Archive | IM Hamburg

Ironman Hawaii 2018 – Analyzing Results

Kona2018LogoCourse Conditions

This year had one of the fastest conditions ever in Kona: Relatively mild temperatures and almost no wind contributed to fast times and lots of course records. This year’s adjustment of 4:19 was about 12 minutes quicker than last year, and while the swim and run were pretty much comparable to typical Kona conditions, the bike had a “crazy fast” 15:37 adjustment, much faster than the typical 3:32 bike course rating for Kona.

Even with the quick conditions, the new course records that were set today broke the old records by a country mile. We’ve seen two new overall course records by the two winners, Dani improving on her 2016 time by 20 minutes and Patrick on last year’s time by nine minutes. There were also records on the swim by Lucy Charles and agegrouper Jan Sibbersen who swam a 46:30. We’ve also seen new bike course records by Dani improving on Karin Thürig’s 2011 time of 4:44 – an improvement of 18 minutes! – and by Cam Wurf who improved his bike split from last year by almost four minutes.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Patrick Lange GER 00:50:37 04:16:04 02:41:31 07:52:39 -08:47 US$ 120,000
2 Bart Aernouts BEL 00:54:07 04:12:25 02:45:41 07:56:41 -18:09 US$ 60,000
3 David McNamee GBR 00:49:31 04:21:18 02:46:03 08:01:09 -20:07 US$ 40,000
4 Timothy O’Donnell USA 00:47:45 04:18:45 02:52:33 08:03:17 -11:45 US$ 22,500
5 Braden Currie NZL 00:49:28 04:17:17 02:53:38 08:04:41 -15:03 US$ 19,000
6 Matthew Russell USA 00:54:02 04:12:58 02:52:56 08:04:45 -18:35 US$ 16,000
7 Joe Skipper GBR 00:50:53 04:15:41 02:54:15 08:05:54 -13:30 US$ 14,000
8 Andy Potts USA 00:49:33 04:18:51 02:56:27 08:09:34 -04:48 US$ 12,500
9 Cameron Wurf AUS 00:50:51 04:09:06 03:06:18 08:10:32 -11:16 US$ 11,000
10 Michael Weiss AUT 00:54:14 04:11:27 03:00:02 08:11:04 -07:22 US$ 10,000
11 Javier Gomez ESP 00:47:46 04:19:44 02:59:24 08:11:41 06:42  
12 Tim Van Berkel AUS 00:50:39 04:27:47 02:50:36 08:13:47 -04:24  
13 Andreas Dreitz GER 00:50:56 04:15:17 03:02:50 08:14:02 07:54  
14 Ruedi Wild SUI 00:50:48 04:19:48 02:58:04 08:14:31 -04:48  
15 Philipp Koutny SUI 00:50:39 04:19:58 03:00:17 08:15:58 -18:07  
16 Mike Phillips NZL 00:50:45 04:25:04 02:57:35 08:17:54 -00:02  
17 James Cunnama ZAF 00:50:41 04:21:02 03:02:00 08:18:18 03:11  
18 Tim Reed AUS 00:50:45 04:19:56 03:03:47 08:19:13 -07:33  
19 Maurice Clavel GER 00:47:43 04:19:01 03:08:42 08:19:40 03:21  
20 Giulio Molinari ITA 00:47:51 04:18:38 03:10:07 08:21:52 -05:44  
21 David Plese SLO 00:54:02 04:12:27 03:11:28 08:23:33 00:30  
22 Cameron Brown NZL 00:54:16 04:28:56 02:55:34 08:25:30 -00:52  
23 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 00:50:44 04:20:17 03:10:14 08:26:01 02:03  
24 Jan van Berkel SUI 00:50:32 04:30:49 03:01:21 08:27:03 06:04  
25 Ivan Rana ESP 00:48:21 04:32:26 03:02:39 08:27:52 06:13  
26 Denis Chevrot FRA 00:47:41 04:37:58 02:59:03 08:29:56 02:23  
27 Luke McKenzie AUS 00:50:46 04:27:26 03:07:29 08:30:32 06:30  
28 Lionel Sanders CAN 00:53:59 04:16:58 03:15:26 08:30:34 18:45  
29 Tyler Butterfield BMU 00:50:42 04:31:26 03:03:58 08:30:38 -01:33  
30 Igor Amorelli BRA 00:47:54 04:18:33 03:22:48 08:34:21 06:53  
31 Antony Costes FRA 00:47:49 04:18:53 03:24:43 08:36:04 -07:55  
32 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 00:50:30 04:26:48 03:16:57 08:38:48 23:31  
33 Matt Hanson USA 00:54:26 04:29:11 03:10:34 08:39:58 20:29  
34 Jens Petersen-Bach DEN 00:54:11 04:40:51 03:00:16 08:40:08 08:44  
35 Cyril Viennot FRA 00:50:43 04:23:23 03:24:51 08:44:12 20:20  
36 Tim Don GBR 00:50:34 04:19:11 03:29:55 08:45:17 30:47  
37 Romain Guillaume FRA 00:50:38 04:27:18 03:24:16 08:48:08 17:20  
38 Nick Baldwin SEY 00:54:04 04:34:47 03:14:44 08:50:16 00:27  
39 Simon Cochrane NZL 00:52:27 04:37:17 03:16:27 08:50:54 05:54  
40 Andrew Starykowicz USA 00:49:34 04:12:18 03:44:48 08:52:41 28:14  
41 Thiago Vinhal BRA 00:50:32 04:56:53 02:59:15 08:52:56 19:07  
42 Will Clarke GBR 00:50:39 04:22:21 03:35:16 08:53:03 31:42  
43 Matt Chrabot USA 00:47:58 04:50:46 03:19:32 09:03:26 36:09  
44 Callum Millward NZL 00:50:57 04:32:08 03:37:45 09:06:25 36:11  
  Josh Amberger AUS 00:47:39 04:18:42   DNF    
  Sebastian Kienle GER 00:50:42 04:20:07   DNF    
  Brent McMahon CAN 00:50:30 04:29:49   DNF    
  Ivan Tutukin RUS 00:50:48 04:30:28   DNF    
  Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 00:54:08 04:29:05   DNF    
  Kevin Collington USA 00:48:25 05:13:00   DNF    
  Patrik Nilsson SWE 00:50:46     DNF    
  Alessandro Degasperi ITA 00:54:12     DNF    
  Marc Duelsen GER 00:54:13     DNF    

