Ironman Hawaii 2015 (October 10th) – Predictions

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Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2005	Faris Al-Sultan (GER)	08:14:17	Natascha Badmann (SUI)	09:09:30
2006	Normann Stadler (GER)	08:11:56	Michellie Jones (AUS)	09:18:31
2007	Chris McCormack (AUS)	08:15:34	Chrissie Wellington (GBR)	09:08:45
2008	Craig Alexander (AUS)	08:17:45	Chrissie Wellington (GBR)	09:06:23
2009	Craig Alexander (AUS)	08:20:21	Chrissie Wellington (GBR)	08:54:02
2010	Chris McCormack (AUS)	08:10:37	Mirinda Carfrae (AUS)	08:58:36
2011	Craig Alexander (AUS)	08:03:56	Chrissie Wellington (GBR)	08:55:08
2012	Pete Jacobs (AUS)	08:18:37	Leanda Cave (GBR)	09:15:54
2013	Frederik Van Lierde (BEL)	08:12:29	Mirinda Carfrae (AUS)	08:52:14
2014	Sebastian Kienle (GER)	08:14:18	Mirinda Carfrae (AUS)	09:00:55

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Sebastian Kienle	GER	00:54:38	04:20:46	02:54:36	08:14:18
2	Ben Hoffman	USA	00:51:20	04:32:20	02:51:25	08:19:23
3	Jan Frodeno	GER	00:50:56	04:37:19	02:47:46	08:20:32

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Mirinda Carfrae	AUS	01:00:14	05:05:48	02:50:26	09:00:55
2	Daniela Ryf	SUI	00:56:55	04:54:33	03:07:00	09:02:57
3	Rachel Joyce	GBR	00:56:47	04:56:49	03:06:27	09:04:23

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:03:56	Craig Alexander	2011-10-15
Swim	overall	00:46:41	Lars Jorgensen	1998-10-03
Bike	overall	04:18:23	Normann Stadler	2006-10-21
Run	overall	02:40:04	Mark Allen	1989-10-11
Total	female	08:52:14	Mirinda Carfrae	2013-10-12
Swim	female	00:48:43	Jodi Jackson	1999-10-16
Bike	female	04:44:19	Karin Thuerig	2011-10-15
Run	female	02:50:26	Mirinda Carfrae	2014-10-11

