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Challenge Roth 2011 – Predictions (Details Post)

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Sebastian Kienle GER 07:58:29 08:16:17 1
2 Andreas Raelert GER 08:00:25 08:18:17 1
3 Juergen Zaeck GER 08:22:25 08:41:06 27
4 Andriy Yastrebov UKR 08:28:18 08:47:13 48
5 James Cunnama ZAF 08:28:34 08:47:29 50
6 Christian Ritter GER 08:31:12 08:50:13 67
7 Clemens Coenen GER 08:36:16 08:55:28 88
8 Keegan Williams NZL 08:37:04 08:56:18 95
9 Bernd Eichhorn GER 08:41:22 09:00:46 117
10 Andreas Niedrig GER 08:45:34 09:05:07 136
11 Bernd Hagen GER 08:50:37 09:10:21 164
12 Lothar Leder GER 08:50:56 09:10:41 166
13 Gilad Rotem ISR 08:56:51 09:16:49 212
14 Margus Tamm EST 08:57:48 09:17:48 222
15 Justin Granger AUS 08:58:24 09:18:26 228
16 Andreas Fuchs   09:03:07 09:23:19 266
17 Andreas Borch   09:10:32 09:31:01 310
18 Daniel Wells CAN 09:12:22 09:32:55 323
19 Dion Harrison GBR 09:14:00 09:34:36 331
20 Tim Sheeper USA 09:16:08 09:36:49 348
21 Nicholas Kinsey GBR 09:37:26 09:58:55 494
22 Benjamin Sanson FRA 09:45:08 10:06:54 541
23 Manuel Wyss   09:45:24 10:07:11 543
24 Jan Strangmuller USA 09:45:41 10:07:28 546

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Chrissie Wellington GBR 08:37:24 08:56:39 1
2 Rebekah Keat AUS 09:08:14 09:28:38 9
3 Belinda Granger AUS 09:23:51 09:44:49 43
4 Sonja Jaarsveld Net 09:30:15 09:51:28 57
5 Heather Gollnick USA 09:32:04 09:53:21 59
6 Belinda Harper NZL 10:07:25 10:30:01 171
7 Celia Kuch NZL 10:10:46 10:33:29 179
8 Helen Buley Sou 10:15:33 10:38:27 187
9 Alma Sarapuu EST 10:21:46 10:44:54 202
10 Heike Priess   10:22:16 10:45:25 206
11 Zeljka Saban   11:22:15 11:47:38 267

Results for Sebastian Kienle (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 07:59:06 08:16:17 08:16:17 2

Results for Andreas Raelert (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:12:17 08:14:56 08:18:17 2
IM Germany 2010-07-04 08:05:15 08:16:32 08:19:26 1
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 08:24:32 08:22:32 08:20:45 3
IM Germany 2009-07-05 08:03:29 08:19:43 08:19:42 4
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 08:14:16 08:19:41 08:19:41 1

Results for Juergen Zaeck (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Germany 2005-07-11 08:44:00 08:41:06 08:41:06 6

Results for Andriy Yastrebov (UKR)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Canada 2008-08-24 08:37:11 08:42:21 08:47:13 4
IM Canada 2007-08-26 08:50:37 08:51:47 08:50:02 4
IM Lake Placid 2006-07-23 08:57:23 08:49:54 08:48:40 4
IM Wisconsin 2005-09-11 09:01:34 08:47:06 08:47:06 1

Results for James Cunnama (ZAF)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 08:13:18 08:24:09 08:47:29 3
IM Florida 2010-11-06 08:15:59 08:30:56 08:52:59 1
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 08:18:47 08:36:40 08:58:48 6
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:25:05 09:22:51 09:05:51 53
IM Austria 2009-07-05 08:14:18 08:29:36 09:00:01 2
IM South Africa 2009-04-05 08:55:24 09:05:43 09:14:10 6
IM South Africa 2008-04-13 08:52:17 09:01:04 09:20:37 10
IM South Africa 2007-03-18 09:48:38 09:47:15 09:47:15 13

Results for Christian Ritter (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:52:13 08:55:05 08:50:13 37
IM Germany 2010-07-04 08:33:06 08:45:01 08:47:17 7
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 08:50:34 08:50:09 08:50:09 2