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:57:27 04:26:07 02:57:05 08:26:18 -17:26 US$ 120,000
2 Lucy Charles GBR 00:48:14 04:38:10 03:05:50 08:36:34 -25:35 US$ 60,000
3 Anne Haug GER 00:54:21 04:47:45 02:55:20 08:41:58 -30:22 US$ 40,000
4 Sarah True USA 00:52:06 04:49:19 02:57:38 08:43:43 -19:47 US$ 22,500
5 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 00:58:18 04:46:05 03:01:41 08:50:45 -10:54 US$ 19,000
6 Sarah Crowley AUS 00:54:19 04:43:09 03:10:29 08:52:30 -18:51 US$ 16,000
7 Kaisa Sali FIN 00:58:23 04:44:31 03:06:04 08:54:28 -06:45 US$ 14,000
8 Angela Naeth CAN 00:58:28 04:42:25 03:11:11 08:57:36 -35:49 US$ 12,500
9 Corinne Abraham GBR 00:58:44 04:38:16 03:16:26 08:57:55 -12:46 US$ 11,000
10 Linsey Corbin USA 00:58:24 04:48:29 03:07:15 08:58:58 -13:13 US$ 10,000
11 Sarah Piampiano USA 01:05:04 04:52:01 02:59:26 09:01:57 -15:56  
12 Liz Blatchford AUS 00:52:09 04:53:32 03:15:17 09:06:20 -05:09  
13 Mareen Hufe GER 00:58:34 04:43:50 03:18:40 09:06:35 -11:50  
14 Heather Jackson USA 00:58:18 04:44:45 03:21:56 09:09:16 06:32  
15 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 00:58:26 04:59:54 03:06:59 09:10:23 -13:15  
16 Helle Frederiksen DEN 00:52:02 04:54:05 03:21:00 09:11:52 08:27  
17 Laura Siddall GBR 00:58:39 04:54:41 03:14:12 09:12:09 01:29  
18 Teresa Adam NZL 00:52:00 04:52:24 03:22:13 09:12:53 06:15  
19 Asa Lundstroem SWE 01:04:46 04:50:57 03:15:31 09:16:31 -03:59  
20 Jodie Robertson USA 01:05:45 04:58:21 03:06:34 09:16:36 -04:50  
21 Tine Deckers BEL 00:58:29 04:49:22 03:24:27 09:17:23 -03:51  
22 Beth McKenzie USA 01:04:07 05:04:10 03:04:48 09:18:09 -01:35  
23 Melanie Burke NZL 01:14:02 04:45:28 03:20:15 09:25:02 -12:08  
24 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 01:05:03 05:08:41 03:07:16 09:26:19 -06:27  
25 Jen Annett CAN 00:58:47 04:51:37 03:31:59 09:27:06 04:23  
26 Susie Cheetham GBR 00:58:19 04:50:39 03:34:05 09:27:57 20:05  
27 Michelle Vesterby DEN 00:54:18 04:56:44 03:31:56 09:27:57 13:00  
28 Rachel McBride CAN 00:54:05 04:48:15 03:46:31 09:34:09 03:55  
29 Lisa Huetthaler AUT 00:58:33 04:44:59 03:58:25 09:46:50 39:47  
30 Jocelyn McCauley USA 00:54:12 04:53:01 03:56:29 09:49:08 28:35  
31 Manon Genet FRA 00:58:28 04:51:37 03:59:12 09:54:25 25:09  
32 Katja Konschak GER 00:54:40 05:20:15 04:33:56 10:55:27 1:19:10  
  Carrie Lester AUS 00:56:45 04:46:02   DNF    
  Kirsty Jahn CAN 00:58:21 04:53:31   DNF    
  Emma Pallant GBR 00:58:24 04:53:54   DNF    
  Lesley Smith USA 00:58:30 05:07:10   DNF    
  Lauren Brandon USA 00:51:06 05:17:07   DNF    
  Meredith Kessler USA 00:54:13     DNF    
  Sara Svensk SWE 00:58:27     DNF    

Kona Kings & Queens: Susie Cheetham

This is an excerpt from my “Kona 2018 Rating Report“. You can download your copy here.

Susie Points Susie Bib

Last year Susie raced to her second sixth place in Kona after 2015. She has improved her swim and bike: Her Kona bike split in 2017 was eleven minutes quicker than in 2015, an indication of the level of racing in Kona getting higher and higher.

This year she finished second behind Lucy in South Africa, setting a new run PR barely missing the 3-hour mark. Her summer race at IM Austria left her frustrated as the female Pro race was overshadowed by a drafting controversy.

Susie BikeSusie has been working hard to improve her bike leg and it’s hard to properly balance that with keeping her run strength. If she can manage another five-minute improvement on the bike in Kona, she could ride with a faster bike group and start the run still in touch with the podium spots. If she runs to her potential and is maybe even able to run her first sub-3, she will be in a great position to step up from her previous Kona results.

