Kona 2015: Preliminary Bike Analysis (Men)

After the first men are in, here are some observations:

  • Similar to the swim, conditions were pretty typical for Kona – meaning that a course record is probably not in the cards.
  • So far Maik Twelsiek posted the fastest bike split in 4:25:10, nearly 6 minutes than expected
  • Sebastian Kienle rode a bit quicker than Jan Frodeno, but was still 1:30 slower than expected.
  • Jan Frodeno was more than two minutes quicker than expected, he is projected to be the winner this year. But of course the marathon still has to be run!
  • Tim O’Donnell and Joe Skipper were 13:42 and 10:36 quicker than expected – hopefully they can still have a good run!

Projected Top 10

  1. Jan Frodeno GER 08:12:50
  2. Brent McMahon CAN 08:15:42
  3. Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:18:44
  4. Sebastian Kienle GER 08:19:12
  5. Andreas Raelert GER 08:19:39
  6. Timothy O’Donnell USA 08:21:14
  7. Andy Potts USA 08:21:35
  8. Eneko Llanos ESP 08:24:02
  9. Ben Hoffman USA 08:24:09
  10. Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 08:25:27

Bike Analysis

Rank  Name Nation Bike Bike Diff
1 Maik Twelsiek  GER 04:25:10  -05:42 
2 Sebastian Kienle GER 04:25:53 01:32
3 Timothy O’Donnell  USA 04:26:13  -13:42 
4 Eneko Llanos  ESP 04:26:56  -05:51 
5 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 04:27:18 -02:49
6 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 04:27:26 00:57
7 Jan Frodeno GER 04:27:27 -02:20
8 Brent McMahon CAN 04:27:51 -02:20
9 Andi Boecherer  GER 04:27:58  -03:27 
10 Joe Skipper  GBR 04:28:34  -10:36 
11 Michael Weiss AUT 04:28:34 00:53
12 Ben Hoffman  USA 04:28:51  -06:49 
13 Tyler Butterfield  BMU 04:29:35  -06:42 
14 Boris Stein  GER 04:30:48  -05:10 
15 Andreas Raelert  GER 04:30:52  -04:35 
16 Romain Guillaume  FRA 04:31:12  -08:18 
17 Andy Potts  USA 04:32:41  -04:35 
18 Cyril Viennot  FRA 04:34:27  -05:54 
19 Igor Amorelli  BRA 04:34:56  -05:51 
20 Lionel Sanders CAN 04:35:17 -00:02
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