Archive | IM Western Australia

Ironman Western Australia 2017 – Analyzing Results

IMWALogoRace Conditions

Because of a shark warning shortly before the race start, all athletes had to leave the water and the swim was cancelled. The race was started “just before T1” in a time trial fashion to break up big groups. Of course this changed the dynamic of the race: Looking at the times it seems that the bike was quite a bit faster than what’s “normal” for Busselton (adjustment would have been around 26 minutes, compared to the course rating of 14:13), probably because everyone was trying to move into a good position after the time trial start. The harder bike probably contributed to a significantly slower run (-6:33 minutes, compared to run course rating of 1:10). This is reflected in the run times – there were only two sub-3 marathons on the men’s side (by Terenzo and Cameron Brown) and the fastest female run split was a 3:09 by Camilla Borg.

The change in dynamic resulting from not having a swim makes it a bit hard to ask how the race would have panned out if there had been a swim – after all athletes could have paced more sensibly or a faster swimmer but slower bike rider could have keyed off a slightly slower swimmer and better bike rider. With that caveat, as far as I can see the swim wouldn’t have changed the overall results too much: Terenzo should have been one of the fastest swimmers, so he still should have been able to defend his title. Carrie might have swim slightly slower than Mel, but it’s hard to imagine how that could have resulted in a seven minute difference at the end.  Adding in expected swim times, Mel Hauschildt could have been able to set a new course record (she could have swum around an hour while I expected her to swim around 55 minutes). Carrie would have likely finished sub-9 and Terenzo’s time would likely have been sub-8 (but probably slower than his 7:51 course record from last year). In the results below I have also added a rough estimate in the “Diff to expected” column comparing each athlete’s performance on race day to their previous results (if available). 

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Terenzo Bozzone NZL   04:15:58 02:53:05 07:12:30 -15:41 US$ 10,000 2000
2 Dougal Allan NZL   04:12:34 03:01:51 07:18:07 -08:04 US$ 5,000 1600
3 Tim Van Berkel AUS   04:13:05 03:10:29 07:27:07 -01:06 US$ 3,250 1280
4 Cameron Brown NZL   04:33:46 02:53:43 07:32:22 02:04 US$ 2,500 960
5 Nathan Shearer AUS   04:15:50 03:15:33 07:35:32 -37:34 US$ 1,750 720
6 Konstantin Bachor GER   04:10:48 03:24:56 07:39:40 -16:34 US$ 1,250 540
7 Scott Defilippis USA   04:31:29 03:11:41 07:48:26 -16:15 US$ 750 405
8 Per Bittner GER   04:31:41 03:14:45 07:50:36 07:37 US$ 500 305
9 Leigh Stabryla AUS   04:39:57 03:10:02 07:54:05 -23:59   230
10 Philipp Koutny SUI   04:21:26 03:39:11 08:05:08 16:40   170
11 Damien Collins AUS   04:37:57 03:24:40 08:06:30 n/a   120
12 Carl Read NZL   04:43:49 03:29:10 08:18:46 10:14   85
13 Petr Vabrousek CZE   04:40:19 03:56:25 08:42:01 27:28   60
14 Josef Svoboda CZE   05:24:53 04:48:13 10:21:31 06:47   40
  Esben Hovgaard DEN   04:21:14   DNF      
  Lindsey Wall AUS   04:31:16   DNF      
  Pete Jacobs AUS   04:50:43   DNF      
  Allister Caird AUS       DNF      
  Luke Bell AUS       DNF      
  Cameron Wurf AUS       DNF      
  Courtney Ogden AUS       DNF      
  Callum Millward NZL   04:29:27   DNF      
  Martijn Dekker NED   04:20:52   DNF      