Results for Clemens Coenen (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:41:33 08:44:21 08:55:28 24
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 08:47:13 09:06:08 08:58:03 12
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:02:14 08:57:50 08:55:48 5
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 08:32:36 08:44:41 08:55:05 7
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:31:37 08:53:48 08:59:48 18
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 08:52:36 08:52:19 09:03:55 20
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 09:03:14 09:03:01 09:18:21 45
IM Lanzarote 2005-06-04 09:35:23 09:35:23 09:35:23 8

Results for Keegan Williams (NZL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Brasil 2011-05-29 08:37:20 08:58:53 08:56:18 6
IM New Zealand 2011-03-05 08:49:34 08:53:12 08:55:36 4
Challenge Wanaka 2011-01-01 10:49:47 10:44:36 09:23:05 7
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 08:40:11 08:49:40 08:56:25 4
Challenge Wanaka 2010-01-16 08:41:19 08:45:36 08:58:46 3
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 09:00:46 09:14:28 09:05:23 14
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19 09:05:55 09:09:24 08:58:26 6
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19 08:44:08 08:47:28 08:47:28 1

Results for Bernd Eichhorn (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 08:38:04 08:56:39 09:00:46 11
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:38:58 09:01:28 09:02:01 22
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 08:46:31 09:08:56 09:02:10 14
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 09:36:40 09:36:36 09:00:16 14
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 08:30:40 08:52:40 08:49:56 11
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:03:26 09:00:56 08:48:56 48
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 08:29:56 08:42:08 08:43:45 7
IM Wisconsin 2005-09-11 09:08:46 08:54:06 08:44:48 3
Challenge Roth 2005-06-24 08:24:13 08:34:54 08:34:54 7

Results for Andreas Niedrig (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 11:15:35 11:12:55 09:05:07 84
IM South Africa 2008-04-13 08:52:01 09:00:48 09:05:07 9
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 08:38:21 09:00:41 09:08:13 12
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 09:05:13 09:18:16 09:18:16 27

Results for Bernd Hagen (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 08:51:46 09:10:50 09:10:21 13
IM Florida 2009-11-07 08:52:47 09:10:47 09:10:15 13
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:50:15 09:13:14 09:10:07 27
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 09:13:38 09:14:15 09:09:17 10
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 08:40:26 09:02:36 09:07:58 12
IM Wisconsin 2007-09-09 09:09:39 09:09:35 09:09:48 9
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 08:39:24 09:01:46 09:09:52 13
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 08:46:29 08:59:05 09:14:05 17
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 09:27:26 09:27:12 09:23:37 68
Challenge Roth 2005-06-24 09:08:06 09:19:43 09:19:43 20

Results for Lothar Leder (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Germany 2010-07-04 09:01:21 09:13:56 09:10:41 14
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:10:51 09:15:48 09:09:40 13
IM UK 2009-08-02 09:23:39 09:21:02 09:07:39 8
IM Germany 2007-07-01 08:43:55 08:57:39 09:01:22 10
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 09:04:09 09:07:21 09:02:39 11
IM Germany 2006-07-23 09:01:53 09:12:39 09:00:22 11
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 09:14:39 09:14:26 08:52:22 57
Challenge Roth 2005-06-24 08:17:41 08:28:14 08:28:14 4

Results for Gilad Rotem (ISR)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 09:12:06 09:24:14 09:16:49 17
IM Germany 2010-07-04 08:52:40 09:05:03 09:12:49 12
IM Austria 2009-07-05 08:43:09 08:59:20 09:18:46 13
IM France 2008-06-22 09:39:50 09:44:56 09:44:56 16

Results for Margus Tamm (EST)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 08:56:22 09:15:36 09:17:48 15
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:43:00 09:05:40 09:18:33 23
IM Florida 2008-11-01 08:59:52 09:19:34 09:22:56 19
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 08:53:20 09:16:03 09:24:14 16
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 09:00:20 09:13:16 09:28:44 25
IM Wisconsin 2005-09-11 10:47:21 10:30:03 09:35:31 20
Challenge Roth 2005-06-24 08:51:10 09:02:26 09:06:12 16
IM Brasil 2005-05-28 09:10:02 09:10:02 09:10:02 7

