Ironman Vichy 2016 (Aug 28th) – Predictions

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2015	Mauro Baertsch (SUI)	08:23:49	Gurutze Frades Larralde (ESP)	09:25:27

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Mauro Baertsch	SUI	00:54:34	04:31:24	02:52:34	08:23:49
2	Bertrand Billard	FRA	00:51:16	04:31:19	02:59:56	08:27:39
3	Christian Brader	GER	00:57:45	04:36:30	02:52:07	08:31:12

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Gurutze Frades Larralde	ESP	01:03:09	05:10:51	03:05:46	09:25:27
2	Tine Holst	DEN	01:04:25	05:04:46	03:15:51	09:30:59
3	Natascha Badmann	SUI	01:03:28	04:56:20	03:25:16	09:32:33

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:23:49	Mauro Baertsch	2015-08-30
Swim	overall	00:51:09	Anthony Pannier	2015-08-30
Bike	overall	04:31:19	Bertrand Billard	2015-08-30
Run	overall	02:52:07	Christian Brader	2015-08-30
Total	female	09:25:27	Gurutze Frades Larralde	2015-08-30
Swim	female	01:00:26	Nicole Woysch	2015-08-30
Bike	female	04:56:20	Natascha Badmann	2015-08-30
Run	female	03:05:46	Gurutze Frades Larralde	2015-08-30

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Vichy is 16:33.

Race Adjustments for IM Vichy

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Finishers	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2015	16:33	-01:53	12:21	07:30	17 of 27	16:33	-01:53	12:21	07:30