Photo: Susie on the bike at Kona 2017. 
Credit: Jay Prasuhn


Thorsten: Why have you decided not to race 70.3 Champs even though it’s in your “second home” South Africa?

Susie: The timing and travel aren’t ideal for preparation for Kona. For me, the focus has to be on Kona. I know I can have a better race at Kona and that means a solid build without too much travel and the risk of illness etc that comes with traveling and racing.

T: How do you view last year’s Kona result and your racing in 2018?

S: I was happy to come sixth for the second time! On the other hand I would have loved to improve my position. I do think it was a better performance than 2015 for the same position but that just shows how the standard continues to progress.
To be honest I think IM South Africa in April was my best Ironman to date. I was strong across all three disciplines, seconds away from breaking the 3-hour mark on a relatively tough run course. My decision to focus on a second Ironman that I didn’t need to do was probably the wrong one in hindsight but the timing has allowed me to come back and put in my best training block I’ve ever put together in the run-up to Kona.

T: How fierce is the rivalry between the British women? Sometimes there seem to be parallels to the German males in the 90s when being the first German was almost more important than finishing on the podium in Kona …

S: It’s funny, someone asked me which British women were going to Kona this year. I reeled off a couple of names but because we don’t compete as a team I wasn’t sure I’d covered everyone. The British women are really very strong, but I wouldn’t say I have an ambition to be the best Brit. If that was the case we’d all compete domestically and save the travel to Kona! For me finishing on the podium is a much stronger motivator, but in order to do so, you’ll probably have to be just about top Brit!

T: What’s the goal for this year’s race in Kona? What performance do you think will be needed for a podium in Kona?

S: You won’t make the podium in Kona unless you go sub-9 I would say. On the day you just give your best race, Kona is a race rather than targeting a specific time. But when you get the best women going head to head in the best shape of the year, you’re going to have to find something pretty special to make the podium. I think I’ve got that in me but it also means producing the best Ironman performance I’ve had to date. Everyone says it going into Kona, but I am training faster than I’ve ever done and I’ve had the best block of training I’ve ever done. All I can do is control what I’m capable of, I’m capable of more than I was last year but it depends where the rest of the women are which is something nobody will know until race day.

T: With ten IM finishes you are already one of the more experienced athletes who are racing at the front of the race. Do you have any advice for the Kona rookies?

S: It’s hot and windy! To be honest it’s the same as any Ironman in that it’s just an Ironman. What makes it tough is that you have the best women in the shape of the year on a hot and windy island. It’s when you start changing your prep (because you’re taking 16 different peoples advice) that you get into trouble!

T: With your long list of low-3 marathons (3:03 South Africa 2015, 3:02 in SA 2016, 3:02 in Brasil 2017, 3:00 at SA 2017), when will you be able to finally run a sub-3 marathon?

S: I know, right! If I’d known in SA .. had no idea I was so close! Start running with a better idea of what time I’m running maybe!? I’ve mixed up my run training a lot in this block. I’ve gone back to running training like I was when I was a runner. I’ve been cautious in the past because of injury but I’m more robust now than I’ve ever been. 2017 was about adapting my bike, I’ve been adjusting to that for the last year and now have got to the place that I can absorb that training and also get the run quality in (something that suffered at first when I moved to my bike coach). My run has been on a bit of a plateau because of that, but with some changes I have begun to see a shift in my running so I’m excited to see what that brings.

T: What changes have you made since becoming a full-time athlete?

S: I went full time mid-2015, so it seems a lifetime ago now. I suppose it’s all the little things. I have time to go and tweak my bike position, time to allow me to get away in the winter (northern hemisphere athletes will appreciate this is important!). The sleep is a big thing, when I was working I was training at 5 am, working a full day and getting on the bike at 7 or 7:30 pm which at the time I convinced myself was normal but in hindsight I have no idea how I did it!

Kona Kings & Queens: Patrik Nilsson

This is an excerpt from my “Kona 2018 Rating Report“. You can download your copy here.

Patrik Points

Patrik Bib

Thorsten: Last year was the first time you raced in Kona (with a great Rookie result!). What have you learned from that first time in Kona, what has surprised you?

Patrik: Kona last year was a great experience. Far from a perfect race, so of course there is a lot of small things to take with from that race .. I lost a crucial water bottle on the bike, did some “less clever decisions” on the run and so on. All things that could be forgiven in a “normal” Ironman race, but something I had to pay for during the race in Kona.
This year, I will for sure be more aware of the small details during a race and remember to follow the plan: Take that salt, ice, drink, keep cool and so on. I guess Kona is a race where all small decisions also will have another side that will be shown later during the race.

Patrik Run IMFrankfurtT: How much pressure was there on you for a good race in Frankfurt after the DNFs in early season races?

P: Of course it’s been some disappointing races during the first half of the season. My focus has always been Frankfurt and Kona. So even if the 70.3 races during the first half of the year didn’t go as plan, my shape was still better than ever and the schedule clear.
Teresa [Patrik’s partner and coach] and I did a couple of changes during the start of this year, some good and some less good for short-term performance. They have all developed me as an athlete, but also something we had to find the right level to perform in races. It did for sure have an impact during the first couple of races, but towards Frankfurt Teresa and I found a balance and awere able to show it out on the course.
There was no pressure on me towards Frankfurt. Neither from the team or anyone around .. I had to work with the pressure I put on myself though, but before the race it was under control and I could start for the right reason. Also regarding Kona there was no pressure .. I pretty much just needed to finish the race and should then be qualified.

T: How will you prepare for Kona? Another Texas camp with last year’s group?

P: No camp in Texas this year. I was with the Norwegian short distance team (Blumenfeldt, Iden, Stornes and others) in altitude earlier in August. So the plan towards Kona will be an altitude camp and then off to Kona for the least two weeks before the race.