Results for Justin Granger (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Korea 2011-07-03 09:30:44 09:37:54 09:18:26 5
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:55:02 09:18:14 09:13:59 29
Challenge Wanaka 2009-01-01 09:19:16 09:26:55 09:13:21 7
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 09:06:59 09:07:36 09:11:22 9
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 08:43:39 09:05:57 09:11:57 13
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19 08:54:08 08:57:32 09:12:59 4
IM Florida 2007-11-03 08:38:23 08:54:11 09:15:45 8
IM Korea 2007-08-26 10:01:01 09:42:45 09:20:06 8
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 09:51:07 10:16:35 09:14:45 24
Challenge Wanaka 2007-01-20 08:55:35 08:58:52 08:56:50 2
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 08:47:16 08:59:53 08:56:08 18
IM Australia 2006-05-11 08:55:12 08:52:58 08:54:35 7
Challenge Roth 2005-06-24 08:28:19 08:39:06 08:55:40 10
IM Australia 2005-04-08 09:13:16 09:13:16 09:13:16 14

Results for Andreas Fuchs ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:43:18 09:03:14 09:23:19 13
IM Austria 2009-07-05 08:54:45 09:11:18 09:29:26 17
IM Austria 2008-07-13 08:50:32 09:09:16 09:34:50 17
IM Austria 2007-07-08 09:58:05 10:11:55 09:42:13 25
IM Austria 2007-07-08 09:58:05 10:11:55 09:34:03 25
IM Austria 2006-07-16 08:59:44 09:12:07 09:22:41 22
IM Austria 2006-07-16 08:59:44 09:12:07 09:19:39 22
IM Austria 2005-07-03 09:29:48 09:29:48 09:29:48 26
IM Austria 2005-07-03 09:29:48 09:29:48 09:29:48 26

Results for Andreas Borch ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2009-07-05 09:20:25 09:37:45 09:31:01 23
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 08:55:51 09:18:56 09:18:56 18

Results for Daniel Wells (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2008-11-01 09:12:44 09:32:55 09:32:55 26

Results for Dion Harrison (GBR)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2010-07-04 09:01:44 09:22:22 09:34:36 21
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 09:32:15 09:41:14 09:39:15 13
IM Florida 2009-11-07 08:49:28 09:07:21 09:38:08 12
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:54:12 09:53:53 10:37:22 69
IM UK 2005-08-21 10:58:25 10:42:40 11:32:40 15
IM Lanzarote 2005-06-04 12:25:50 12:25:50 12:25:50 25

Results for Tim Sheeper (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene 2005-06-26 09:36:49 09:36:49 09:36:49 14

Results for Nicholas Kinsey (GBR)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 09:40:36 10:01:25 09:58:55 22
IM Canada 2007-08-26 09:40:45 09:42:01 09:55:31 19
IM Lanzarote 2006-05-20 10:19:37 10:14:58 10:14:58 26

Results for Benjamin Sanson (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 11:15:22 11:15:00 10:06:54 80
IM Brasil 2008-05-25 08:41:33 08:50:55 08:50:55 3
IM Switzerland 2005-07-15 12:24:43 12:30:55 12:30:55 31

Results for Manuel Wyss ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 09:54:26 10:07:11 10:07:11 23

Results for Jan Strangmuller (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 09:33:26 09:54:00 10:07:28 21
IM Austria 2006-07-16 11:14:24 11:29:52 10:31:21 41
IM Wisconsin 2005-09-11 09:32:02 09:16:45 09:16:45 8

Results for Chrissie Wellington (GBR)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 08:33:56 08:45:14 08:56:39 1
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 08:36:13 08:48:59 08:58:41 1
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 08:19:13 08:37:07 09:00:31 1
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 08:54:02 08:51:55 09:05:24 1
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:31:59 08:54:11 09:08:06 1
IM Australia 2009-04-05 08:57:10 09:02:09 09:11:17 1
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:06:23 09:06:05 09:13:45 1
IM Germany 2008-07-06 08:51:24 09:12:22 09:16:06 1
IM Australia 2008-04-06 09:03:54 09:08:36 09:17:35 1
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:08:45 09:09:38 09:22:50 1
IM Korea 2007-08-26 09:54:38 09:36:33 09:36:33 1

Results for Rebekah Keat (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Cairns 2011-06-05 09:26:31 09:36:49 09:28:38 1
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 08:52:10 09:11:15 09:26:56 2
IM Australia 2010-03-28 09:33:10 09:42:47 09:29:56 2
Challenge Wanaka 2010-01-16 09:30:41 09:35:22 09:27:12 2
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:39:24 09:01:55 09:25:09 2
IM Australia 2009-04-05 09:21:33 09:26:45 09:31:35 2
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:56:01 09:55:42 09:33:15 17
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 09:02:34 09:25:40 09:23:37 5
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:27:19 09:28:14 09:22:16 6
IM Australia 2007-04-08 09:12:58 09:15:20 09:15:20 1

