Archive | IM Hawaii

Ironman Hawaii 2017 – Results Analyis

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Race Conditions

As expected, the swim this year was as quick as in 2016 – an adjustment of -1:04 was almost the same as -1:01 as last year and an indication that the fast swim times from last year weren’t just a fluke. Josh Amberger was pretty close to breaking the 1998 swim record (his 47:09 was 28 seconds off Lars Jorgensen’s time), and Lucy Charles was even closer: She needed another five seconds to equal the 1999 time by Jodi Jackson.

The bike was really fast – the adjustment of 5:16 is one of the quickest ever in Kona and roughly three minutes quicker than the average in Kona. Cameron Wurf was able to set a new bike course record, his 4:12:54 finally broke the 2006 4:18 by Normann Stadler. Lionel Sanders and Sebastian Kienle were also under the old record.

Run conditions were pretty normal for Kona, still Patrick Lange was able to get very close to his own run course record, he missed it by 14 seconds. Patrick also set a new overall course record, his winning time of 8:01:40 was better than 2:16 than Crowie’s time from 2011.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Patrick Lange GER 00:48:45 04:28:53 02:39:59 08:01:40 -09:05 US$ 120,000 8000
2 Lionel Sanders CAN 00:53:41 04:14:19 02:51:53 08:04:07 -29:28 US$ 60,000 7200
3 David McNamee GBR 00:48:40 04:28:55 02:45:30 08:07:11 -22:36 US$ 40,000 6480
4 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:53:44 04:14:57 02:57:11 08:09:59 -03:15 US$ 22,500 5835
5 James Cunnama ZAF 00:49:09 04:21:02 02:56:46 08:11:24 -19:53 US$ 19,000 5250
6 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 00:48:41 04:26:20 02:53:47 08:13:06 -18:35 US$ 16,000 4725
7 Andy Potts USA 00:49:01 04:31:02 02:50:26 08:14:43 -12:23 US$ 14,000 4250
8 Patrik Nilsson SWE 00:48:34 04:29:02 02:55:51 08:18:21 00:19 US$ 12,500 3825
9 Ben Hoffman USA 00:48:52 04:22:00 03:04:16 08:19:26 -08:50 US$ 11,000 3445
10 Boris Stein GER 00:53:48 04:23:59 03:00:42 08:22:24 -09:11 US$ 10,000 3100
11 Ivan Rana ESP 00:48:41 04:39:15 02:52:35 08:24:53 -12:22 2635
12 Bart Aernouts BEL 00:56:19 05:28:53 02:52:57 08:26:28 00:49 2240
13 Thiago Vinhal BRA 00:49:00 04:37:00 02:55:58 08:27:24 -31:31 1900
14 Igor Amorelli BRA 00:48:38 04:25:16 03:08:27 08:27:26 -16:17 1620
15 Tim Van Berkel AUS 00:51:23 04:37:24 02:55:07 08:28:05 -02:12 1375
16 Ruedi Wild SUI 00:51:27 04:37:30 02:54:47 08:28:27 -06:01 1100
17 Cameron Wurf AUS 00:53:49 04:12:54 03:19:28 08:30:29 -10:26 880
18 Marc Duelsen GER 00:51:30 04:39:00 02:58:50 08:33:20 -09:53 705
19 Timothy O’Donnell USA 00:48:38 04:25:10 03:15:55 08:33:53 07:05 565
20 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 00:53:44 04:40:14 02:56:43 08:35:25 00:25 450
21 Harry Wiltshire GBR 00:48:32 04:40:33 03:02:44 08:35:41 -22:02 340
22 Jan Van Berkel SUI 00:50:14 04:38:33 03:05:48 08:38:48 -05:18 340
23 Tim Reed AUS 00:49:02 04:39:38 03:06:54 08:40:11 03:05 340
24 Eneko Llanos ESP 00:49:12 04:36:22 03:10:30 08:40:52 06:17 340
25 Marko Albert EST 00:48:30 04:36:15 03:12:43 08:41:28 06:54 340
26 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 00:53:09 04:50:12 02:56:15 08:44:09 04:37 340
27 Jesse Thomas USA 00:53:45 04:33:15 03:12:34 08:44:40 13:41 340
28 Giulio Molinari ITA 00:48:47 04:36:51 03:15:48 08:46:38 12:24 340
29 Josh Amberger AUS 00:47:09 04:30:39 03:25:55 08:48:13 08:20 340
30 Braden Currie NZL 00:48:41 04:41:29 03:15:19 08:50:05 18:42 340
31 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 00:53:47 04:36:28 03:15:47 08:50:30 18:01 235
32 Denis Chevrot FRA 00:48:48 04:36:48 03:22:33 08:52:40 13:27 235
33 Michael Fox AUS 00:48:42 04:53:39 03:11:40 08:57:50 16:44 235
34 Matt Hanson USA 00:51:22 04:40:45 03:23:58 09:02:04 26:54 235
35 Jan Frodeno GER 00:48:27 04:20:59 04:01:57 09:15:44 1:02:53 235
36 Tyler Butterfield BMU 00:48:54 04:35:10 03:56:18 09:27:22 48:00 235
37 Chris McDonald AUS 00:55:43 04:47:02 03:39:35 09:27:22 35:31 235
38 Reinaldo Colucci BRA 00:48:45 04:41:07 04:03:42 09:38:30 55:02 235
39 Patrick Evoe USA 00:56:29 04:36:59 04:00:01 09:38:51 37:22 235
40 Markus Fachbach GER 00:52:03 04:53:22 04:22:25 10:14:34 1:32:01 235
41 Kaito Tohara JPN 01:19:49 06:16:51 04:42:39 12:30:16 3:27:24 155
Nils Frommhold GER 00:48:56 04:21:46 DNF
Frederik Van Lierde BEL 00:48:52 04:29:56 DNF
Michael Weiss AUT 00:58:19 04:31:18 DNF
Ivan Tutukin RUS 00:48:45 04:50:32 DNF
David Plese SLO 00:56:26 04:47:06 DNF
Nick Kastelein AUS 00:48:29 DNF
Pete Jacobs AUS 00:48:39 DNF
Brent McMahon CAN 00:48:43 DNF
Joe Gambles AUS 00:48:57 DNF
David Dellow AUS 00:48:58 DNF
Cyril Viennot FRA 00:49:08 DNF
Matthew Russell USA 00:53:44 DNF
Kirill Kotshegarov EST 00:56:32 DNF

