Archive | IM South Africa

Ironman South Africa 2018 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

The weather in Port Elizabeth was great, but the lack of wind did not create fast times. Overall, the adjustments were typical for IM South Africa: a slow Ocean swim, followed by “normal” bike and run conditions. 

Lucy Charles posted a new female swim course record (beating Lucy Zelenkova’s 2009 swim by 8 seconds). Camron Wurf was very close to setting a new bike course record, he missed Ray Tissink’s 2011 time by just 3 seconds!

Male Race Results

The swim and bike unfolded as expected: Josh Amberger was taking the lead in the swim, he was two minutes ahead of the rest of the field. But Cam Wurf wasn’t too far back and by 90k he had taken the lead, starting the run with a seven minute lead on Josh and about ten minutes to a larger group of stronger runners. That group included defending champion Ben Hoffman but he quickly had back issues and was forced to walk almost the complete marathon (still finishing in just over 12 hours, but adding an IM finish to his KPR points to be eligible for a Kona slot). 

Cameron Wurf has improved his run and he was holding on to his lead for almost three of the four run legs. By then South African Kyle Buckingham had methodically worked his way to the front, first running away from the others in his bike chase group, then overtaking Josh Amberger and eventually taking the lead. In the end, his solid 2:48 marathon was good enough for a three minute win over Josh Amberger who also ran well. Third place went to the young German Maurice Clavel who executed a smart race in the big bike group followed by a 2:54 marathon, edging out Cam Wurf for the podium.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 00:48:22 04:31:51 02:48:42 08:13:00 -15:39 US$ 30,000 4000
2 Josh Amberger AUS 00:46:24 04:31:35 02:53:43 08:16:01 -16:10 US$ 15,000 3400
3 Maurice Clavel GER 00:48:21 04:31:56 02:54:01 08:18:51 04:09 US$ 8,000 2890
4 Cameron Wurf AUS 00:50:15 04:19:44 03:05:10 08:20:07 -08:34 US$ 6,500 2455
5 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 00:53:53 04:35:37 02:49:03 08:23:09 -01:33 US$ 5,000 2090
6 Jonathan Shearon USA 00:53:56 04:35:48 02:49:15 08:23:57 -16:50 US$ 3,500 1670
7 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 00:48:30 04:42:43 02:48:33 08:25:10 01:03 US$ 2,500 1335
8 Giulio Molinari ITA 00:48:19 04:37:53 02:54:57 08:25:29 -02:48 US$ 2,000 1070
9 Philipp Koutny SUI 00:50:44 04:40:33 02:50:35 08:26:18 -16:16 US$ 1,500 855
10 Eneko Llanos ESP 00:48:28 04:31:48 03:07:07 08:31:56 06:21 US$ 1,000 685
11 Peru Alfaro ESP 00:48:12 04:44:57 02:58:07 08:36:18 09:24   515
12 Michael Ruenz GER 00:57:42 04:47:55 02:48:17 08:38:21 -04:53   385
13 Matt Trautman ZAF 00:49:53 04:42:56 03:09:25 08:47:14 25:33   290
14 Sebastian Norberg SWE 00:53:52 04:46:57 03:15:27 09:00:39 n/a   215
15 Alberto Casadei ITA 00:48:20 05:03:44 03:07:54 09:05:18 29:30   160
16 Darby Thomas FIN 01:00:55 04:47:19 03:14:22 09:07:29 15:23   120
17 Gerhard De Bruin ZAF 00:53:44 04:51:41 03:22:03 09:11:47 -08:48   90
18 Bekim Christensen DEN 01:05:56 04:46:32 03:28:53 09:27:13 08:48   70
19 Hans Muehlbauer GER 00:55:31 05:22:21 03:11:41 09:34:55 15:18   50
20 Philippe Lamberty LUX 00:53:49 04:56:48 04:16:20 10:11:19 n/a   40
21 Ben Hoffman USA 00:49:17 04:30:57 06:42:00 12:06:48 3:53:55   25
  Evert Scheltinga NED 00:48:14 04:41:29   DNF      
  Pedro Gomes POR 00:49:15 04:46:04   DNF      
  Reece Barclay GBR 00:48:21 04:50:00   DNF      
  Alain Djouad-Guibert MOR 01:05:48 05:26:27   DNF      
  Markus Fachbach GER 00:49:13     DNF      
  Artem Parienko RUS 00:51:29     DNF      

Female Race Results

The female race was “The Lucy Show”: Lucy Charles posted the fastest swim and started the bike with a five minute lead. She was also riding well (the only female sub-5 bike split), by T2 she was eleven minutes ahead of Rachel McBride, twelve ahead of Susie Cheetham and 19 ahead of Linsey Corbin. All four leaders were running well, and even though Rachel fell back to fourth place, her 3:16 run was a new marathon PR for her. Linsey finished third with the best marathon in the field, her best marathon since 2014 season when she finished the fastest North American Ironman. Susie Cheetham set a new marathon PR, just missing the 3-hour mark but finishing a very solid second an continuing her streak of four podium finishes in Port Elizabeth in a row. But the undisputed winner by six minutes was Lucy, who also set a new marathon PR while winning her first Regional Championship and securing an Automatic Qualifier slot for Kona. 

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Lucy Charles GBR 00:47:32 04:57:21 03:05:45 08:56:06 -11:39 US$ 30,000 4000
2 Susie Cheetham GBR 00:55:48 05:01:54 03:00:47 09:02:58 -07:31 US$ 15,000 3400
3 Linsey Corbin USA 00:55:48 05:08:14 02:58:16 09:07:10 -09:12 US$ 8,000 2890
4 Rachel McBride CAN 00:52:47 05:04:06 03:16:55 09:18:34 -13:50 US$ 6,500 2455
5 Manon Genet FRA 00:59:43 05:06:05 03:11:21 09:21:59 -22:45 US$ 5,000 2090
6 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 00:59:18 05:11:02 03:14:38 09:30:14 -06:34 US$ 3,500 1670
7 Katharina Grohmann GER 01:10:06 05:13:17 03:06:53 09:35:07 -14:35 US$ 2,500 1335
8 Martina Kunz SUI 01:02:04 05:16:01 03:13:27 09:36:40 -03:26 US$ 2,000 1070
9 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 00:58:06 05:17:11 03:16:59 09:37:21 18:57 US$ 1,500 855
10 Annah Watkinson ZAF 00:59:17 05:20:44 03:12:15 09:38:30 05:54 US$ 1,000 685
11 Leslie DiMichele Miller USA 00:59:54 05:27:53 03:12:17 09:45:19 00:39   515
12 Saleta Castro Nogueira ESP 00:55:42 05:29:38 03:17:26 09:47:58 02:50   385
13 Corina Hengartner SUI 01:04:25 05:38:38 03:09:36 09:58:59 06:31   290
14 Patricia Bueno Perez ESP 01:06:41 05:55:17 04:03:38 11:12:58 26:03   215
  Charlotte Morel FRA 00:52:58 05:14:11   DNF      
  Emma Pallant GBR 00:55:47 05:13:39   DNF      
  Judith Corachan Vacquero ESP 00:55:46 05:15:35   DNF      
  Katja Konschak GER 00:55:50 05:24:41   DNF      
  Lina-Kristin Schink GER 01:07:29 05:21:00   DNF      
  Carolin Lehrieder GER 00:55:48     DNF      

Kona Qualifying Implications

This early in the season, a lot of athletes are looking to position themselves for an early Kona slot or at least a good path towards a slot. Here’s where the top finishers are currently placed.