Results for Belinda Granger (AUS)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Cairns 2011-06-05 09:44:41 09:55:19 09:44:49 5
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 09:28:59 09:41:30 09:43:40 6
Challenge Wanaka 2011-01-01 10:26:17 10:21:18 09:43:55 1
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 10:18:29 10:21:49 09:39:21 30
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 09:15:25 09:35:20 09:33:54 4
IM Canada 2009-08-30 09:40:48 09:46:01 09:33:42 2
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 09:12:12 09:36:08 09:32:14 5
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:56:01 09:55:42 09:31:43 17
IM Canada 2008-08-24 09:17:58 09:23:33 09:28:56 1
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 08:58:08 09:21:03 09:29:37 4
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:37:54 09:38:50 09:30:48 9
IM Lake Placid 2007-07-22 09:40:20 09:35:40 09:29:47 1
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 09:07:56 09:31:32 09:29:00 3
IM Australia 2007-04-08 09:20:25 09:22:49 09:28:37 2
Challenge Wanaka 2007-01-20 09:38:26 09:41:58 09:29:34 1
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:35:48 09:33:09 09:27:17 8
IM Canada 2006-08-27 09:25:13 09:24:19 09:26:04 1
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 09:10:27 09:23:38 09:26:30 2
IM Australia 2006-05-11 09:30:29 09:28:06 09:27:24 2
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 09:28:16 09:28:02 09:27:05 7
Challenge Roth 2005-06-24 09:14:06 09:25:51 09:26:34 1
IM Australia 2005-04-08 09:27:19 09:27:19 09:27:19 3

Results for Sonja Jaarsveld (Net)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 09:42:20 09:51:28 09:51:28 5

Results for Heather Gollnick (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2011-06-26 10:18:13 10:24:10 09:53:21 8
IM Florida 2009-11-07 09:22:13 09:41:13 09:46:56 5
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 10:04:58 10:02:34 09:47:48 24
IM Brasil 2009-05-31 09:31:42 09:45:47 09:45:16 3
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 09:50:34 09:56:22 09:45:10 2
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 09:32:07 09:37:20 09:43:21 3
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:40:48 09:41:44 09:44:26 11
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 09:36:40 09:40:03 09:44:57 1
IM New Zealand 2007-03-03 09:28:16 09:32:31 09:45:53 2
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:43:42 09:41:01 09:48:57 14
IM Coeur d’Alene 2006-06-25 09:36:39 09:36:44 09:51:00 2
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 09:33:25 09:35:54 09:55:24 2
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 09:59:55 09:59:40 10:03:25 24
IM Lake Placid 2005-07-24 10:01:47 09:56:48 10:05:30 3
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 10:14:57 10:14:57 10:14:57 6

Results for Belinda Harper (NZL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM New Zealand 2011-03-05 09:40:33 09:44:32 10:30:01 5
Challenge Wanaka 2011-01-01 11:23:15 11:17:48 11:17:48 4

Results for Celia Kuch (NZL)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Wanaka 2010-01-16 10:25:13 10:30:21 10:33:29 5
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 10:08:04 10:34:26 10:34:24 11
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 10:01:37 10:12:56 10:34:23 9
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 10:25:37 10:52:16 10:43:43 13
IM New Zealand 2008-03-01 10:31:18 10:41:01 10:38:53 11
Challenge Wanaka 2008-01-19 10:32:39 10:36:41 10:36:41 3

Results for Helen Buley (Sou)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 10:26:29 10:40:16 10:38:27 12
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 09:51:34 10:12:47 10:37:56 6
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 09:53:19 10:02:38 10:45:35 10
IM UK 2009-08-02 11:37:17 11:34:02 11:02:39 5
IM South Africa 2009-04-05 10:21:37 10:33:36 10:47:43 7
IM South Africa 2008-04-13 10:21:39 10:31:55 10:58:30 10
IM South Africa 2007-03-18 11:36:19 11:34:41 11:34:41 15

Results for Alma Sarapuu (EST)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 10:03:07 10:24:45 10:44:54 7
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 11:05:52 11:12:20 11:12:20 12

Results for Heike Priess ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 10:48:49 10:47:09 10:45:25 10
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 11:01:26 10:58:17 10:44:19 11
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 10:10:54 10:37:13 10:36:28 7
IM Switzerland 2006-07-02 10:33:20 10:48:14 10:35:53 8
Challenge Roth 2005-06-24 10:06:29 10:19:20 10:19:20 4