T: What’s the Kona goal for this year?

P: I think most professional athletes aren’t satisfied to repeat what they did the year before. An eighth place last year was for sure good, but the aim will for sure be a bit higher this year. My “goal” for the race is another thing: It’s usually not based on a pure result (“to win”), but instead based on things I can control (like my feeling on the bike, technique in the swim or stride in the run).

T: Last year you rode most of the bike in a good group with Patrick and David, but then you weren’t “the best runner” in that group. Does this mean that you’ll be more aggressive on the bike this year? Or is the goal to be the best runner in a similar group this year? 

P: I don’t think there is a reason to be more aggressive on the bike, only thinking of the run …  I do know my capacity during the run (maybe not 2h40h in Kona like Patrick, but 2h45?) and would love to start the run in a group together with Patrick and David. Last year I lost a bottle the last 20k on the bike and rode the last 30min without any drink. Getting to T2 I felt like dying and drank everything I could see. After two steps out on the run my stomach said no to that amount of cola, sportdrink and water and that was followed by a toilet stop, then more drinks, another toilet, more drink, another toilet and so on until we got out on Queen K. So this year, I am confident about my run. I also know that my biking is better than last year. So we have to wait and see what kind of fun the race can bring…

T: What are you working on to improve in the long-term, and how “Kona specific” are these goals?

P: My biking has for a long time been my weakest leg during a race which has made it natural for me to work on the bike. Then of course my biggest goal has always been Kona – which again has made it natural again to work on the bike, since the race in Kona usually offers a challenging bike ride.
But my overall working points are to improve the swim a percent or two, improve the bike and stay a good runner. So I guess it also fits pretty well for Kona!

T: Any insights on your teammates? It looks as if the BMC team is well represented in Kona this year!

P: I think everyone can agree that “BMC – Vifit sport pro triathlon team powered by Uplace” is very well represented with seven athletes racing!! Haha and I think everyone will be doing well…. what I have heard everyone’s shape is good and motivation on top! So I look forward to a team championship and combine that with a world championship at the same time.

Photo: Patrik running towards a second place finish in Frankfurt. Credit: James Mitchell

Ironman Hamburg 2018 – Analyzing Results

IMHH_LogoCourse Conditions

The obvious “course feature” of the second edition of Ironman Hamburg was the cancellation of the swim which was replaced with a 6k run that did not create much separation. (Compared to last year’s swim records of 47 and 55 minutes the run was around 25 minutes quicker.) Another change that affected the finishing times was the new, totally flat bike course. James Cunnama had the fastest male bike split with a 4:00:44, Daniela Sammler rode a 4:32:12. Overall, the new bike course was roughly 25 minutes quicker than last year’s course. After that the run was just a bit slower (even though Bart ran a 2:39:51), and it seems that a lot of athletes struggled in the heat in Hamburg.

Male Race Results

For most of the day, Bart Aernouts and James Cunnama were close together at the front of the race. They passed through T2 at the same time:

James Bart T2

James had the quicker transition but the Bart quickly closed the gap. By the start of the last run he had built a comfortable margin and went on to win the race with a gap of seven minutes:

BartRun

Second place went to Joe Skipper who had a strong first half of the marathon but then ran a bit out of steam in his third long-distance race in four weeks:

JoeFinish

After the race James Cunnama said that he was not quite at the level of his win in Hamburg last year, but he was happy to take third (and probably relieved to validate his Kona slot):

JamesFinish

Tim Don’s return to racing Ironman after breaking his neck three days before last year’s IM Kona did not have a happy end. For a long time he was in a great position, but eventually struggled with hip issues and fell back to ninth place which is unlikely to be enough for a Kona slot for him:

TimRun

Rank Name Nation Run1 Bike Run2 Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Bart Aernouts BEL 00:19:47 04:00:50 02:39:51 07:05:26 n/a US$ 15,000 2000
2 Joe Skipper GBR 00:19:49 04:01:39 02:45:38 07:12:35 n/a US$ 7,500 1600
3 James Cunnama ZAF 00:19:52 04:00:44 02:48:44 07:13:54 n/a US$ 5,000 1280
4 Will Clarke GBR 00:19:48 04:08:58 02:45:39 07:20:17 n/a US$ 3,250 960
5 Franz Loeschke GER 00:19:53 04:07:13 02:54:35 07:26:56 n/a US$ 2,750 720
6 Jonathan Shearon USA 00:21:08 04:12:07 02:50:59 07:30:09 n/a US$ 2,000 540
7 Patrick Dirksmeier GER 00:19:50 04:13:00 02:51:46 07:30:40 n/a US$ 1,500 405
8 Paul Schuster GER 00:19:53 04:07:13 03:02:08 07:34:05 n/a US$ 1,250 305
9 Tim Don GBR 00:19:52 04:01:31 03:14:30 07:40:59 n/a US$ 1,000 230
10 Thomas Bosch GER 00:19:50 04:14:03 03:03:35 07:43:03 n/a US$ 750 170
11 Christian Haupt GER 00:21:14 04:23:19 03:03:37 07:53:46 n/a 120
12 Philipp Mock GER 00:21:53 04:11:14 03:16:03 07:55:31 n/a 85
13 Christian Brader GER 00:19:49 04:32:25 03:03:35 08:01:35 n/a 60
14 Christian Kramer GER 00:19:59 04:19:01 03:41:06 08:25:50 n/a 40
15 Michael Raelert GER 00:19:48 04:13:04 03:57:14 08:35:19 n/a 30
16 Michal Ivanco SVK 00:23:10 05:00:22 03:35:02 09:05:23 n/a 20
17 Marek Nemcik SVK 00:26:40 05:31:31 04:02:54 10:09:57 n/a 15
Markus Fachbach GER 00:19:53 04:18:50 DNF
Pavel Simko SVK 00:20:54 04:41:24 DNF
Artem Parienko RUS 00:19:48 DNF
Domenico Passuello ITA 00:19:51 DNF
Jesper Svensson SWE 00:19:51 DNF
Horst Reichel GER 00:19:51 DNF
Markus Mlinar AUT 00:21:48 DNF
Inaki De La Parra POL 00:29:52 DNF

Female Race Results

For a long time the female race was a horse race between defending champion Daniela Sämmler and Sarah Crowley. By the half marathon mark Sarah moved into first place and started to put time into Daniela:

SarahRun

With Daniela and Sarah close together, it went almost unnoticed that Katharina Grohmann was not too far behind. When Daniela struggled in the last lap of the run, Katharina was the fastest runner and finished in second place.