Men

  • Automatic Qualifier: Kyle Buckingham
  • Safe for a July slot: Cameron Wurf, Maurice Clavel, Josh Amberger, Ben Hoffman
  • On the Bubble: Jonathan Shearon (at 3.290 he will probably need more points)
  • Close, but will need more points: Ronnie Schildknecht

Women

  • Automatic Qualifier: Lucy Charles
  • Safe for a July slot: Susie Cheetham, Linsey Corbin
  • All others will still need a good number of points to get to the projected cutoff of 4.400 points, the best placed are Manon Genet (3.370 points), Maja Stage Nielsen (3.335) and Rachel McBride (3.295). 
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Ironman South Africa 2018 (Apr 15th) – Seedings

Analysis of IM South Africa is supported by Neil Cooper. Neil lives in Northern Island but is going to race IM South Africa. While he’s in the country he will also attend his son’s wedding a few days after the race. All the best to Neil and to his son (and his son’s bride!) for the upcoming wedding.

Update March 31st: Michelle Vesterby won’t be racing South Africa, she plans to do IM Texas.

Update April 9th: Nikki Bartlett won’t be able to race, she crashed riding her bike shortly before leaving for South Africa. Quick recovery!

Update April 10th: James Cunnama tweeted that he’ll need more time to build his fitness and won’t be racing this Sunday.

IMSA_LogoPrevious Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2006 Gerrit Schellens (BEL) 08:36:06 Natascha Badmann (SUI) 09:46:38
2007 Gerrit Schellens (BEL) 08:33:05 Natascha Badmann (SUI) 09:22:01
2008 Stephen Bayliss (GBR) 08:18:23 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 09:27:48
2009 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:17:32 Lucie Zelenkova (CZE) 09:16:32
2010 Raynard Tissink (ZAF) 08:23:28 Sonja Tajsich (GER) 09:16:55
2011 Raynard Tissink (ZAF) 08:05:36 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:33:56
2012 Clemente Alonso McKernan (ESP) 08:34:45 Natascha Badmann (SUI) 09:47:10
2013 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:11:24 Jessie Donavan (USA) 09:10:58
2014 Nils Frommhold (GER) 08:26:07 Simone Braendli (SUI) 09:31:54
2015 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:16:35 Jodie Cunnama (GBR) 09:26:56
2016 Ben Hoffman (USA) 08:12:37 Kaisa Sali (FIN) 09:06:50
2017 Ben Hoffman (USA) 07:58:40 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:47:02

Last Year’s TOP 3

Here’s the link to last year’s full results and analysis.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Ben Hoffman USA 00:49:14 04:22:33 02:42:52 07:58:40
2 Nils Frommhold GER 00:49:05 04:22:31 02:43:43 07:59:30
3 David McNamee GBR 00:49:09 04:28:45 02:45:36 08:07:31

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:53:48 04:50:50 02:57:27 08:47:02
2 Kaisa Sali FIN 00:55:29 04:53:03 02:59:10 08:52:26
3 Susie Cheetham GBR 00:53:56 04:57:43 03:08:36 09:04:49

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:58:40 Ben Hoffman 2017-04-02
Swim overall 00:45:22 Anton Storm 2009-04-05
Bike overall 04:19:41 Raynard Tissink 2011-04-10
Run overall 02:42:52 Ben Hoffman 2017-04-02
Total female 08:33:56 Chrissie Wellington 2011-04-10
Swim female 00:47:40 Lucie Zelenkova 2009-04-05
Bike female 04:45:23 Chrissie Wellington 2011-04-10
Run female 02:52:54 Chrissie Wellington 2011-04-10

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM South Africa is 03:26.

Race Adjustments for IM South Africa

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 01:35 -04:53 -01:53 -00:21 28 01:35 -04:53 -01:53 -00:21
2007 01:16 -08:52 03:31 00:49 33 01:26 -06:52 00:49 00:14
2008 15:32 01:13 11:14 04:15 36 06:08 -04:11 04:18 01:34
2009 17:18 02:09 10:45 -01:03 28 08:55 -02:36 05:54 00:55
2010 09:39 -00:15 08:15 01:15 34 09:04 -02:08 06:23 00:59
2011 15:31 00:13 14:40 01:56 36 10:08 -01:44 07:45 01:08
2012 -11:59 -08:35 -08:23 01:54 28 06:59 -02:43 05:27 01:15
2013 06:23 -01:17 11:20 03:07 36 of 44 06:54 -02:32 06:11 01:29
2014 -12:13 -01:05 -08:46 -02:56 29 of 40 04:47 -02:22 04:32 00:59
2015 -13:45 -00:47 -10:09 -00:57 49 of 61 02:56 -02:13 03:04 00:48
2016 03:32 -02:43 09:06 01:34 42 of 53 02:59 -02:16 03:37 00:52
2017 08:21 -00:05 08:49 01:36 43 of 63 03:26 -02:05 04:03 00:56

KPR points and Prize Money

IM South Africa is a P-4000 race. It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$ and automatic Kona qualifier slots for the winners.

Estimated Time Plan

The following table shows the time plan for the race start and the estimated times for the first athlete to end each leg or finish the race. The estimates are based on the start time and my time estimates, these times can change based on how fast or slow the race ends up:

What Racetime Local Time
Male Pro Start 06:30
Female Pro Start 06:35
Age Group Start 06:45
First Male Out of Water 00:48 07:18
First Female Out of Water 00:49 07:24
First Male End of Bike 05:17 11:47
First Female End of Bike 05:52 12:27
Male Winner 08:08 14:38
Female Winner 09:02 15:37

Port Elizabeth is on South Africa Standard Time, 2 hours ahead of UTC. Here are the conversions to a few other time zones:

  • +8 hours: Melbourne (AEST), race starts at 2:30 pm
  • -1 hour: United Kingdom (BST), race starts at 5:30
  • no change: Central Europe (CEST), race starts at 6:30
  • – 6 hours: US East Coast (EDT), race starts at 12:30am
  • – 9 hours: US West Coast (PDT), race starts at 9:30pm on Saturday

There is going to be live TV coverage for the race in South Africa, so we can expect a live stream on Ironman.com as well.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 25% of a typical Kona field.