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:53:10 04:53:10 03:00:02 08:50:47 -07:01 US$ 120,000 8000
2 Lucy Charles GBR 00:48:48 04:58:19 03:08:09 08:59:38 -25:22 US$ 60,000 7200
3 Sarah Crowley AUS 00:53:07 04:57:51 03:05:36 09:01:38 -27:23 US$ 40,000 6480
4 Heather Jackson USA 00:57:58 04:53:54 03:06:19 09:02:29 -17:13 US$ 22,500 5835
5 Kaisa Sali FIN 00:57:53 04:59:50 03:01:33 09:04:40 -12:11 US$ 19,000 5250
6 Susie Cheetham GBR 00:57:54 05:03:27 03:09:25 09:16:00 -06:53 US$ 16,000 4725
7 Carrie Lester AUS 00:57:51 05:00:31 03:16:35 09:19:49 -05:33 US$ 14,000 4250
8 Elizabeth Lyles USA 01:00:08 05:04:10 03:11:21 09:20:31 -10:48 US$ 12,500 3825
9 Annabel Luxford AUS 00:53:02 04:59:15 03:24:06 09:20:58 -15:10 US$ 11,000 3445
10 Jocelyn McCauley USA 00:54:31 05:04:34 03:16:41 09:21:08 -20:02 US$ 10,000 3100
11 Mareen Hufe GER 00:59:04 04:58:06 03:21:17 09:23:11 -14:12 2635
12 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 01:00:10 05:08:10 03:12:51 09:25:38 -07:20 2240
13 Linsey Corbin USA 01:00:07 05:07:38 03:13:10 09:26:12 -02:21 1900
14 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 00:58:45 05:07:29 03:16:51 09:28:40 04:49 1620
15 Laura Siddall GBR 00:57:55 05:02:57 03:24:17 09:29:51 -00:55 1375
16 Corinne Abraham GBR 01:04:09 05:05:31 03:16:50 09:30:37 01:18 1100
17 Asa Lundstroem SWE 01:04:54 05:02:35 03:22:32 09:34:37 00:37 880
18 Haley Chura USA 00:52:03 05:10:47 03:29:21 09:37:31 02:15 705
19 Michaela Herlbauer AUT 00:57:56 05:12:21 03:25:34 09:40:46 06:56 565
20 Rachel Joyce GBR 00:53:15 05:07:46 03:36:14 09:42:12 16:26 450
21 Sonja Tajsich GER 01:05:00 05:17:47 03:14:50 09:43:26 09:15 340
22 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 01:04:58 05:19:03 03:15:57 09:45:51 -02:06 340
23 Celine Schaerer SUI 00:53:01 05:20:48 03:29:42 09:48:45 03:56 340
24 Astrid Stienen GER 01:00:10 05:16:59 03:31:48 09:53:58 17:50 340
25 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 01:00:18 05:12:28 03:36:41 09:54:20 06:48 340
26 Lauren Brandon USA 00:48:53 04:58:53 04:03:26 09:56:03 20:42 340
27 Alexandra Tondeur BEL 01:00:17 05:18:31 03:40:39 10:04:47 23:23 340
28 Katharina Grohmann GER 01:13:50 05:06:49 03:53:55 10:19:03 18:45 340
Anja Beranek GER 00:57:00 05:04:36 DNF
Leanda Cave GBR 00:53:18 05:19:39 DNF
Nikki Bartlett GBR 00:58:03 05:17:40 DNF
Sarah Piampiano USA 01:04:57 05:13:20 DNF
Alicia Kaye USA 00:53:04 05:28:06 DNF
Michelle Vesterby DEN 00:57:01 05:24:14 DNF
Jodie Robertson USA 01:04:56 05:19:24 DNF
Jeanne Collonge FRA 01:05:05 05:26:52 DNF
Diana Riesler GER 01:03:25 05:30:10 DNF
Camilla Pedersen DEN 00:53:13 DNF
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Results of the 2017 Ho’ala Swim

