Archive | IM Hawaii

Ironman Hawaii 2019 – Analyzing Results

Kona2019LogoCourse Conditions

Last year’s conditions were super-fast – this year’s results indicate that times were slower by maybe two minutes (2018 adjustment 4:18 vs. 2:13 for this year). The bike was about five minutes slower than last year, but a bike adjustment of 6:39 is still one the fastest ever in Kona. (Cameron Wurf is a good example of this difference: Last year he rode a 4:09, this year a 4:14, still the 9th -fastest ever in Kona.) The slightly slower bike was balanced with a run that was about three and a half minutes faster than last year.

We’ve seen Jan Frodeno break the men’s course record from last year: His 7:51:13 was 1:26 faster than last year’s winning time. Anne Haug’s 2:51:07 marathon is the third-fastest ever in Kona, but still 41 seconds slower than Rinny’s 2014 course record.

Kona Qualifying

Kona offers Automatic Qualifier slots for the podium finishers:

  • Women: Anne Haug, Lucy Charles, Sarah Crowley
  • Men: Jan Frodeno, Tim O’Donnell, Sebastian Kienle

These slots still have to be validated with an Ironman finish before August 2020.

Male Race Results

2019 Kona Frodo

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Jan Frodeno GER 00:47:31 04:16:02 02:42:43 07:51:13 -05:27 US$ 120,000
2 Timothy O’Donnell USA 00:47:38 04:18:11 02:49:45 07:59:41 -14:44 US$ 60,000
3 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:52:17 04:15:04 02:49:56 08:02:04 02:54 US$ 40,000
4 Ben Hoffman USA 00:51:01 04:24:01 02:43:08 08:02:52 -08:39 US$ 22,500
5 Cameron Wurf AUS 00:52:25 04:14:44 02:55:03 08:06:41 -08:38 US$ 19,000
6 Joe Skipper GBR 00:52:28 04:16:18 02:53:30 08:07:46 -09:42 US$ 16,000
7 Braden Currie NZL 00:47:41 04:30:30 02:46:25 08:08:48 -05:06 US$ 14,000
8 Philipp Koutny SUI 00:52:20 04:15:14 02:57:50 08:10:29 -16:10 US$ 12,500
9 Bart Aernouts BEL 00:57:03 04:19:47 02:51:08 08:12:27 -02:03 US$ 11,000
10 Chris Leiferman USA 00:52:29 04:24:20 02:52:19 08:13:37 -00:16 US$ 10,000
11 Jan van Berkel SUI 00:50:53 04:32:09 02:47:36 08:15:19 -06:30
12 Tim Reed AUS 00:51:02 04:25:53 02:55:51 08:17:37 -05:49
13 Michael Weiss AUT 00:57:05 04:21:37 02:54:34 08:18:02 01:05
14 Andy Potts USA 00:50:57 04:24:16 02:58:58 08:19:30 01:20
15 Daniel Baekkegard DEN 00:47:35 04:37:18 02:49:50 08:19:38 06:40
16 Tim Van Berkel AUS 00:51:44 04:31:01 02:52:37 08:20:16 00:22
17 Matthew Russell USA 00:52:23 04:17:25 03:07:22 08:22:18 -00:06
18 Kristian Hogenhaug DEN 00:52:21 04:15:21 03:10:28 08:23:36 02:28
19 Cyril Viennot FRA 00:52:18 04:29:08 02:57:48 08:23:53 -04:42
20 Nils Frommhold GER 00:50:47 04:24:29 03:05:10 08:24:56 14:56
21 Alistair Brownlee GBR 00:47:33 04:19:58 03:13:00 08:25:03 n/a
22 Lionel Sanders CAN 00:52:22 04:15:22 03:13:42 08:25:54 11:21
23 Marc Duelsen GER 00:52:21 04:28:26 03:01:14 08:26:35 01:20
24 Daniil Sapunov UKR 00:50:55 04:33:57 02:58:07 08:28:22 -10:49
25 Will Clarke GBR 00:52:20 04:30:29 03:01:13 08:29:00 -00:31
26 David Plese SLO 00:52:28 04:31:56 02:59:56 08:30:03 06:57
27 Mario De Elias ARG 00:56:59 04:36:06 02:53:11 08:30:59 -14:28
28 Matt Trautman ZAF 00:52:14 04:25:06 03:11:25 08:33:05 10:43
29 Eneko Llanos ESP 00:51:03 04:40:18 02:56:21 08:33:29 13:12
30 Frank Silvestrin BRA 00:50:55 04:41:52 02:59:04 08:37:06 -05:14
31 Tobias Drachler GER 00:52:08 04:41:40 03:01:59 08:40:44 17:27
32 James Cunnama ZAF 00:52:12 04:27:59 03:16:19 08:41:19 21:42
33 Josh Amberger AUS 00:47:28 04:27:16 03:25:25 08:44:29 19:57
34 Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 00:51:41 04:43:10 03:03:54 08:45:40 25:32
35 Daniel Fontana ITA 00:51:01 04:41:59 03:13:17 08:51:17 17:40
36 Joe Gambles AUS 00:51:47 04:31:01 03:26:18 08:54:14 34:01
37 Jesper Svensson SWE 00:47:42 04:27:33 03:41:22 09:00:53 44:52
38 Maurice Clavel GER 00:47:40 04:38:33 03:28:39 09:01:05 43:56
39 Mike Phillips NZL 00:50:55 04:33:55 03:36:02 09:05:29 48:14
40 Stefan Schumacher GER 01:04:31 04:30:16 03:26:58 09:08:54 36:13
41 Lukas Kraemer GER 00:57:50 04:48:40 03:54:52 09:47:15 1:18:37
Boris Stein GER 00:54:15 04:13:18 DNF
Patrik Nilsson SWE 00:50:49 04:25:51 DNF
Matt Hanson USA 00:52:23 04:38:34 DNF
Patrick Lange GER 00:47:40 DNF
Andi Boecherer GER 00:50:52 DNF
David McNamee GBR 00:50:59 DNF
TJ Tollakson USA 00:51:44 DNF
Cody Beals CAN 00:52:16 DNF
Franz Loeschke GER 00:52:19 DNF
Andreas Dreitz GER 00:54:26 DNF
Kennett Peterson USA 00:57:07 DNF