KatharinaT1

Third place (and a Kona slot) went to Maja Stage Nielsen who almost posted the same run split as Sarah:

MajaFinish

Rank Name Nation Run1 Bike Run2 Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Sarah Crowley AUS 00:22:48 04:34:45 03:05:36 08:08:21 n/a US$ 15,000 2000
2 Katharina Grohmann GER 00:23:16 04:38:14 03:06:17 08:13:30 n/a US$ 7,500 1600
3 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 00:23:59 04:46:26 03:05:39 08:21:23 n/a US$ 5,000 1280
4 Trine Boye Larsen DEN 00:29:04 05:01:12 03:28:02 09:04:24 n/a US$ 3,250 960
5 Daniela Saemmler GER 00:22:56 04:32:12 04:18:13 09:18:32 n/a US$ 2,750 720
6 Rahel Bellinga NED 00:26:11 04:52:52 03:52:28 09:19:10 n/a US$ 2,000 540
7 Jana Candrova CZE 00:25:23 05:13:33 03:37:14 09:22:42 n/a US$ 1,500 405

Kona Qualifying Implications

The following athletes have secured their Kona slots:

  • Will Clarke and Maja Stage Nielsen added enough points to now be safe for a July slot.
  • Bart Aernouts and James Cunnama just needed an Ironman finish for a slot.
  • Joe Skipper and Sarah Crowley were already safe before the race.

Ironman Hamburg 2018 (July 29th) – Seedings

IMHH_LogoUpdate July 27th: Ironman was forced to cancel the swim, instead the race will start with a 6k and then continue as planned (180k bike and a marathon). This is a closer look at the changed situation for the race on Sunday.

After record temperatures (above 30 °C) for a prolonged time, the water temperature in the Alster (a man-made lake in the middle of Hamburg) has also increased, leading to an explosion of toxic blue algae. The town of Hamburg declared swimming the Alster and a number of other swim venues as a health risk and does not allow people in the water. There was no option for Ironman Hamburg to have a swim under the current circumstances. Instead it was decided to have a swim-bike-run, and there will be a 6k to start the event (replacing the swim) before the unchanged bike and run. The only other changes will be a later start (7:00/7:02 am for Pros instead of 6:30/6:32) and a longer rolling start for the agegroupers (now starting at 7:10 but taking a full hour instead of the planned 30 minutes for the swim).

I have updated my seedings with the changed course. (The original seedings can still be found below.) A few notes:

  • Instead of a swim there will be a 6k run. I have calculated the runtime from their marathon time, so the actual times for the first run are likely to be a bit faster.
  • The race dynamics will change significantly from the normal swim-bike-run format. I don’t expect the leading group to break up (both for the men and the women), but it could also mean that quite a few athletes overtake the first run. However, they will only find out in the second half of the marathon that the initial run was too fast for them.
  • In the “#” column (indicating the seeding rank) I have added in (brackets) where athletes have been seeded based on the normal Ironman format. As you can see, the order of the seedings isn’t much impacted, the bigger change will result from the new race dynamics. However, weaker swimmer (Bart Aernouts, Joe Skipper or Katharina Grohmann) will move up a bit in the rankings, and two good runs can significantly change the outcome of the race.
  • A few of the male athletes still on the list have not been present at the Pro meeting, they might not be racing on Sunday. I have marked their bib number with a “?”.