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Hawaii is a P-8000 race. It has a total prize purse of 650.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	2	Jan Frodeno	GER	08:13:40	08:08:18	00:50:07	04:29:00	02:49:33	1
2	1	Sebastian Kienle	GER	08:16:52	08:08:50	00:54:16	04:21:53	02:55:43	2
3	3	Frederik Van Lierde	BEL	08:18:09	08:15:48	00:51:09	04:28:02	02:53:58	4
4	14	Marino Vanhoenacker	BEL	08:19:04	08:19:10	00:52:45	04:25:03	02:56:16	5
5	18	Brent McMahon	CAN	08:19:26	08:20:26	00:50:53	04:33:11	02:50:23	(7)
6	35	Andreas Raelert	GER	08:21:18	08:20:03	00:52:42	04:32:15	02:51:20	6
7	6	Nils Frommhold	GER	08:22:14	08:15:11	00:51:24	04:28:50	02:57:00	3
8	34	Andi Boecherer	GER	08:23:26	08:30:03	00:50:39	04:26:24	03:01:22	18
9	5	Andy Potts	USA	08:24:53	08:24:37	00:50:10	04:36:45	02:52:58	11
10	42	Jordan Rapp	USA	08:27:19	08:25:35	00:55:43	04:28:27	02:58:09	16
11	20	Bas Diederen	NED	08:27:27	08:23:30	00:51:32	04:35:06	02:55:49	9
12	24	Ivan Rana	ESP	08:27:43	08:24:54	00:51:32	04:41:43	02:49:28	13
13	30	Clemente Alonso McKernan	ESP	08:28:09	08:25:34	00:51:12	04:38:34	02:53:24	15
14	27	Michael Weiss	AUT	08:28:47	08:30:23	00:58:19	04:27:54	02:57:35	20
15	10	Ronnie Schildknecht	SUI	08:29:18	08:25:26	00:55:34	04:34:48	02:53:56	14
16	28	Eneko Llanos	ESP	08:29:26	08:23:47	00:51:51	04:33:08	02:59:27	10
17	8	Bart Aernouts	BEL	08:29:30	08:24:43	00:55:59	04:37:54	02:50:37	12
18	21	Timothy O’Donnell	USA	08:29:33	08:31:54	00:50:48	04:36:11	02:57:34	25
19	4	Ben Hoffman	USA	08:29:52	08:32:50	00:51:47	04:35:20	02:57:46	28
20	7	Tim Van Berkel	AUS	08:30:56	08:31:26	00:52:21	04:40:12	02:53:23	24
21	32	Brad Kahlefeldt	AUS	08:31:52	08:37:12	00:49:53	04:45:15	02:51:44	(39)
22	43	Christian Kramer	GER	08:32:20	08:32:39	00:51:34	04:38:40	02:57:05	27
23	36	Luke McKenzie	AUS	08:33:13	08:37:19	00:52:29	04:31:54	03:03:51	40
24	29	Tyler Butterfield	BMU	08:33:17	08:31:10	00:52:31	04:34:34	03:01:12	23
25	23	Cameron Brown	NZL	08:34:07	08:30:17	00:54:51	04:40:23	02:53:53	19
26	16	Cyril Viennot	FRA	08:34:09	08:36:07	00:54:34	04:37:00	02:57:36	38
27	19	Matt Trautman	ZAF	08:34:53	08:30:45	00:54:43	04:39:09	02:56:00	21
28	50	Maik Twelsiek	GER	08:35:22	08:38:14	00:53:43	04:27:49	03:08:51	43
29	15	Jeff Symonds	CAN	08:35:39	08:39:21	00:54:57	04:45:27	02:50:15	48
30	22	Romain Guillaume	FRA	08:37:48	08:43:23	00:51:36	04:35:57	03:05:15	61
31	47	Viktor Zyemtsev	USA	08:38:10	08:35:16	00:54:49	04:43:30	02:54:51	36
32	40	Igor Amorelli	BRA	08:38:22	08:34:44	00:51:01	04:38:59	03:03:23	34
33	46	Terenzo Bozzone	NZL	08:38:40	08:34:45	00:51:27	04:41:53	03:00:20	35
34	12	Matt Hanson	USA	08:38:55	08:42:12	00:58:23	04:47:02	02:48:30	56
35	33	David McNamee	GBR	08:39:18	08:39:30	00:52:02	04:45:00	02:57:16	(49)
36	31	Callum Millward	NZL	08:40:04	08:40:26	00:52:20	04:44:25	02:58:19	(54)
37	37	Boris Stein	GER	08:40:48	08:34:09	01:00:43	04:38:05	02:57:00	32
38	48	Kyle Buckingham	ZAF	08:41:34	08:33:13	00:53:10	04:40:19	03:03:05	30
39	57	Jeremy Jurkiewicz	FRA	08:42:07	08:38:59	00:51:11	04:48:22	02:57:34	46
40	56	Matt Chrabot	USA	08:42:39	08:38:27	00:50:47	04:44:03	03:02:48	44
41	41	Denis Chevrot	FRA	08:43:17	08:43:53	00:51:28	04:47:40	02:59:10	66
42	58	Justin Daerr	USA	08:43:56	08:42:49	00:56:43	04:43:41	02:58:32	59
43	45	Pedro Gomes	POR	08:44:13	08:42:19	00:54:50	04:44:18	03:00:06	57
44	52	Fraser Cartmell	GBR	08:44:30	08:44:22	00:52:19	04:39:31	03:07:40	67
45	49	Jan Van Berkel	SUI	08:44:33	08:48:03	00:52:13	04:39:10	03:08:09	84
46	26	Joe Skipper	GBR	08:45:04	08:43:23	00:58:47	04:40:42	03:00:35	61
47	25	Guilherme Manocchio	BRA	08:45:06	08:48:56	00:53:50	04:44:17	03:01:59	85
48	54	Miquel Blanchart Tinto	ESP	08:45:46	08:42:51	00:53:09	04:53:26	02:54:11	60
49	17	Tim Don	GBR	08:46:53	08:52:21	00:51:43	04:53:09	02:57:01	(97)
50	53	Daniel Bretscher	USA	08:47:04	08:47:10	00:56:21	04:47:08	02:58:34	(80)
51	55	Luke Bell	AUS	08:48:11	08:53:55	00:51:12	04:41:39	03:10:20	106
52	9	Lionel Sanders	CAN	08:49:36	08:51:24	01:00:46	04:36:23	03:07:27	(96)
53	39	Fredrik Croneborg	SWE	08:49:50	08:47:53	00:56:24	04:51:38	02:56:48	83
54	38	Dylan McNeice	NZL	08:50:20	08:51:12	00:49:35	04:51:33	03:04:12	95
55	44	Paul Ambrose	AUS	08:51:33	08:44:27	00:53:39	04:42:53	03:10:00	68

