Archive | Analysis

Previous Kona Results by the 2018 Participants

This post looks at the previous Kona results by the 2018 Pro field.

A few observations:

  • Ronnie Schildknecht has the longest active Kona streak and the most Kona starts in the current field, he’s been racing Kona since 2006 (12 races).
  • Cam Brown has been racing even longer – his first race was in 2000! He also has 12 starts in Kona.
  • On the female side, Linsey Corbin has the most starts. She also the most finished in the whole Pro field (10 finishes out of 11 starts).
  • With 9 finishes, Luke McKenzie and Andy Potts have the most finishes on the male side.
  • The longest active streak on the female side is by Michelle Vesterby, she has been racing the last six races in Kona.

I am going to provide a lot more details on the race and the participants in my free “Kona Rating Report” which you can already pre-order at https://gum.co/Kona2018 (donations welcome).

Male Participants

Athletes 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 # of Races Highest Finish
Bart Aernouts 11 8 9 8 12 5 of 6 8
Josh Amberger 29 1 29
Igor Amorelli 13 25 33 14 4 of 5 13
Nick Baldwin
Terenzo Bozzone 11 20 6 3 of 5 6
Cameron Brown 2 8 5 22 17 9 of 12 2
Kyle Buckingham 24 30 26 3 of 4 24
Tyler Butterfield 28 7 5 36 4 of 6 5
Denis Chevrot 23 32 2 of 3 23
Matt Chrabot 37 1 37
Will Clarke 41 1 41
Maurice Clavel
Simon Cochrane
Kevin Collington 0 of 1
Antony Costes
James Cunnama 51 4 26 5 4 of 5 4
Braden Currie 30 1 30
Alessandro Degasperi 20 20 2 20
Tim Don 15 1 of 2 15
Andreas Dreitz
Marc Duelsen 18 1 18
Jan Frodeno 3 Win Win 35 4 Win
Javier Gomez
Romain Guillaume 17 10 19 3 10
Matt Hanson 34 1 of 2 34
Ben Hoffman 55 42 15 2 27 4 9 7 of 8 2
Nick Kastelein 0 of 1
Sebastian Kienle 4 3 Win 8 2 4 6 Win
Philipp Koutny
Patrick Lange 3 Win 2 Win
Luke McKenzie 54 19 29 15 9 24 2 15 35 9 of 10 2
Brent McMahon 9 30 2 of 3 9
David McNamee 11 13 3 3 3
Callum Millward 36 1 of 2 36
Giulio Molinari 28 1 28
Patrik Nilsson 8 1 8
Timothy O’Donnell 8 5 32 3 6 19 6 of 7 3
Jens Petersen-Bach 0 of 1
Mike Phillips
David Plese 27 17 2 of 4 17
Andy Potts 7 9 21 17 7 4 4 11 7 9 4
Ivan Rana 6 17 12 9 11 5 6
Tim Reed 21 23 2 of 3 21
Matthew Russell 23 20 18 23 12 5 of 6 12
Lionel Sanders 14 29 2 3 2
Ronnie Schildknecht 15 4 18 15 19 12 15 31 8 of 12 4
Joe Skipper 13 41 2 13
Andrew Starykowicz 19 1 of 2 19
Boris Stein 20 10 7 10 4 7
Ivan Tutukin 0 of 1
Jan van Berkel 32 22 2 of 3 22
Tim Van Berkel 7 36 19 15 4 7
Frederik Van Lierde 34 14 3 Win 8 25 10 7 of 10 Win
Cyril Viennot 15 18 12 5 6 18 6 of 7 5
Thiago Vinhal 13 1 13
Michael Weiss 25 13 16 16 32 5 of 7 13
Ruedi Wild 21 16 2 16
Cameron Wurf 17 1 17