Male Race Participants

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ERun1 EBike ET2 ERun2 Consistency Overall
1 (1) 1 James Cunnama ZAF 07:41:43 08:19:06 00:23:30 04:27:56 04:56:26 02:45:17 55% +29% -16% (27) 13
2 (2) 2 Tim Don GBR 07:43:50 08:18:42 00:23:55 04:26:45 04:55:40 02:48:10 43% +33% -24% (5) (12)
3 (3) 39 Bart Aernouts BEL 07:45:12 08:18:38 00:22:41 04:37:57 05:05:38 02:39:34 93% +0% -7% (13) 11
4 (5) 26 Joe Skipper GBR 07:47:39 08:23:17 00:23:35 04:33:09 05:01:44 02:45:55 71% +10% -20% (22) 22
5 (4) 34 Will Clarke GBR 07:49:24 08:30:39 00:22:54 04:40:26 05:08:20 02:41:04 17% +46% -37% (9) 49
6 (6) 6? Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 07:52:59 08:25:02 00:23:43 04:37:31 05:06:14 02:46:45 58% +7% -35% (16) 28
7 (7) 27 Jesper Svensson SWE 07:55:30 08:35:40 00:24:33 04:33:20 05:02:53 02:52:37 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (71)
8 (11) 36? Bryan McCrystal IRL 07:59:19 08:49:42 00:25:57 04:25:48 04:56:45 03:02:34 32% +45% -23% (6) 110
9 (8) 3 Horst Reichel GER 08:02:03 08:44:24 00:24:23 04:41:11 05:10:34 02:51:29 34% +26% -40% (19) 91
10 (9) 38 Markus Fachbach GER 08:03:57 08:46:33 00:24:56 04:38:40 05:08:36 02:55:21 47% +0% -53% (23) 99
11 (12) 9? Miquel Blanchart Tinto ESP 08:05:01 08:35:19 00:23:41 04:49:44 05:18:25 02:46:36 89% +2% -9% (20) 68
12 (20) 7? Victor Arroyo Bugallo ESP 08:05:03 08:55:58 00:23:59 04:47:26 05:16:25 02:48:38 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (142)
13 (10) 37 Paul Schuster GER 08:05:45 08:47:55 00:25:28 04:36:10 05:06:38 02:59:07 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (105)
14 (15) 5? Michael Patrick Alonso Mckernan ESP 08:06:24 08:54:35 00:25:48 04:34:07 05:04:55 03:01:29 0% +42% -58% (3) (136)
15 (16) 24 Jonathan Shearon USA 08:06:34 08:46:08 00:25:10 04:39:27 05:09:37 02:56:57 63% +16% -21% (22) 97
16 (19) 29 Domenico Passuello ITA 08:07:14 09:07:01 00:25:09 04:40:11 05:10:20 02:56:54 6% +10% -84% (10) 176
17 (18) 13 Christian Haupt GER 08:07:42 08:54:13 00:25:05 04:41:15 05:11:20 02:56:22 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (135)
18 (14) 22 Michael Raelert GER 08:08:23 08:54:08 00:24:50 04:43:52 05:13:42 02:54:41 31% +0% -69% (4) (135)
19 (13) 15 Christian Kramer GER 08:08:45 08:37:28 00:25:21 04:40:03 05:10:24 02:58:21 75% +4% -20% (22) 79
20 (22) 33? Michael Ruenz GER 08:09:31 08:55:59 00:24:17 04:49:24 05:18:41 02:50:50 61% +0% -39% (14) 142
21 (17) 8? Per Bittner GER 08:11:04 08:45:20 00:25:18 04:42:51 05:13:09 02:57:55 43% +6% -51% (26) 93
22 (23) 10 Christian Brader GER 08:14:38 08:50:48 00:24:46 04:50:41 05:20:27 02:54:11 62% +2% -37% (42) 117
23 (21) 23 Alexander Schilling GER 08:18:03 08:47:47 00:26:09 04:43:02 05:14:11 03:03:52 100% +0% -0% (3) 104
24 (25) 19 Philipp Mock GER 08:19:54 09:08:30 00:26:51 04:39:12 05:11:03 03:08:51 100% +0% -0% (2) (184)
25 (24) 16 Markus Liebelt GER 08:21:26 09:20:09 00:26:39 04:42:22 05:14:01 03:07:25 23% +0% -77% (3) (212)
26 (27) 32 Thomas Bosch GER 08:25:51 09:10:10 00:25:43 04:54:16 05:24:59 03:00:52 54% +34% -12% (6) 187
27 (26) 21? Andreas Niedrig GER 08:35:30 09:15:35 00:28:38 04:40:27 05:14:05 03:21:25 28% +19% -53% (15) (203)
28 (28) 25? Pavel Simko SVK 08:42:22 09:22:02 00:28:11 04:50:58 05:24:09 03:18:13 53% +0% -47% (5) 222
29 (29) 11 Inaki De La Parra POL 08:57:04 09:46:09 00:29:26 04:55:37 05:30:03 03:27:01 43% +0% -57% (2) (266)
30 30 Michal Ivanco SVK 09:09:09 10:13:59 00:28:27 05:15:34 05:49:01 03:20:08 100% +0% -0% (4) 282
31 (30) 18 Markus Mlinar AUT 09:15:50 10:22:15 00:30:26 05:06:18 05:41:44 03:34:06 15% +0% -85% (4) (286)
32 (32) 14? Aleksander Kochetkov LTU 10:12:22 11:11:58 00:32:54 05:43:05 06:20:59 03:51:23 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (296)
33 (33) 20 Marek Nemcik SVK 10:38:25 11:59:59 00:36:44 05:38:20 06:20:04 04:18:21 35% +20% -45% (47) 301
12 Patrick Dirksmeier GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
17 Franz Loeschke GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
35? Artem Parienko RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ERun1 EBike ET2 ERun2 Consistency Overall
1 (1) 65 Sarah Crowley AUS 08:36:56 09:15:36 00:26:00 05:03:06 05:34:06 03:02:50 54% +46% -0% (7) 8
2 (2) 51 Daniela Saemmler GER 08:39:27 09:20:18 00:26:57 04:57:55 05:29:52 03:09:35 46% +40% -14% (12) 19
3 (4) 60 Sonja Tajsich GER 08:47:20 09:29:09 00:26:12 05:11:55 05:43:07 03:04:13 88% +2% -10% (25) 35
4 (3) 59 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 08:50:23 09:28:02 00:26:38 05:11:25 05:43:03 03:07:20 65% +0% -35% (4) 33
5 (6) 55 Katharina Grohmann GER 08:59:22 09:49:51 00:27:05 05:16:46 05:48:51 03:10:31 81% +19% -0% (18) 72
6 (5) 57 Carolin Lehrieder GER 09:14:16 10:32:57 00:28:23 05:21:17 05:54:40 03:19:36 13% +5% -82% (13) (142)
7 (7) 58 Kristin Lie NOR 09:32:33 10:26:29 00:29:57 05:26:57 06:01:54 03:30:39 93% +1% -6% (16) 135
8 (8) 53 Rahel Bellinga NED 09:48:33 10:33:20 00:33:25 05:15:05 05:53:30 03:55:03 88% +9% -3% (10) 144
9 (9) 62 Jana Candrova CZE 09:54:45 10:47:15 00:31:04 05:40:10 06:16:14 03:38:31 57% +0% -43% (20) 152
56 Trine Boye Larsen DEN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