#
Bib
Name
Nat
Expected
Rating
ESwim
EBike
ET2
ERun
Consistency
Overall
1 1 Ben Hoffman USA 08:07:57 08:17:42 00:50:31 04:25:44 05:21:15 02:46:42 43% +47% -9% (20) 9
2 4 James Cunnama ZAF 08:15:13 08:20:37 00:50:30 04:26:22 05:21:52 02:53:21 45% +35% -19% (26) 14
3 17 Maurice Clavel GER 08:17:19 08:38:13 00:50:21 04:25:08 05:20:29 02:56:50 47% +0% -53% (2) (70)
4 5 Matt Trautman ZAF 08:21:30 08:25:10 00:52:39 04:33:53 05:31:31 02:49:59 80% +0% -20% (6) (22)
5 8 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 08:22:45 08:28:02 00:54:05 04:31:45 05:30:51 02:51:54 61% +0% -38% (34) 32
6 2 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 08:22:49 08:31:55 00:51:03 04:33:43 05:29:47 02:53:02 65% +12% -22% (14) 47
7 18 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 08:25:40 08:27:28 00:53:21 04:38:56 05:37:17 02:48:23 73% +0% -27% (13) 30
8 7 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:26:18 08:28:58 00:50:31 04:29:49 05:25:20 03:00:58 85% +0% -15% (33) 34
9 6 Cameron Wurf AUS 08:27:18 08:32:00 00:51:54 04:20:31 05:17:25 03:09:53 45% +43% -12% (9) 49
10 27 Giulio Molinari ITA 08:28:19 08:31:38 00:50:30 04:31:09 05:26:39 03:01:40 100% +0% -0% (3) 45
11 12 Peru Alfaro ESP 08:28:55 08:45:47 00:49:08 04:38:37 05:32:45 02:56:10 82% +0% -18% (3) (90)
12 32 Evert Scheltinga NED 08:29:43 08:34:05 00:51:01 04:30:56 05:26:57 03:02:46 77% +0% -23% (4) 55
13 3 Josh Amberger AUS 08:32:44 08:35:28 00:48:22 04:28:32 05:21:54 03:10:50 57% +27% -15% (4) 61
14 11 Markus Fachbach GER 08:33:21 08:41:20 00:51:48 04:36:25 05:33:14 03:00:07 60% +1% -40% (22) 80
15 9 Michael Raelert GER 08:33:41 08:54:08 00:49:50 04:40:32 05:35:21 02:58:20 31% +0% -69% (4) (120)
16 15 Alberto Casadei ITA 08:35:41 08:49:52 00:49:49 04:45:52 05:40:41 02:55:00 34% +27% -39% (10) 104
17 20 Pedro Gomes POR 08:37:50 08:43:05 00:53:49 04:44:12 05:43:01 02:54:49 57% +1% -43% (30) 83
18 33 Jonathan Shearon USA 08:40:53 08:49:21 00:55:58 04:38:17 05:39:15 03:01:38 66% +6% -28% (20) 102
19 24 Philipp Koutny SUI 08:42:26 08:56:30 00:52:51 04:36:30 05:34:22 03:08:04 46% +0% -54% (7) 131
20 31 Michael Ruenz GER 08:43:26 08:51:56 00:57:17 04:45:22 05:47:39 02:55:47 68% +0% -32% (12) 113
21 34 Darby Thomas FIN 08:48:38 09:01:05 01:01:14 04:41:43 05:47:57 03:00:41 53% +0% -47% (12) 153
22 28 Hans Muehlbauer GER 09:09:16 09:23:25 00:54:07 05:05:33 06:04:40 03:04:36 45% +0% -55% (10) (220)
23 10 Gerhard De Bruin ZAF 09:16:31 09:29:52 00:57:10 04:57:10 05:59:20 03:17:11 76% +24% -0% (6) (234)
24 21 Christian Jais GER 09:17:05 09:40:35 00:58:45 04:48:30 05:52:15 03:24:50 18% +31% -51% (3) (258)
25 16 Bekim Christensen DEN 09:19:59 09:56:46 01:06:58 04:54:09 06:06:07 03:13:52 11% +0% -89% (3) (273)
26 19 Alain Djouad-Guibert MOR 10:29:54 11:05:02 01:16:02 05:12:41 06:33:42 03:56:12 12% +21% -67% (5) (295)
27 23 Aleksander Kochetkov LTU 10:51:18 11:11:58 01:11:38 05:38:42 06:55:20 03:55:58 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (296)
14 Reece Barclay GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
22 Bruno Joaquim BRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
25 Philippe Lamberty LUX n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
29 Sebastian Norberg SWE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
30 Artem Parienko RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 30% of a typical Kona field.