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Melissa Hauschildt AUS   04:37:42 03:10:46 07:52:04 -22:58 US$ 10,000 2000
2 Carrie Lester AUS   04:38:43 03:16:05 07:59:07 -16:13 US$ 5,000 1600
3 Camilla Lindholm Borg SWE   04:48:20 03:09:41 08:01:59 -27:43 US$ 3,250 1280
4 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED   04:45:06 03:22:19 08:11:01 00:41 US$ 2,500 960
5 Meredith Hill AUS   04:56:21 03:22:32 08:24:01 n/a US$ 1,750 720
6 Mareen Hufe GER   04:41:52 03:43:03 08:29:50 10:21 US$ 1,250 540
7 Tracy Morrison AUS   05:08:11 03:30:52 08:46:07 -38:22 US$ 750 405
8 Monica Juhart AUS   05:05:19 03:48:16 08:58:20 -1:41:30 US$ 500 305
9 Kierra Sansome AUS   05:24:59 03:38:12 09:08:40 n/a   230
10 Els Visser NED   04:53:26 04:17:06 09:14:25 n/a   170
  Claire Davis AUS       DNF      
  Alise Selsmark AUS   05:10:12   DNF      
  Michelle Gailey AUS   05:36:36   DNF      
  Jessica Mitchell AUS   05:16:27   DNF      

Kona Qualifying Implications

With their results in Western Australia a couple of athletes have secured their Kona slots:

  • Terenzo Bozzone (8.750 points) is safe for a July slot, as are the top female finishers Mel Hauschildt (6.285) and Carrie Lester (6.480). Mareen Hufe (4.775 points after her sixth place) can also plan for Kona 2018. 
  • Tim Berkel is on the bubble for a slot, at 3.455 points he’s right at the projected cutoff number. He already has four races in his total, so improving his total won’t be easy.
  • Dougal Allen has improved his total to 2.240 points, he’s in a good position to secure his slot early next year. Should Yvonne Van Vlerken (2.960) decide to try to qualify for Kona again, she should also be able to secure the remaining points.
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Ironman Western Australia 2017 (Dec 3rd) – Seedings

IMWALogo

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Mitchell Anderson (AUS) 08:27:35 Charlotte Paul (AUS) 09:47:27
2006 Jason Shortis (AUS) 08:03:55 Lisbeth Kristensen (DEN) 09:10:00
2007 Patrick Vernay (NCL) 08:05:58 Charlotte Paul (AUS) 09:00:54
2008 Tim Van Berkel (AUS) 08:07:06 Gina Crawford (NZL) 08:59:24
2009 Patrick Vernay (NCL) 08:13:59 Gina Crawford (NZL) 09:16:52
2010 Courtney Ogden (AUS) 08:14:01 Kate Bevilaqua (AUS) 09:19:44
2011 Timo Bracht (GER) 08:12:39 Michelle Bremer (NZL) 09:25:38
2012 Jimmy Johnsen (DEN) 08:29:06 Britta Martin (NZL) 09:13:00
2013 Jeremy Jurkiewicz (FRA) 08:08:16 Elizabeth Lyles (USA) 08:59:44
2014 Denis Chevrot (FRA) 08:05:58 Britta Martin (NZL) 08:56:34
2015 Luke McKenzie (AUS) 07:55:58 Sarah Piampiano (USA) 09:03:47
2016 Terenzo Bozzone (NZL) 07:51:26 Melissa Hauschildt (AUS) 08:54:39

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 00:46:23 04:10:49 02:50:38 07:51:26
2 Andy Potts USA 00:46:21 04:20:05 02:44:41 07:55:12
3 Nick Kastelein AUS 00:46:10 04:22:12 02:53:01 08:05:24

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 00:54:29 04:48:46 03:06:39 08:54:39
2 Mareen Hufe GER 00:59:12 04:41:32 03:12:25 08:57:36
3 Sarah Piampiano USA 00:59:11 04:49:29 03:05:13 08:58:51

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:51:26 Terenzo Bozzone 2016-12-04
Swim overall 00:44:42 Pete Jacobs 2007-12-01
Bike overall 04:08:12 Luke McKenzie 2015-12-06
Run overall 02:43:48 Robert Thomas 2007-12-01
Total female 08:54:39 Melissa Hauschildt 2016-12-04
Swim female 00:48:25 Tereza Macel 2007-12-01
Bike female 04:41:32 Mareen Hufe 2016-12-04
Run female 02:58:17 Beth Gerdes 2014-12-07

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Western Australia is 16:55.

