09:18:52 09:04:52 00:49:18 05:25:32 02:59:02 151
6 4 Simon Cochrane NZL 09:20:56 09:08:44 00:52:12 05:13:43 03:10:02 168
7 6 Yu Shinozaki JPN 09:27:16 10:07:51 00:56:12 04:59:58 03:26:06 404
8 9 Daiki Masuda JPN 09:37:43 09:54:00 00:55:05 05:17:54 03:19:44 355
9 10 Yeun Sik Ham KOR 09:45:03 09:38:39 01:08:04 05:22:34 03:09:25 (299)
10 12 Daniel Brown AUS 11:09:44 11:04:23 01:04:46 05:53:44 04:06:14 (486)
  5 Colin O’Brady USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
  8 Xavier Nunez ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 24 Bree Wee USA 09:58:18 09:47:21 00:54:23 05:35:15 03:23:40 61
2 31 Lisa Marangon AUS 10:03:03 10:02:20 00:54:16 05:28:40 03:35:07 (94)
3 21 Shiao-yu Li TWN 10:08:00 10:03:51 01:06:44 05:38:37 03:17:39 99
4 33 Keiko Tanaka JPN 10:11:06 10:12:17 00:55:36 05:44:07 03:26:23 116
5 27 Michelle Duffield AUS 10:24:12 10:08:09 01:01:30 05:45:17 03:32:26 112
6 22 Emi Sakai JPN 10:31:17 10:22:32 01:06:14 05:40:48 03:39:15 147
7 29 Marina Jurjevic AUS 10:33:11 10:34:24 01:04:52 05:30:08 03:53:12 (165)
8 23 Stef Puszka AUS 10:59:19 10:54:03 01:05:06 06:08:59 03:40:14 (176)
  25 Sandra Fantini FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
  26 Mami Ishii JPN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
  32 Kathryn Haesner NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Guilherme Manocchio: 51% (1-1)
  • Swen Sundberg: 14% (6-1)
  • Patrick Evoe: 12% (7-1)
  • Nick Baldwin: 11% (8-1)
  • Simon Cochrane: 5% (19-1)
  • Thiago Vinhal: 5% (20-1)
  • Yu Shinozaki: 2% (52-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Bree Wee: 41% (1-1)
  • Lisa Marangon: 30% (2-1)
  • Shiao-yu Li: 15% (6-1)
  • Keiko Tanaka: 14% (6-1)
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