Archive | IM New Zealand

Ironman New Zealand 2018 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

All reports from this year’s race mention that the conditions in Taupo were perfect for fast racing: Calm water, not too much wind on the bike and some cloud cover on the run meant that there were no weather challenges making the course any harder. That is evident from the data as well: An adjustment of 9:44 is the fastest in Taupo since 2009, and the race was also fast across all three legs.

This year’s IM New Zealand saw a number of course records. Terenzo Bozzone posted the first sub-8 time in Taupo with his winning time of 7:59:56, the old record was Cam Brown’s 8:07:58 from 2016. All three of the male podium – in addition to Terenzo it was Joe Skipper and Cam brown – were under the old record. Joe Skipper set a new bike course record, his 4:19:13 improved on Dougal Allan’s 4:22 from two years ago. (Terenzo was also under the old bike record.) Cam Brown missed beating Matt Hanson’s run course record (2:41:20 from 2016) by less than a minute – aside from Melbourne 2012 (which was probably short) his fastest run time ever at the age of 45! There were no course records on the female side, but Laura Siddall and Teresa Adam posted the second and fourth fastest times on the Taupo course.

Male Race Results

As expected, Dylan McNeice was leading after the swim. On the bike, he was caught after about 50 km, and by the half-way mark, a four-man lead group formed. Eventually, Joe Skipper and Terenzo dropped the others and pushed the pace. In T2 they had built a nine-minute lead over a larger chase group of six athletes, with only Mike Philips between them at five minutes back. Once on the run, Terenzo slowly but steadily moved away from the Joe, posting a new marathon PR of 2:44 and winning the race with his second sub-8 time. After a very solid race, Joe Skipper was just over five minutes back in second place. Cam Brown proved to be the strongest runner of the chase group, his 2:41 marathon saw him finish in third place. Jan Van Berkel also had a strong run (new marathon PR by five minutes!) to finish in fourth, while Mike Phillips took fifth.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 00:49:10 04:22:05 02:44:16 07:59:56 -12:33 US$ 12,000 2000
2 Joe Skipper GBR 00:51:47 04:19:13 02:49:46 08:05:32 -13:26 US$ 6,000 1600
3 Cameron Brown NZL 00:51:34 04:28:57 02:41:55 08:07:09 -10:53 US$ 4,000 1280
4 Jan Van Berkel SUI 00:49:05 04:31:27 02:45:29 08:10:27 -14:32 US$ 2,750 960
5 Mike Phillips NZL 00:49:02 04:27:40 02:52:42 08:13:47 00:36 US$ 2,000 720
6 Nathan Shearer AUS 00:54:52 04:27:33 02:51:06 08:18:26 -48:37 US$ 1,500 540
7 Simon Cochrane NZL 00:49:10 04:31:24 02:56:43 08:21:53 -19:55 US$ 1,000 405
8 Callum Millward NZL 00:49:10 04:31:34 03:07:08 08:32:38 09:14 US$ 750 305
9 Sam Long USA 00:53:53 04:40:48 03:01:29 08:40:42 -02:59 230
10 Guy Crawford NZL 00:49:05 04:31:31 03:22:49 08:48:05 -10:10 170
11 Carl Read NZL 00:51:38 04:54:58 03:00:53 08:52:40 -07:00 120
12 Dylan McNeice NZL 00:45:53 04:34:31 03:33:55 08:59:08 19:06 85
13 James Lubinski USA 01:00:30 04:49:26 03:06:00 09:01:59 -01:54 60
14 Stephen Kilshaw CAN 00:55:00 04:53:36 04:12:56 10:06:28 1:31:13 40
15 Valentin Zasypkin RUS 01:01:43 05:30:37 04:09:00 10:46:15 46:02 30
16 Leigh Stabryla AUS 00:49:13 05:04:54 05:36:39 11:35:38 1:34:00 20
Lachlan Kerin AUS 00:51:36 04:28:59 DNF
Cyril Viennot FRA 00:49:10 04:50:20 DNF
Dougal Allan NZL 00:55:07 04:55:07 DNF
Braden Currie NZL 00:49:04 DNF
Michael Poole NZL 00:51:44 DNF