Female Race Results

2019 Kona Anne

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Anne Haug GER 00:54:09 04:50:17 02:51:07 08:40:10 -14:43 US$ 120,000
2 Lucy Charles-Barclay GBR 00:49:02 04:47:20 03:05:59 08:46:44 -09:21 US$ 60,000
3 Sarah Crowley AUS 00:54:05 04:50:13 02:59:20 08:48:13 -12:51 US$ 40,000
4 Laura Philipp GER 00:59:03 04:45:04 03:02:11 08:51:42 02:22 US$ 22,500
5 Heather Jackson USA 00:59:12 04:46:45 03:04:17 08:54:44 -09:25 US$ 19,000
6 Kaisa Sali FIN 00:59:14 04:53:53 02:57:18 08:55:33 -05:02 US$ 16,000
7 Corinne Abraham GBR 01:02:46 04:51:15 02:59:28 08:58:38 -11:38 US$ 14,000
8 Carrie Lester AUS 00:54:15 04:50:01 03:09:37 08:58:40 -07:23 US$ 12,500
9 Daniela Bleymehl GER 00:59:06 04:45:08 03:19:32 09:08:30 -01:35 US$ 11,000
10 Linsey Corbin USA 00:59:09 05:00:25 03:03:50 09:09:06 -00:45 US$ 10,000
11 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 00:59:04 05:00:47 03:05:47 09:10:28 -11:02
12 Imogen Simmonds SUI 00:54:10 04:53:25 03:21:00 09:13:20 04:56
13 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:54:20 04:54:19 03:20:36 09:14:26 30:17
14 Sarah Piampiano USA 01:04:36 04:57:04 03:08:54 09:16:29 02:00
15 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 01:04:38 05:08:07 02:58:45 09:16:50 -12:11
16 Els Visser NED 01:02:44 04:51:43 03:19:42 09:18:42 -12:49
17 Kristin Liepold GER 01:15:24 05:02:21 03:00:24 09:23:13 -07:01
18 Annah Watkinson ZAF 00:59:14 05:05:19 03:16:09 09:26:03 -02:33
19 Susie Cheetham GBR 00:59:02 05:00:17 03:22:41 09:27:21 16:41
20 Svenja Thoes GER 00:59:07 05:02:16 03:23:49 09:30:50 22:55
21 Mareen Hufe GER 00:59:12 05:03:28 03:22:52 09:30:51 08:17
22 Lesley Smith USA 00:59:03 05:14:16 03:11:40 09:31:40 10:12
23 Nikki Bartlett GBR 00:59:14 04:58:09 03:31:24 09:34:04 06:02
24 Caroline Steffen SUI 00:59:01 05:08:44 03:23:53 09:37:11 22:51
25 Laura Siddall GBR 01:04:34 05:04:43 03:28:20 09:42:52 27:57
26 Kimberley Morrison GBR 00:58:58 04:54:22 03:45:23 09:44:19 22:58
27 Nina Derron SUI 00:59:05 05:11:48 03:30:52 09:46:27 16:16
28 Jeanni Seymour ZAF 00:54:07 05:08:17 03:37:55 09:46:54 38:48
29 Martina Kunz SUI 01:09:17 05:08:43 03:24:20 09:48:17 06:29
30 Bianca Steurer AUT 01:04:32 05:19:49 03:35:43 10:06:31 36:02
31 Lauren Brandon USA 00:49:08 05:11:20 04:10:13 10:16:10 50:28
32 Danielle Mack USA 01:08:16 05:33:15 03:35:16 10:22:35 41:57
33 Meredith Kessler USA 00:54:21 05:28:47 04:57:36 11:27:45 1:05:40
34 Jennifer Spieldenner USA 00:54:00 05:22:41 05:03:36 11:28:22 n/a
35 Sue Huse CAN 01:51:02 05:39:16 04:11:50 11:52:45 1:53:55
Jen Annett CAN 01:02:49 05:12:03 DNF
Camilla Pedersen DEN 00:54:13 05:23:58 DNF
Jocelyn McCauley USA 00:54:02 DNF
Sarah True USA 00:54:03 DNF
Kelsey Withrow USA 00:54:17 DNF
Mirinda Carfrae AUS 00:59:10 DNF
Emma Bilham SUI 01:01:17 DNF