Race Adjustments for IM Western Australia

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 11:41 -02:23 05:15 -01:59 27 11:41 -02:23 05:15 -01:59
2006 23:02 00:59 17:14 01:31 31 17:22 -00:42 11:14 -00:14
2007 29:49 00:47 16:11 04:08 47 21:31 -00:12 12:53 01:13
2008 22:19 00:12 13:52 00:02 39 21:43 -00:06 13:08 00:56
2009 19:35 01:56 18:10 -07:30 25 21:17 00:18 14:08 -00:46
2010 11:18 00:43 10:44 00:46 24 19:37 00:22 13:34 -00:30
2011 09:03 00:07 10:02 02:01 27 18:07 00:20 13:04 -00:09
2012 14:07 -00:51 09:54 01:06 26 17:37 00:11 12:40 00:01
2013 17:28 00:38 16:23 03:49 22 of 30 17:36 00:14 13:05 00:26
2014 16:11 01:16 19:46 03:25 32 of 48 17:27 00:20 13:45 00:44
2015 11:49 -02:09 15:17 03:59 15 of 22 16:57 00:07 13:53 01:02
2016 16:43 01:15 17:44 02:39 30 of 39 16:55 00:13 14:13 01:10

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Western Australia is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 50.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 15% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 1 Terenzo Bozzone NZL 07:57:22 08:21:08 00:46:51 04:14:03 05:05:55 02:51:27 51% +33% -16% (15) 15
2 4 Tim Van Berkel AUS 08:05:46 08:22:30 00:47:59 04:24:36 05:17:35 02:48:11 79% +12% -9% (23) 18
3 3 Cameron Brown NZL 08:11:41 08:26:49 00:50:07 04:28:50 05:23:57 02:47:44 63% +9% -28% (35) 25
4 9 Dougal Allan NZL 08:14:04 08:34:01 00:56:28 04:16:04 05:17:32 02:56:32 88% +5% -7% (10) 56
5 7 Cameron Wurf AUS 08:14:31 08:32:00 00:50:08 04:10:26 05:05:33 03:08:58 45% +43% -12% (9) 46
6 12 Jens Petersen-Bach * DEN 08:14:53 08:36:24 00:49:57 04:29:46 05:24:42 02:50:11 48% +12% -40% (21) 64
7 6 Callum Millward NZL 08:15:23 08:32:38 00:49:17 04:26:22 05:20:39 02:54:44 71% +0% -29% (9) 50
8 8 Per Bittner GER 08:18:19 08:38:27 00:48:51 04:26:26 05:20:17 02:58:02 49% +6% -45% (25) 73
9 2 Pete Jacobs AUS 08:20:05 08:59:43 00:46:43 04:27:17 05:19:00 03:01:05 19% +20% -60% (29) (152)
10 21 Esben Hovgaard DEN 08:22:50 08:54:45 00:51:44 04:27:22 05:24:06 02:58:44 44% +22% -35% (13) 123
11 29 Markus Thomschke GER 08:22:53 08:41:09 00:52:13 04:23:29 05:20:42 03:02:11 42% +21% -37% (20) 79
12 14 Konstantin Bachor GER 08:24:49 08:58:28 00:50:25 04:20:07 05:15:32 03:09:17 30% +3% -67% (14) 145
13 11 Courtney Ogden AUS 08:26:26 08:50:24 00:50:28 04:30:41 05:26:08 03:00:18 45% +4% -51% (22) 108
14 5 Luke Bell AUS 08:27:24 08:46:00 00:48:26 04:26:35 05:20:02 03:07:22 23% +9% -68% (33) 92
15 22 Philipp Koutny * SUI 08:29:18 08:56:30 00:50:37 04:26:15 05:21:53 03:07:25 46% +0% -54% (7) 134
16 10 Levi Maxwell AUS 08:31:08 09:04:50 00:53:34 04:38:31 05:37:05 02:54:03 48% +52% -0% (2) (169)
17 23 Markus Liebelt * GER 08:38:51 09:20:09 00:54:50 04:28:30 05:28:20 03:10:31 23% +0% -77% (3) (215)
18 18 Guy Crawford NZL 08:39:12 09:13:15 00:49:10 04:24:30 05:18:40 03:20:32 28% +32% -40% (15) 194
19 19 Scott Defilippis USA 08:41:20 09:12:26 00:55:37 04:44:46 05:45:23 02:55:57 36% +15% -48% (25) 191
20 15 Nick Baldwin SEY 08:41:31 09:03:42 00:52:39 04:33:30 05:31:09 03:10:22 58% +0% -42% (21) 166
21 25 Carl Read NZL 08:46:36 09:23:07 00:53:42 04:45:15 05:43:57 03:02:39 50% +5% -45% (13) 225
22 20 Martijn Dekker * NED 08:49:59 09:32:11 00:48:10 04:32:38 05:25:49 03:24:10 18% +0% -82% (4) (246)