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Vichy is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	21	Fabio Carvalho	BRA	08:14:43	08:50:23	00:49:56	04:27:01	02:52:45	1% +44% -55% (11)	92
2	18	Peru Alfaro	ESP	08:20:49	08:52:18	00:46:53	04:31:52	02:57:04	47% +0% -53% (2)	(96)
3	10	Marc Duelsen	GER	08:23:09	08:41:49	00:54:14	04:30:38	02:53:18	71% +0% -29% (7)	61
4	5	Romain Guillaume	FRA	08:26:43	08:54:44	00:50:46	04:29:46	03:01:11	46% +15% -39% (29)	102
5	20	Tim Brydenbach	BEL	08:27:47	08:49:23	00:49:15	04:38:59	02:54:33	100% +0% -0% (2)	(90)
6	8	Trevor Delsaut	FRA	08:33:16	08:59:25	00:55:34	04:39:12	02:53:30	38% +10% -52% (22)	(123)
7	1	Christian Brader	GER	08:36:28	08:53:55	00:58:08	04:40:29	02:52:51	77% +4% -19% (34)	100
8	6	Harry Wiltshire	GBR	08:37:30	08:52:45	00:49:27	04:40:49	03:02:14	36% +27% -36% (15)	97
9	15	Jaroslav Kovacic	SLO	08:40:53	09:03:55	00:51:02	04:46:11	02:58:40	22% +78% -0% (3)	139
10	11	Andreas Niedrig	GER	08:42:13	09:04:27	00:49:49	04:30:46	03:16:38	26% +54% -19% (12)	145
11	13	Tohara Kaito	JPN	08:43:26	09:10:48	00:54:48	04:49:00	02:54:38	46% +34% -20% (6)	164
12	31	Markus Liebelt	GER	08:43:49	09:11:15	00:57:03	04:32:54	03:08:52	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(165)
13	9	Christophe Bastie	FRA	08:44:00	08:57:22	00:56:22	04:34:02	03:08:37	63% +0% -37% (34)	(116)
14	3	Mike Schifferle	SUI	08:44:39	09:02:48	01:02:13	04:38:21	02:59:05	89% +9% -3% (59)	134
15	7	Jens Frommhold	GER	08:45:13	09:12:42	00:59:31	04:42:39	02:58:03	63% +0% -37% (2)	(171)
16	4	Ivan Risti	ITA	08:46:23	09:12:11	00:51:17	04:44:53	03:05:13	59% +0% -41% (6)	169
17	35	Simon Billeau	FRA	08:46:30	09:03:29	00:56:41	04:33:58	03:10:51	43% +0% -57% (17)	135
18	37	Xavier Torrades	ESP	08:50:18	09:10:41	00:51:12	04:44:02	03:10:04	57% +0% -43% (3)	163
19	28	Nicolas Hemet	FRA	08:52:33	09:14:25	00:57:29	04:42:56	03:07:08	42% +0% -58% (6)	177
20	22	Hannes Cool	BEL	08:55:34	09:16:03	00:53:03	04:44:30	03:13:01	78% +0% -22% (5)	183
21	29	Samuel Huerzeler	SUI	08:57:11	09:14:35	00:55:42	04:51:57	03:04:31	100% +0% -0% (5)	(178)
22	32	Lluis Vila aguilar	ESP	08:58:31	09:26:43	00:59:43	04:51:02	03:02:47	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(210)
23	19	Lucky Berlage	BEL	08:58:49	09:15:12	01:01:38	04:46:15	03:05:56	100% +0% -0% (4)	181
24	26	Pierre-Yves Facomprez	FRA	09:07:58	09:37:27	01:04:51	04:53:54	03:04:12	21% +79% -0% (2)	(237)
25	17	Urs Mueller	SUI	09:11:32	09:34:41	00:58:43	04:50:28	03:17:21	65% +0% -35% (3)	(229)
26	38	Frederic Garcia	FRA	09:12:11	09:41:05	00:58:57	04:59:06	03:09:08	51% +0% -49% (2)	(244)
27	27	Enric Gussinyer	ESP	09:19:09	09:38:19	00:53:47	04:51:40	03:28:42	66% +0% -34% (7)	238
28	24	Eneko Elosegui	ESP	09:21:52	09:43:20	01:00:57	04:48:43	03:27:12	49% +17% -34% (15)	250
29	36	Rafael Espinar Puig	ESP	09:24:54	09:42:40	01:06:43	05:07:45	03:05:27	100% +0% -0% (5)	248
30	16	John Manuel Galindo Rooney	ESP	09:31:53	09:56:13	00:53:43	05:10:13	03:22:57	11% +18% -71% (3)	267
31	30	Ludovic Le Guellec	FRA	09:45:12	10:15:29	01:03:04	05:14:09	03:23:00	59% +4% -38% (21)	283
32	23	Rod De Kanel	FRA	10:10:15	10:48:37	00:54:51	05:04:55	04:05:29	42% +0% -58% (2)	(295)
33	33	Michal Volejnik	CZE	10:48:54	11:29:42	01:06:09	05:13:26	04:24:19	38% +0% -62% (2)	(301)
	12	Kevin Rundstadler	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	0% +0% -100% (2)	(n/a)
	14	Romain Garcin	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	25	Olivier Esser	BEL	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	34	Yohann Vincent	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	51	Diana Riesler	GER	09:12:00	09:31:45	00:59:59	04:52:41	03:14:20	46% +14% -40% (18)	32
2	52	Celine Schaerer	SUI	09:22:04	09:39:25	00:51:11	05:07:58	03:17:56	74% +0% -26% (5)	50
3	58	Brooke Brown	CAN	09:38:06	10:03:47	01:04:51	05:11:31	03:16:44	38% +0% -62% (7)	95
4	59	Kelly Fillnow	USA	09:39:22	10:08:39	01:06:17	05:14:11	03:13:54	77% +23% -0% (9)	102
5	57	Keiko Tanaka	JPN	09:44:30	10:12:10	00:57:43	05:19:29	03:22:18	39% +0% -61% (14)	108
6	62	Lina-Kristin Schink	GER	09:51:32	10:19:21	01:13:33	05:14:04	03:18:55	70% +0% -30% (5)	126
7	60	Lena Holmgren	SWE	09:52:24	10:17:37	01:09:22	05:20:46	03:17:17	26% +28% -46% (3)	117
8	56	Nicole Woysch	GER	09:53:19	10:18:41	01:01:17	05:13:54	03:33:08	35% +3% -63% (22)	122
9	61	Angela Kuehnlein	GER	10:05:58	10:29:50	01:04:46	05:28:28	03:27:43	34% +27% -39% (5)	144
	54	Catherine Faux	GBR	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	55	Sabrina Monmarteau	FRA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	63	Lauren Capone	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Fabio Carvalho: 38% (2-1)
• Marc Duelsen: 24% (3-1)
• Peru Alfaro: 19% (4-1)
• Romain Guillaume: 9% (11-1)
• Trevor Delsaut: 5% (18-1)
• Tim Brydenbach: 2% (61-1)

Female Race Participants

• Diana Riesler: 45% (1-1)
• Celine Schaerer: 29% (2-1)
• Brooke Brown: 9% (10-1)
• Kelly Fillnow: 7% (13-1)
• Keiko Tanaka: 6% (16-1)
• Nicole Woysch: 2% (52-1)