Female Race Results

Iron-rookie Teresa Adam was the leader in T1 by three minutes, and she was riding well, too: It took Jocelyn McCauley almost until the half-way mark to bridge up to her and take the lead. After about 100k, Jocelyn was joined by Laura Siddall and while Laura took the lead, she was never able to really gap Jocelyn. Teresa also continued to ride well, and by T2 all three were within a minute of each other, building a gap of more than 15 minutes to the rest of the field. The early run saw Laura in the lead, but by 13k Jocelyn moved to the front. But that move didn’t stick, Laura was back in the lead and this time she was able to build a sizable gap. By 30k Laura was three minutes ahead of Jocelyn who herself was joined by Teresa. But nobody was able to challenge Laura who took her first Professional win in New Zealand after a string of second places, her second Ironman title after IM Australia last year. Towards the end Jocelyn struggled a bit, eventually finishing third while Teresa Adam was able to take second in her IM debut. The “Iron virgins” were doing well in Taupo: Alise Selsmark in fourth, Indy Kraal in fifth and Helena Kotopulu in sixth also finished their first Iron-distance race.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Laura Siddall GBR 00:55:31 04:54:18 03:06:11 09:00:44 -10:24 US$ 12,000 2000
2 Teresa Adam NZL 00:49:32 05:01:13 03:09:34 09:05:35 n/a US$ 6,000 1600
3 Jocelyn McCauley USA 00:52:59 04:57:02 03:17:43 09:12:51 -03:07 US$ 4,000 1280
4 Alise Selsmark AUS 00:53:01 05:21:29 03:22:14 09:42:58 n/a US$ 2,750 960
5 Indy Kraal NZL 00:55:25 05:12:08 03:31:42 09:44:26 n/a US$ 2,000 720
6 Helena Kotopulu CZE 01:09:10 05:14:52 03:14:13 09:44:47 n/a US$ 1,500 540
7 Jessica Mitchell AUS 01:00:50 05:15:30 03:25:18 09:48:43 -08:00 US$ 1,000 405
8 Caroline St-Pierre CAN 00:55:24 05:29:34 03:26:25 09:56:36 03:50 US$ 750 305
9 Julia Grant NZL 00:58:43 05:20:32 03:34:31 09:59:42 -07:35 230
10 Palmira Alvarez MEX 01:08:45 05:21:06 03:25:16 10:00:51 -05:54 170
11 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 00:55:32 05:17:30 04:07:39 10:26:27 27:33 120
12 Caroline Gregory USA 00:58:38 05:42:34 03:44:31 10:31:29 12:32 85
Fawn Whiting CAN 01:00:43 05:16:31 DNF

Ironman New Zealand 2018 (March 3rd) – Seedings

IMNZLogoPrevious Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:20:15 Joanna Lawn (NZL) 09:30:14
2006 Ain-Alar Juhanson (EST) 03:31:05 Joanna Lawn (NZL) 04:10:32
2007 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:26:33 Joanna Lawn (NZL) 09:20:02
2008 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:24:49 Joanna Lawn (NZL) 09:16:00
2009 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:18:05 Gina Crawford (NZL) 09:18:26
2010 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:21:52 Joanna Lawn (NZL) 09:14:35
2011 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:31:07 Samantha Warriner (NZL) 09:28:24
2012 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 03:55:03 Meredith Kessler (USA) 04:22:46
2013 Bevan Docherty (NZL) 08:15:35 Meredith Kessler (USA) 09:17:10
2014 Marko Albert (EST) 08:17:33 Meredith Kessler (USA) 09:08:46
2015 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:22:13 Meredith Kessler (USA) 09:05:45
2016 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:07:58 Meredith Kessler (USA) 08:56:08
2017 Braden Currie (NZL) 08:20:58 Jocelyn McCauley (USA) 09:09:47

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Braden Currie NZL 00:48:11 04:39:55 02:48:23 08:20:58
2 Cameron Brown NZL 00:53:17 04:43:46 02:42:29 08:24:32
3 Cyril Viennot FRA 00:53:23 04:42:28 02:43:39 08:25:43

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jocelyn McCauley USA 00:59:14 05:05:24 02:59:40 09:09:47
2 Laura Siddall GBR 00:59:16 05:05:00 03:12:47 09:21:53
3 Meredith Kessler USA 00:53:23 05:10:54 03:18:11 09:27:19

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:07:58 Cameron Brown 2016-03-05
Swim overall 00:44:26 Dylan McNeice 2015-03-07
Bike overall 04:22:13 Dougal Allan 2016-03-05
Run overall 02:41:20 Matt Hanson 2016-03-05
Total female 08:56:08 Meredith Kessler 2016-03-05
Swim female 00:46:30 Monica Byrn 2005-05-03
Bike female 04:51:39 Lucy Gossage 2016-03-05
Run female 02:59:10 Jess Draskau-Petersson 2004-03-06

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM New Zealand is 07:50.

