Ironman Taiwan 2016 (Oct 2nd) – Predictions

IMTaiwan

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2015 Domenico Passuello (ITA) 08:25:54 Dede Griesbauer (USA) 09:20:23

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Domenico Passuello ITA 00:52:25 04:32:16 02:55:52 08:25:54
2 Fredrik Croneborg SWE 00:50:35 04:42:57 02:49:48 08:28:37
3 Patrick Evoe USA 00:55:41 04:42:27 02:57:06 08:40:58

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Dede Griesbauer USA 00:51:10 05:05:19 03:17:16 09:20:23
2 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 00:58:08 05:16:14 03:10:17 09:31:31
3 Kim Schwabenbauer USA 01:00:08 05:15:41 03:15:53 09:38:35

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:25:54 Domenico Passuello 2015-04-12
Swim overall 00:50:35 Rod De Kanel 2015-04-12
Swim overall 00:50:35 Fredrik Croneborg 2015-04-12
Bike overall 04:32:16 Domenico Passuello 2015-04-12
Run overall 02:49:48 Fredrik Croneborg 2015-04-12
Total female 09:20:23 Dede Griesbauer 2015-04-12
Swim female 00:51:06 Samantha Morrison 2015-04-12
Bike female 05:05:19 Dede Griesbauer 2015-04-12
Run female 03:10:17 Dimity-Lee Duke 2015-04-12

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Taiwan is 09:19.

Race Adjustments for IM Taiwan

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2015 09:19 01:16 04:20 01:34 24 of 27 09:19 01:16 04:20 01:34

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Taiwan is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 22 Daniel Fontana ITA 08:33:15 08:49:07 00:47:53 04:40:57 02:59:25 40% +0% -60% (13) (89)
2 4 Gudmund Snilstveit NOR 08:44:05 09:10:21 00:55:22 04:37:17 03:06:26 25% +12% -63% (9) (167)
3 5 Simon Cochrane NZL 08:45:43 09:03:32 00:49:21 04:47:09 03:04:13 67% +29% -5% (16) 138
4 1 Patrick Evoe USA 08:47:37 08:57:33 00:54:44 04:42:29 03:05:23 89% +4% -7% (23) 120
5 6 Tohara Kaito JPN 08:48:03 09:06:06 00:51:53 04:52:31 02:58:39 34% +50% -15% (7) 154
6 7 Patrick Jaberg SUI 08:48:05 09:03:38 00:52:17 04:44:25 03:06:22 97% +0% -3% (17) 140
7 16 Adam Gordon AUS 08:51:05 09:11:40 00:53:55 04:47:47 03:04:23 5% +53% -41% (5) 169
8 15 Balazs Csoke HUN 08:53:18 09:06:38 00:46:39 04:47:55 03:13:44 54% +7% -39% (24) 155
9 8 Simon Billeau FRA 08:53:47 09:03:29 00:53:11 04:39:51 03:15:45 43% +0% -57% (17) 137
10 10 Andreas Niedrig GER 08:54:07 09:07:05 00:46:34 04:36:01 03:26:31 47% +39% -14% (13) 156
11 14 Jordan Bryden CAN 08:55:52 09:30:23 00:48:20 04:52:21 03:10:11 16% +70% -14% (7) 221
12 2 Guy Crawford NZL 08:57:10 09:14:38 00:47:42 04:39:19 03:25:10 27% +37% -36% (12) 181
13 12 AJ Baucco USA 08:58:51 09:08:12 00:51:12 04:51:31 03:11:09 64% +0% -36% (7) (157)
14 3 Antony Costes FRA 08:59:42 09:30:49 00:47:40 04:38:51 03:28:10 30% +0% -70% (3) (223)
15 21 Olivier Godart LUX 09:07:01 09:24:55 00:54:22 04:57:09 03:10:31 31% +0% -69% (3) (209)
16 17 Allister Caird AUS 09:12:31 09:33:31 00:55:10 04:57:45 03:14:36 53% +0% -47% (2) (227)
17 9 Yu Shinozaki JPN 09:19:09 10:06:06 00:54:47 04:47:50 03:31:31 14% +22% -64% (10) 275
18 11 Deak Zsombor ROM 09:26:21 09:48:04 00:58:23 05:07:21 03:15:37 100% +0% -0% (2) (256)
19 20 Eneko Elosegui ESP 09:27:56 09:41:45 00:57:21 04:55:03 03:30:32 62% +12% -25% (16) 246
20 13 Gerhard De Bruin ZAF 09:43:35 09:53:40 00:54:27 05:04:24 03:39:45 100% +0% -0% (4) 263
18 Levi Maxwell AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
19 Derek Cross AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 32 Danielle Mack USA 09:24:40 09:51:26 01:01:00 05:06:48 03:11:53 41% +14% -45% (6) (67)
2 31 Shiao-yu Li TWN 09:44:54 09:58:00 01:04:28 05:18:54 03:16:33 47% +36% -17% (11) 83
3 36 Kathryn Haesner NZL 09:45:39 10:31:04 00:55:39 05:23:06 03:21:54 25% +36% -39% (3) (142)
4 34 Katharina Grohmann GER 09:49:35 10:03:27 01:09:17 05:19:06 03:16:12 100% +0% -0% (13) 93
5 33 Keiko Tanaka JPN 09:50:13 10:04:10 00:53:10 05:23:49 03:28:14 48% +0% -52% (15) 95
6 35 Emi Sakai JPN 10:11:01 10:24:22 01:04:56 05:20:25 03:40:39 69% +6% -25% (9) (131)
7 39 Jana Candrova CZE 10:23:36 10:37:33 01:05:11 05:32:27 03:40:58 80% +2% -18% (16) 150
8 38 Alison Fitch AUS 10:25:00 10:17:13 00:54:58 05:39:45 03:45:17 5% +0% -95% (9) 117
9 37 Stef Puszka AUS 10:30:49 10:54:47 01:03:16 05:45:56 03:36:37 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (157)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Simon Cochrane: 28% (3-1)
  • Daniel Fontana: 26% (3-1)
  • Patrick Jaberg: 9% (10-1)
  • Patrick Evoe: 9% (11-1)
  • Andreas Niedrig: 6% (16-1)
  • Tohara Kaito: 6% (16-1)
  • Adam Gordon: 5% (18-1)
  • Gudmund Snilstveit: 5% (20-1)
  • Jordan Bryden: 4% (25-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Danielle Mack: 43% (1-1)
  • Shiao-yu Li: 25% (3-1)
  • Katharina Grohmann: 14% (6-1)
  • Keiko Tanaka: 11% (8-1)
  • Kathryn Haesner: 7% (13-1)
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