Female Participants

Athletes 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 # of Starts Highest Finish
Corinne Abraham 11 16 2 11
Teresa Adam
Jen Annett
Liz Blatchford 3 10 3 3 3
Lauren Brandon 26 1 26
Melanie Burke 26 1 26
Mirinda Carfrae 2 Win 2 3 Win Win 2 7 of 8 Win
Lucy Charles 2 1 2
Susie Cheetham 6 6 2 of 3 6
Linsey Corbin 23 5 11 12 16 8 10 12 13 13 10 of 11 5
Sarah Crowley 15 3 2 3
Tine Deckers 12 19 12 16 4 of 6 12
Gurutze Frades Larralde 33 22 2 22
Helle Frederiksen
Manon Genet
Anne Haug
Melissa Hauschildt 14 1 of 2 14
Lisa Huetthaler
Mareen Hufe 19 21 11 3 of 4 11
Heather Jackson 5 3 4 3 3
Kirsty Jahn
Meredith Kessler 26 7 26 35 4 of 6 7
Katja Konschak 36 30 31 3 30
Carrie Lester 23 10 7 3 7
Asa Lundstroem 17 11 8 17 4 8
Annabel Luxford 12 9 2 of 3 9
Rachel McBride
Jocelyn McCauley 10 1 10
Beth McKenzie 15 1 15
Emma Pallant
Sarah Piampiano 23 7 7 3 of 4 7
Lisa Roberts 20 16 2 16
Jodie Robertson 20 1 of 2 20
Daniela Ryf 2 Win Win Win 4 Win
Kaisa Sali 5 5 2 5
Laura Siddall 15 1 15
Lesley Smith
Maja Stage Nielsen 12 1 12
Sara Svensk
Sarah True
Michelle Vesterby 12 8 14 4 6 5 of 6 4
0

Unofficial KPR & 2018 Kona Pro Slot Allocation for August Cutoff

2018 Kona Rating Report Title ThumbHere is my calculation of the KPR at the end of August qualifying, deciding the final 10 male and 7 female slots (in addition to the July Qualifiers). My results are unofficial, the official results will be posted on the Ironman website at http://eu.ironman.com/triathlon/triathlon-rankings/points-system.aspx (but as far as I can tell will show the same data). I do not show the July qualifiers, therefore it is a bit easier to determine the August qualifiers. The ranks of athletes just outside the slots will be shown in (brackets). I will update this post with new information regarding declined slots and rolldown.

Once the field has been completed, I will work on this year’s version of the Kona Rating Report, looking at the field and each athlete’s chances for a good result. The free report will be released in time before the Kona race, you can already pre-order your copy.

Update Aug 21st: As expected, Yvonne has declined her slot and it’s been accepted by Katja Konschak. Most of the other slots have been accepted by now, the few remaining ones are expected to do so with the next day or two.

Update Aug 22nd: As Tim Don posted on his Instagram feed, he received a rolldown slot, apparently from Jonathan Shearon who is the only athlete not marked with a Q on the KPR website.

Update Aug 23rd: Matt Russell was offered a wild-card slot by Ironman which he accepted (details in his Instagram post). Matt was racing last year’s race in Kona when he was hit by cross-traffic and barely escaped with his life.

Male KPR Rankings

Rank Name Nation Points Races Last Race
1 Koutny, Philipp SUI 4925 3+1 (855/400) 2018-08-04
2 Stein, Boris GER 4880 2+2 (960/320) 2018-08-19
3 Duelsen, Marc GER 4250 3+1 (705/345) 2018-08-04
4 Viennot, Cyril FRA 4060 2+2 (1280/280) 2018-08-19
5 Molinari, Giulio ITA 3610 3+1 (720/540) 2018-08-19
6 Millward, Callum NZL 3465 2+2 (685/540) 2018-08-04
7 Cochrane, Simon NZL 3420 3+1 (720/140) 2018-07-15
8 Kastelein, Nick AUS 3340 1+2 (2455/345) 2018-07-08
9 Baldwin, Nick SEY 3305 3+1 (305/280) 2018-08-19
10 D Shearon, Jonathan USA 3290 3+1 (540/540) 2018-07-29
Kanute, Ben USA 3200 0+2 (0/500) 2018-06-03
11 Don, Tim GBR 3160 1+2 (230/500) 2018-08-19
12 Russell, Matt USA 3145 2+2 (1280/240) 2018-08-19
(13) Jurkiewicz, Jeremy FRA 3125 3+1 (540/345) 2018-07-29
Appleton, Sam AUS 3105 0+2 (0/920) 2018-08-04
(14) Vistica, Andrej CRO 3060 3+1 (720/100) 2018-08-15
(15) Gambles, Joe AUS 2885 1+2 (1600/500) 2018-08-19

Female KPR Rankings

Rank Name Nation Points Races Last Race
1 Blatchford, Liz AUS 5535 2+2 (2000/750) 2018-08-19
2 Abraham, Corinne GBR 5280 3+1 (1100/180) 2018-08-18
3 D Van Vlerken, Yvonne NED 5100 3+1 (960/540) 2018-08-12
4 Kessler, Meredith USA 4485 2+2 (1280/750) 2018-08-19
5 Brandon, Lauren USA 4470 2+2 (1335/750) 2018-08-19
6 Lundstroem, Asa SWE 4390 3+1 (880/240) 2018-08-18
7 McKenzie, Beth USA 4310 1+2 (2890/500) 2018-08-19
8 Konschak, Katja GER 4110 3+1 (960/100) 2018-08-05
(9) Naeth, Angela CAN 4065 3+1 (720/785) 2018-08-18
(10) Lindholm Borg, Camilla SWE 3920 3+1 (720/320) 2018-08-18
(11) Chura, Haley USA 3875 2+2 (705/920) 2018-08-05
(12) Grohmann, Katharina GER 3620 3+1 (340/345) 2018-07-29

