Ironman Wales 2015 (September 13th) – Predictions

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Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2011 Jeremy Jurkiewicz (FRA) 09:04:21 Kristin Moeller (GER) 10:01:19
2012 Sylvain Rota (FRA) 08:52:43 Regula Rohrbach (SUI) 09:45:09
2013 Scott Neyedli (GBR) 09:09:10 Lucy Gossage (GBR) 09:51:21
2014 Matt Trautman (ZAF) 09:07:28 Amy Forshaw (GBR) 10:57:26

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Matt Trautman ZAF 00:51:54 05:03:29 03:04:44 09:07:28
2 Fraser Cartmell GBR 00:51:58 05:03:23 03:07:21 09:10:16
3 Peru Alfaro ESP 00:48:29 05:12:17 03:09:09 09:18:28

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Amy Forshaw GBR 01:08:13 06:06:44 03:33:10 10:57:26
2 Julia Bohn GER 01:08:52 06:23:06 03:37:38 11:20:54

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:52:43 Sylvain Rota 2012-09-16
Swim overall 00:44:07 Harry Wiltshire 2012-09-16
Swim overall 00:44:07 Daniel Halksworth 2012-09-16
Bike overall 05:03:23 Fraser Cartmell 2014-09-14
Run overall 02:48:01 Jeremy Jurkiewicz 2011-09-11
Total female 09:45:09 Regula Rohrbach 2012-09-16
Swim female 00:47:55 Anja Beranek 2011-09-11
Bike female 05:31:36 Lucy Gossage 2013-09-08
Run female 03:02:28 Kristin Moeller 2011-09-11

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Wales is -26:14.

Race Adjustments for IM Wales

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2011 -27:50 04:20 -25:30 00:21 20 -27:50 04:20 -25:30 00:21
2012 -01:19 04:44 -23:33 17:26 22 -14:35 04:32 -24:31 08:54
2013 -30:12 00:55 -28:36 -02:36 22 -19:47 03:20 -25:53 05:04
2014 -45:34 -03:51 -28:41 -05:49 11 -26:14 01:32 -26:35 02:20

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Wales is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 24 Andrej Vistica CRO 09:10:02 08:46:15 00:51:40 05:10:14 03:03:07 69
2 1 Markus Thomschke GER 09:16:14 09:01:38 00:51:36 05:11:51 03:07:46 130
3 6 Mauro Baertsch SUI 09:16:51 09:01:07 00:52:45 05:18:22 03:00:44 127
4 19 Gudmund Snilstveit NOR 09:17:22 09:02:24 00:53:52 05:16:08 03:02:23 134
5 5 Harry Wiltshire GBR 09:18:48 08:57:09 00:46:29 05:18:16 03:09:03 115
6 3 Nick Baldwin SEY 09:21:11 09:03:36 00:51:23 05:18:00 03:06:49 141
7 15 Mike Schifferle SUI 09:22:10 09:01:10 00:58:39 05:15:50 03:02:41 128
8 17 Peter Seidel GER 09:25:24 09:10:03 00:00:00 00:00:00 00:00:00 (165)
9 2 Elliot Holtham CAN 09:28:44 09:21:11 00:52:16 05:22:58 03:08:30 219
10 7 AJ Baucco USA 09:31:02 09:10:18 00:51:27 05:21:53 03:12:42 167
11 21 Tohara Kaito JPN 09:39:08 09:13:38 00:53:38 05:37:48 03:02:42 185
12 12 Felipe De Oliveira Manente BRA 09:42:20 09:42:25 00:51:48 05:29:55 03:15:37 (302)
13 8 James Brown GBR 09:44:18 09:38:05 00:58:48 05:27:28 03:13:01 289
14 4 Oliver Simon GBR 09:47:57 09:29:58 00:48:28 05:24:47 03:29:42 248
15 18 Matthew Sheeks USA 09:50:33 09:32:49 00:55:45 05:02:06 03:47:42 263
16 22 Craig Twigg GBR 09:52:13 09:52:43 00:52:17 05:19:09 03:35:47 345
17 23 Hendrik-Jan Verhaegen BEL 09:56:40 09:31:17 00:56:09 05:33:55 03:21:37 257
18 16 Christoph Schlagbauer AUT 11:09:17 10:51:07 00:58:15 05:32:57 04:33:06 (469)
19 10 Christian Funk GER 11:25:06 11:10:56 01:22:41 06:19:48 03:37:37 (473)
9 Mark Cotter CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
11 Frederic Garcia FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
13 Dominic Rohan-Gates GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
14 Frederic Schaffner FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
20 Jesse Thomas USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 34 Anja Beranek GER 09:46:54 09:19:01 00:50:28 05:32:07 03:19:20 12
2 35 Emma Pooley GBR 10:12:06 09:43:42 01:05:49 05:38:36 03:22:40 52
3 43 Tineke Van den Berg NED 10:13:29 10:02:13 01:04:22 05:41:22 03:22:44 (95)
4 36 Jeanne Collonge FRA 10:16:24 10:01:57 00:56:40 05:47:45 03:27:00 94
5 40 Katja Konschak GER 10:17:07 10:01:08 00:51:25 06:03:10 03:17:32 91
6 33 Caroline Livesey GBR 10:26:35 09:58:38 00:59:46 05:55:21 03:26:28 85
7 37 Leslie DiMichele Miller USA 10:28:09 10:11:05 00:57:25 06:02:11 03:23:33 (114)
8 44 Verena Walter GER 10:30:36 10:03:44 00:57:49 05:54:01 03:33:46 100
9 32 Tine Holst DEN 10:31:56 10:07:05 01:03:30 05:54:07 03:29:19 109
10 38 Eleanor Haresign GBR 10:32:16 10:05:02 00:58:11 05:57:04 03:32:01 105
11 39 Alice Hector GBR 10:34:23 10:15:46 00:55:24 06:13:46 03:20:13 (128)
12 31 Amy Forshaw GBR 10:43:09 10:36:26 01:02:00 06:07:42 03:28:27 162
13 42 Alena Stevens SVK 10:47:42 10:21:28 01:00:08 06:09:21 03:33:13 143
41 Carol Anne Bridge GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

There is no clear favorite, a lot of the top rated athlete have similar capabilities – which promises an exciting race!

  • Mauro Baertsch: 26% (3-1)
  • Andrej Vistica: 26% (3-1)
  • Gudmund Snilstveit: 15% (6-1)
  • Markus Thomschke: 11% (8-1)
  • Mike Schifferle: 9% (10-1)
  • Harry Wiltshire: 7% (14-1)
  • Nick Baldwin: 4% (22-1)
In addition to these numerical favorites there is Jesse Thomas who races his first Ironman.

Female Race Participants

After having a results in Roth and in the 70.3 Championships, Anja Beranek seems ready to tackle Kona qualifying. She is by far the athlete with the strongest results over the Ironman distance:

  • Anja Beranek: 66% (1-1)
  • Emma Pooley: 9% (10-1)
  • Katja Konschak: 7% (14-1)
  • Tineke Van den Berg: 7% (14-1)
  • Jeanne Collonge: 6% (16-1)

Trackbacks/Pingbacks

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