Ironman Netherlands 2015 (Aug 2nd) – Predictions

IMNetherlands

Update (July 29th): Corinne Abraham announced she won’t be racing in Maastricht. (She already slipped into the first round of qualifiers.)

This is the first race on this course.

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Netherlands is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Overall
1 1 Bas Diederen NED 08:24:09 00:47:37 04:37:33 02:55:23 10
2 2 Cyril Viennot FRA 08:33:18 00:50:48 04:40:56 02:57:29 31
3 32 Per Bittner GER 08:41:33 00:49:40 04:44:43 03:04:24 54
4 24 Fraser Cartmell GBR 08:44:22 00:48:12 04:41:01 03:10:27 66
5 13 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 08:59:26 00:48:29 04:55:55 03:12:00 124
6 25 Mike Schifferle SUI 09:02:37 01:00:15 04:50:44 03:06:14 138
7 23 Alberto Casadei ITA 09:03:18 00:48:02 04:58:28 03:04:33 142
8 17 Mark Oude Bennink NED 09:09:16 00:48:37 04:53:39 03:17:21 169
9 28 Bart Candel NED 09:13:55 00:56:01 04:57:44 03:00:05 (190)
10 26 Matic Modic SLO 09:14:08 00:55:15 04:56:51 03:10:33 192
11 8 Hannes Cool BEL 09:18:50 00:51:15 04:57:36 03:21:04 211
12 5 Martijn Dekker NED 09:20:20 00:47:40 04:44:54 03:25:50 (218)
13 10 Rinus Holvoet BEL 09:25:00 00:53:44 05:00:26 03:19:29 243
14 22 Remy Vasseur NED 09:27:32 00:54:14 05:05:49 03:16:51 (248)
15 27 Joerie Vansteelant BEL 09:28:00 00:58:55 04:45:05 03:24:51 (249)
16 21 Hendrik-Jan Verhaegen BEL 09:31:24 00:56:47 05:01:11 03:21:52 263
17 29 Stefan Eichheimer GER 09:39:04 00:57:36 04:56:28 03:18:39 (299)
18 33 Urs Mueller SWI 09:40:24 00:56:45 05:03:55 03:20:35 (304)
19 30 Lukas Polan CZE 10:07:42 01:02:37 05:13:35 03:39:17 401
20 4 Ludovic Le Guellec FRA 10:15:34 01:01:08 05:23:41 03:39:46 424
21 34 Josef Svoboda CZE 11:54:44 01:11:32 06:03:13 04:22:23 492
22 16 Mathias Nagel GER 15:28:03 01:54:35 06:52:42 06:08:43 (495)
3 Wouter Duinisveld NED unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
6 Tim Brydenbach BEL unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
7 Emanuele Ciotti ITA unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
11 Thomas Kaiser GER unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
12 Roman Krivosheev RUS unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
18 Frederic Schaffner FRA unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
19 Andreas Thissen GER unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
20 Xavier Torrades ESP unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
31 Cedric Largajolli FRA unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Overall
1 51 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 09:13:06 00:58:09 05:01:06 03:10:34 5
2 59 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:23:37 00:59:58 05:11:07 03:09:44 16
3 55 Carolin Lehrieder GER 09:55:34 unrated unrated unrated 80
4 54 Irene Kinnegim NED 10:07:41 01:07:40 05:20:46 03:31:44 (112)
5 57 Maria Lemeseva RUS 10:15:03 01:08:47 05:32:48 03:23:50 123
6 58 Anne Jensen DNK 10:28:48 01:09:45 05:24:33 03:45:14 159
7 56 Carla Van Rooijen NED 10:31:35 01:14:39 05:28:30 03:36:48 (162)
53 Sarissa De Vries NED unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Bas and Cyril lead the odds for the men, they are already qualified for Kona and may not race at their full potential. Per Bittner (3.030 points), Fraser Cartmell (3.545) and Alberto Casadei (1.791) look for more KPR points to secure an August slot.

  • Bas Diederen: 49% (1-1)
  • Cyril Viennot: 20% (4-1)
  • Per Bittner: 14% (6-1)
  • Fraser Cartmell: 11% (8-1)
  • Alberto Casadei: 4% (23-1)

Female Race Participants

Yvonne Van Vlerken is the clear favorite on the women’s side. If there is a threat to her it’s going to come from Corinne Abraham who has had a few DNSs since her 5th place in Texas. Yvonne and Corinne are both already qualified for Kona, there is no one else in the field that has a significant number of points.

  • Yvonne Van Vlerken: 60% (1-1)
  • Corinne Abraham: 32% (2-1)
  • Carolin Lehrieder: 3% (28-1)
  • Irene Kinnegim: 3% (32-1)
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