 

Kona 2018 Pro Qualifying Before the Final August Races

This post looks at Kona Pro Qualifying before the remaining races before the August cutoff:

Date Type Race Points
12-Aug 70.3 70.3 Steelhead P-750
18-Aug IM IM Sweden – WPRO only P-2000
19-Aug 70.3 70.3 Bintan P-500
19-Aug IM IM Copenhagen – MPRO only P-2000
19-Aug 70.3 70.3 Dun Laoghaire P-500
19-Aug IM IM Mont Tremblant P-2000

(The results from 70.3 Steelhead and 70.3 Dun Laoghaire did not influence the race for the August slots.)

There are more Ironman and 70.3 races in August, but they are already part of 2019 qualifying. The August qualifiers for 2018 are determined on August 19th.

The following analysis is built on the available start lists posted by Ironman and assumes that there are not going to be any late entries. As always, you can check start lists and seedings on TriRating.com.

Women’s Qualifying

August 18th: Updated after IM Sweden, August 19th: Updated after 70.3 Bintan

There are 7 Kona points slots (not counting the athletes already qualified in July) for the female Pros in August. The following table lists the athletes currently occupying the qualifying slots:

Rank Athlete Points Races Comments
1 Corinne Abraham 5.289 3+1
(2) Yvonne Van Vlerken 5.100 3+1 expected to decline (not interested in racing Kona)
3 Asa Lundstroem 4.390 3+1
4 Beth McKenzie 4.310 1+2
5 Katja Konschak 4.110 3+1
6 Angela Naeth 4.065 3+1
7 Camilla Lindholm Borg 3.920 3+1
8 Haley Chura 3.875 2+2

The following table lists what each of the athletes will need who are on one of the start lists and who can still overtake Katharina (who was initially the athlete in the last qualifying spot with 3.620 points), even if that is probably not going to be enough for securing a slot (i.e. even if one can pass Katharina, there are likely others that leap further ahead). In brackets I have added the (result) that will be needed to be quite certain of a slot (regardless of where others may finish, “n/a” meaning that even with a win a slot is not assured). For the women, the “magic number” of points to qualify in August should be just below 4.200, anyone who can pass Katja should be safe:

Athlete Points Races Registered for Needs
Liz Blatchford 3.535 1+2 IM Mont Tremblant 8th (5th)
Asa Lundstroem 3.510 3+1 IM Sweden 4th (2nd)
Laurel Wassner 3.480 2+2 IM Mont Tremblant (DNS) 4th (3rd)
Angela Naeth 3.425 2+2 IM Sweden, IM Mont Tremblant 4th (2nd)
Corinne Abraham 3.280 2+1 IM Sweden 7th (4th)
Lauren Brandon 3.210 2+2 IM Mont Tremblant 4th (2nd)
Meredith Kessler 3.205 1+2 IM Mont Tremblant 5th (3rd)
Dede Griesbauer 2.780 2+1 IM Sweden 4th (2nd)
Kim Morrison * 2.690 2+2 IM Sweden 2nd (Win)
Jessie Donavan 2.395 3+1 IM Mont Tremblant (DNS) Win (Win)
Sonja Tajsich 1.800 2+1 IM Sweden Win (n/a)

* Similar to Yvonne Van Vlerken, Kim Morrison has indicated that she would decline a Kona slot.

Update August 10th: With Sara no longer in the mix for an August slot, the cutoff will probably occur somewhere between Katja and Camilla, likely around 4.000 points. This slightly reduces the needed finishes, in most scenarios athletes should qualify by finishing one rank further down than listed above.

There are a lot more athletes registered for the remaining August races, you can check start lists and seedings on TriRating.com.