The Ho’ala swim is held exactly one week before the Kona race on the swim course. It is used by a lot of athletes as an excellent open-water training session, the table below shows just the Kona Pros that I have been able to identify in the results, comparing their times in this year’s swim, their expected swim times for this years Ironman race (plus the difference, usually faster) and the same results (as long as they are available) for last year’s Ho’ala swim and Ironman Hawaii swim.

Some observations:

  • Last year’s swim times were considerably faster than what was normal for Kona, apparently because the buoys marking the turnaround point have been re-positioned. This year’s Ho’ala swim times are comparable to those we have seen last year, so we can expect some fast swim times again for this year.
  • While most athletes swam faster than their seeding times (not surprising for the shorter event), some went considerably quicker: Lionel Sanders, Patrick Evoe, Heather Jackson, Astrid Stienen, Mareen Hufe, Dimity-Lee Duke and Sarah Piampiano were more five minutes quicker than their seed times – great confidence boost for their Kona race!
  • Eneko Llanos, Camilla Pedersen, Michi Herlbauer and Dimity-Lee Duke were more than one minute quicker than last year’s Ho’ala swim – certainly a good indicator for their swim form!
  • A number of athletes also swam faster than in their Kona race last year – most notably Lionel Sanders who was four minutes quicker and Dimity-Lee Duke who was three minutes quicker. But some of the female favorites (Heather Jackson, Kaisa Sali, Sarah Piampiano) also put up great times .. lots of new fodder for speculations!
Athlete Swim Swim Seeding Faster By 2016 Ho’ala Swim Kona 2016 Swim
Harry Wiltshire 00:48:44 00:50:37 01:53 00:48:00
Lucy Charles 00:48:48 00:51:11 02:23 00:48:55
Tim Don 00:48:55 00:50:43 01:48 00:49:33 00:48:15
Igor Amorelli 00:48:57 00:50:49 01:52 00:49:23 00:48:08
Eneko Llanos 00:49:02 00:51:44 02:42 00:50:28 00:48:56
Daniel Fontana 00:49:06 00:52:02 02:56
Thiago Vinhal 00:49:47 00:52:54 03:07
Camilla Pedersen 00:52:13 00:55:11 02:58 00:53:48 00:52:50
Alicia Kaye 00:52:17 00:55:16 02:59 00:52:49
Marc Duelsen 00:52:20 00:54:42 02:22
Matt Hanson 00:52:23 00:55:33 03:10
Kyle Buckingham 00:52:26 00:52:56 00:30 00:52:17
Lionel Sanders 00:52:37 00:58:35 05:58 00:56:41
Matthew Russell 00:53:39 00:58:00 04:21 00:53:43 00:54:02
Patrick Evoe 00:53:42 00:59:02 05:20
Michael Weiss 00:55:36 00:58:04 02:28 00:54:07 00:54:03
Jocelyn McCauley 00:55:41 01:00:10 04:29
Michaela Herlbauer 00:55:49 01:00:10 04:21 00:57:26 00:58:22
Kaisa Sali 00:56:04 01:00:16 04:12 00:58:55
David Plese 00:56:05 00:55:53 -00:12 00:52:33
Heather Jackson 00:56:06 01:01:48 05:42 00:58:56
Melissa Hauschildt 00:57:38 00:59:46 02:08 00:58:54
Astrid Stienen 00:57:52 01:03:15 05:23
Mareen Hufe 00:58:28 01:04:17 05:49
Dimity-Lee Duke 00:58:48 01:03:51 05:03 01:00:07 01:01:49
Linsey Corbin 00:59:55 01:02:30 02:35 01:01:52
Sarah Piampiano 01:00:07 01:06:32 06:25 01:00:56 01:02:42
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Kona Heatmaps