Results for Zeljka Saban ()

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2009-07-05 11:26:24 11:47:38 11:47:38 12

IM Switzerland 2011 – Predictions (Details Post)

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Ronnie Schildknecht SWI 08:23:20 08:34:22 14
2 Daniel Fontana ITA 08:23:58 08:35:01 17
3 Cyril Viennot FRA 08:30:44 08:41:56 27
4 Mathias Hecht SWI 08:31:54 08:43:07 31
5 Swen Sundberg GER 08:35:12 08:46:29 42
6 Stefan Riesen SWI 08:36:35 08:47:54 51
7 Clemente Alonso-McKernan ESP 08:40:17 08:51:41 79
8 Mike Aigroz SWI 08:41:13 08:52:38 84
9 Christian Brader GER 08:51:35 09:03:14 131
10 Sergio Marques PRT 08:53:51 09:05:33 138
11 Erich Kunz SUI 08:54:54 09:06:37 144
12 Mike Schifferle SWI 09:05:17 09:17:14 215
13 Bo Ballegaard DNK 09:06:01 09:17:59 225
14 Rafael Wyss SWI 09:06:27 09:18:26 228
15 Ueli Bieler SUI 09:10:28 09:22:32 260
16 Daniel Muller GER 09:24:26 09:36:48 347
17 Scott Defilippis USA 09:25:22 09:37:45 352
18 Damien Landon FRA 09:27:41 09:40:07 373
19 Juha Laitinen FIN 10:10:38 10:24:01 632
20 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:44:15 11:59:41 789
21 Massimiliano Sansone ITA n/a unrated n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Karin Thuerig SWI 09:11:26 09:23:31 8
2 Amy Marsh USA 09:21:33 09:33:51 14
3 Erika Csomor HUN 09:22:04 09:34:23 15
4 Simone Benz SWI 09:54:06 10:07:07 93
5 Jana Candrova CZE 10:17:58 10:31:31 174
6 Miranda Alldritt CAN 10:37:35 10:51:33 214
7 Regula Rohrbach SUI n/a unrated n/a
8 Anja Ippach GER n/a unrated n/a
9 Megumi Shigaki JPN n/a unrated n/a
10 Kathrin Mannweiler GER n/a unrated n/a

Results for Ronnie Schildknecht (SWI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:32:51 08:35:36 08:34:22 15
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 08:12:40 08:23:14 08:34:06 1
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 08:49:15 08:47:09 08:36:48 18
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 08:20:00 08:32:40 08:34:15 1
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 08:21:46 08:21:30 08:34:43 4
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13 08:16:05 08:29:34 08:50:47 1
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 08:24:58 08:37:34 08:58:16 1
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 08:34:35 08:32:13 09:05:32 15
IM Switzerland 2006-07-02 08:37:36 08:49:47 09:19:07 3
IM South Africa 2006-03-18 08:56:15 08:54:57 09:36:36 8
IM Switzerland 2005-07-15 10:21:59 10:27:10 10:27:10 26

Results for Daniel Fontana (ITA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 08:18:51 08:29:49 08:35:01 4
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 08:33:48 08:41:52 08:41:52 3

Results for Cyril Viennot (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 08:30:42 08:41:56 08:41:56 5

Results for Mathias Hecht (SWI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 08:32:03 08:34:05 08:43:07 1
IM New Zealand 2011-03-05 08:45:36 08:49:13 08:44:43 3
IM South Africa 2010-04-25 08:28:53 08:36:52 08:43:48 2
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 08:37:29 08:35:26 08:45:06 13
IM Germany 2009-07-05 08:11:56 08:28:27 08:46:58 5
IM Australia 2009-04-05 09:08:03 09:13:08 08:50:57 12
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 08:34:02 08:33:45 08:45:23 8
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 08:56:33 08:56:08 08:48:38 3
IM Australia 2008-04-06 08:42:47 08:47:18 08:45:58 3
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 08:32:47 08:45:35 08:45:20 2
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 08:54:16 08:51:48 08:45:10 34
IM Switzerland 2006-07-02 08:26:01 08:37:55 08:37:55 1

