Ironman Wales 2016 (Sept 18th) – Predictions

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Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2011 Jeremy Jurkiewicz (FRA) 09:04:21 Kristin Moeller (GER) 10:01:19
2012 Sylvain Rota (FRA) 08:52:43 Regula Rohrbach (SUI) 09:45:09
2013 Scott Neyedli (GBR) 09:09:10 Lucy Gossage (GBR) 09:51:21
2014 Matt Trautman (ZAF) 09:07:28 Amy Forshaw (GBR) 10:57:26
2015 Jesse Thomas (USA) 08:57:33 Anja Beranek (GER) 09:56:31

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jesse Thomas USA 00:54:20 05:03:28 02:52:19 08:57:33
2 Andrej Vistica CRO 00:57:00 05:05:46 02:52:18 09:03:09
3 Markus Thomschke GER 00:57:01 04:57:14 03:12:54 09:14:52

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Anja Beranek GER 00:54:26 05:30:15 03:23:16 09:56:31
2 Tineke Van den Berg NED 01:09:13 05:45:44 03:22:42 10:28:22
3 Katja Konschak GER 00:56:54 06:06:34 03:13:50 10:29:55

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:52:43 Sylvain Rota 2012-09-16
Swim overall 00:44:07 Daniel Halksworth 2012-09-16
Swim overall 00:44:07 Harry Wiltshire 2012-09-16
Bike overall 04:57:14 Markus Thomschke 2015-09-13
Run overall 02:48:01 Jeremy Jurkiewicz 2011-09-11
Total female 09:45:09 Regula Rohrbach 2012-09-16
Swim female 00:47:55 Anja Beranek 2011-09-11
Bike female 05:30:15 Anja Beranek 2015-09-13
Run female 03:02:28 Kristin Moeller 2011-09-11

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Wales is – 27:21.

Race Adjustments for IM Wales

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2011 -26:47 04:25 -25:00 01:30 22 -26:47 04:25 -25:00 01:30
2012 -01:01 04:46 -23:15 17:14 25 -13:54 04:36 -24:07 09:22
2013 -30:00 00:57 -28:24 -01:27 22 -19:16 03:23 -25:33 05:46
2014 -45:23 -03:51 -28:24 -05:49 14 of 16 -25:48 01:34 -26:16 02:52
2015 -33:32 -03:54 -27:05 04:01 22 of 26 -27:21 00:29 -26:26 03:06

