Archive | IM Philippines

Ironman Philippines 2018 – Analyzing Results

IMPHI_LogoCourse Conditions

As expected, IM Philippines was a tough course, taking a lot out of the athletes. Especially the run was extremely slow, the adjustment of -4:25 was even harder than Kona.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Nick Baldwin SEY 00:55:07 04:45:43 03:03:47 08:50:13 -09:12 US$ 5,000 2000
2 Cameron Brown NZL 00:55:48 04:53:38 03:01:49 08:56:49 31:54 US$ 2,750 1600
3 Simon Cochrane NZL 00:51:14 04:54:00 03:07:11 08:58:58 10:21 US$ 1,750 1280
4 Eneko Elosegui ESP 01:00:00 04:57:41 03:32:02 09:35:38 -01:19 US$ 1,250 960
5 August Benedicto PHI 01:08:49 05:07:37 03:27:03 09:48:46 n/a US$ 1,000 720
6 Freddy Lampret ZAF 00:55:12 04:59:33 03:50:33 09:51:21 -02:02 US$ 750 540
7 Benjamin Rana PHI 01:04:52 05:14:57 03:46:39 10:13:01 n/a   405
8 Philip Duenas PHI 01:17:24 05:46:48 03:16:37 10:27:34 n/a   305
9 Jonard Saim PHI 01:00:09 05:30:07 04:40:52 11:17:49 n/a   230
10 Arland Macasieb PHI 01:06:40 06:04:03 04:35:28 12:03:30 1:25:44   170

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Liz Blatchford AUS 00:53:01 05:03:45 03:19:17 09:22:22 05:31 US$ 5,000 2000
2 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 01:00:22 05:05:47 03:23:21 09:40:45 00:08 US$ 2,750 1600
3 Simone Maier GER 01:07:02 05:02:04 03:31:18 09:47:39 -09:17 US$ 1,750 1280
4 Julia Grant NZL 01:01:00 05:25:01 03:25:05 09:57:09 -12:47 US$ 1,250 960
5 Alise Selsmark AUS 00:56:16 05:36:16 03:34:24 10:13:48 19:03 US$ 1,000 720
6 Jana Candrova CZE 01:08:32 05:47:56 04:13:50 11:19:29 42:04 US$ 750 540
7 Erin Furness NZL 01:04:01 05:42:58 04:28:04 11:21:30 55:47   405
8 Alexandra Ganzon PHL 01:11:21 05:41:06 04:19:58 11:21:30 n/a   305

Kona Qualifying Implications

Here are where the top finishers now are with regards to Kona qualifying:

  • Safe (for a July slot): Cameron Brown (but unclear if he will take the slot)
  • Close (but more points needed – cutoff projected at 4.400 for the females and 3.500 for the males):
    Liz Blatchford (3.535), Simon Cochrane (3.105), Nick Baldwin (2.720)

Among the female athletes further back, Dimity-Lee Duke has the most points (2.660 from four races), she probably needs another 2.000 points result to be in the running for a slot.

Ironman Philippines 2018 (June 3rd) – Seedings

IMPHI_LogoThis is the first race on this course.