Men’s Qualifying

August 19th: Updated after IM Copenhagen

There are 10 Kona points slots (not counting the athletes qualified in July) for the male Pros in August. The following table lists the male Pros in the direct qualifying ranks:

Rank Athlete Points Races Comments
1 Philipp Koutny 4.925 3+1
2 Boris Stein 4.880 2+2
3 Marc Duelsen 4.250 3+1
4 Cyril Vienot 4.060 2+2
5 Giulio Molinari 3.610 3+1
6 Callum Millward 3.465 2+2
7 Simon Cochrane 3.420 3+1
8 Nick Kastelein 3.340 1+2
9 Nick Baldwin 3.305 3+1
10 Jonathan Shearon 3.290 3+1
Ben Kanute 3.200 0+2 not validated, no known IM plans
11 Tim Don 3.160 1+2 registered for IM Copenhagen (should be safe with a 7th)
12 Jeremy Jurkiewicz 3.125 3+1
Sam Appleton 3.105 0+2 not validated, no known IM plans

Boris Stein still needs an Ironman finish to be eligible for a slot. He is registered for IM Copenhagen and “just finishing” will secure a points slot for him. With Ben Kanute and Sam Appleton not being eligible for Kona (no Ironman finish), this means that currently Nick Baldwin occupies the last direct qualifying slot, but it’s safe to assume that a number of athletes are going to score and that more than 3.100 points will be needed.

The next table lists what each of the athletes will need who are on one of the start lists and who can still get to at least 3.105 points, even if that is probably not going to be enough for securing a slot (i.e. even if one can pass that mark, there are likely others that leap further ahead). In brackets I have added the (result) that will be needed to be quite certain of a slot (regardless of where others may finish, “n/a” meaning that even with a win a slot is not assured). For the men I consider 3.500 to be the “magic number” for an August slot, anyone who can pass Callum should be safe:

Athlete Points Races Registered for Needs
Andrej Vistica * 3.060 3+1 IM Copenhagen 4th (3rd)
Joe Gambles 2.885 1+2 IM Mont Tremblant 8th (5th)
Mark Bowstead 2.830 3+1 70.3 Indonesia 2nd (n/a)
Giulio Molinari 2.670 3+1 IM Copenhagen 4th (3rd)
Jesper Svensson 2.620 1+2 IM Copenhagen 6th (4th)
Patrick McKeon 2.595 2+1 IM Mont Tremblant (DNS) 6th (4th)
Jeff Symonds 2.320 2+0 IM Mont Tremblant 4th (3rd)
Sam Long 2.305 3+1 IM Mont Tremblant 3rd (2nd)
Matthew Russell 2.080 2+2 IM Mont Tremblant 3rd (2nd)
Cyril Viennot 2.060 1+2 IM Copenhagen 3rd (2nd)
Johann Ackermann 1.905 2+2 IM Copenhagen 2nd (Win)
Stefan Schmid 1.680 2+0 IM Copenhagen 2nd (Win)
Daniil Sapunov 1.465 2+2 IM Copenhagen Win (n/a)

* Andrej Vistica has announced that he will skip IM Copenhagen and is therefore out of the qualifying game.

As for the women, there are a lot more athletes registered for the remaining August races, you can check start lists and seedings on TriRating.com.

New Kona Pro Qualifying System

With 2018 Kona qualifying almost completed, a lot of Pro athletes are already planning their qualifying for Kona 2019. At the end of last year, Ironman has announced a new system for Kona Pro Qualifying that is going to replace the existing KPR system, starting with qualifying for Kona 2019. The first Pro races under the new system are going to be Ironman Wales and Ironman Wisconsin in early September. This post is a summary of my understanding of the new system and the implications for Pros that want to qualify.

Main Elements

Here are the main elements of the new “slot-based” system. Ironman is expected to release “the fine print” on the new system after the end of 2018 qualifying, but I don’t expect any significant differences to the elements outlined in this post.

  1. Each Pro Ironman race will have at least one base Kona slot each for the male and female Pros. The slot will go to the winner of the race (or the best-placed athlete not yet qualified, see #4). Races designated as Regional Championships (currently Mar del Plata, South Africa, Texas, Cairns and Frankfurt) will have two base slots for each gender.
    (There will also be single gender races, these will have a slot just for that gender.)
  2. Some races will have an additional two “floating” slots, each of the Regional Championships and about five other Ironman races. These floating slots will be proportionally allocated to the male and female Pros based on the number of starters (see example below).
  3. There will also be Automatic Qualifiers (subject to validation by finishing an Ironman in the qualifying season): As under the existing KPR system, Kona winners will receive a five-year exemption, in addition there will be a one-year exemption for the 70.3 Champions and the other podium finishers in Kona.
  4. Similar to the system for agegroupers, Pro slots have to be accepted after each race – so it’s likely that the Pros will also have to attend the “World Championships Slot Allocation” ceremony that’s usually held the day after the race. When Pros are not interested in a slot or have already qualified at another race, the slot will roll down to the next athlete.