#
Bib
Name
Nat
Expected
Rating
ESwim
EBike
ET2
ERun
Consistency
Overall
1 42 Lucy Charles GBR 09:01:43 09:11:18 00:49:24 04:57:59 05:52:23 03:09:20 21% +79% -0% (3) 4
2 41 Susie Cheetham GBR 09:09:57 09:14:05 00:56:40 05:03:28 06:05:09 03:04:48 87% +0% -13% (8) 5
3 49 Michelle Vesterby DEN 09:15:58 09:19:44 00:54:21 05:01:25 06:00:46 03:15:12 78% +1% -20% (24) 8
4 44 Linsey Corbin USA 09:17:40 09:19:59 01:00:21 05:05:40 06:11:01 03:06:39 95% +5% -0% (24) 9
5 63 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 09:19:55 09:22:13 01:01:00 05:05:09 06:11:09 03:08:46 100% +0% -0% (3) 17
6 46 Katja Konschak GER 09:29:18 09:43:02 00:55:44 05:16:45 06:17:29 03:11:49 42% +38% -20% (20) 49
7 45 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 09:32:33 09:40:34 01:03:11 05:14:29 06:22:40 03:09:53 70% +18% -12% (10) 46
8 59 Rachel McBride CAN 09:33:53 09:41:52 00:55:02 04:59:25 05:59:28 03:34:25 100% +0% -0% (3) 48
9 51 Annah Watkinson ZAF 09:34:21 09:48:01 01:01:00 05:10:37 06:16:36 03:17:45 58% +0% -42% (6) 57
10 47 Nikki Bartlett GBR 09:36:25 09:54:15 01:01:42 05:08:09 06:14:51 03:21:34 69% +0% -31% (4) 69
11 53 Saleta Castro Nogueira ESP 09:42:08 09:49:02 00:57:36 05:23:14 06:25:50 03:16:18 74% +19% -8% (15) 61
12 58 Carolin Lehrieder GER 09:42:28 10:20:29 00:57:34 05:16:41 06:19:15 03:23:13 20% +7% -73% (11) (115)
13 48 Katharina Grohmann GER 09:42:35 09:53:30 01:13:07 05:10:58 06:29:05 03:13:30 77% +23% -0% (17) 67
14 57 Martina Kunz SUI 09:43:07 09:55:40 01:04:41 05:10:42 06:20:23 03:22:44 100% +0% -0% (2) (71)
15 60 Leslie DiMichele Miller USA 09:45:11 09:54:25 01:00:09 05:23:14 06:28:23 03:16:48 72% +16% -12% (8) 70
16 55 Manon Genet FRA 09:48:57 10:00:17 01:00:20 05:08:17 06:13:37 03:35:20 27% +37% -35% (3) (76)
17 56 Corina Hengartner SUI 09:49:20 10:06:37 01:04:04 05:12:30 06:21:34 03:27:46 34% +32% -34% (7) 90
18 62 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 09:57:48 10:15:09 01:12:49 05:22:52 06:40:42 03:17:06 57% +18% -24% (10) 109
19 54 Camille Donat FRA 10:13:45 10:33:13 00:53:28 05:30:11 06:28:40 03:45:05 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (132)
20 61 Charlotte Morel FRA 10:31:25 10:51:28 00:56:38 05:16:24 06:18:01 04:13:24 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (144)
21 52 Patricia Bueno Perez ESP 10:43:15 11:04:27 01:05:57 05:44:27 06:55:25 03:47:50 46% +54% -0% (2) (148)
43 Emma Pallant GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
50 Judith Corachan Vacquero ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Ben Hoffman, the winner of the last two years, is back to defend his title and is the favorite to extend his winning streak in Port Elizabeth. James Cunnama has been chasing a good result in his home IM for a long time, he hopes to win this race since his third place in 2011. Last year he was a disappointing tenth, but since then he’s been superb on the IM distance, including a win at IM Hamburg and a fifth in Kona. Two Australians are expected to play a big role in the race: Josh Amberger will likely lead the race in T1, and Cam Wurf should be the fastest bike rider in the field and should take the lead before T2, maybe even posting a new bike course record (provided the conditions are favorable). But as always in a Regional Championship field, there are lots of candidates for the win and almost the whole field looks to score solid points for a potential Kona qualification.

  • Ben Hoffman: 56% (1-1)
  • James Cunnama: 22% (3-1)
  • Josh Amberger: 6% (17-1)
  • Ronnie Schildknecht: 5% (19-1)
  • Kyle Buckingham: 3% (35-1)
  • Alessandro Degasperi: 2% (55-1)
  • Matt Trautman: 2% (57-1)
  • Cameron Wurf: 2% (65-1)

Female Race Participants

For various reasons, none of the previous champions are on the start list this year, so we are going to have a new winner. The odds are favoring one of the British to come home with the title: Lucy Charles made great improvements in 2017 and looks like a very likely T1 and T2 leader, but Susie Cheetham has also had a very solid 2017 season and has been on the podium in Port Elizabeth in all three of her IM South Africa starts. With Emma Pallant there is another interesting British athlete in the field: The second place finisher at 70.3 Worlds will be racing her first Ironman. Michelle Vesterby (20 IM finishes) and Linsey Corbin (23 IM finishes) are two experienced athletes that also have good winning chances, but there are a lot more athletes on the start list that will look for a good start of the season after their winter training block.

  • Lucy Charles: 44% (1-1)
  • Susie Cheetham: 31% (2-1)
  • Michelle Vesterby: 17% (5-1)
  • Linsey Corbin: 5% (17-1)

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Ironman South Africa 2018 (April 15th) – Entry List

Update March 20th: Added

  • WPRO: Patricia Bueno Perez, Lucy Charles, Carolin Lehrieder
  • MPRO: Peru Alfaro, Reece Barclay, James Cunnama, Darby Thomas

Update March 10th: Added

  • WPRO: Linsey Corbin, Monica Juhart, Katja Konschak, Martina Kunz, Asa Lundstroem, Charlotte Morel, Michelle Vesterby, Annah Watkinson
  • MPRO: Josh Amberger, Alberto Casadei, Gerhard De Bruin, Eneko Llanos, Dylan McNeice, Giulio Molinari, Hans Muehlbauer, Evert Scheltinga, Jonathan Shearon, Matt Trautman, Cameron Wurf

Male Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
James Cunnama ZAF 6500 1+2 (5250/500)
Ben Hoffman USA 3845 1+1
Cameron Wurf AUS 2880 2+0
Maurice Clavel GER 2205 0+2 (0/435)
Ruedi Wild SUI 1860 1+2 (1100/220)
Jonathan Shearon USA 1720 2+2 (540/100)
Matt Trautman ZAF 1535 0+2 (0/750)
Josh Amberger AUS 980 1+1
Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 915 1+2 (235/180)
Philipp Koutny SUI 875 2+1
Pedro Gomes POR 615 1+2 (540/30)
Evert Scheltinga NED 540 0+1
Dylan McNeice NZL 520 1+1
Alessandro Degasperi ITA 450 1+0
Michael Raelert GER 400 0+1
Eneko Llanos ESP 340 1+0
Giulio Molinari ITA 340 1+0
Alberto Casadei ITA 240 0+1
Michael Ruenz GER 231 1+1
Gerhard De Bruin ZAF 140 0+1
Bruno Joaquim BRA 140 0+1
Darby Thomas FIN 120 1+0
Alain Djouad-Guibert MOR 5 0+1
Peru Alfaro ESP 0 0+0
Christian Jais GER 0 0+0
Aleksander Kochetkov LTU 0 0+0
Philippe Lamberty LUX 0 0+0
Sebastian Norberg SWE 0 0+0
Artem Parienko RUS 0 0+0
Reece Barclay GBR    
Hans Muehlbauer GER    

Female Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Lucy Charles GBR 7840 1+1
Susie Cheetham GBR 5160 1+1
Emma Pallant GBR 3620 0+2 (0/920)
Linsey Corbin USA 2735 1+2 (1900/400)
Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 2480 1+1
Asa Lundstroem SWE 1780 2+1
Angela Naeth CAN 1425 0+2 (0/640)
Manon Genet FRA 1280 1+0
Charlotte Morel FRA 1280 1+0
Saleta Castro Nogueira ESP 1140 1+1
Katja Konschak GER 960 1+0
Michelle Vesterby DEN 960 1+0
Rachel McBride CAN 840 1+1
Monica Juhart AUS 775 1+2 (305/125)
Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 740 1+1
Martina Kunz SUI 720 1+1
Annah Watkinson ZAF 625 0+2 (0/280)
Leslie DiMichele Miller USA 490 1+1
Judith Corachan Vacquero ESP 390 0+2 (0/170)
Katharina Grohmann GER 340 1+0
Nikki Bartlett GBR 220 0+1
Lina-Kristin Schink GER 220 0+1
Patricia Bueno Perez ESP 160 1+1
Corina Hengartner SUI 10 1+0
Camille Donat FRA 0 0+0
Carolin Lehrieder GER 0 0+0

Ironman South Africa 2017 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Even if it was hot and windy, the conditions were quick this year: An adjustment of 8:21 was about five minutes quicker than last year which had been pretty typical for South Africa.