Ironman Hawaii 2019 (Oct 12th) – Seedings

Kona2019Logo
This is an excerpt from my “Kona 2019 Rating Report” with a lot more information about the Ironman World Championships and the Pros racing there. You can download your copy here.

Prize Money and Kona Slots

IM Hawaii awards slots for the Kona 2020 race to the podium finishers (no rolldown). It has a total prize purse of 650.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 102% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 M4 Jan Frodeno GER 07:58:18 07:56:41 00:49:00 04:19:17 05:13:17 02:45:01 54% +0% -46% (4) 1
2 M5 Sebastian Kienle GER 07:59:17 08:01:09 00:52:54 04:12:16 05:10:10 02:49:07 59% +0% -41% (7) 2
3 M1 Patrick Lange GER 08:00:31 08:03:23 00:51:04 04:24:21 05:20:25 02:40:06 100% +0% -0% (3) 3
4 M20 Cody Beals CAN 08:09:36 08:15:17 00:54:24 04:23:12 05:22:36 02:47:00 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (7)
5 M15 Patrik Nilsson SWE 08:09:49 08:09:45 00:50:06 04:26:31 05:21:37 02:48:12 38% +0% -62% (2) 4
6 M17 Lionel Sanders CAN 08:10:23 08:16:38 00:55:49 04:15:26 05:16:15 02:54:08 26% +28% -46% (4) 10
7 M11 Cameron Wurf AUS 08:10:24 08:17:19 00:53:28 04:11:30 05:09:59 03:00:25 100% +0% -0% (2) 12
8 M2 Bart Aernouts BEL 08:10:28 08:16:31 00:55:17 04:26:15 05:26:32 02:43:56 50% +41% -9% (7) 9
9 M23 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 08:12:17 08:20:30 00:50:32 04:24:36 05:20:08 02:52:09 1% +55% -44% (5) 17
10 M3 David McNamee GBR 08:12:21 08:19:14 00:50:39 04:31:58 05:27:37 02:44:44 26% +74% -0% (4) 13
11 M24 Alistair Brownlee GBR 08:12:32 unrated 00:50:34 04:26:17 05:21:52 02:50:40 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (n/a)
12 M14 Ben Hoffman USA 08:12:55 08:13:30 00:50:45 04:23:29 05:19:14 02:53:41 48% +34% -18% (8) 6
13 M50 Kennett Peterson USA 08:13:17 08:23:26 00:55:53 04:21:02 05:21:55 02:51:22 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (27)
14 M48 Franz Loeschke GER 08:13:21 08:21:47 00:50:46 04:32:34 05:28:20 02:45:01 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (20)
15 M19 Andi Boecherer GER 08:13:42 08:19:32 00:50:16 04:22:33 05:17:49 02:55:53 92% +4% -3% (6) 15
16 M7 Braden Currie NZL 08:14:20 08:20:52 00:50:26 04:28:07 05:23:33 02:50:47 62% +0% -38% (2) 18
17 M6 Timothy O’Donnell USA 08:14:50 08:16:23 00:49:48 04:25:47 05:20:36 02:54:14 70% +23% -6% (8) 8
18 M45 Nils Frommhold GER 08:15:13 08:12:04 00:50:47 04:26:06 05:21:54 02:53:19 14% +0% -86% (3) 5
19 M10 Andy Potts USA 08:17:42 08:20:13 00:50:34 04:28:36 05:24:10 02:53:32 100% +0% -0% (10) 16
20 M9 Joe Skipper GBR 08:17:52 08:24:28 00:54:11 04:27:19 05:26:30 02:51:22 77% +0% -23% (3) 31
21 M18 James Cunnama ZAF 08:19:17 08:21:45 00:51:43 04:26:05 05:22:48 02:56:29 66% +28% -6% (6) 19
22 M43 Andreas Dreitz GER 08:19:17 08:17:09 00:52:29 04:22:30 05:19:59 02:59:18 100% +0% -0% (1) 11
23 M21 Daniel Baekkegard DEN 08:19:44 08:30:01 00:49:21 04:30:45 05:25:07 02:54:37 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (48)
24 M8 Matthew Russell USA 08:19:52 08:24:28 00:56:53 04:25:26 05:27:19 02:52:33 6% +67% -27% (7) 31
25 M31 Boris Stein GER 08:20:06 08:23:00 00:55:43 04:22:47 05:23:30 02:56:36 73% +27% -0% (4) 25
26 M28 Chris Leiferman USA 08:20:23 08:20:53 00:56:00 04:28:00 05:29:00 02:51:23 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (19)
27 M12 Michael Weiss AUT 08:20:32 08:23:59 00:57:00 04:21:40 05:23:41 02:56:51 73% +0% -27% (8) 29
28 M46 Joe Gambles AUS 08:20:41 08:22:25 00:52:29 04:31:22 05:28:51 02:51:50 3% +0% -97% (4) 23
29 M42 Tobias Drachler GER 08:21:09 08:35:35 00:50:44 04:33:08 05:28:52 02:52:17 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (62)
30 M32 Jesper Svensson SWE 08:22:04 08:23:13 00:49:25 04:30:49 05:25:14 02:56:50 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 26
31 M29 Mike Phillips NZL 08:22:13 08:23:59 00:52:00 04:31:55 05:28:54 02:53:19 100% +0% -0% (1) 29
32 M33 Matt Trautman ZAF 08:22:16 08:24:28 00:53:43 04:29:50 05:28:33 02:53:43 0% +0% -100% (1) 31