Determining the 2018 Kona Field with the New System

Obviously, simply using the results from this season and applying the new system has a number of limitations. First of all, the athletes with floating slots are not fully determined yet. (Ironman has published the slots for the 2018 races, among them IM Arizona and IM Western Australia will have floating slots in addition to the Regional Championships in Mar del Plata.) In addition, the number of slots available will influence where athletes will race and how the floating slots will be divided between male and female Pros.

The following example from IM Frankfurt shows how the slots would have been distributed and how far slots might roll late in the season:

  • First of all, as a Regional Championship Frankfurt has 4 base slots (2 for the females and 2 for the male Pros) and 2 floating slots.
  • The 2018 start numbers were 21 male and 13 females. Proportionally, this means 3.7 slots for the men and 2.3 for the women. Clearly, this means that both floating slots go to the men, so it’s 4 male and 2 female Kona Pro slots in total.
  • Male Slots roll down to seventh place (in order of the finishers): Jan Frodeno (AQ slot as previous Kona winner), Patrik Nilsson (#1 slot), Patrick Lange (AQ slot as Kona winner), Nick Kastelein (#2 slot), Josh Amberger (already qualified in South Africa), Philipp Koutny (#3 slot), Tyler Butterfield (#4 slot)
  • Female Slots roll down to fourth place: Daniela Ryf (AQ slot as Kona winner), Sarah True (#1 slot), Sarah Crowley (AQ slot as Kona podium), Anne Haug (#2 slot)

When simulating the 2018 field with the new system, here are some changes:

  • Ironman winners, but not enough KPR points
    Laurel Wasser (winner IM Taiwan), Diana Riesler (winner IM Malaysia), Jesper Svensson (winner IM Brasil) and both winners at IM France (Giulio Molinari and Corinne Abraham) would be in under the new system, but haven’t been able to qualify in the July KPR. (Some are still looking to qualify in August.)
  • Getting a “high” rolldown slot
    If IM Brasil or IM UK had been a race with floating slots (as mentioned above, this is possible but not certain), the slots would have rolled down quite far to “local” athletes doing their home IM. Obviously, knowing that there would have been a number of races would have impacted who would have raced there.
  • Podium results, but no wins
    Athletes such as Jens Petersen-Bach (qualified by finishing second at IM Italy and IM Malaysia and finishing fourth at IM Lanzarote) or Mike Philipps (second IM Barcelona, fourth IM Switzerland, fifth at IM New Zealand and winner 70.3 Taupo) have been able to collect a number of KPR points, but would have missed qualifying under the new system.
  • Athletes having raced well in Kona or at 70.3 Champs
    With the KPR system, a good result in Kona or at the 70.3 Champs was almost good enough to secure a Kona slot. This season, Ben Hoffmann, James Cunnama, Annabel Luxford or Emma Pallant were able to qualify even without winning an IM.

Implications

Here are some consequences of the new system to be aware of:

  • Less Racing Required To Qualify
    With the new system, you can secure your Kona slot as a Pro with just one good race, addressing the main criticism of the old KPR system that it forced athletes to race too much. This also offers better chances to qualify for athletes that have been injured or pregnant in the previous season.
  • Some Luck Required
    As most races have just one slot available, one “superstar” showing up can severely decrease the chances for everyone else in the field. Especially second-tier athletes will need some luck to pick a race without any strong athletes racing there in order to qualify.
  • Earlier but Final Rolldown Decisions
    With the KPR, all decisions about accepting or declining slots happens at the cutoff dates in late July and August. The new system pushes these decisions to right after the qualifying race. Once a slot is assigned, it won’t get re-assigned even if that athlete decides not to race Kona after all (maybe because of an injury).
  • Decreased Weight of Kona (and 70.3s)
    In the past, a Top 10 in Kona (or a good result at 70.3 Worlds) gave you a solid head start for next season qualifying, and lots of athletes secured their slots just by adding a finish in a late-season IM. With the new system, even a fourth place in Kona does not give you any help for the following year.
  • Still no Equality in Kona
    As almost all IMs have more male than female Pros, the majority of the floating slots is likely to get assigned to the men. (A likely distribution of the 24 floating slots is 18 MPRO and 6 WPRO, leading to a total of about 55 male and 42 female Pros in Kona.)
  • Number of Qualifiers Tied to Number of Pro Races
    Changes in the Pro racing calendar (adding/removing races) would impact the number of total available slots for Kona. This will have a bigger influence on 70.3 Worlds Qualifying that will use almost the same system (1 base slot per gender, no floating slots) but has a larger number of races in the calendar (about 75 70.3s with a Pro category).