IMHH_Logo Update July 24th: Removed a few DNS, especially on the female side.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2017 James Cunnama (ZAF) 08:00:36 Daniela Saemmler (GER) 09:07:49

Last Year’s TOP 3

Here’s the link to the full results analysis from last year.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 James Cunnama ZAF 00:49:05 04:24:32 02:40:58 08:00:36
2 Horst Reichel GER 00:48:59 04:40:12 02:47:35 08:22:27
3 Markus Fachbach GER 00:49:10 04:36:27 02:53:47 08:25:36

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Saemmler GER 00:55:53 04:55:24 03:08:53 09:07:49
2 Eva Wutti AUT 00:58:58 05:14:59 03:02:02 09:23:35
3 Kristin Moeller GER 01:03:37 05:30:06 02:58:10 09:39:43

Course Records

There have been significant changes to the bike course from last year, this year’s course is flat and expected to be much faster.

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:00:36 James Cunnama 2017-08-13
Swim overall 00:47:38 Carlos Lopez Diaz 2017-08-13
Bike overall 04:24:32 James Cunnama 2017-08-13
Run overall 02:40:58 James Cunnama 2017-08-13
Total female 09:07:49 Daniela Saemmler 2017-08-13
Swim female 00:55:53 Daniela Saemmler 2017-08-13
Bike female 04:55:24 Daniela Saemmler 2017-08-13
Run female 02:58:10 Kristin Moeller 2017-08-13

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Hamburg is 05:18.

Race Adjustments for IM Hamburg

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2017 05:18 00:18 04:14 07:05 18 of 20 05:18 00:18 04:14 07:05