33 M56 Tim Van Berkel AUS 08:23:07 08:21:57 00:51:51 04:36:06 05:32:57 02:50:10 91% +0% -9% (5) 20
34 M36 Josh Amberger AUS 08:23:31 08:26:41 00:48:40 04:23:02 05:16:42 03:06:49 38% +0% -62% (2) 36
35 M35 Clemente Alonso ESP 08:23:33 08:27:19 00:51:12 04:34:14 05:30:26 02:53:07 4% +0% -96% (3) 39
36 M26 Matt Hanson USA 08:23:59 08:23:26 00:55:02 04:30:56 05:30:58 02:53:01 0% +0% -100% (3) 27
37 M39 Maurice Clavel GER 08:24:13 08:19:22 00:50:09 04:26:46 05:21:55 03:02:18 100% +0% -0% (1) 14
38 M22 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:24:27 08:22:24 00:50:55 04:29:49 05:25:44 02:58:43 86% +0% -14% (12) 22
39 M27 Kristian Hogenhaug DEN 08:25:21 08:28:13 00:55:17 04:27:13 05:27:31 02:57:50 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 44
40 M47 Philipp Koutny SUI 08:25:42 08:28:40 00:52:23 04:30:02 05:27:25 02:58:17 0% +100% -0% (1) 46
41 M16 Tim Reed AUS 08:26:01 08:25:29 00:51:28 04:31:24 05:27:52 02:58:09 77% +6% -17% (4) 35
42 M34 Jan van Berkel SUI 08:26:30 08:23:51 00:51:42 04:35:02 05:31:45 02:54:45 74% +0% -26% (4) 28
43 M51 David Plese SLO 08:27:15 08:25:12 00:55:13 04:28:41 05:28:54 02:58:21 63% +0% -37% (5) 34
44 M54 Andrew Starykowicz USA 08:27:38 08:27:17 00:51:45 04:15:03 05:11:48 03:15:50 6% +0% -94% (3) 38
45 M44 Marc Duelsen GER 08:27:49 08:27:20 00:54:44 04:31:42 05:31:26 02:56:23 38% +0% -62% (2) 40
46 M55 TJ Tollakson USA 08:28:56 08:27:10 00:52:44 04:28:20 05:26:04 03:02:52 40% +0% -60% (7) 37
47 M41 David Dellow AUS 08:30:07 08:27:38 00:51:04 04:36:58 05:33:02 02:57:05 40% +0% -60% (3) 42
48 M57 Cyril Viennot FRA 08:32:30 08:30:39 00:53:07 04:33:15 05:31:22 03:01:08 21% +14% -65% (8) 49
49 M38 Will Clarke GBR 08:34:56 08:36:43 00:51:43 04:35:41 05:32:25 03:02:31 0% +0% -100% (2) 66
50 M49 Lukas Kraemer GER 08:35:16 08:36:10 00:57:27 04:36:45 05:39:12 02:56:04 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 64
51 M25 Daniel Fontana ITA 08:37:26 08:46:10 00:51:48 04:39:56 05:36:44 03:00:42 3% +0% -97% (5) (102)
52 M52 Stefan Schumacher GER 08:39:50 08:50:32 01:01:30 04:22:22 05:28:53 03:10:57 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (115)
53 M30 Daniil Sapunov UKR 08:41:14 08:46:29 00:51:45 04:43:41 05:40:25 03:00:49 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 103
54 M53 Frank Silvestrin BRA 08:44:48 08:49:42 00:52:30 04:47:53 05:45:23 02:59:25 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 113
55 M40 Mario De Elias ARG 08:50:38 08:52:49 00:55:59 04:47:34 05:48:33 03:02:05 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (122)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 103% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 F1 Daniela Ryf SUI 08:42:16 08:37:01 00:56:50 04:42:19 05:44:08 02:58:08 57% +43% -0% (5) 1
2 F2 Lucy Charles-Barclay GBR 08:50:30 08:58:15 00:49:57 04:50:21 05:45:18 03:05:12 0% +100% -0% (2) 3
3 F3 Anne Haug GER 08:52:51 08:57:01 00:56:07 04:56:58 05:58:05 02:54:46 0% +100% -0% (1) 2
4 F21 Laura Philipp GER 08:56:34 09:07:37 00:59:30 04:53:43 05:58:13 02:58:21 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (10)
5 F5 Sarah True USA 08:56:48 09:02:25 00:54:05 05:00:21 05:59:27 02:57:21 0% +100% -0% (1) 4
6 F4 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 09:00:24 09:03:31 01:00:01 04:57:24 06:02:24 02:58:00 84% +4% -11% (9) 7
7 F6 Sarah Crowley AUS 09:00:28 09:03:14 00:55:46 04:52:41 05:53:27 03:07:01 18% +82% -0% (3) 6
8 F7 Kaisa Sali FIN 09:02:45 09:02:47 00:59:46 04:55:34 06:00:20 03:02:25 100% +0% -0% (3) 5
9 F11 Heather Jackson USA 09:07:06 09:06:21 01:00:16 04:53:10 05:58:26 03:08:40 90% +10% -0% (4) 8
10 F12 Carrie Lester AUS 09:08:10 09:08:16 00:56:50 04:55:58 05:57:48 03:10:22 49% +0% -51% (4) 10
11 F23 Daniela Bleymehl GER 09:10:31 09:12:20 00:59:23 04:49:45 05:54:08 03:16:23 0% +0% -100% (1) 12
12 F8 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:11:03 09:12:29 01:02:14 04:52:39 05:59:53 03:11:10 100% +0% -0% (3) 13