I’m using a five-level system to show an athlete’s strength and weaknesses compared to the best athletes in the field. Here is compact way to look at the data, showing the whole field in a “heatmap”. In these graphs, a darker red corresponds to more stars (faster/better chances), white is equal to no stars. This post contains three different heat maps each for the men and women: Sorted by bib numbers, sorted by expected swim and sorted by expected time in T2. This gives you a quick look at where the favorites are expected at the different points in the race and if swim or T2 leaders are likely to play a big role in the final results.

Each of the heatmaps is “clickable”, this will give you access to higher-res version of the heatmaps.

Men

Sorted by Bib Number:

Sorted by Expected Swim:

Sorted by Expected T2 Time:

Women

Sorted by Bib Number:

Sorted by Expected Swim:

Sorted by Expected T2 Time:

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Ironman Hawaii 2017 (Oct 14th) – Seedings

IMHawaii_LogoThis is an excerpt from my “Kona Rating Report“, a 120+ page with tons of information about the race, all Professional participants and their chances on October 14th. Get some more information about the report in this post or go straight to download your copy here (donations appreciated).

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Faris Al-Sultan (GER) 08:14:17 Natascha Badmann (SUI) 09:09:30
2006 Normann Stadler (GER) 08:11:56 Michellie Jones (AUS) 09:18:31
2007 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:15:34 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 09:08:45
2008 Craig Alexander (AUS) 08:17:45 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 09:06:23
2009 Craig Alexander (AUS) 08:20:21 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:54:02
2010 Chris McCormack (AUS) 08:10:37 Mirinda Carfrae (AUS) 08:58:36
2011 Craig Alexander (AUS) 08:03:56 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:55:08
2012 Pete Jacobs (AUS) 08:18:37 Leanda Cave (GBR) 09:15:54
2013 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:12:29 Mirinda Carfrae (AUS) 08:52:14
2014 Sebastian Kienle (GER) 08:14:18 Mirinda Carfrae (AUS) 09:00:55
2015 Jan Frodeno (GER) 08:14:40 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:57:57
2016 Jan Frodeno (GER) 08:06:30 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:46:46

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jan Frodeno GER 00:48:02 04:29:00 02:45:34 08:06:30
2 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:52:27 04:23:55 02:49:03 08:10:02
3 Patrick Lange GER 00:48:57 04:37:49 02:39:45 08:11:14

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:52:50 04:52:26 02:56:51 08:46:46
2 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 00:56:44 05:10:54 02:58:20 09:10:30
3 Heather Jackson USA 00:58:56 05:00:31 03:07:48 09:11:32

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:03:56 Craig Alexander 2011-10-15
Swim overall 00:46:41 Lars Jorgensen 1998-10-03
Bike overall 04:18:23 Normann Stadler 2006-10-21
Run overall 02:39:45 Patrick Lange 2016-10-08
Total female 08:46:46 Daniela Ryf 2016-10-08
Swim female 00:48:43 Jodi Jackson 1999-10-16
Bike female 04:44:19 Karin Thuerig 2011-10-15
Run female 02:50:26 Mirinda Carfrae 2014-10-11

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Hawaii is – 02:33.