Unofficial KPR & 2018 Kona Pro Slot Allocation for July Cutoff

2018 Kona Rating Report Title ThumbHere is my calculation of the KPR at the end of July, deciding 40 male and 28 female slots (in addition to the Automatic Qualifiers). My results are unofficial, the official results will be posted on the Ironman website at http://eu.ironman.com/triathlon/triathlon-rankings/points-system.aspx (but as far as I can tell will show the same data). I do not count AQs and athletes that haven’t validated in my rankings, therefore it is a bit easier to determine the Top 40 male and Top 28 females. I will update this post with new information regarding declined slots and rolldown.

There is going to be a second cutoff in August, adding another 10 male and 7 female slots. Once the field has been completed, I will work on this year’s version of the Kona Rating Report, looking at the field and each athlete’s chances for a good result. The free report will be released in time before the Kona race, you can already pre-order your copy.

July 27th: For now, the tables below contain the athletes that I consider safe for a July slot before the final races this weekend. The remaining races will decide the final spots, check out the geeky details about who’s currently in and who can still make in this post (“Kona 2018 Qualifying Before the Last July Races“). I will update this post as soon as each of the races is over with the implications.

July 28th: There are two impacts from 70.3 Santa Rosa for Kona Qualifying:

  • Tyler Butterfield finished third, adds 540 points for a total of 3.705 and moves up #31 in the points rankings.
  • Thiago Vinhal finished tenth, adds 115 points for a total of 3.700 and moves up to #32 in the points rankings.

For both Tyler and Thiago it’s not quite enough to call him safe (so they don’t yet show up in the table below), but both are strong candidates for July slots now. The final decisions still depend on the remaining races.

July 29th (afternoon): After IM Hamburg and IM Switzerland the female rankings are finished, so the table shows the top athletes. For those that are beyond the Top 28 ranks, I show their ranks in brackets, they have to hope for a rolldown. (As Liz Lyles is likely to decline her slot, I also show #29 – Anne Haug – without brackets.) The male rankings will be finalized after IM Whistler later today, so I show only the athletes I now consider safe for a slot and will update as soon as Whistler is completed. 

July 29th (late): Even though Ironman Whistler is not finished yet, there aren’t going to be any significant changes. Marino has been running in twelfth place (he may still improve), so his total will be slightly higher than his current 3.600. (A twelfth place would be 85 points.) In addition, Mark Bowstead cannot finish on the podium, so he can’t move into the Top 40 anymore. Even if he is going to finished sixth (he is currently running in eighth), he would still end up with less than 3.000 points.

July 30th: The male rankings are now updated to reflect the outcome of IM Whistler. Ironman will now contact the athletes if they want to accept their slots, if one declines the slot will roll down to the next athlete. Depending on the number of declines and the “length of chain declines”, this process can take up to a week and longer. 

July 31st: The first slots have been accepted and “Q”s start to appear next to the names on the Ironman KPR website. There is one interesting development: Cam Brown has accepted his slot, deciding one of the questions around potential rolldowns.

August 1st: Denis Chevrot is now also listed with a “Q” and I’m now showing him without the brackets. I’m assuming that it was Marino who declined his slot, but as I can’t be sure I show his “D” (for decline) with a question mark. As expected, Terenzo accepted his slot even while still recovering from his accident.

August 2nd: As expected, Anne Haug has received and accepted a rolldown slot. However, this slot may also be courtesy of Lucy Gossage wh0 announced on Twitter that she’s not accepting her slot. This means that an extra slot is likely to roll down to Melanie Burke.

August 3rd: As expected, Melanie Burke has also received a rolldown slot.

August 10th: One more slot has rolled on the female side: Lisa Roberts has decided to tackle other races in the fall and declined her slot. Sara Svensk has accepted a slot, also impacting August qualifying. On the men’s side, there are still three athletes who have not accepted their slots: Ivan Tutukin, Bart Aernouts and Joe Skipper. Today is the last day for making a decision.

August 12th: All male and female July slots have been accepted with new rolldowns. I have posted an “Always Up-to-date 2018 Kona Startlist” that will be updated with the August slots and any other new developments.