23 16 Allister Caird AUS 08:50:11 09:24:32 00:58:44 04:32:31 05:36:15 03:13:56 10% +16% -74% (7) 229
24 26 Nathan Shearer AUS 08:51:06 09:27:12 00:56:25 04:38:01 05:39:26 03:11:40 49% +51% -0% (2) (234)
25 13 Petr Vabrousek CZE 08:51:48 09:18:25 00:56:30 04:42:02 05:43:33 03:08:15 72% +1% -27% (100) 208
26 24 James Lubinski USA 08:53:57 09:19:11 01:03:00 04:42:12 05:50:13 03:03:44 54% +30% -17% (21) 211
27 27 Leigh Stabryla AUS 08:57:58 09:25:19 00:49:25 05:02:50 05:57:14 03:00:44 55% +0% -45% (4) (230)
28 30 Lindsey Wall AUS 09:12:26 09:44:40 00:48:10 04:49:28 05:42:39 03:29:47 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (271)
29 28 Josef Svoboda * CZE 10:59:52 11:50:07 01:13:15 05:36:51 06:55:06 04:04:46 34% +23% -43% (19) 311
  17 Damien Collins AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 16% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 37 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 08:57:09 09:14:52 00:57:34 04:45:03 05:47:37 03:09:32 83% +0% -17% (33) 7
2 35 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 08:57:22 09:17:18 00:55:33 04:50:13 05:50:47 03:06:35 73% +8% -19% (6) 10
3 38 Carrie Lester AUS 08:57:56 09:16:27 00:54:20 04:49:38 05:48:58 03:08:58 63% +18% -19% (23) 8
4 36 Mareen Hufe GER 09:04:12 09:26:10 00:59:27 04:45:46 05:50:13 03:13:59 84% +10% -6% (26) 30
5 41 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 09:19:14 09:39:24 00:59:30 04:57:30 06:02:01 03:17:13 78% +10% -12% (14) 47
6 47 Camilla Lindholm Borg SWE 09:24:11 09:48:53 01:06:24 04:57:53 06:09:17 03:14:54 74% +10% -16% (19) 65
7 46 Carolin Lehrieder GER 09:29:14 10:20:29 00:55:18 05:05:50 06:06:08 03:23:06 20% +7% -73% (11) (120)
8 43 Michelle Gailey AUS 09:32:30 09:52:56 00:55:38 05:11:18 06:11:56 03:20:34 84% +0% -16% (11) 69
9 48 Jessica Mitchell AUS 09:39:26 10:13:24 01:03:32 05:06:06 06:14:39 03:24:47 38% +62% -0% (4) 114
10 39 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 09:43:03 10:10:11 00:56:20 05:08:28 06:09:48 03:33:15 35% +4% -61% (30) 104
11 42 Anna Eberhardt HUN 09:44:02 10:26:05 01:07:41 05:04:12 06:16:53 03:27:09 17% +30% -53% (3) (128)
12 49 Tracy Morrison AUS 10:06:30 10:39:21 01:01:04 05:27:29 06:33:34 03:32:56 68% +0% -32% (4) 149
13 45 Monica Juhart AUS 11:23:40 12:03:33 00:54:53 05:24:06 06:23:59 04:59:41 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (163)
  40 Claire Davis AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
  44 Meredith Hill AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
  50 Kierra Sansome AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
  51 Alise Selsmark AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
  52 Els Visser NED n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Terenzo Bozzone: 50% (1-1)
  • Tim Van Berkel: 32% (2-1)
  • Jens Petersen-Bach: 6% (16-1)
  • Cameron Brown: 6% (17-1)
  • Cameron Wurf: 3% (31-1)
  • Dougal Allan: 2% (60-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Yvonne Van Vlerken: 35% (2-1)
  • Melissa Hauschildt: 33% (2-1)
  • Carrie Lester: 26% (3-1)
  • Mareen Hufe: 6% (15-1)
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Ironman Western Australia 2017 (Dec 3rd) – Entry List