Race Adjustments for IM Hawaii

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 05:05 -04:16 05:49 -02:33 119 of 135 05:05 -04:16 05:49 -02:33
2006 01:06 -05:02 04:39 -03:50 118 of 138 03:06 -04:39 05:14 -03:12
2007 02:52 -03:28 00:49 01:23 110 of 134 03:01 -04:15 03:45 -01:40
2008 -00:16 -03:21 -00:15 -00:04 109 of 145 02:12 -04:02 02:45 -01:16
2009 -10:29 -03:21 -00:13 -06:33 114 of 148 -00:20 -03:54 02:10 -02:20
2010 00:34 -03:36 02:51 -01:44 95 of 113 -00:11 -03:51 02:17 -02:14
2011 00:48 -04:15 05:47 -00:18 61 of 82 -00:03 -03:54 02:47 -01:57
2012 -08:56 -04:32 -01:46 00:43 65 of 83 -01:09 -03:59 02:13 -01:37
2013 00:46 -03:12 04:11 -00:44 68 of 85 -00:57 -03:54 02:26 -01:31
2014 -03:28 -04:15 01:53 00:06 68 of 88 -01:12 -03:56 02:23 -01:22
2015 -11:57 -04:13 03:39 -06:29 64 of 94 -02:10 -03:57 02:30 -01:49
2016 -06:47 -01:01 01:07 -03:25 79 of 99 -02:33 -03:43 02:23 -01:57

As you can see, the 2016 swim adjustment of -1:01 is considerably faster (or maybe “less slow”) than the overall swim rating of -3:43. Apparently, this was caused by moving the turnaround markers which have have shifted over the years. Therefore, it is likely that this year’s swim times will be a bit faster than in previous years and that most athletes will swim faster than the expected times (which are based on the slower swim rating).