13 F20 Jocelyn McCauley USA 09:11:54 09:14:17 00:56:02 04:58:09 05:59:11 03:12:43 -0% +38% -62% (2) 15
14 F9 Linsey Corbin USA 09:12:54 09:12:06 01:00:57 05:00:50 06:06:48 03:06:06 100% +0% -0% (12) 11
15 F22 Sarah Piampiano USA 09:14:25 09:16:46 01:06:30 05:01:06 06:12:36 03:01:49 63% +10% -27% (5) 18
16 F27 Svenja Thoes GER 09:15:30 09:32:36 01:00:29 05:01:17 06:06:46 03:08:44 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (48)
17 F38 Jeanni Seymour ZAF 09:15:45 09:27:12 00:55:15 05:10:55 06:11:09 03:04:36 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (38)
18 F26 Caroline Steffen SUI 09:15:49 09:16:42 00:56:03 04:59:39 06:00:42 03:15:07 91% +9% -0% (6) 17
19 F39 Imogen Simmonds SUI 09:15:54 09:27:21 00:54:15 04:59:07 05:58:22 03:17:32 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (38)
20 F17 Susie Cheetham GBR 09:16:40 09:13:00 00:59:39 05:00:24 06:05:03 03:11:37 38% +0% -62% (4) 14
21 F24 Laura Siddall GBR 09:18:56 09:17:19 01:01:23 04:59:20 06:05:43 03:13:13 100% +0% -0% (2) 19
22 F36 Camilla Pedersen DEN 09:18:59 09:17:59 00:55:03 05:01:45 06:01:48 03:17:11 49% +0% -51% (3) 20
23 F18 Mareen Hufe GER 09:20:00 09:24:55 01:01:17 04:55:17 06:01:34 03:18:26 96% +0% -4% (5) 33
24 F41 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 09:21:26 09:23:46 01:00:16 05:07:52 06:13:08 03:08:18 100% +0% -0% (2) 26
25 F31 Meredith Kessler USA 09:23:42 09:24:54 00:53:37 05:05:05 06:03:42 03:20:00 4% +0% -96% (7) 32
26 F40 Lesley Smith USA 09:25:13 09:23:49 00:58:37 05:15:47 06:19:24 03:05:49 0% +0% -100% (1) 27
27 F28 Jen Annett CAN 09:25:56 09:24:01 01:03:13 04:58:59 06:07:11 03:18:45 100% +0% -0% (1) 28
28 F33 Kristin Liepold GER 09:27:02 09:32:33 01:08:13 05:13:49 06:27:02 03:00:00 100% +0% -0% (4) 47
29 F37 Barbara Riveros CHI 09:27:07 09:38:47 00:56:21 05:08:53 06:10:14 03:16:53 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (57)
30 F35 Kimberley Morrison GBR 09:27:42 09:29:24 00:58:37 04:54:24 05:58:01 03:29:41 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 42
31 F16 Lauren Brandon USA 09:28:59 09:28:14 00:50:27 05:00:11 05:55:37 03:33:22 0% +0% -100% (2) 39
32 F25 Jennifer Spieldenner USA 09:29:55 unrated 00:54:15 05:08:13 06:07:29 03:22:26 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (n/a)
33 F14 Nikki Bartlett GBR 09:30:10 09:30:23 01:02:57 05:02:17 06:10:14 03:19:56 0% +0% -100% (1) 44
34 F43 Els Visser NED 09:30:40 09:39:33 01:00:59 04:59:49 06:05:48 03:24:52 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 57
35 F44 Annah Watkinson ZAF 09:31:43 09:36:38 01:01:36 05:12:54 06:19:31 03:12:12 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 51
36 F30 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 09:32:58 09:31:18 01:05:47 05:14:10 06:24:57 03:08:01 82% +0% -18% (3) 45
37 F42 Bianca Steurer AUT 09:34:04 09:32:58 01:03:22 05:07:55 06:16:17 03:17:47 100% +0% -0% (1) 48
38 F29 Nina Derron SUI 09:36:56 09:38:20 00:59:32 05:11:28 06:15:59 03:20:57 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 55
39 F15 Emma Bilham SUI 09:38:23 09:40:22 00:58:06 05:18:14 06:21:19 03:17:04 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (58)
40 F45 Kelsey Withrow USA 09:41:35 09:55:32 00:57:26 05:16:18 06:18:43 03:22:52 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 76
41 F34 Danielle Mack USA 09:45:48 09:49:01 01:06:12 05:16:27 06:27:39 03:18:09 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 66
42 F32 Martina Kunz SUI 09:47:56 09:50:03 01:06:26 05:08:30 06:19:56 03:28:00 n/a (no Kona Pro race) 69
43 F19 Sue Huse CAN 09:54:30 10:13:52 01:07:29 05:31:11 06:43:40 03:10:50 n/a (no Kona Pro race) (100)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Jan Frodeno: 32% (2-1)
  • Sebastian Kienle: 22% (3-1)
  • Patrick Lange: 22% (4-1)
  • Patrik Nilsson: 7% (14-1)
  • Bart Aernouts: 6% (17-1)
  • Lionel Sanders: 3% (29-1)
  • Ben Hoffman: 3% (32-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Daniela Ryf: 58% (1-1)
  • Lucy Charles-Barclay: 26% (3-1)
  • Anne Haug: 13% (7-1)