The winning time by Ben Hoffman of 7:58:40 was the first sub-8 finish ever in South Africa – even with the course changes last year this was a great new course record (the old fastest time was 8:05 by Raynard Tissink from 2011). Ben also posted a new run course record of 2:42:52, improving on the 2007 time by Gerrit Schellens. Nils Frommhold was also under both old course records, but was just a touch slower than Ben.

On the female side both Daniela and Kaisa finished sub-9 and were clearly under last year’s winning time, but the course records are still held by Chrissie Wellington from her 2011 win in 8:33 (including a 4:45 bike and a 2:52 marathon).

Male Race Results

As expected Cameron Wurf was leading on the bike, but when he lost some of his advantage towards the end of the bike leg, it was clear that he’d have a hard time to hold on to his lead on the run. Defending champion Ben Hoffman quickly went to the front on the marathon and even though Nils Frommhold was running strong and didn’t let Ben get away too far, he was never able to completely close the gap. In the end, Ben won by 50 seconds over Nils. Third place went to David McNamee who had the best run of the athletes in the second bike chase group, closely followed by South African Kyle Buckingham and Jan Van Berkel who were both having great days including strong marathons.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Ben Hoffman USA 00:49:14 04:22:33 02:42:52 07:58:40 -19:14 US$ 30,000 4000
2 Nils Frommhold GER 00:49:05 04:22:31 02:43:43 07:59:30 -12:12 US$ 15,000 3400
3 David McNamee GBR 00:49:09 04:28:45 02:45:36 08:07:31 -10:07 US$ 8,000 2890
4 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 00:49:15 04:28:38 02:47:09 08:08:58 -21:27 US$ 6,500 2455
5 Jan Van Berkel SUI 00:49:12 04:28:41 02:50:46 08:12:35 -22:21 US$ 5,000 2090
6 Boris Stein GER 00:53:57 04:23:49 02:54:05 08:16:12 -00:48 US$ 3,500 1670
7 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 00:49:05 04:28:32 02:57:02 08:19:10 07:18 US$ 2,500 1335
8 Giulio Molinari ITA 00:49:07 04:28:34 02:59:16 08:21:09 01:25 US$ 2,000 1070
9 Andrej Vistica CRO 00:53:53 04:34:43 02:50:01 08:23:21 -09:20 US$ 1,500 855
10 James Cunnama ZAF 00:49:10 04:28:47 03:02:46 08:24:42 -01:34 US$ 1,000 685
11 Cameron Wurf AUS 00:49:13 04:20:11 03:11:44 08:25:31 -31:04 515
12 Joe Skipper GBR 00:53:59 04:32:04 02:57:57 08:28:46 04:13 385
13 Evert Scheltinga NED 00:49:12 04:28:40 03:08:59 08:31:04 n/a 290
14 Eneko Llanos ESP 00:49:19 04:28:31 03:11:44 08:34:15 16:35 215
15 Mario De Elias ARG 00:53:58 04:34:47 03:03:29 08:36:22 -07:15 160
16 Johann Ackermann GER 00:49:06 04:34:37 03:07:56 08:39:44 13:12 120
17 Roman Deisenhofer GER 00:49:18 04:33:46 03:15:34 08:43:30 -01:00 90
18 Josh Amberger AUS 00:48:02 04:29:29 03:23:11 08:44:41 n/a 70
19 Diego Van Looy BEL 01:05:44 04:46:28 02:51:42 08:49:32 09:01 50
20 Erik-Simon Strijk NED 00:53:54 04:34:39 03:27:10 09:00:36 21:10 40
21 Gerhard De Bruin ZAF 00:55:46 04:53:50 03:13:00 09:07:31 -16:55 25
22 Freddy Lampret ZAF 00:55:50 04:53:26 03:58:22 09:52:28 42:16 25
23 Emanuele Ciotti ITA 00:53:56 04:58:15 03:54:46 09:53:08 32:22 25
24 Petr Vabrousek CZE 01:00:07 05:41:27 03:11:04 09:59:52 54:39 25
25 Valentin Zasypkin RUS 01:12:27 05:23:03 03:33:42 10:13:45 -32:17 25
Carlos Aznar Gallego ESP DNF
Christian Kramer GER 00:49:10 04:37:07 DNF
Jens Petersen-Bach DEN 00:49:11 04:42:34 DNF
Fredrik Baeckson SWE 00:56:28 04:46:25 DNF
Balazs Csoke HUN 00:49:02 04:55:57 DNF
Greg Close USA 00:59:42 04:56:49 DNF
Harry Wiltshire GBR 00:48:05 05:17:49 DNF
Ivan Risti ITA 00:49:11 DNF
Vinicius Canhedo BRA 00:53:51 DNF
Victor Del Corral ESP 00:53:55 DNF
Toumy Degham FRA 00:54:00 DNF
Bekim Christensen DEN 01:05:14 DNF