Results for Swen Sundberg (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Florida 2010-11-06 08:33:44 08:49:13 08:46:29 10
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 08:29:18 08:40:13 08:45:45 2
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:07:50 08:28:59 08:47:33 8
IM Florida 2008-11-01 08:26:52 08:45:22 08:53:30 6
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 08:30:47 08:52:32 08:56:24 8
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 08:57:37 08:58:29 08:58:16 27
IM Coeur d’Alene 2007-06-23 09:14:41 09:16:24 08:58:08 9
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 08:30:07 08:32:19 08:32:19 4

Results for Stefan Riesen (SWI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 08:53:39 08:56:17 08:47:54 4
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 08:37:10 08:48:15 08:45:48 4
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 08:31:10 08:44:07 08:45:01 2
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13 08:32:10 08:46:05 08:45:18 2
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 08:38:35 08:39:25 08:45:03 16
IM South Africa 2007-03-18 08:41:39 08:40:26 08:46:53 3
IM South Africa 2006-03-18 08:40:32 08:39:16 08:49:20 4
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 08:38:49 08:38:36 08:53:22 16
IM Switzerland 2005-07-15 08:40:07 08:44:27 09:01:25 4
IM Lanzarote 2005-06-04 09:18:57 09:18:57 09:18:57 4

Results for Clemente Alonso-McKernan (ESP)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 08:48:53 08:46:47 08:51:41 17
IM France 2009-06-28 08:48:59 08:57:00 08:57:00 4

Results for Mike Aigroz (SWI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 08:42:06 08:44:11 08:52:38 5
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 08:34:24 08:45:26 08:56:02 3
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:18:34 09:16:21 09:01:03 46
IM Canada 2009-08-30 08:40:17 08:44:58 08:51:48 2
IM France 2008-06-22 08:56:43 09:01:26 09:01:26 6

Results for Christian Brader (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:08:19 09:10:30 09:03:14 8
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 08:33:43 08:36:29 09:02:09 16
IM Canada 2010-08-29 08:32:41 08:42:44 09:05:54 2
Challenge Roth 2010-07-18 10:23:03 10:45:24 09:22:51 24
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:14:42 09:10:12 09:09:43 8
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 08:57:39 08:55:31 09:09:37 26
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 08:56:35 08:56:41 09:12:07 2
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 09:21:47 09:19:01 09:15:12 12
IM Australia 2009-04-05 10:03:56 10:09:32 09:14:18 20
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 08:50:08 08:49:51 08:58:13 19
IM Lake Placid 2008-07-20 08:58:10 08:57:45 09:01:04 4
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:06:16 09:07:09 09:02:36 35
IM Germany 2007-07-01 08:51:09 09:05:05 08:59:53 12
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 08:56:01 08:53:33 08:53:33 37

Results for Sergio Marques (PRT)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2011-06-26 08:49:55 08:55:01 09:05:33 5
IM Texas 2011-05-21 08:48:57 08:56:56 09:07:23 12
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 09:09:30 09:21:35 09:09:30 15
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:11:10 09:06:42 09:06:33 7
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:41:02 09:38:44 09:06:30 63
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 09:08:38 09:05:56 08:58:41 8
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:47:16 09:46:57 08:56:41 66
IM Florida 2007-11-03 08:23:49 08:39:10 08:41:27 2
IM Austria 2007-07-08 08:36:05 08:48:01 08:42:08 7
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 08:40:32 08:38:08 08:39:54 19
IM Arizona 2006-04-09 08:31:26 08:33:39 08:40:42 5
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 08:43:45 08:43:32 08:45:02 20
IM Arizona 2005-04-09 08:46:47 08:46:47 08:46:47 3

Results for Erich Kunz (SUI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 08:55:08 09:06:37 09:06:37 10

Results for Mike Schifferle (SWI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Brasil 2011-05-29 08:53:07 09:15:20 09:17:14 10
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 09:04:02 09:16:00 09:17:27 14
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 08:47:53 09:00:57 09:17:37 11
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:09:02 09:25:35 09:19:36 22
IM Wisconsin 2010-09-12 08:58:35 09:01:14 09:18:48 8
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 08:43:51 08:55:05 09:21:23 7
IM Austria 2010-07-04 08:54:57 09:15:19 09:25:43 19
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:08:49 09:06:39 09:27:43 34
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 08:54:13 09:07:45 09:31:38 12
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:21:13 09:20:55 09:36:37 53
IM Austria 2008-07-13 08:56:20 09:15:17 09:39:47 20
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:28:17 09:29:12 09:45:29 57
IM Lanzarote 2007-05-20 10:00:35 09:58:22 09:49:14 20
IM Florida 2006-11-04 09:41:45 09:50:42 09:46:52 31
IM Hawaii 2006-10-21 09:51:31 09:48:48 09:45:47 77
IM UK 2006-08-16 09:34:59 09:37:59 09:44:36 15
IM Switzerland 2006-07-02 09:19:56 09:33:07 09:48:30 15
IM Switzerland 2005-07-15 10:03:46 10:08:48 10:08:48 24