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Hawaii is a P-8000 race. It has a total prize purse of 650.000 US$, paying ten deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 101% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 1 Jan Frodeno GER 08:05:06 07:58:16 00:49:36 04:25:03 05:19:40 02:45:26 100% +0% -0% (3) 1
2 2 Sebastian Kienle GER 08:08:57 08:04:24 00:53:37 04:19:41 05:18:17 02:50:40 100% +0% -0% (5) 2
3 5 Patrick Lange GER 08:09:21 08:08:50 00:50:43 04:32:07 05:27:50 02:41:31 100% +0% -0% (1) (3)
4 26 Patrik Nilsson SWE 08:12:30 08:15:57 00:51:09 04:31:13 05:27:22 02:45:08 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 5
5 6 Timothy O’Donnell USA 08:15:03 08:19:34 00:50:25 04:27:43 05:23:08 02:51:55 15% +67% -18% (6) 8
6 3 Ben Hoffman USA 08:16:17 08:21:15 00:51:19 04:27:32 05:23:51 02:52:26 11% +58% -30% (7) 11
7 9 Tim Don GBR 08:16:53 08:18:42 00:50:43 04:27:09 05:22:52 02:54:01 38% +0% -62% (2) 7
8 31 Brent McMahon CAN 08:18:28 08:14:28 00:50:36 04:29:27 05:25:03 02:53:25 38% +0% -62% (2) 4
9 18 Bart Aernouts BEL 08:19:05 08:18:32 00:55:48 04:30:23 05:31:11 02:47:54 74% +0% -26% (5) 6
10 25 Nils Frommhold GER 08:19:11 08:21:03 00:51:12 04:28:14 05:24:26 02:54:45 38% +0% -62% (2) 10
11 14 Andy Potts USA 08:19:47 08:20:09 00:50:00 04:31:52 05:26:52 02:52:55 100% +0% -0% (8) 9
12 10 Boris Stein GER 08:20:11 08:24:31 00:56:40 04:25:06 05:26:46 02:53:25 49% +51% -0% (3) 21
13 7 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:21:30 08:22:02 00:50:58 04:29:17 05:25:15 02:56:15 72% +0% -28% (9) 13
14 28 Tyler Butterfield BMU 08:21:58 08:36:30 00:51:32 04:29:50 05:26:21 02:55:37 10% +29% -61% (5) 66
15 19 James Cunnama ZAF 08:22:24 08:24:22 00:51:52 04:29:29 05:26:22 02:56:02 78% +0% -22% (4) 19
16 15 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 08:22:53 08:24:45 00:50:24 04:29:00 05:24:24 02:58:29 3% +2% -95% (4) 22
17 16 David McNamee GBR 08:23:38 08:22:56 00:50:44 04:40:27 05:36:12 02:47:26 100% +0% -0% (2) 14
18 20 Nick Kastelein AUS 08:23:47 08:24:27 00:50:53 04:32:59 05:28:52 02:54:55 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 20
19 12 Matt Hanson USA 08:24:06 08:27:33 00:55:33 04:35:57 05:36:30 02:47:36 0% +0% -100% (1) 31
20 45 Ivan Rana ESP 08:24:13 08:30:09 00:50:55 04:39:33 05:35:28 02:48:45 100% +0% -0% (4) 40
21 22 Braden Currie NZL 08:24:23 08:28:58 00:50:32 04:37:03 05:32:35 02:51:48 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 37
22 23 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 08:25:34 08:30:04 00:55:45 04:32:35 05:33:21 02:52:13 63% +1% -36% (11) 39
23 21 Josh Amberger AUS 08:26:08 08:42:45 00:49:31 04:28:15 05:22:45 03:03:23 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (84)
24 32 Ivan Tutukin RUS 08:26:19 08:27:03 00:51:09 04:46:12 05:42:22 02:43:57 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (27)
25 30 Lionel Sanders CAN 08:26:47 08:26:47 00:58:35 04:25:37 05:29:12 02:57:35 100% +0% -0% (2) 25
26 38 Tim Van Berkel AUS 08:26:51 08:23:08 00:50:56 04:38:32 05:34:28 02:52:23 69% +0% -31% (3) 15
27 51 Jesse Thomas USA 08:27:09 08:23:36 00:54:39 04:32:45 05:32:24 02:54:45 100% +0% -0% (1) 16