Female Race Results

When Daniela Ryf was second out of the water (same time as Kate Comber) it looked like another start-to-finish win for her. But then Kaisa Lehtonen, Susie Cheetham and Julia Gajer were able to overtake her and build a two-minute lead towards the 90k mark. After the race Daniela revealed that she had back issues and almost didn’t start. After about three hours the pain eased and Daniela was able to take the lead in the second half of the bike, posting the fastest bike split of the day. She also posted a 2:57 marathon – the fastest run of the day – and won in 8:47. Kaisa Lehtonen also had a strong run and though she was five minutes back it never looked as if Daniela could just cruise home. Kaisa improved on her winning 9:06 finish from last year by more than 14 minutes. Third place went to Susie Cheetham who finished on the podium for the third time in three years of racing South Africa. When Julia Gajer started to struggle on the run (she had to dig deep to at least be able to finish the race), there were eight athletes within a few minutes close to the finish line – in the end there were five minutes between 4th and 11th place. Astrid Stienen had the most even race, she rode a 5:01 and was able to run a 3:16 marathon, just 22 seconds in front of Gurutze Frades in fifth.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:53:48 04:50:50 02:57:27 08:47:02 06:07 US$ 30,000 4000
2 Kaisa Lehtonen FIN 00:55:29 04:53:03 02:59:10 08:52:26 -12:17 US$ 15,000 3400
3 Susie Cheetham GBR 00:53:56 04:57:43 03:08:36 09:04:49 -02:43 US$ 8,000 2890
4 Astrid Stienen GER 01:01:07 05:01:42 03:16:52 09:24:37 05:58 US$ 6,500 2455
5 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 01:00:37 05:11:20 03:08:02 09:24:59 -16:30 US$ 5,000 2090
6 Katja Konschak GER 00:53:57 05:09:48 03:15:01 09:25:40 -16:42 US$ 3,500 1670
7 Alexandra Tondeur BEL 00:58:37 05:08:06 03:13:09 09:26:29 -06:12 US$ 2,500 1335
8 Jeanne Collonge FRA 00:59:47 05:04:58 03:16:09 09:27:18 -12:03 US$ 2,000 1070
9 Nikki Bartlett GBR 00:58:40 05:03:09 03:19:59 09:27:49 -14:47 US$ 1,500 855
10 Katharina Grohmann GER 01:10:04 05:05:47 03:08:56 09:29:20 -19:07 US$ 1,000 685
11 Ariane Monticeli BRA 00:58:45 05:13:11 03:11:48 09:29:27 -06:42 515
12 Kate Comber GBR 00:53:48 05:15:47 03:31:24 09:47:44 01:57 385
13 Manon Genet FRA 00:58:44 05:03:36 03:42:29 09:50:32 n/a 290
14 Diane Luethi SUI 00:58:34 05:17:12 03:31:51 09:52:50 05:41 215
15 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 01:11:31 05:24:17 03:14:13 09:54:47 -06:42 160
16 Julia Gajer GER 00:53:54 04:55:58 04:00:13 09:55:08 47:56 120
17 Jenny Fletcher CAN 00:58:41 05:20:59 03:33:14 09:59:27 12:01 90
18 Steph Corker CAN 01:01:41 05:27:35 03:28:32 10:04:18 n/a 70
Natascha Schmitt GER 00:58:43 05:15:21 DNF
Kristin Moeller GER 01:06:23 05:09:18 DNF
Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 00:58:37 05:25:19 DNF
Danielle Mack USA 01:06:12 05:34:36 DNF
Carolin Lehrieder GER 00:58:29 DNF
Kirsty Jahn CAN 00:58:33 DNF
Annah Watkinson ZAF 00:58:39 DNF
Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 01:09:05 DNF

Kona Qualifying

The points from IM South Africa allowed a number of athletes to improve their chances for Kona qualifying.

Male Slots

The following athletes have secured their Kona slots:

  • Ben Hoffman (Automatic Qualifier as a Regional Champion)
  • Frederik Van Lierde (Automatic Qualifier as a previous Kona champion, he had already validated)
  • Boris Stein (safe with 5.920 points)
  • David McNamee (safe with 4.790 points)
Nils Frommhold is on the bubble, another 70.3 race should be enough to secure the remaining points he still needs. Kyle Buckingham needs at least another 500 points, he probably needs another Ironman race.

Female Slots

The following athletes have secured their Kona slots:

  • Daniela Ryf (Automatic Qualifier as a previous Kona champion and winner of a Regional Championship)
  • Kaisa Lehtonen (safe with 9.495 points)
  • Astrid Stienen (safe with 5.495 points)

Susie Cheetham has improved her total to 3.480 points, she will likely have to race another Ironman to secure a Kona slot.

Ironman South Africa 2017 (April 2nd) – Seedings

IMSA_LogoWith Ironman South Africa, the first Regional Championship of 2017 is coming up, offering direct Kona slots for the winners. The resulting fields are very strong, both defending Champions Kaisa Lehtonen and Ben Hoffman are back. On the male side we have the three last winners (Nils Frommhold, Frederik Van Lierde and Ben Hoffmann), on the female side we have Kona winner Daniela Ryf and three of the five Regional Champions from last year (Kaisa Lehtonen, Julia Gajer who won IM Texas and Jodie Cunnama who won IM Cairns).

Update March 28th: Jodie Cunnama announced she won’t be racing “for health reasons”.

Update March 27th: On Twitter Rachel McBride said “Wish I was there! Alas not racing”.

Update March 17th: Mareen Hufe (planning to race IM Brasil) and Laura Siddall won’t be racing.

Update March 20th: Alessandro Degasperi has announced on his blog he’ll focus on IM Lanzarote.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2006 Gerrit Schellens (BEL) 08:36:06 Natascha Badmann (SUI) 09:46:38
2007 Gerrit Schellens (BEL) 08:33:05 Natascha Badmann (SUI) 09:22:01
2008 Stephen Bayliss (GBR) 08:18:23 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 09:27:48
2009 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:17:32 Lucie Reed (CZE) 09:16:32
2010 Raynard Tissink (ZAF) 08:23:28 Sonja Tajsich (GER) 09:16:55
2011 Raynard Tissink (ZAF) 08:05:36 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:33:56
2012 Clemente Alonso McKernan (ESP) 08:34:45 Natascha Badmann (SUI) 09:47:10
2013 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:11:24 Jessie Donavan (USA) 09:10:58
2014 Nils Frommhold (GER) 08:26:07 Simone Braendli (SUI) 09:31:54
2015 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:16:35 Jodie Cunnama (GBR) 09:26:56
2016 Ben Hoffman (USA) 08:12:37 Kaisa Lehtonen (FIN) 09:06:50

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Ben Hoffman USA 00:52:58 04:29:36 02:45:50 08:12:37
2 Tim Van Berkel AUS 00:50:00 04:32:33 02:48:15 08:14:51
3 Marko Albert EST 00:49:37 04:30:53 02:54:19 08:18:52

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Kaisa Lehtonen FIN 00:58:21 04:59:41 03:02:34 09:06:50
2 Susie Cheetham GBR 00:58:21 05:04:26 03:02:43 09:09:49
3 Lucy Gossage GBR 01:03:20 04:56:10 03:07:36 09:11:43

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:05:36 Raynard Tissink 2011-04-10
Swim overall 00:45:22 Anton Storm 2009-04-05
Bike overall 04:19:41 Raynard Tissink 2011-04-10
Run overall 02:45:48 Gerrit Schellens 2007-03-18
Total female 08:33:56 Chrissie Wellington 2011-04-10
Swim female 00:47:40 Lucie Reed 2009-04-05
Bike female 04:45:23 Chrissie Wellington 2011-04-10
Run female 02:52:54 Chrissie Wellington 2011-04-10

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM South Africa is 02:59.