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Philippines is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$, paying 6 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 2% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 12 Mike Phillips NZL 08:22:03 08:27:21 00:49:33 04:33:06 05:27:38 02:54:25 66% +34% -0% (3) 33
2 1 Cameron Brown NZL 08:24:38 08:23:48 00:51:02 04:40:57 05:37:00 02:47:38 70% +7% -23% (36) 24
3 15 Fredrik Croneborg SWE 08:34:15 08:37:09 00:51:05 04:43:41 05:39:46 02:54:29 64% +14% -22% (14) 70
4 8 Daniil Sapunov * UKR 08:42:14 08:48:22 00:48:35 04:49:30 05:43:05 02:59:09 68% +7% -25% (10) 108
5 3 Simon Cochrane NZL 08:45:43 08:52:45 00:50:21 04:47:14 05:42:35 03:03:08 55% +26% -19% (22) 125
6 4 Guy Crawford NZL 08:58:02 09:10:21 00:50:05 04:39:15 05:34:19 03:23:43 43% +25% -32% (16) 184
7 2 Nick Baldwin SEY 08:59:44 09:03:42 00:53:09 04:48:58 05:47:07 03:12:37 58% +0% -42% (21) 163
8 14 Freddy Lampret ZAF 09:32:39 09:58:05 00:54:20 05:01:10 06:00:31 03:32:08 21% +9% -71% (13) 279
9 5 Eneko Elosegui ESP 09:34:22 09:41:30 01:00:39 04:59:32 06:05:11 03:29:11 71% +7% -22% (20) 264
10 7 Arland Macasieb PHI 10:25:17 10:48:23 01:05:42 05:28:44 06:39:26 03:45:51 23% +0% -77% (12) (300)
11 6 Aleksander Kochetkov * LTU 10:55:28 11:11:58 01:09:07 05:43:54 06:58:01 03:57:27 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (302)
12 11 Daniel Brown AUS 11:00:25 11:16:56 01:05:18 05:47:53 06:58:10 04:02:15 45% +0% -55% (4) 302
13 13 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:17:25 11:56:30 01:13:25 05:37:40 06:56:05 04:21:20 32% +24% -44% (45) 305

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 9% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 37 Liz Blatchford * AUS 09:16:02 09:15:41 00:51:47 05:12:20 06:09:07 03:06:55 93% +7% -0% (9) (8)
2 33 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 09:40:24 09:45:12 00:59:50 05:15:07 06:19:58 03:20:26 65% +8% -27% (15) 53
3 32 Laurel Wassner USA 09:42:19 09:50:28 00:54:44 05:22:10 06:21:54 03:20:25 64% +9% -28% (13) 71
4 38 Camilla Lindholm Borg * SWE 09:42:26 09:48:08 01:06:51 05:13:54 06:25:45 03:16:41 74% +10% -16% (19) 60
5 34 Saleta Castro Nogueira * ESP 09:48:17 09:49:07 00:55:43 05:29:33 06:30:16 03:18:01 78% +15% -6% (16) 67
6 31 Alise Selsmark * AUS 09:56:26 10:11:27 00:53:57 05:31:28 06:30:24 03:26:02 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (105)
7 30 Simone Maier GER 09:58:02 10:01:39 01:06:15 05:19:41 06:30:56 03:27:06 75% +3% -22% (9) (85)
8 36 Julia Grant NZL 10:04:41 10:14:46 01:00:01 05:32:10 06:37:11 03:27:30 52% +31% -17% (9) 110
9 39 Shiao-yu Li TWN 10:05:34 10:11:47 01:05:45 05:28:26 06:39:10 03:26:24 55% +8% -36% (17) 106
10 28 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 10:12:32 10:18:17 00:56:32 05:28:19 06:29:52 03:42:40 29% +3% -68% (31) 114
11 29 Erin Furness NZL 10:22:14 10:30:33 01:03:13 05:38:16 06:46:29 03:35:45 75% +7% -18% (7) (131)
12 35 Jana Candrova CZE 10:33:55 10:45:34 01:07:01 05:39:54 06:51:55 03:42:00 72% +0% -28% (19) 145

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

This race looks like a duel between the New Zealanders Cam Brown and Mile Philipps, but Frederik Croneborg is often racing well in the tough Asian heat and humidity.

  • Cameron Brown: 42% (1-1)
  • Mike Phillips: 39% (2-1)
  • Fredrik Croneborg: 14% (6-1)

Female Race Participants

Based on her previous results, Liz Blatchford has to be considered the clear favorite, even if this would be her first Ironman after giving birth to daughter Mahli.

  • Liz Blatchford: 82% (1-1)
  • Laurel Wassner: 5% (18-1)
  • Dimity-Lee Duke: 5% (21-1)
  • Camilla Lindholm Borg: 4% (22-1)
  • Saleta Castro Nogueira: 3% (36-1)

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