Results of the 2019 Ho’ala Swim

HoalaSwimThis year, the Ho’ala swim is held six days before the Kona race on the swim course. There are slight changes towards the end, the finish is on the small beach at the King Kam hotel instead of back on “Dig Me Beach”, usually resulting in slightly quicker times compared to the Kona swim. It is used by a lot of athletes as an excellent open-water training session, the table below shows just the Kona Pros that I have been able to identify in the results, comparing their times in this year’s swim, their expected swim times for this year’s Ironman race (plus the difference, usually faster) and the same results (as long as they are available) for last year’s Ho’ala swim and Ironman Hawaii swim. (There were probably a few more Pros in the swim, for example, Matt Hanson and Matt Russell posted about their swims.)

Some observations:

  • On average, the Kona Pros swam about three minutes quicker than their “expected swim times” for Kona.
  • The first three athletes swam a time that would have been under the current male Kona swim course record (46:29 by Jan Sibbersen). There were two more age-groupers between Alistair and Josh.
  • With Ali beating Josh, it’s likely he is going to be a front group swimmer next Saturday, probably coming out of the water in a potential Amberger/Frodeno group. As expected, Daniel Baekkegard might also be in that group.
  • Another interesting data point is that Lionel Sanders was about 30 seconds in front of Cam Wurf – that would create an interesting dynamic in the Ironman race.
  • Lucy Charles was on the start list and posted on Instagram that she was looking for a re-match with Josh, but in the end she did not race (neither did husband Reece Barclay).
  • In the absence of Lucy, the fastest female Pro was Sarah Crowley who had a great swim (6 minutes quicker than seeded). Other good swims (relative to the expected swims) were by Jen Annett (5:30 quicker), Nikki Bartlett and Els Visser (about 5 minutes quicker). There were quite a few female Pros with great swims, they might have benefitted from the bigger swim groups.
Athlete Ho’ola Swim Expected Swim Faster By 2018 Ho’ola 2018 Race
Alistair Brownlee 00:46:07 00:50:34 00:04:27
Josh Amberger 00:46:14 00:48:40 00:02:26 00:47:08 00:47:39
Daniel Baekkegard 00:46:19 00:49:21 00:03:02
Andi Boecherer 00:49:20 00:50:16 00:00:56
Frank Silvestrin 00:49:35 00:52:30 00:02:55
Sarah Crowley 00:49:40 00:55:46 00:06:06 00:54:19
Nils Frommhold 00:49:41 00:50:47 00:01:06
Joe Gambles 00:49:41 00:52:29 00:02:48
Philipp Koutny 00:49:47 00:52:23 00:02:36
Ben Hoffman 00:49:50 00:50:45 00:00:55
Timothy O’Donnell 00:49:50 00:49:48 (-00:02) 00:49:41 00:47:45
TJ Tollakson 00:49:50 00:52:44 00:02:54
Will Clarke 00:51:54 00:51:43 (-00:11) 00:50:37 00:50:39
David Plese 00:51:55 00:55:13 00:03:18 00:54:02
Lionel Sanders 00:51:56 00:55:49 00:03:53 00:51:22 00:53:59
Jeanni Seymour 00:52:14 00:55:15 00:03:01
Cameron Wurf 00:52:24 00:53:28 00:01:04 00:50:58 00:50:51
Kimberley Morrison 00:54:33 00:58:37 00:04:04
Kaisa Sali 00:55:08 00:59:46 00:04:38 00:55:47 00:58:23
Els Visser 00:55:54 01:00:59 00:05:05
Mareen Hufe 00:56:58 01:01:17 00:04:19 00:58:47 00:58:34
Jen Annett 00:57:37 01:03:13 00:05:36 00:58:47
Annah Watkinson 00:57:37 01:01:36 00:03:59
Nikki Bartlett 00:57:46 01:02:57 00:05:11
Stefan Schumacher 00:58:05 01:01:30 00:03:25
Mirinda Carfrae 00:58:38 01:00:01 00:01:23 00:59:03 00:58:18
Bianca Steurer 01:01:31 01:03:22 00:01:51
Gurutze Frades Larralde 01:01:52 01:05:47 00:03:55 01:03:02 01:05:03