Male KPR Rankings

Rank Name Nation Points Races Last Race
AQ Lange, Patrick GER 12030 2+2 (2890/500) 2018-07-08
1 Sanders, Lionel CAN 11450 2+2 (2000/750) 2018-06-24
AQ Kienle, Sebastian GER 11080 2+2 (2000/1275) 2018-07-01
2 Bozzone, Terenzo NZL 10890 3+1 (2000/1275) 2018-06-10
3 McNamee, David GBR 7900 2+2 (30/640) 2018-07-01
4 Cunnama, James ZAF 7780 2+2 (1280/500) 2018-07-29
5 Gomez, Javier ESP 7320 1+2 (3400/920) 2018-07-28
6 Nilsson, Patrik SWE 7225 2+0 2018-07-08
7 Amberger, Josh AUS 6630 2+2 (2090/500) 2018-07-08
8 Tutukin, Ivan RUS 6335 2+2 (1600/45) 2018-07-01
9 Potts, Andy USA 6330 2+2 (1280/400) 2018-07-01
AQ Buckingham, Kyle ZAF 6145 3+1 (340/135) 2018-06-10
AQ Currie, Braden NZL 6065 2+2 (340/640) 2018-06-10
10 Aernouts, Bart BEL 5865 2+2 (2000/540) 2018-07-29
11 McMahon, Brent CAN 5810 3+1 (1600/540) 2018-07-29
12 Rana, Ivan ESP 5755 3+1 (1280/240) 2018-05-26
13 Wurf, Cameron AUS 5735 3+0 (1280/0) 2018-07-29
AQ Frodeno, Jan GER 5735 2+2 (235/750) 2018-07-08
14 Van Berkel, Tim AUS 5565 3+1 (1335/400) 2018-06-10
15 Weiss, Michael AUT 5435 2+2 (1600/750) 2018-07-01
AQ Hanson, Matt USA 5250 2+2 (235/500) 2018-06-24
16 Amorelli, Igor BRA 5250 3+1 (1280/750) 2018-07-08
17 Skipper, Joe GBR 5200 3+0 (1600/0) 2018-07-29
18 Clavel, Maurice GER 5095 1+2 (2890/435) 2018-06-17
19 van Berkel, Jan SUI 5050 3+0 (960/0) 2018-07-29
20 Costes, Antony FRA 4975 2+2 (1600/625) 2018-06-24
21 Starykowicz, Andrew USA 4670 3+1 (960/640) 2018-06-24
22 Clarke, Will GBR 4405 2+2 (960/15) 2018-07-29
23 Collington, Kevin USA 4250 2+2 (960/540) 2018-06-10
24 Petersen-Bach, Jens DEN 4180 3+1 (960/20) 2018-05-26
25 Phillips, Mike NZL 4030 3+1 (720/750) 2018-07-29
26 Degasperi, Alessandro ITA 4005 3+1 (450/220) 2018-07-01
27 Wild, Ruedi SUI 3995 2+2 (1100/640) 2018-07-14
28 Dreitz, Andreas GER 3975 1+2 (2000/540) 2018-07-01
Stein, Boris GER 3920 1+2 (3100/320) 2018-06-10
29 O’Donnell, Timothy USA 3890 2+2 (565/435) 2018-07-28
30 Hoffman, Ben USA 3870 2+1 2018-04-15
31 Brown, Cameron NZL 3840 3+0 (960/0) 2018-06-03
32 Guillaume, Romain FRA 3795 2+2 (960/400) 2018-06-24
33 D? Vanhoenacker, Marino BEL 3729 3+0 2018-07-29
34 McKenzie, Luke AUS 3715 2+1 2018-05-06
35 Butterfield, Tyler BMU 3705 2+2 (235/540) 2018-07-28
36 Vinhal, Thiago BRA 3700 3+1 (405/115) 2018-07-28
37 Plese, David SLO 3670 3+1 (855/255) 2018-07-29
38 Chrabot, Matt USA 3630 1+2 (2000/640) 2018-07-01
AQ Van Lierde, Frederik BEL 3605 2+1 2018-06-24
39 Schildknecht, Ronnie SUI 3545 3+1 (235/500) 2018-07-29
40 Reed, Tim AUS 3470 2+2 (340/785) 2018-06-10
41 Chevrot, Denis FRA 3465 2+2 (235/500) 2018-06-10
(42) Millward, Callum NZL 3465 2+2 (685/540) 2018-06-10
(43) Cochrane, Simon NZL 3420 3+1 (720/140) 2018-07-15
(44) Kastelein, Nick AUS 3340 1+2 (2455/345) 2018-07-08
(45) Koutny, Philipp SUI 3325 2+2 (855/400) 2018-07-08
(46) Shearon, Jonathan USA 3290 3+1 (540/540) 2018-07-29
(47) Don, Tim GBR 3160 1+2 (230/500) 2018-07-29
(48) Jurkiewicz, Jeremy FRA 3125 3+1 (540/345) 2018-07-29

There could be a few rolldowns, for example it is unclear wether Marino Vanhoenacker and Cam Brown are interested in taking their slots. In that case, the next athletes (the ones currently with ranks in brackets) would get a rolldown slot. (Update: Cam has accepted his slot; Marino has probably declined.)