Results for Bo Ballegaard (DNK)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 09:25:35 09:21:19 09:17:59 10
IM Florida 2008-11-01 08:52:33 09:11:59 09:14:22 16
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 08:54:13 09:16:58 09:16:58 17

Results for Rafael Wyss (SWI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 09:05:41 09:01:34 09:18:26 8
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 08:47:16 08:58:34 09:21:45 8
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 09:11:28 09:10:03 09:26:01 10
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 08:50:16 09:03:42 09:29:24 8
IM Lanzarote 2009-05-23 09:41:55 09:39:03 09:34:30 20
IM Canada 2008-08-24 09:28:35 09:34:16 09:33:25 25
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13 09:09:39 09:24:35 09:33:14 13
IM Lanzarote 2008-05-24 09:46:04 09:43:17 09:35:46 22
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 09:00:31 09:14:00 09:32:48 9
IM Lanzarote 2007-05-20 09:41:33 09:39:25 09:40:59 10
IM Switzerland 2006-07-02 09:18:48 09:31:57 09:42:07 14
IM Switzerland 2005-07-15 09:50:38 09:55:33 09:55:33 19

Results for Ueli Bieler (SUI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 09:12:39 09:24:30 09:22:32 17
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 08:50:24 09:03:51 09:21:32 9
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13 09:11:17 09:26:15 09:32:26 15
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 09:19:58 09:33:57 09:37:46 15
IM Switzerland 2005-07-15 09:39:36 09:44:26 09:44:26 17

Results for Daniel Muller (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 09:15:12 09:14:46 09:36:48 10
IM France 2009-06-28 09:23:49 09:32:21 09:43:15 11
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13 08:42:47 08:56:59 09:47:22 4
IM Austria 2008-07-13 09:32:17 09:52:30 10:23:19 25
IM Switzerland 2007-06-24 11:14:05 11:30:55 11:39:37 24
IM France 2007-06-24 08:56:00 09:05:07 10:39:33 5
IM Switzerland 2005-07-15 11:48:55 11:54:49 11:54:49 30

Results for Scott Defilippis (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2011-06-26 09:26:26 09:31:53 09:37:45 13
IM St. George 2011-05-07 09:58:05 10:00:28 09:39:37 15
IM Florida 2010-11-06 08:43:35 08:59:22 09:30:24 12
IM St. George 2010-05-01 09:53:07 09:48:18 09:49:39 17
IM Florida 2009-11-07 09:31:53 09:51:12 09:51:12 17

Results for Damien Landon (FRA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote 2011-05-21 09:48:51 09:44:25 09:40:07 12
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:51:20 10:09:09 09:38:45 32
IM France 2010-06-27 09:13:56 09:28:34 09:27:27 8
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 09:26:51 09:24:36 09:26:54 55
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:40:28 09:40:09 09:28:29 61
IM France 2008-06-22 09:10:56 09:15:46 09:15:46 8

Results for Juha Laitinen (FIN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote 2010-05-22 10:25:37 10:24:01 10:24:01 22

Results for Marek Nemcik (SVK)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2011-07-03 10:53:08 11:22:07 11:59:41 19
IM New Zealand 2010-03-06 12:21:51 12:35:23 12:17:22 13
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 12:13:01 12:30:18 12:08:50 28
IM Florida 2008-11-01 10:48:33 11:12:13 11:52:13 43
IM Florida 2007-11-03 12:22:51 12:45:29 12:45:29 57

Results for Massimiliano Sansone (ITA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Karin Thuerig (SWI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:22:48 09:25:50 09:23:31 6
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 09:00:04 09:11:39 09:22:08 1
IM Lanzarote 2006-05-20 09:52:45 09:48:18 09:35:26 1
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 09:38:59 09:38:45 09:27:31 12
IM Switzerland 2005-07-15 09:10:51 09:15:26 09:15:26 1