Race Adjustments for IM South Africa

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 01:35 -04:53 -01:53 -00:21 28 01:35 -04:53 -01:53 -00:21
2007 01:16 -08:52 03:31 00:49 33 01:26 -06:52 00:49 00:14
2008 15:32 01:13 11:14 04:15 36 06:08 -04:11 04:18 01:34
2009 17:18 02:09 10:45 -01:03 28 08:55 -02:36 05:54 00:55
2010 09:39 -00:15 08:15 01:15 34 09:04 -02:08 06:23 00:59
2011 15:31 00:13 14:40 01:56 36 10:08 -01:44 07:45 01:08
2012 -11:59 -08:35 -08:23 01:54 28 06:59 -02:43 05:27 01:15
2013 06:23 -01:17 11:20 03:07 36 of 44 06:54 -02:32 06:11 01:29
2014 -12:13 -01:05 -08:46 -02:56 29 of 40 04:47 -02:22 04:32 00:59
2015 -13:45 -00:47 -10:09 -00:57 49 of 61 02:56 -02:13 03:04 00:48
2016 03:32 -02:43 09:06 01:34 42 of 53 02:59 -02:16 03:37 00:52

KPR points and Prize Money

IM South Africa is a P-4000 race. It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$.

Estimated Time Plan

The following table shows the time plan for the race start and the estimated times for the first athlete to end each leg or finish the race. The estimates are based on the start time and my time estimates, these times can change based on how fast or slow the race ends up:

What Racetime Local Time
Male Pro Start 06:30
Female Pro Start 06:35
Age Group Start 06:45
First Male Out of Water 00:50 07:20
First Female Out of Water 00:51 07:26
First Male End of Bike 05:21 11:51
First Female End of Bike 05:49 12:24
Male Winner 08:13 14:43
Female Winner 08:49 15:24

Port Elizabeth is on South Africa Standard Time, 2 hours ahead of UTC. Here are the conversions to a few other time zones:

  • +8 hours: Melbourne (AEST, DST ends on April 2nd)
  • -1 hour: United Kingdom (BST), race starts at 5:30
  • no change: Central Europe (CEST), race starts at 6:30
  • – 5 hours: US East Coast (EDT), race starts at 12:30am
  • – 8 hours: US West Coast (PDT), race starts at 9:30pm on Saturday

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 2 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:13:03 08:19:35 00:50:04 04:26:50 02:51:08 80% +9% -11% (22) 8
2 3 Nils Frommhold GER 08:15:45 08:19:07 00:49:53 04:26:42 02:54:10 83% +0% -17% (8) 6
3 1 Ben Hoffman USA 08:16:55 08:25:18 00:51:18 04:31:09 02:49:27 34% +50% -16% (18) 19
4 4 Boris Stein GER 08:20:51 08:24:41 00:54:49 04:29:07 02:51:54 65% +35% -0% (7) 15
5 8 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:23:55 08:25:37 00:50:21 04:29:04 02:59:30 90% +0% -10% (28) 21
6 10 David McNamee GBR 08:25:27 08:25:11 00:49:49 04:41:24 02:49:14 100% +0% -0% (5) 18
7 34 Joe Skipper GBR 08:27:12 08:34:59 00:56:35 04:34:05 02:51:32 32% +29% -40% (14) 48
8 28 Giulio Molinari ITA 08:29:44 08:42:52 00:51:47 04:30:32 03:02:25 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (77)
9 7 James Cunnama ZAF 08:29:55 08:34:05 00:51:37 04:36:20 02:56:57 57% +10% -33% (23) 38
10 5 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 08:30:31 08:35:14 00:53:18 04:42:44 02:49:28 73% +0% -27% (9) 50
11 6 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 08:31:17 08:43:10 00:50:53 04:33:35 03:01:50 62% +0% -38% (11) 78
12 13 Johann Ackermann GER 08:31:19 08:39:43 00:49:58 04:32:09 03:04:12 55% +0% -45% (8) 66
13 25 Christian Kramer GER 08:32:29 08:35:41 00:49:35 04:37:04 03:00:49 77% +7% -16% (19) 54
14 11 Jens Petersen-Bach DEN 08:33:30 08:34:21 00:53:04 04:43:40 02:51:45 63% +0% -37% (17) 42
15 9 Victor Del Corral ESP 08:34:55 08:39:39 00:57:59 04:41:12 02:50:44 51% +0% -49% (15) 65
16 24 Markus Fachbach GER 08:34:58 08:35:48 00:52:40 04:38:06 02:59:12 69% +1% -31% (20) 55
17 38 Jan Van Berkel SUI 08:36:22 08:47:47 00:51:53 04:37:15 03:02:14 56% +9% -35% (13) 92
18 40 Andrej Vistica CRO 08:36:24 08:40:28 00:55:30 04:39:12 02:56:43 83% +0% -17% (12) 71
19 31 Michael Ruenz GER 08:44:23 08:51:13 00:57:17 04:47:07 02:54:59 71% +0% -29% (9) 101
20 29 Ivan Risti ITA 08:46:21 09:04:06 00:50:42 04:46:30 03:04:09 39% +17% -44% (8) 154
21 23 Mario De Elias ARG 08:46:33 09:02:17 00:53:33 04:50:57 02:57:04 2% +54% -43% (7) 146
22 35 Erik-Simon Strijk NED 08:46:38 08:53:05 00:55:36 04:44:50 03:01:11 97% +3% -0% (8) 109
23 30 Roman Deisenhofer GER 08:48:15 08:57:56 00:55:06 04:40:25 03:07:43 32% +68% -0% (6) 126
24 12 Harry Wiltshire GBR 08:48:27 08:51:26 00:49:49 04:48:46 03:04:51 39% +26% -35% (18) 102
25 39 Diego Van Looy BEL 08:50:59 08:54:00 01:08:19 04:46:08 02:51:32 100% +0% -0% (3) 113
26 73 Cameron Wurf AUS 08:58:50 09:15:20 00:52:20 04:21:11 03:40:20 44% +56% -0% (2) (183)
27 21 Balazs Csoke HUN 08:58:59 09:03:32 00:50:01 04:52:33 03:11:26 47% +12% -41% (26) 152
28 26 Freddy Lampret ZAF 09:00:06 09:36:19 00:54:42 04:47:12 03:13:13 1% +30% -69% (9) (237)
29 37 Petr Vabrousek CZE 09:01:44 09:14:30 00:58:43 04:51:43 03:06:18 69% +1% -29% (96) 179
30 20 Greg Close USA 09:08:51 09:22:01 01:01:17 04:57:05 03:05:29 63% +0% -37% (7) (199)
31 22 Gerhard De Bruin ZAF 09:22:53 09:38:37 00:56:48 04:57:32 03:23:33 65% +35% -0% (5) 241
32 18 Bekim Christensen DEN 09:24:39 09:39:12 01:07:39 04:56:41 03:15:19 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (243)
33 15 Carlos Aznar Gallego ESP 09:27:03 09:41:39 01:06:27 05:06:47 03:08:48 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (246)
34 19 Emanuele Ciotti ITA 09:31:03 09:35:39 00:55:03 04:56:38 03:34:22 60% +0% -40% (5) 235
35 41 Valentin Zasypkin RUS 10:35:03 11:02:05 01:15:31 05:26:12 03:48:20 13% +23% -64% (5) (295)
36 33 Drew Scott USA 11:17:09 11:41:33 00:52:08 04:43:27 05:36:33 45% +0% -55% (2) (297)
14 Josh Amberger AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
16 Fredrik Baeckson SWE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
17 Vinicius Canhedo BRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
32 Evert Scheltinga NED n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (2) (n/a)
36 Toumy Degham FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