28 34 Cyril Viennot FRA 08:27:21 08:28:36 00:53:36 04:33:36 05:32:12 02:55:09 60% +40% -0% (6) 36
29 27 Joe Gambles AUS 08:27:51 08:28:22 00:51:52 04:36:08 05:33:00 02:54:51 14% +0% -86% (3) 34
30 33 David Dellow AUS 08:28:04 08:24:12 00:50:58 04:34:47 05:30:46 02:57:18 100% +0% -0% (2) 18
31 36 Marko Albert EST 08:28:32 08:27:14 00:49:47 04:33:31 05:28:19 03:00:13 93% +0% -7% (5) 28
32 17 Matthew Russell USA 08:28:38 08:36:31 00:58:00 04:32:10 05:35:09 02:53:29 20% +80% -0% (5) 67
33 59 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:28:45 08:27:16 00:51:44 04:29:00 05:25:44 03:03:01 77% +0% -23% (11) 29
34 37 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 08:31:00 08:32:50 00:54:13 04:41:33 05:40:47 02:50:13 100% +0% -0% (1) 51
35 46 Kirill Kotshegarov EST 08:31:19 08:32:03 00:57:05 04:31:30 05:33:36 02:57:43 96% +0% -4% (2) 46
36 24 Tim Reed AUS 08:31:22 08:29:47 00:51:58 04:34:14 05:31:13 03:00:09 -0% +27% -73% (2) 38
37 35 Michael Weiss AUT 08:31:35 08:32:45 00:58:04 04:26:57 05:30:02 03:01:33 96% +0% -4% (6) 50
38 29 Ruedi Wild SUI 08:32:06 08:27:19 00:51:31 04:37:43 05:34:14 02:57:52 100% +0% -0% (1) 30
39 41 David Plese SLO 08:32:21 08:33:49 00:55:53 04:34:10 05:35:03 02:57:18 63% +0% -37% (3) 53
40 11 Pete Jacobs AUS 08:32:52 08:54:22 00:50:14 04:37:06 05:32:19 03:00:33 -0% +33% -67% (8) 129
41 53 Giulio Molinari ITA 08:33:40 08:31:54 00:52:20 04:31:29 05:28:49 03:04:51 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 45
42 54 Denis Chevrot FRA 08:33:43 08:31:44 00:50:14 04:40:13 05:35:27 02:58:16 62% +0% -38% (2) 44
43 49 Cameron Wurf AUS 08:34:07 08:38:52 00:53:23 04:23:55 05:22:18 03:11:49 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 74
44 8 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 08:34:24 08:32:10 00:52:56 04:37:00 05:34:57 02:59:27 0% +0% -100% (3) 47
45 55 Michael Fox AUS 08:35:07 08:38:40 00:50:30 04:40:09 05:35:38 02:59:29 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 72
46 52 Markus Fachbach GER 08:35:25 08:33:55 00:53:05 04:36:45 05:34:51 03:00:34 18% +0% -82% (2) 54
47 44 Jan Van Berkel SUI 08:35:46 08:36:48 00:52:06 04:36:47 05:33:53 03:01:53 0% +0% -100% (2) 69
48 39 Igor Amorelli BRA 08:37:30 08:36:35 00:50:49 04:34:45 05:30:34 03:06:56 27% +0% -73% (4) 68
49 47 Reinaldo Colucci BRA 08:37:31 08:35:20 00:50:48 04:38:24 05:34:12 03:03:19 100% +0% -0% (1) 60
50 50 Daniel Fontana ITA 08:37:33 08:35:48 00:52:02 04:40:25 05:37:27 03:00:06 13% +0% -87% (4) 62
51 42 Marc Duelsen GER 08:38:35 08:41:09 00:54:42 04:40:16 05:39:59 02:58:36 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 80
52 58 Chris McDonald AUS 08:43:40 08:49:06 00:55:58 04:38:46 05:39:44 03:03:56 11% +0% -89% (2) 99
53 43 Harry Wiltshire GBR 08:49:29 08:55:46 00:50:37 04:47:51 05:43:28 03:06:01 27% +0% -73% (2) 136
54 40 Thiago Vinhal BRA 08:49:33 08:57:06 00:52:54 04:51:33 05:49:26 03:00:07 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 141
55 56 Kaito Tohara JPN 08:51:37 09:03:02 00:57:06 04:53:06 05:55:11 02:56:26 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 162
56 48 Patrick Evoe USA 08:53:58 08:53:21 00:59:02 04:41:16 05:45:19 03:08:39 0% +0% -100% (1) 125