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Wales is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 21 Alberto Casadei ITA 09:03:27 08:43:16 00:47:48 05:16:08 02:54:31 30% +34% -36% (8) 68
2 27 Fraser Cartmell GBR 09:07:01 08:58:43 00:48:28 05:07:44 03:05:49 33% +8% -59% (11) 122
3 23 Marc Duelsen GER 09:08:56 08:42:26 00:52:55 05:11:32 02:59:28 78% +0% -22% (8) 67
4 26 Ritchie Nicholls GBR 09:13:44 08:58:34 00:50:19 05:27:16 02:51:09 47% +0% -53% (4) (121)
5 28 Erik-Simon Strijk NED 09:18:43 08:53:46 00:52:59 05:17:30 03:03:13 96% +4% -0% (7) 101
6 25 Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 09:21:47 09:00:33 00:51:29 05:09:57 03:15:22 48% +25% -27% (10) 130
7 22 Nick Baldwin SEY 09:22:19 09:02:31 00:52:26 05:15:48 03:09:06 60% +0% -40% (16) 135
8 42 Philip Graves GBR 09:24:18 08:52:21 00:47:38 05:11:03 03:20:37 100% +0% -0% (5) (98)
9 36 Swen Sundberg GER 09:25:02 08:59:02 00:53:05 05:18:12 03:08:46 55% +1% -44% (17) (123)
10 24 Mike Schifferle SUI 09:27:28 09:03:07 00:59:48 05:17:53 03:04:47 89% +8% -3% (60) 137
11 47 Daniel Niederreiter AUT 09:27:51 09:08:47 00:51:36 05:23:49 03:07:26 47% +0% -53% (13) (160)
12 46 Karol Dzalaj SVK 09:29:39 09:13:24 00:53:49 05:18:27 03:12:24 70% +11% -18% (13) (178)
13 32 Cedric Lassonde FRA 09:33:48 09:08:16 00:55:10 05:22:54 03:10:45 80% +0% -20% (7) 158
14 33 Graeme Stewart GBR 09:37:58 09:17:51 00:54:16 05:28:21 03:10:21 41% +7% -52% (13) 188
15 45 Herve Banti MCO 09:41:19 09:26:06 00:51:58 05:21:04 03:23:17 22% +0% -78% (6) (211)
16 31 Felipe De Oliveira Manente BRA 09:45:49 09:37:20 00:53:07 05:35:16 03:12:27 18% +7% -75% (8) 238
17 30 Oliver Simon GBR 09:47:33 09:38:53 00:48:27 05:24:35 03:29:31 55% +0% -45% (12) 241
18 35 David Jilek CZE 10:02:26 09:39:13 00:58:14 05:34:05 03:25:07 64% +21% -15% (7) 242
19 34 Eneko Elosegui ESP 10:07:10 09:41:45 00:59:04 05:31:09 03:31:57 62% +12% -25% (16) 249
20 38 Rafael Espinar Puig ESP 10:17:22 09:48:59 01:05:52 05:55:31 03:10:59 68% +0% -32% (6) 259
21 39 Gilian Oriet SUI 10:25:10 10:13:57 00:57:48 05:41:55 03:40:27 17% +8% -75% (12) 282
22 29 Robbie Wade IRL 10:35:29 10:23:11 00:58:44 05:44:17 03:47:28 39% +0% -61% (2) (288)
23 37 David Krupicka CZE 11:25:31 10:59:26 01:05:05 06:00:39 04:14:48 100% +0% -0% (2) (298)
40 Brennan Townshend GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
41 Kevin Rundstadler FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (3) (n/a)
43 Hannes Vandermoere BEL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
44 Dominic Rohan-Gates GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (2) (n/a)
48 Matthias Epping GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 2 Diana Riesler GER 09:58:17 09:31:45 00:57:52 05:35:03 03:20:21 46% +14% -40% (18) 31
2 11 Darbi Roberts USA 10:14:13 09:58:31 00:52:45 05:53:01 03:23:27 37% +0% -63% (5) 85
3 7 Jeanne Collonge FRA 10:19:14 10:09:20 00:57:59 05:48:34 03:27:40 37% +16% -47% (9) (103)
4 6 Lucy Charles GBR 10:19:38 10:01:38 00:47:15 05:58:25 03:28:59 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (91)
5 3 Katharina Grohmann GER 10:27:40 10:03:46 01:10:59 05:54:48 03:16:53 100% +0% -0% (12) 94
6 8 Leslie DiMichele Miller USA 10:29:09 10:00:27 00:59:07 06:03:35 03:21:27 100% +0% -0% (3) 89
7 10 Kate Comber GBR 10:30:39 10:06:14 00:53:57 06:02:32 03:29:11 100% +0% -0% (2) (98)
8 4 Caroline Livesey GBR 10:36:08 10:07:05 01:01:26 05:57:57 03:31:45 68% +0% -32% (7) 98
9 9 Kristin Lie NOR 10:41:33 10:14:01 01:12:18 05:53:43 03:30:32 82% +0% -18% (13) (110)
5 Nikki Bartlett GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Alberto Casadei: 37% (2-1)
  • Marc Duelsen: 27% (3-1)
  • Fraser Cartmell: 18% (5-1)
  • Ritchie Nicholls: 6% (16-1)
  • Erik-Simon Strijk: 5% (17-1)
  • Mike Schifferle: 2% (42-1)
  • Nick Baldwin: 2% (60-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Diana Riesler: 48% (1-1)
  • Jeanne Collonge: 13% (7-1)
  • Katharina Grohmann: 13% (7-1)
  • Darbi Roberts: 10% (9-1)
  • Leslie DiMichele Miller: 8% (11-1)
  • Lucy Charles: 4% (25-1)
  • Kate Comber: 2% (46-1)
  • Caroline Livesey: 2% (62-1)
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