 

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 43 Daniela Ryf SUI 08:49:25 08:41:40 00:53:37 04:50:15 03:00:33 85% +0% -15% (9) 1
2 42 Kaisa Lehtonen FIN 09:10:40 09:12:57 00:58:02 05:05:14 03:02:23 100% +0% -0% (3) 4
3 44 Jodie Cunnama GBR 09:11:43 09:19:34 00:50:53 04:58:51 03:16:59 52% +0% -48% (12) 11
4 45 Susie Cheetham GBR 09:11:52 09:21:32 00:57:29 05:08:02 03:01:21 69% +0% -31% (5) 14
5 46 Julia Gajer GER 09:17:04 09:21:58 00:55:35 05:08:38 03:07:51 60% +0% -40% (12) (15)
6 47 Astrid Stienen GER 09:23:18 09:27:23 01:01:27 05:02:42 03:14:09 35% +28% -36% (10) 21
7 53 Laura Siddall GBR 09:23:29 09:32:32 01:00:04 05:02:08 03:16:16 63% +30% -7% (10) 33
8 48 Mareen Hufe GER 09:29:17 09:30:03 01:03:33 05:02:02 03:18:42 76% +15% -8% (23) 28
9 68 Danielle Mack USA 09:37:51 09:44:37 01:04:43 05:19:19 03:08:48 52% +20% -28% (8) 54
10 52 Kristin Moeller GER 09:40:14 09:42:40 01:06:39 05:25:55 03:02:41 80% +8% -12% (21) 51
11 49 Annah Watkinson ZAF 09:40:46 09:44:35 01:01:09 05:15:17 03:19:19 100% +0% -0% (3) 53
12 64 Kirsty Jahn CAN 09:41:16 09:56:15 01:01:49 05:24:18 03:10:09 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (72)
13 65 Katja Konschak GER 09:42:18 09:51:07 00:56:14 05:25:21 03:15:42 42% +28% -30% (18) 63
14 74 Ariane Monticeli BRA 09:42:58 09:44:58 01:04:36 05:20:56 03:12:26 52% +18% -29% (16) 56
15 69 Rachel McBride CAN 09:42:59 09:58:00 00:59:09 05:07:10 03:31:40 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (76)
16 72 Alexandra Tondeur BEL 09:43:30 09:41:27 01:03:59 05:20:50 03:13:41 100% +0% -0% (3) 47
17 60 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 09:43:48 09:42:24 01:02:54 05:16:16 03:19:38 83% +17% -0% (11) 50
18 71 Natascha Schmitt GER 09:43:53 09:57:04 00:57:09 05:12:21 03:29:23 44% +31% -25% (7) 73
19 50 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 09:44:05 09:50:13 01:04:31 05:21:33 03:13:00 34% +39% -27% (7) 61
20 59 Camille Deligny FRA 09:46:42 09:56:35 01:05:10 05:05:06 03:31:26 100% +0% -0% (2) (72)
21 66 Carolin Lehrieder GER 09:47:19 10:02:14 00:58:10 05:19:25 03:24:44 38% +14% -49% (8) 82
22 56 Jeanne Collonge FRA 09:47:39 09:54:01 01:01:46 05:11:44 03:29:09 50% +5% -45% (10) 68
23 51 Katharina Grohmann GER 09:52:11 10:03:14 01:14:04 05:16:31 03:16:36 100% +0% -0% (14) 84
24 54 Nikki Bartlett GBR 09:54:00 10:09:18 01:06:16 05:17:38 03:25:05 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (95)
25 67 Diane Luethi SUI 09:56:21 10:08:18 00:57:56 05:22:37 03:30:48 100% +0% -0% (2) (94)
26 57 Kate Comber GBR 09:57:34 10:00:50 00:56:51 05:25:21 03:30:23 100% +0% -0% (3) 78
27 61 Jenny Fletcher CAN 09:59:20 10:14:47 00:59:15 05:22:14 03:32:51 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (104)
28 70 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 10:09:34 10:16:48 01:15:23 05:20:25 03:28:46 83% +0% -17% (7) 107
29 55 Rahel Bellinga NED 10:12:34 10:32:18 01:08:48 05:13:20 03:45:27 71% +21% -8% (7) 134
30 63 Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 10:15:44 10:27:56 01:02:51 05:44:14 03:23:39 50% +0% -50% (7) 125
58 Steph Corker CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
62 Manon Genet FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

The male race has two favorites – the winners from the last two years. Frederik Van Lierde had a fantastic race in Port Elizabeth in 2015, but Ben might have the momentum after a great 2016 season. Nils Frommhold is the 2014 winner, he’s looking for a good result after a frustrating 2016 season cut short by another stress fracture. Boris Stein needs just a finish for a Kona slot, but as last year he’ll be racing aggressively to test for any weaknesses to work on over the summer.

  • Frederik Van Lierde: 33% (2-1)
  • Ben Hoffman: 32% (2-1)
  • Nils Frommhold: 21% (4-1)
  • Boris Stein: 9% (10-1)

There is a number of other strong contenders not shown in the above list, for example I expect Eneko Llanos, Joe Skipper and David McNamee to contend for a podium spot.

Female Race Participants

There can’t be any discussion that two-time Kona champion Daniela Ryf has to be the favorite, even if the race is early in her season. Jodie Cunnama is likely to be leading after the swim, it’ll be interesting to see if she tries to go with Daniela on the bike, trying to reclaim her 2015 title that she lost after crashing under dubious circumstances last year. Kaisa Lehtonen has proven in Kona that her win at IM South Africa in 2016 wasn’t a “fluke result”, I’m looking forward to see her race after deciding to be coached by Siri Lindley last fall.

  • Daniela Ryf: 69% (1-1)
  • Kaisa Lehtonen: 15% (6-1)
  • Jodie Cunnama: 7% (14-1)

Susie Cheetham (3rd in 2015, 2nd in 2016, so what’s in store for 2017?) should be in the mix for at least a podium spot, and I expect a number of German athletes such as Julia Gajer, Astrid Stienen or Mareen Hufe (more likely to racing IM Brasil) to have some good early season form as well. Laura Siddall has already raced two IM-distance races in New Zealand, I’d be surprised to see her on the start line, but watch out for her if she is! (Laura has withdrawn from racing IM South Africa.)

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