Kona Odds

Last updated: Mid-May 2018 (before the summer IMs)

Male Race Participants

Last year’s champion Patrick Lange is the slight favorite, but he is closely followed by a trio of competitors that have almost even statistical chances: Jan Frodeno, Sebastian Kienle and Lionel Sanders. 

  • Patrick Lange: 26% (3-1)
  • Lionel Sanders: 17% (5-1)
  • Jan Frodeno: 17% (5-1)
  • Sebastian Kienle: 15% (5-1)
  • Tim Don: 8% (12-1)
  • Patrik Nilsson: 6% (15-1)
  • David McNamee: 3% (28-1)
  • Terenzo Bozzone: 2% (52-1)
  • James Cunnama: 2% (55-1)

Female Race Participants

All of the athletes with statistical chances to win Kona will still be racing in the summer, but even if there are likely to be slight changes in their odds, Daniela Ryf will remain the undisputed female favorite for Kona 2018:

  • Daniela Ryf: 63% (1-1)
  • Mirinda Carfrae: 16% (5-1)
  • Lucy Charles: 7% (14-1)
  • Kaisa Sali: 4% (25-1)
  • Rachel Joyce: 3% (31-1)
  • Sarah Crowley: 3% (33-1)
  • Heather Jackson: 3% (37-1)

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