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Overall
1	101	Mirinda Carfrae	AUS	09:03:59	08:57:08	00:59:03	05:05:00	02:54:57	1
2	105	Rachel Joyce	GBR	09:07:22	09:07:58	00:55:27	04:59:17	03:07:38	3
3	102	Daniela Ryf	SUI	09:08:15	09:03:14	00:56:26	04:56:39	03:10:09	2
4	104	Caroline Steffen	SUI	09:13:04	09:11:03	00:56:07	05:00:03	03:11:54	4
5	103	Jodie Swallow	GBR	09:15:50	09:14:13	00:52:58	05:03:07	03:14:45	5
6	109	Meredith Kessler	USA	09:17:45	09:20:23	00:53:50	05:02:51	03:16:04	14
7	119	Eva Wutti	AUT	09:19:14	09:16:23	01:01:18	05:03:36	03:09:21	8
8	115	Liz Blatchford	AUS	09:20:28	09:17:07	00:55:07	05:09:55	03:10:26	10
9	106	Julia Gajer	GER	09:20:33	09:15:15	00:58:08	05:09:20	03:08:06	7
10	110	Leanda Cave	GBR	09:21:20	09:21:41	00:54:41	05:06:29	03:15:09	15
11	107	Mary Beth Ellis	USA	09:21:45	09:17:03	00:54:47	05:02:36	03:19:23	9
12	112	Angela Naeth	CAN	09:22:52	09:26:31	01:02:54	04:59:52	03:15:05	21
13	111	Melissa Hauschildt	AUS	09:23:11	09:32:28	00:59:54	05:06:06	03:12:11	(31)
14	108	Gina Crawford	NZL	09:24:58	09:23:49	00:55:48	05:12:36	03:11:34	18
15	117	Lucy Gossage	GBR	09:25:35	09:18:15	01:02:49	05:07:00	03:10:46	11
16	122	Michelle Vesterby	DEN	09:25:48	09:23:14	00:55:41	05:06:09	03:18:58	16
17	114	Elizabeth Lyles	USA	09:26:39	09:28:00	01:00:49	05:12:52	03:07:59	22
18	118	Camilla Pedersen	DEN	09:29:07	09:24:46	00:55:42	05:08:08	03:20:17	20
19	121	Susie Cheetham	GBR	09:30:02	09:30:41	01:01:25	05:13:18	03:10:18	(28)
20	140	Caitlin Snow	USA	09:30:20	09:32:40	00:59:44	05:20:00	03:05:36	31
21	120	Diana Riesler	GER	09:30:54	09:32:41	01:02:27	05:02:37	03:20:50	32
22	131	Kelly Williamson	USA	09:31:36	09:29:00	00:57:15	05:27:15	03:02:07	23
23	136	Tine Deckers	BEL	09:31:38	09:29:01	01:03:09	05:05:49	03:17:40	24
24	125	Heather Jackson	USA	09:32:25	09:34:28	01:03:14	05:06:06	03:18:05	38
25	116	Heather Wurtele	CAN	09:33:09	09:30:01	00:59:04	05:07:32	03:21:32	25
26	130	Annabel Luxford	AUS	09:33:50	09:39:48	00:56:25	05:02:53	03:29:32	(46)
27	126	Britta Martin	NZL	09:34:14	09:30:53	01:03:41	05:13:34	03:12:00	28
28	124	Beth Gerdes	USA	09:34:41	09:42:34	01:05:42	05:18:29	03:05:31	50
29	123	Amanda Stevens	USA	09:35:11	09:33:26	00:54:28	05:12:19	03:23:24	35
30	141	Sofie Goos	BEL	09:35:29	09:35:53	01:00:56	05:11:14	03:18:20	40
31	139	Sarah Piampiano	USA	09:37:34	09:43:05	01:06:13	05:10:39	03:15:41	52
32	128	Mareen Hufe	GER	09:37:35	09:36:01	01:04:26	05:05:06	03:23:03	41
33	127	Ruth Brennan Morrey	USA	09:37:58	09:38:19	01:10:01	05:17:22	03:05:34	(46)
34	137	Asa Lundstroem	SWE	09:38:18	09:34:18	01:05:20	05:09:58	03:18:01	37
35	129	Haley Chura	USA	09:38:20	09:37:19	00:53:04	05:18:09	03:22:08	44
36	132	Dede Griesbauer	USA	09:41:42	09:55:09	00:56:51	05:11:43	03:28:08	79
37	133	Astrid Stienen	GER	09:41:59	09:40:27	01:03:47	05:09:29	03:23:43	48
38	113	Ariane Monticeli	BRA	09:44:24	09:49:02	01:07:20	05:22:42	03:09:23	62
39	142	Laurel Wassner	USA	09:50:30	09:48:21	00:58:46	05:29:16	03:17:29	61
40	134	Dimity-Lee Duke	AUS	09:51:34	09:50:56	01:06:49	05:19:53	03:19:52	69
41	138	Shiao-yu Li	TWN	10:05:50	10:02:37	01:13:44	05:29:24	03:17:41	95

For more about Kona check out my free “Kona Rating Report” – 150+ pages with tons of information about the Pro race!