Denis Chevrot and Callum Millward have the same points total, but Denis is ahead by the tie-breaking best single race score. (Denis’ best score is 2.090 from IM Cairns, while Callum’s best is 1.600 from IM Louisville.)

Boris Stein is not eligible for a Kona slot as he hasn’t finished an Ironman outside of Kona this season. He had a bike crash shortly before his planned race at IM France and is still recovering. He hopes to secure his slot at IM Copenhagen in August.

Female KPR Rankings

Rank Name Nation Points Races Last Race
AQ Ryf, Daniela SUI 16085 2+2 (4000/1085) 2018-07-08
AQ Charles, Lucy GBR 11840 2+1 2018-07-01
1 Crowley, Sarah AUS 11370 3+0 (2000/0) 2018-07-29
2 Sali, Kaisa FIN 10000 3+1 (2000/750) 2018-07-29
3 Cheetham, Susie GBR 9520 3+1 (960/435) 2018-07-01
AQ Hauschildt, Melissa AUS 9120 3+1 (1620/1500) 2018-06-17
4 Jackson, Heather USA 8975 2+2 (2000/500) 2018-07-22
5 Lester, Carrie AUS 7990 3+1 (1600/540) 2018-06-24
6 True, Sarah USA 6670 1+2 (3400/1085) 2018-07-08
7 Jahn, Kirsty CAN 6590 3+1 (1600/990) 2018-07-28
8 Luxford, Annabel AUS 6495 2+1 2018-07-29
9 Hufe, Mareen GER 6475 3+1 (1600/240) 2018-07-01
10 D Gossage, Lucy GBR 6435 3+1 (2000/435) 2018-07-15
11 D Lyles, Elizabeth USA 6325 2+1 2017-10-14
12 Siddall, Laura GBR 5810 3+1 (1375/435) 2018-07-28
13 McCauley, Jocelyn USA 5770 2+2 (1280/640) 2018-07-28
14 Piampiano, Sarah USA 5630 3+1 (1280/750) 2018-07-22
15 Corbin, Linsey USA 5625 2+2 (1900/400) 2018-07-28
AQ Adam, Teresa NZL 5600 2+0 2018-06-10
16 Smith, Lesley USA 5440 2+2 (1600/435) 2018-05-13
17 Genet, Manon FRA 5400 3+1 (1280/750) 2018-06-24
18 Robertson, Jodie USA 5300 2+2 (960/400) 2018-07-22
19 McBride, Rachel CAN 5265 2+2 (1670/500) 2018-07-08
20 Vesterby, Michelle DEN 5015 3+0 (960/0) 2018-07-14
21 D Roberts, Lisa USA 4960 3+0 (960/0) 2018-07-29
22 Pallant, Emma GBR 4900 1+2 (1280/920) 2018-07-01
23 Frades Larralde, Gurutze ESP 4865 3+1 (340/400) 2018-07-14
24 Frederiksen, Helle DEN 4845 1+2 (1600/1275) 2018-07-14
AQ Carfrae, Mirinda AUS 4790 1+2 (3400/640) 2018-07-28
25 Huetthaler, Lisa AUT 4680 2+2 (1600/640) 2018-07-28
26 Stage Nielsen, Maja DEN 4615 3+1 (855/240) 2018-07-29
27 Annett, Jen CAN 4615 3+1 (1280/400) 2018-07-22
28 Deckers, Tine BEL 4490 3+1 (855/435) 2018-06-03
29 Haug, Anne GER 4480 1+2 (2455/750) 2018-07-08
30 Burke, Melanie NZL 4440 3+1 (405/345) 2018-07-29
31 Svensk, Sara SWE 4035 2+2 (540/320) 2018-07-01
(32) Lindholm Borg, Camilla SWE 3920 3+1 (720/320) 2018-07-15
(33) Chura, Haley USA 3875 2+2 (705/920) 2018-06-24
(34) Grohmann, Katharina GER 3620 3+1 (340/345) 2018-07-29
(35) Konschak, Katja GER 3555 3+1 (405/100) 2018-07-08

Liz Lyles has announced her retirement and it is therefore expected that she will decline her Kona slot once she is “formally” asked by Ironman after the end of July qualifying. Is she declines, her slot would roll to Anne Haug who is ranked in the #29 points slot. (Update Aug 3rd: Two slots have rolled, one of them from Liz and another from Lucy Gossage.)

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