Announcing the Kona 2019 Rating Report

2019 TitlePage Kona Report Tight

For the 2019 Ironman World Championships in Kona on October 12th I have released a 150+-page Rating Report with tons of information:

  • Detailed results and analysis of last year’s race
  • Information about the Kona course, top Kona finishers and the current course records
  • A summary of Pro qualifying and who will be on the startline
  • How the race may unfold and what to watch for during the race
  • The Kona 2019 start list and my predictions and odds for the Pro athletes
  • Details about all Pros including their input and a lot of photos

The Report is available for free, but it would be great if you can support my work before Kona and during the year by donating an amount of your choice. (For comparison, triathlon magazines sell for about $8.)

The Kona Rating Report is the ideal information to have when following the Ironman Kona coverage!

Get The Kona Report

Some Kona 2019 Data Points

This post looks at some data points on the Kona 2019 Pro field. There’s going to be a lot more information about Kona and the Kona Pro field in my “Kona 2019 Rating Report” that you can already pre-order here.

Distribution by Nation

First, let’s have a look at how many Pro athletes are going to be racing in Kona and how those numbers have changed in recent years. I’m using 2011 as the starting year since the Kona Pro field has been pretty much around 90 athletes since then. In earlier years the Pro fields have been much larger – for example there were 148 Pro starters in 2009!

Here’s the graph that looks at the number of Pros broken down by nation:

Nations

Some main points:

  • The US has always had the largest number of Pro athletes racing in Kona. This year isn’t any different – the US has 21 Pro athletes which is also a record number (tied with 2013 and 2015).
  • Next up is Germany – 19 German Pros is also a record number and more than double than last year. Germany was in #4 four last year, they have clearly moved to take the #2 this year.
  • Last year, Australia and the United Kingdom were tied at nine athletes each, and not much has changed: Australia stayed the same, the British Pro team has grown by one athlete.
  • Switzerland has closed the gap to the top nations, with eight Pros in 2019 they have almost closed the gap to Australia.
  • There is a lot more movement for the smaller nations. In 2018 New Zealand had seven athletes in Kona, this year they have dropped down to three. The big mover is South Africa with an improvement from two athletes last year to five.

Kona Experience of the Pro Field

This section look at how the Kona field is changing over time.

First, a look at how often the Kona Pros have raced there before:

KonaExperience

This graph shows that there hasn’t been much change from last year. The men’s average of 3.30 races per starter continues to be at record levels. The corresponding female number (an average of 2.20 races per starter) is almost one race lower than that.

The next graph looks at what part of the field is athletes returning from the previous year’s race and which part consists of Kona rookies:

Returns Rookies

There is a bit more movement here:

  • The Return Rate for the men has dropped from 64% to just over fifty percent. At the same time, the segment of Kona rookies has grown to 25%, the highest number since 2015 when it was 33%.
  • The number of female rookies has reached a new record level: 16 rookies result in a rookies quota of 36%. Exactly half of the 2019 field has raced Kona 2018.

It’s not quite clear why these changes have happened, but it’s quite likely that the new qualifying system has played a role.

Age of the Kona Pros

Here’s a graph showing the age distribution of the Kona Pros (click for a hi-res version):

The youngest Pros racing in Kona are Daniel Baekkegard (23 years) and Nina Derron, Imo Simmonds and Lucy Charles-Barkley (26 years). Sue Huse and Daniel Fontana are the oldest.