Update Oct 25th: Added Kate Bevilaqua, Dimity-Lee Duke, Anna Eberhardt, Carrie Lester, Jessica Mitchell, Tracy Morrison (WPRO); Terenzo Bozzone, Leigh Stabryla (MPRO)

Update Nov 9th: Added Melissa Hauschildt, Meredith Hill, Alise Selsmark (WPRO), Dougal Allan, Nick Baldwin, Scott Defilippis, Pete Jacobs, Callum Millward, Nathan Shearer, Lindsey Wall, Cameron Wurf (MPRO)

Male Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Terenzo Bozzone NZL 5475 1+1
Cameron Wurf AUS 2880 2+0
Callum Millward NZL 1735 1+1
Jens Petersen-Bach DEN 1620 1+1
Markus Thomschke GER 1280 1+0
Guy Crawford NZL 1000 1+1
Dougal Allan NZL 640 0+1
Luke Bell AUS 535 0+2 (0/100)
Martijn Dekker NED 280 0+1
Scott Defilippis USA 230 1+0
Markus Liebelt GER 135 0+1
Konstantin Bachor GER 10 1+0
Nick Baldwin SEY 0 0+0
Per Bittner GER 0 0+0
Cameron Brown NZL 0 0+0
Matt Burton AUS 0 0+0
Allister Caird AUS 0 0+0
Romain Guillaume FRA 0 0+0
Esben Hovgaard DEN 0 0+0
Pete Jacobs AUS 0 0+0
James Lubinski USA 0 0+0
Levi Maxwell AUS 0 0+0
Carl Read NZL 0 0+0
Nathan Shearer AUS 0 0+0
Leigh Stabryla AUS 0 0+0
Josef Svoboda CZE 0 0+0
Petr Vabrousek CZE 0 0+0
Lindsey Wall AUS 0 0+0

Female Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Carrie Lester AUS 4250 1+0
Melissa Hauschildt AUS 2785 1+1
Mareen Hufe GER 2635 1+0
Kate Bevilaqua AUS 2140 1+1
Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 2000 1+0
Camilla Lindholm Borg SWE 720 1+0
Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 340 1+0
Michelle Gailey AUS 320 0+1
Claire Davis AUS 180 0+1
Monica Juhart AUS 125 0+1
Alise Selsmark AUS 75 0+1
Anna Eberhardt HUN 0 0+0
Meredith Hill AUS 0 0+0
Carolin Lehrieder GER 0 0+0
Jessica Mitchell AUS 0 0+0
Tracy Morrison AUS 0 0+0
Kierra Sansome AUS    
Els Visser NED    

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