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Hamburg is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 80.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 13% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 1 James Cunnama ZAF 08:07:23 08:19:06 00:49:10 04:27:56 05:22:06 02:45:17 55% +29% -16% (27) 13
2 2 Tim Don GBR 08:07:51 08:18:42 00:47:56 04:26:45 05:19:41 02:48:10 43% +33% -24% (5) (12)
3 39 Bart Aernouts BEL 08:14:25 08:18:38 00:51:54 04:37:57 05:34:51 02:39:34 93% +0% -7% (13) 11
4 34 Will Clarke GBR 08:15:29 08:25:36 00:48:58 04:40:26 05:34:25 02:41:04 22% +58% -20% (8) 30
5 26 Joe Skipper GBR 08:17:01 08:24:21 00:52:56 04:33:09 05:31:06 02:45:55 67% +11% -22% (21) 26
6 6 Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 08:17:57 08:25:02 00:48:41 04:37:31 05:31:12 02:46:45 58% +7% -35% (16) 28
7 27 Jesper Svensson SWE 08:18:04 08:35:40 00:47:06 04:33:20 05:25:27 02:52:37 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (71)
8 3 Horst Reichel GER 08:26:54 08:44:24 00:49:14 04:41:11 05:35:25 02:51:29 34% +26% -40% (19) 91
9 4 Johann Ackermann * GER 08:28:07 08:38:32 00:48:38 04:33:25 05:27:03 03:01:04 80% +0% -20% (11) 83
10 38 Markus Fachbach GER 08:28:49 08:46:33 00:49:48 04:38:40 05:33:28 02:55:21 47% +0% -53% (23) 99
11 37 Paul Schuster GER 08:29:54 08:47:55 00:49:36 04:36:10 05:30:47 02:59:07 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (104)
12 36 Bryan McCrystal IRL 08:30:35 08:49:42 00:57:13 04:25:48 05:28:01 03:02:34 32% +45% -23% (6) 109
13 9 Miquel Blanchart Tinto ESP 08:31:05 08:35:19 00:49:45 04:49:44 05:44:29 02:46:36 89% +2% -9% (20) 68
14 15 Christian Kramer GER 08:31:48 08:37:28 00:48:24 04:40:03 05:33:27 02:58:21 75% +4% -20% (22) 79
15 22 Michael Raelert GER 08:31:54 08:54:08 00:48:21 04:43:52 05:37:13 02:54:41 31% +0% -69% (4) (134)
16 5 Michael Patrick Alonso Mckernan ESP 08:35:30 08:54:35 00:54:54 04:34:07 05:34:01 03:01:29 0% +42% -58% (3) (134)
17 24 Jonathan Shearon USA 08:35:48 08:46:08 00:54:24 04:39:27 05:38:51 02:56:57 63% +16% -21% (22) 97
18 8 Per Bittner GER 08:35:51 08:45:20 00:50:05 04:42:51 05:37:56 02:57:55 43% +6% -51% (26) 93
19 13 Christian Haupt GER 08:35:59 08:54:13 00:53:22 04:41:15 05:39:37 02:56:22 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (134)
20 29 Domenico Passuello ITA 08:37:23 08:58:57 00:55:18 04:40:11 05:40:29 02:56:54 9% +14% -76% (9) (150)
21 7 Victor Arroyo Bugallo ESP 08:37:40 08:55:58 00:56:36 04:47:26 05:49:02 02:48:38 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (140)
22 23 Alexander Schilling GER 08:40:49 08:47:47 00:48:54 04:43:02 05:36:57 03:03:52 100% +0% -0% (3) 103
23 33 Michael Ruenz GER 08:42:02 08:55:59 00:56:48 04:49:24 05:51:12 02:50:50 61% +0% -39% (14) 140
24 10 Christian Brader GER 08:45:23 08:50:48 00:55:31 04:50:41 05:51:12 02:54:11 62% +2% -37% (42) 116
25 16 Markus Liebelt GER 08:50:23 09:20:09 00:55:35 04:42:22 05:42:58 03:07:25 23% +0% -77% (3) (211)
26 31 Niclas Bock GER 08:51:38 09:27:06 00:52:20 04:42:31 05:39:51 03:11:47 5% +0% -95% (4) (236)
27 19 Philipp Mock GER 08:52:09 09:08:30 00:59:06 04:39:12 05:43:18 03:08:51 100% +0% -0% (2) (184)
28 21 Andreas Niedrig GER 08:55:13 09:10:05 00:48:21 04:40:27 05:33:48 03:21:25 44% +30% -26% (14) (188)
29 32 Thomas Bosch GER 08:58:51 09:10:10 00:58:43 04:54:16 05:57:59 03:00:52 54% +34% -12% (6) 188
30 25 Pavel Simko SVK 09:06:06 09:22:02 00:51:55 04:50:58 05:47:53 03:18:13 53% +0% -47% (5) 221
31 11 Inaki De La Parra POL 09:27:09 09:46:09 00:59:32 04:55:37 06:00:08 03:27:01 43% +0% -57% (2) (268)
32 18 Markus Mlinar AUT 09:43:14 10:22:15 00:57:49 05:06:18 06:09:08 03:34:06 15% +0% -85% (4) (288)
33 30 Michal Ivanco SVK 10:00:34 10:13:59 01:19:52 05:15:34 06:40:26 03:20:08 100% +0% -0% (4) 284
34 28 Kevin Thewes GER 10:15:35 10:53:36 01:10:39 05:19:31 06:35:11 03:40:24 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (296)
35 14 Aleksander Kochetkov LTU 10:49:02 11:11:58 01:09:34 05:43:05 06:57:39 03:51:23 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (298)
36 20 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:14:54 11:59:59 01:13:13 05:38:20 06:56:33 04:18:21 35% +20% -45% (47) 302
12 Patrick Dirksmeier GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
17 Franz Loeschke GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
35 Artem Parienko RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 23% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 61 Helle Frederiksen DEN 09:05:09 09:24:25 00:52:24 05:02:43 06:00:07 03:05:02 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (27)
2 65 Sarah Crowley AUS 09:05:36 09:15:36 00:54:40 05:03:06 06:02:46 03:02:50 54% +46% -0% (7) 8
3 51 Daniela Saemmler GER 09:08:41 09:20:18 00:56:10 04:57:55 05:59:06 03:09:35 46% +40% -14% (12) 19
4 52 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:10:30 09:17:44 01:00:41 05:04:37 06:10:18 03:00:12 77% +23% -0% (15) 13
5 54 Anja Beranek GER 09:18:24 09:29:34 00:52:26 05:01:48 05:59:14 03:19:10 52% +3% -45% (13) 36
6 66 Sara Svensk * SWE 09:21:50 09:33:21 00:58:17 05:08:19 06:11:36 03:10:14 47% +30% -23% (4) 41
7 59 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 09:22:50 09:28:02 00:59:05 05:11:25 06:15:30 03:07:20 65% +0% -35% (4) 33
8 60 Sonja Tajsich GER 09:24:04 09:29:09 01:02:57 05:11:55 06:19:51 03:04:13 88% +2% -10% (25) 35
9 63 Angela Naeth * CAN 09:28:06 09:51:46 00:59:36 05:00:26 06:05:01 03:23:05 9% +16% -75% (7) 76
10 57 Carolin Lehrieder GER 09:41:53 10:32:57 00:56:00 05:21:17 06:22:17 03:19:36 13% +5% -82% (13) (141)
11 55 Katharina Grohmann GER 09:43:35 09:49:51 01:11:18 05:16:46 06:33:04 03:10:31 81% +19% -0% (18) 73
12 58 Kristin Lie NOR 10:14:47 10:26:29 01:12:11 05:26:57 06:44:08 03:30:39 93% +1% -6% (16) 134
13 53 Rahel Bellinga NED 10:21:36 10:33:20 01:06:28 05:15:05 06:26:33 03:55:03 88% +9% -3% (10) 143
14 62 Jana Candrova CZE 10:31:13 10:47:15 01:07:32 05:40:10 06:52:42 03:38:31 57% +0% -43% (20) 151
56 Trine Boye Larsen DEN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • James Cunnama: 45% (1-1)
  • Tim Don: 25% (3-1)
  • Bart Aernouts: 14% (6-1)
  • Joe Skipper: 6% (15-1)
  • Will Clarke: 5% (18-1)
  • Clemente Alonso McKernan: 4% (27-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Daniela Sämmler: 43% (1-1)
  • Sarah Crowley: 26% (3-1)
  • Corinne Abraham: 22% (4-1)
  • Helle Frederiksen: 4% (27-1)
  • Anja Beranek: 2% (49-1)

Kona Qualifying

As IM Hamburg is one of the final races before the July cutoff, a lot of athletes are looking for points to secure their slots. Here’s the “who needs what” for Hamburg.

Male Participants

  • Just finish: James Cunnama, Bart Aernouts
  • 8th or better: Will Clarke (but likely racing IM UK)
  • 4th or better: Jonathan Shearon, Tim Don
  • 3rd or better: Christian Kramer, Jesper Svensson
  • 2nd or better: Joe Skipper (Joe is now safe after his win at IM UK)
  • Win: Miguel Blanchard Tinto, Johann Ackermann

Female Participants

  •  Already Safe: Sarah Crowley, Helle Frederiksen
  • 4th or better: Sara Svensk
  • 2nd or better: Maja Stage Nielsen, Corinne Abraham
  • Win: Daniela Sämmler

The above is what the athletes will have to finish at to have a chance for a slot, for more details see my analysis of Kona July Qualifying.

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