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 96% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 101 Daniela Ryf SUI 08:49:21 08:42:55 00:55:03 04:49:17 05:49:19 03:00:02 100% +0% -0% (3) 1
2 113 Rachel Joyce GBR 09:09:10 09:17:35 00:55:39 05:01:53 06:02:32 03:06:38 90% +10% -0% (7) 10
3 105 Heather Jackson USA 09:10:43 09:12:04 01:01:48 04:57:45 06:04:33 03:06:10 62% +38% -0% (2) 4
4 103 Kaisa Sali FIN 09:11:30 09:09:12 01:00:16 05:04:08 06:09:24 03:02:06 100% +0% -0% (1) 3
5 108 Anja Beranek GER 09:15:54 09:22:06 00:55:12 04:57:20 05:57:32 03:18:22 74% +0% -26% (3) 22
6 133 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 09:16:12 09:15:51 00:59:46 05:02:51 06:07:37 03:08:35 0% +0% -100% (1) 8
7 107 Susie Cheetham GBR 09:16:39 09:15:04 00:57:26 05:08:07 06:10:33 03:06:06 38% +0% -62% (2) 7
8 118 Lucy Charles GBR 09:18:10 09:22:59 00:51:11 05:01:50 05:58:01 03:20:09 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 23
9 106 Michelle Vesterby DEN 09:18:16 09:20:01 00:55:28 05:02:51 06:03:19 03:14:57 91% +9% -0% (5) 13
10 117 Carrie Lester AUS 09:18:56 09:17:30 00:58:02 05:03:46 06:06:48 03:12:08 100% +0% -0% (2) 9
11 104 Sarah Piampiano USA 09:20:28 09:22:04 01:06:32 05:03:13 06:14:45 03:05:43 65% +35% -0% (3) 21
12 121 Camilla Pedersen DEN 09:22:20 09:20:16 00:55:11 05:03:44 06:03:55 03:18:25 100% +0% -0% (2) 14
13 102 Sarah Crowley AUS 09:23:03 09:21:24 01:00:17 05:02:34 06:07:52 03:15:11 100% +0% -0% (1) 18
14 122 Asa Lundstroem SWE 09:23:11 09:25:55 01:04:24 05:04:34 06:13:58 03:09:13 100% +0% -0% (3) 28
15 115 Laura Siddall GBR 09:23:25 09:28:23 01:01:33 05:00:50 06:07:23 03:16:02 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 36
16 110 Linsey Corbin USA 09:23:40 09:20:35 01:02:30 05:07:33 06:15:03 03:08:37 99% +1% -1% (10) 16
17 123 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:24:04 09:21:18 01:03:10 05:07:01 06:15:11 03:08:53 100% +0% -0% (1) 17
18 136 Jocelyn McCauley USA 09:24:18 09:39:01 01:00:10 05:11:06 06:16:16 03:08:02 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 49
19 132 Diana Riesler GER 09:25:15 09:26:00 01:01:47 05:00:51 06:07:38 03:17:37 0% +0% -100% (1) 31
20 112 Elizabeth Lyles USA 09:25:23 09:23:26 01:00:30 05:09:12 06:14:42 03:10:41 54% +0% -46% (4) 24
21 126 Sonja Tajsich GER 09:27:13 09:25:59 01:06:21 05:04:42 06:16:04 03:11:09 57% +0% -43% (5) 30
22 114 Annabel Luxford AUS 09:27:52 09:28:15 00:54:51 05:03:10 06:03:01 03:24:51 38% +0% -62% (2) 35
23 119 Astrid Stienen GER 09:28:42 09:27:47 01:03:15 05:03:26 06:11:42 03:17:00 0% +0% -100% (1) 34
24 124 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 09:29:04 09:36:23 01:03:16 05:06:28 06:14:44 03:14:20 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (45)
25 138 Haley Chura USA 09:30:15 09:27:09 00:53:45 05:11:41 06:10:26 03:19:49 27% +0% -73% (2) 33
26 109 Michaela Herlbauer AUT 09:30:33 09:25:40 01:00:10 05:12:39 06:17:49 03:12:44 100% +0% -0% (1) 27
27 111 Leanda Cave GBR 09:31:04 09:31:04 00:54:50 05:09:06 06:08:56 03:22:08 30% +5% -65% (10) 38
28 128 Mareen Hufe GER 09:31:42 09:29:28 01:04:17 05:00:45 06:10:02 03:21:40 77% +0% -23% (3) 37
29 130 Lauren Brandon USA 09:32:25 09:32:38 00:51:22 05:08:34 06:04:56 03:27:29 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 40
30 116 Jodie Robertson USA 09:33:48 09:32:45 01:06:48 05:11:52 06:23:40 03:10:08 100% +0% -0% (1) (41)
31 120 Alexandra Tondeur BEL 09:36:34 09:32:54 01:03:55 05:14:28 06:23:23 03:13:11 100% +0% -0% (1) 41
32 134 Celine Schaerer SUI 09:40:00 09:42:18 00:54:46 05:18:04 06:17:50 03:22:10 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 57
33 127 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 09:40:11 09:39:11 01:03:51 05:11:55 06:20:46 03:19:25 100% +0% -0% (2) 50
34 131 Alicia Kaye USA 09:41:20 09:37:25 00:55:16 05:12:00 06:12:15 03:29:05 100% +0% -0% (1) 47
35 125 Kristin Moeller GER 09:41:46 09:41:10 01:07:55 05:24:54 06:37:49 03:03:57 100% +0% -0% (4) 56
36 129 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 09:44:08 09:39:43 01:04:50 05:16:01 06:25:52 03:18:16 0% +0% -100% (1) 53
37 140 Jeanne Collonge FRA 09:45:30 09:54:08 01:03:16 05:10:12 06:18:28 03:27:02 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 78
38 139 Nikki Bartlett GBR 09:46:49 09:48:22 01:04:44 05:10:53 06:20:37 03:26:12 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 70
39 135 Katharina Grohmann GER 09:52:30 09:57:31 01:15:38 05:15:43 06:36:20 03:16:10 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 81
0

Announcing the Kona 2017 Rating Report

2017 TitlePage Kona Report 700px

For the 2017 Ironman World Championships in Kona I have released a 120+-page Rating Report with tons of information:

  • Detailed results and analysis of last year’s race
  • Information about the Kona course, top Kona finishers and the current course records
  • The Kona 2017 start list and my predictions and odds for the Pro athletes
  • How the race may unfold and what to watch for when the race is going on
  • Details about each Pro including their input and a lot of photos they have supplied

The Report is available for free, but it would be great if you can support my work before Kona and during the year by donating an amount of your choice, for example the list price of a regular tri magazine (around 7$).

The Kona Rating Report is the ideal information to have when following the Ironman Kona coverage!

Get The Kona Report

Here’s what a couple other triathletes have said about the Report:

TweetCC

TweetMBK

TweetChrissie

TweetRBM

TweetsSusanHaley

TweetsAlfredo

TweetCaroline

TweetKaisa
(I’m not quite fluent in Finnish, but according to Google Translate Kaisa is saying nice things.)

TweetsLisaNormann

TweetEmily

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