Ironman Malaysia (Sep 27th) – Predictions

This is the first race on this course, so there are no course ratings and expected finishing times.

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Malaysia has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 40k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 1 Cameron Brown NZL n/a 08:29:47 00:50:00 04:41:22 02:52:25 12
2 2 Fredrik Croneborg SWE n/a 08:54:59 00:51:38 04:51:58 02:55:52 77
3 4 Matt Burton AUS n/a 08:55:17 00:53:22 04:40:00 03:04:42 (79)
4 3 Luke Bell AUS n/a 09:04:43 00:49:16 04:49:48 03:19:33 120
5 5 Benjamin Sanson FRA n/a 09:09:15 00:46:24 05:34:51 03:32:38 141
6 6 Carl Read NZL n/a 09:10:37 00:53:02 05:00:35 03:03:22 148
7 14 Karol Dzalaj SVK n/a 09:15:49 00:53:09 04:49:34 03:17:24 164
8 10 Simon Cochrane NZL n/a 09:17:20 00:52:51 05:02:18 03:06:52 175
9 7 Brian Fuller AUS n/a 09:17:21 00:51:51 04:50:47 03:14:59 176
10 21 Tohara Kaito JAP n/a 09:27:54 00:54:36 04:55:55 03:05:39 (211)
11 15 Eneko Elosegui ESP n/a 09:36:12 00:58:52 04:55:50 03:24:58 240
12 16 Michal Kulich SVK n/a 09:38:46 01:01:42 05:10:17 03:05:13 255
13 8 Patrik Nilsson SWE n/a 09:38:56 00:49:44 04:42:11 03:41:08 (256)
14 17 Daiki Masuda JPN n/a 09:40:43 00:56:03 05:11:15 03:34:13 260
15 19 Yu Shinozaki JPN n/a 09:44:53 00:55:46 04:56:20 03:35:42 276
16 9 Adam Gordon NZL n/a 09:56:34 00:54:51 05:11:24 03:29:35 (321)
17 27 Jon Woods NZL n/a 10:00:16 00:56:21 05:08:02 03:34:57 336
18 11 Timothy Beardall AUS n/a 10:00:39 01:01:42 04:46:44 03:55:23 339
19 12 Dan Brown PHI n/a 10:11:53 01:03:20 05:39:36 03:50:56 366
20 20 Josef Svoboda CZE n/a 12:20:41 01:12:22 06:08:10 04:30:31 448
13 Zsombor Deak ROM n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
18 Markus Mlinar AUT n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 31 Diana Riesler GER n/a 09:43:49 00:58:41 05:05:35 03:24:07 37
2 35 Rebecca Preston AUS n/a 09:44:34 00:56:05 05:24:48 03:18:18 (39)
3 36 Beth Gerdes USA n/a 10:02:16 01:02:57 05:34:08 03:08:49 (78)
4 37 Michelle Duffield AUS n/a 10:11:59 00:59:53 05:29:39 03:23:44 (95)
5 34 Keiko Tanaka JPN n/a 10:13:58 00:55:21 05:25:45 03:27:47 97
6 32 Shiao-yu Li TWN n/a 10:14:44 01:06:40 05:26:08 03:18:42 99
7 40 Maki Nishiuchi JPN n/a 10:25:43 00:52:41 05:36:58 03:50:13 (122)
8 33 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS n/a 10:28:15 01:03:00 05:30:52 03:34:05 (126)
9 39 Kristy Hallett AUS n/a 10:39:04 01:02:42 05:28:21 03:44:47 (136)
10 38 Zsuzsanna Harsanyi HUN n/a 11:04:26 01:03:54 06:00:45 03:48:07 (154)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Cam Brown is the big name on the start list, but it’s hard to predict how he will do after a long season (including a recent win at MetaMan and declining his Kona slot). Luke Bell is coming back from an injury (and DNFs in Western Australia, Australia and Mont Tremblant), so Fredrik Croneburg has a much better winning chance than his rating would imply.

  • Cameron Brown: 64% (1-1)
  • Luke Bell: 17% (5-1)
  • Fredrik Croneborg: 10% (9-1)
  • Matt Burton: 6% (15-1)

Female Race Participants

Diana Riesler is clearly the strongest athlete on the bike – but it remains to be seen if she’ll be able to race well in the Malaysia climate:

  • Diana Riesler: 64% (1-1)
  • Shiao-yu Li: 16% (5-1)
  • Beth Gerdes: 12% (8-1)
  • Michelle Duffield: 4% (22-1)
  • Dimity-Lee Duke: 2% (54-1)
  • Keiko Tanaka: 2% (55-1)
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