It’s interesting to cross-reference this with the Age of Kona winners and some extra material for speculation.

Individual Athlete Kona Results

The following tables look at the results each Kona 2019 Pro athlete has had on the Big Island in previous years.

Female Participants

Athletes 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 # of Starts Highest Finish
Corinne Abraham 11 16 9 3 9
Jen Annett 25 1 25
Nikki Bartlett 0 of 1
Emma Bilham
Daniela Bleymehl 36 1 36
Lauren Brandon 26 1 of 2 26
Mirinda Carfrae 2 Win 2 3 Win Win 2 5 8 of 9 1
Lucy Charles-Barclay 2 2 2 2
Susie Cheetham 6 6 26 3 of 4 6
Linsey Corbin 23 5 11 12 16 8 10 12 13 13 10 11 of 12 5
Sarah Crowley 15 3 6 3 3
Nina Derron
Gurutze Frades Larralde 33 22 24 3 22
Anne Haug 3 1 3
Mareen Hufe 19 21 11 13 4 of 5 11
Sue Huse
Heather Jackson 5 3 4 14 4 3
Meredith Kessler 26 7 26 35 4 of 7 7
Martina Kunz
Carrie Lester 23 10 7 3 of 4 7
Kristin Liepold 17 15 25 26 4 15
Danielle Mack
Jocelyn McCauley 10 30 2 10
Skye Moench
Kimberley Morrison
Camilla Pedersen 8 11 2 of 3 8
Laura Philipp
Sarah Piampiano 23 7 7 11 4 of 5 7
Barbara Riveros
Daniela Ryf 2 Win Win Win Win 5 1
Kaisa Sali 5 5 7 3 5
Jeanni Seymour
Laura Siddall 15 17 2 15
Imogen Simmonds
Lesley Smith 0 of 1
Jennifer Spieldenner
Maja Stage Nielsen 12 15 2 12
Caroline Steffen 2 5 2 5 5 9 6 2
Bianca Steurer 28 1 28
Svenja Thoes
Sarah True 4 1 4
Els Visser
Annah Watkinson
Kelsey Withrow

Male Participants

Athletes 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 # of Starts Highest Finish
Bart Aernouts 11 8 9 8 12 2 6 of 7 2
Clemente Alonso McKernan 17 1 of 3 17
Josh Amberger 29 1 of 2 29
Daniel Baekkegard
Cody Beals
Andi Boecherer 51 8 21 20 5 5 of 6 5
Terenzo Bozzone 11 20 6 3 of 5 6
Alistair Brownlee
Kyle Buckingham 24 30 26 23 4 of 5 23
Will Clarke 41 42 2 41
Maurice Clavel 19 1 19
James Cunnama 51 4 26 5 17 5 of 6 4
Braden Currie 30 5 2 5
Mario De Elias
David Dellow 9 24 2 of 3 9
Tobias Drachler
Andreas Dreitz 13 1 13
Marc Duelsen 18 1 of 2 18
Daniel Fontana 12 33 2 of 5 12
Jan Frodeno 3 Win Win 35 4 1
Nils Frommhold 6 29 2 of 3 6
Joe Gambles 20 27 2 of 4 20
Matt Hanson 34 33 2 of 3 33
Ben Hoffman 55 42 15 2 27 4 9 7 of 8 2
Kristian Hogenhaug
Sebastian Kienle 4 3 Win 8 2 4 6 of 7 1
Philipp Koutny 15 1 15
Lukas Kraemer
Patrick Lange 3 Win Win 3 1
Chris Leiferman
Eneko Llanos 5 7 2 14 7 11 7 27 24 9 of 12 2
Franz Loeschke
David McNamee 11 13 3 3 4 3
Patrik Nilsson 8 1 of 2 8
Timothy O’Donnell 8 5 32 3 6 19 4 7 of 8 3
Kennett Peterson
Mike Phillips 16 1 16
David Plese 27 17 21 3 of 5 17
Andy Potts 7 9 21 17 7 4 4 11 7 8 10 4
Tim Reed 21 23 18 3 of 4 18
Matthew Russell 23 20 18 23 12 6 6 of 7 6
Lionel Sanders 14 29 2 28 4 2
Daniil Sapunov
Stefan Schumacher
Frank Silvestrin
Joe Skipper 13 41 7 3 7
Andrew Starykowicz 19 40 2 of 3 19
Boris Stein 20 10 7 10 4 7
Jesper Svensson
TJ Tollakson 29 58 32 38 20 5 of 7 20
Matt Trautman 0 of 1
Jan van Berkel 32 22 24 3 of 4 22
Tim Van Berkel 7 36 19 15 12 5 7
Cyril Viennot 15 18 12 5 6 18 35 7 of 8 5
Michael Weiss 25 13 16 16 32 10 6 of 8 10
Cameron Wurf 17 9 2 9

There’s going to be a lot more information about Kona and the Kona Pro field in my “Kona 2019 Rating Report” that you can already pre-order here.

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