Race Adjustments for IM New Zealand

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 31:32 00:29 03:46 44:39 38 31:32 00:29 03:46 44:39
2007 13:55 01:32 01:36 03:11 24 22:43 01:00 02:41 23:55
2008 11:36 02:09 04:31 03:41 36 19:01 01:23 03:18 17:10
2009 10:19 00:34 05:26 02:37 38 16:50 01:11 03:50 13:32
2010 09:24 01:38 03:03 04:02 22 15:21 01:16 03:40 11:38
2011 -04:08 00:50 01:34 -01:19 24 12:06 01:12 03:19 09:28
2013 00:01 01:14 03:44 -00:07 24 10:23 01:12 03:23 08:06
2014 05:41 01:27 01:01 02:44 31 of 41 09:47 01:14 03:05 07:26
2015 05:53 01:33 03:54 04:58 22 of 27 09:21 01:16 03:11 07:09
2016 06:06 02:21 09:30 03:31 37 of 49 09:02 01:23 03:49 06:48
2017 -04:08 -02:45 -00:06 01:02 27 of 40 07:50 01:00 03:27 06:16

KPR points and Prize Money

IM New Zealand is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 60.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 15% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 6 Mike Phillips NZL 08:12:40 08:32:11 00:48:47 04:29:58 05:23:45 02:48:55 42% +58% -0% (2) (50)
2 4 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 08:14:00 08:21:08 00:46:21 04:31:12 05:22:33 02:51:27 51% +33% -16% (15) 15
3 1 Braden Currie NZL 08:14:48 08:29:45 00:45:47 04:37:26 05:28:14 02:46:34 39% +26% -35% (4) 37
4 2 Cameron Brown NZL 08:14:50 08:26:49 00:49:34 04:38:18 05:32:52 02:41:58 63% +9% -28% (35) 25
5 19 Joe Skipper GBR 08:15:21 08:27:43 00:52:46 04:32:29 05:30:15 02:45:06 57% +14% -29% (19) 30
6 3 Cyril Viennot FRA 08:18:44 08:33:41 00:49:52 04:36:06 05:30:58 02:47:46 61% +8% -31% (21) 55
7 15 Callum Millward NZL 08:18:56 08:32:38 00:48:24 04:36:48 05:30:12 02:48:44 71% +0% -29% (9) 52
8 7 Dougal Allan NZL 08:21:57 08:34:01 00:56:17 04:27:04 05:28:21 02:53:36 88% +5% -7% (10) 57
9 21 Jan Van Berkel SUI 08:26:00 08:33:49 00:48:22 04:38:12 05:31:35 02:54:25 63% +17% -20% (16) 56
10 10 Stephen Kilshaw CAN 08:28:05 08:56:46 00:52:19 04:39:22 05:36:40 02:51:25 15% +41% -44% (12) 133
11 14 Dylan McNeice NZL 08:37:04 08:55:03 00:45:01 04:47:57 05:37:58 02:59:06 41% +11% -48% (16) (122)
12 23 Chris McDonald AUS 08:37:05 08:48:45 00:52:01 04:40:39 05:37:41 02:59:24 57% +9% -34% (48) 100
13 5 Simon Cochrane NZL 08:38:13 08:56:09 00:49:39 04:45:18 05:39:57 02:58:16 65% +13% -22% (21) 127
14 8 Guy Crawford NZL 08:44:56 09:13:15 00:48:42 04:36:01 05:29:43 03:15:13 28% +32% -40% (15) 187
15 11 Sam Long USA 08:48:02 09:03:47 00:56:05 04:42:20 05:43:25 03:04:37 70% +0% -30% (4) 160
16 17 Carl Read NZL 08:52:31 09:23:07 00:52:44 04:58:15 05:55:59 02:56:32 50% +5% -45% (13) 217
17 18 Nathan Shearer AUS 09:00:20 09:27:12 00:56:05 04:51:09 05:52:14 03:08:06 49% +51% -0% (2) (227)
18 12 James Lubinski USA 09:01:56 09:19:11 01:02:27 04:54:41 06:02:08 02:59:48 54% +30% -17% (21) 203
19 9 Lachlan Kerin AUS 09:05:37 09:30:28 00:52:03 04:54:30 05:51:33 03:14:04 18% +62% -19% (3) (234)
20 20 Leigh Stabryla AUS 09:08:41 09:25:19 00:49:08 05:17:11 06:11:18 02:57:23 55% +0% -45% (4) (222)
21 16 Michael Poole NZL 09:16:25 09:38:49 00:50:31 04:47:55 05:43:26 03:32:59 71% +0% -29% (2) (258)
22 22 Valentin Zasypkin RUS 10:00:03 10:17:59 01:07:34 05:20:19 06:32:52 03:27:11 20% +63% -17% (10) 287

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 6% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 25 Jocelyn McCauley USA 09:04:31 09:25:56 00:54:52 05:05:47 06:05:38 02:58:53 30% +52% -18% (8) 25
2 26 Laura Siddall GBR 09:09:48 09:20:53 00:56:13 05:00:06 06:01:18 03:08:30 64% +31% -4% (13) 11
3 33 Jessie Donavan USA 09:33:43 09:39:47 01:05:38 05:06:33 06:17:10 03:16:33 98% +2% -0% (17) 45
4 27 Fawn Whiting CAN 09:48:36 09:58:56 01:03:22 05:26:40 06:35:01 03:13:35 100% +0% -0% (3) 74
5 29 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 09:52:13 10:10:11 00:55:36 05:23:44 06:24:21 03:27:52 35% +4% -61% (30) 104
6 30 Jessica Mitchell AUS 09:55:33 10:13:24 01:03:34 05:23:27 06:32:01 03:23:32 38% +62% -0% (4) 112
7 39 Caroline St-Pierre CAN 09:57:20 10:09:33 00:56:40 05:40:14 06:41:54 03:15:26 74% +0% -26% (4) 102
8 32 Palmira Alvarez MEX 10:06:52 10:23:46 01:06:02 05:23:43 06:34:46 03:32:06 79% +21% -0% (5) 122
9 34 Julia Grant NZL 10:10:28 10:24:17 00:59:12 05:37:50 06:42:02 03:28:26 58% +0% -42% (7) (123)
10 35 Caroline Gregory USA 10:11:08 10:36:38 00:55:43 05:41:39 06:42:22 03:28:46 35% +5% -60% (14) 142
31 Teresa Adam NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
36 Helena Kotopulu CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
37 Indy Kraal NZL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
38 Alise Selsmark AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

There is a large number candidates for the win on the men’s side: Terenzo Bozzone has had a couple of great Ironman races in the last years, but he’s still looking for the first title in his home Ironman race. When Joe Skipper is racing well, he’s clearly one of the fastest IM-distance athletes. Braden Currie is back to defend his title from last year, while Cam Brown has always raced well in Taupo and has won IM New Zealand twelve times already. Mike Philips hs only finished two IMs yet, but he’s already gone sub-8 and won last December’s 70.3 Taupo.

  • Terenzo Bozzone: 25% (3-1)
  • Joe Skipper: 21% (4-1)
  • Braden Currie: 18% (5-1)
  • Cameron Brown: 15% (5-1)
  • Mike Phillips: 10% (9-1)
  • Cyril Viennot: 4% (23-1)

Female Race Participants

On the female side, there are two main contender’s for the win: Last year’s winner Jocelyn McCauley and last year’s second place finisher Laura Siddall. Laura is clearly the faster athlete on the bike and is the likely T2 leader, but if Jocelyn manages to run a sub-3 marathon as she did last year, she’ll be hard to beat.

  • Laura Siddall: 46% (1-1)
  • Jocelyn McCauley: 45% (1-1)
  • Jessie Donavan: 6% (15-1)

Ironman New Zealand 2018 (March 3rd) – Entry List

  • Feb 7th: Added Teresa Adam, Jessie Donavan, Julia Grant, Indy Kraal, Jessica Mitchell, Caroline St-Pierre (WPRO);  Cameron Brown, Simon Cochrane, Lachlan Kerin, Stephen Kilshaw, Sam Long, James Lubinski, Dylan McNeice, Mike Phillips, Nathan Shearer, Joe Skipper (MPRO)

Male Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Mike Phillips NZL 2350 1+1
Simon Cochrane NZL 1500 1+2 (1280/80)
Guy Crawford NZL 1030 1+2 (720/30)
Cameron Brown NZL 960 1+0
Nathan Shearer AUS 720 1+0
Joe Skipper GBR 540 1+0
Dylan McNeice NZL 435 0+1
Jan Van Berkel SUI 340 1+0
Sam Long USA 305 1+0
Leigh Stabryla AUS 230 1+0
James Lubinski USA 170 1+0
Lachlan Kerin AUS 145 0+1
Valentin Zasypkin RUS 2 1+0
Stephen Kilshaw CAN 0 0+0
Cyril Viennot FRA 0 0+0

Female Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Jocelyn McCauley USA 4490 1+2 (3100/640)
Kate Bevilaqua AUS 2215 1+2 (1600/75)
Jessie Donavan USA 2165 2+1
Laura Siddall GBR 1810 1+1
Fawn Whiting CAN 540 1+0
Julia Grant NZL 250 0+2 (0/115)
Palmira Alvarez MEX 125 2+0
Caroline Gregory USA 40 1+0
Tracy Douglas AUS 0 0+0
Jessica Mitchell AUS 0 0+0
Natascha Schmitt GER 0 0+0
Caroline St-Pierre CAN 0 0+0
Teresa Adam NZL    
Helena Kotopulu CZE    
Indy Kraal NZL    

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