Results for Amy Marsh (USA)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Brasil 2011-05-29 09:07:49 09:30:39 09:33:51 1
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:28:19 09:31:22 09:35:17 11
IM Lake Placid 2010-07-25 09:27:30 09:33:01 09:37:38 2
IM Wisconsin 2009-09-13 09:43:59 09:43:32 09:43:32 1

Results for Erika Csomor (HUN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Austria 2011-07-03 08:51:10 09:14:44 09:34:23 2
IM Arizona 2010-11-21 09:22:38 09:36:33 09:37:09 6
IM Florida 2010-11-06 09:14:40 09:31:23 09:37:14 2
IM Hawaii 2010-10-09 09:39:53 09:43:00 09:38:07 17
IM France 2010-06-27 09:36:08 09:51:22 09:37:16 2
IM Hawaii 2009-10-10 10:08:25 10:06:01 09:34:34 26
Challenge Roth 2009-07-12 08:59:42 09:23:06 09:28:44 4
IM Hawaii 2008-10-11 09:24:49 09:24:31 09:29:55 4
Challenge Roth 2008-07-13 08:47:05 09:09:32 09:31:00 2
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 09:14:49 09:19:52 09:35:58 1
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 09:39:47 09:40:43 09:40:24 10
IM Lake Placid 2007-07-22 09:53:44 09:48:57 09:40:18 3
Challenge Roth 2007-06-24 09:09:32 09:33:12 09:36:43 4
Challenge Roth 2006-06-24 09:27:47 09:41:22 09:39:07 4
IM Australia 2006-05-11 09:39:12 09:36:47 09:36:47 4

Results for Simone Benz (SWI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM South Africa 2011-04-10 09:31:21 09:43:55 10:07:07 7
IM Canada 2010-08-29 10:53:21 11:06:10 10:15:40 16
IM Switzerland 2010-07-25 09:29:44 09:41:57 09:53:05 4
IM Switzerland 2009-07-12 09:32:57 09:47:28 10:01:39 6
IM Switzerland 2008-07-13 10:04:08 10:20:33 10:20:33 7

Results for Jana Candrova (CZE)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid 2009-07-26 10:32:25 10:32:33 10:31:31 9
IM Switzerland 2006-07-02 10:14:34 10:29:02 10:29:02 7

Results for Miranda Alldritt (CAN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race
IM France 2011-06-26 10:56:48 11:03:07 10:51:33 11
IM Texas 2011-05-21 10:19:12 10:28:33 10:50:02 14
IM St. George 2011-05-07 11:51:45 11:54:35 10:53:09 8
IM Canada 2010-08-29 12:47:12 13:02:15 10:42:52 18
IM St. George 2010-05-01 10:40:59 10:35:47 10:42:52 7
IM Arizona 2009-11-22 09:53:01 10:07:00 10:43:52 12
IM Coeur d’Alene 2009-06-21 13:39:19 13:47:17 10:49:11 14
IM New Zealand 2009-03-07 10:18:02 10:29:40 10:49:11 10
IM Arizona 2008-11-23 10:06:24 10:13:03 10:51:47 12
IM Wisconsin 2008-09-07 10:54:52 10:55:36 10:57:12 12
IM Canada 2008-08-24 11:21:23 11:28:12 10:57:27 17
IM Coeur d’Alene 2008-06-22 10:18:14 10:24:18 10:52:01 8
IM Arizona 2008-04-13 10:21:42 10:27:22 10:57:37 13
IM Hawaii 2007-10-13 10:43:58 10:45:00 11:04:44 48
IM Arizona 2007-04-15 10:16:31 10:20:08 11:09:48 5
IM Canada 2006-08-27 11:15:34 11:14:30 11:23:59 17
IM Coeur d’Alene 2006-06-25 11:22:19 11:22:25 11:26:57 19
IM Hawaii 2005-10-15 11:27:13 11:26:56 11:28:53 55
IM Canada 2005-08-29 11:19:15 11:17:43 11:29:55 14
IM Coeur d’Alene 2005-06-26 11:42:45 11:42:45 11:42:45 5

Results for Regula Rohrbach (SUI)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Anja Ippach (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Megumi Shigaki (JPN)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

Results for Kathrin Mannweiler (GER)

Race Date Total Adjusted Rating Rank in Race

IM Austria 2011 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

As usual, Austria was very fast with an adjustment of 23:57. The weather added to a great environment for record times.

Male Results

Of course, the big news this weekend was Marino setting a new world record time. It’s a good thing he set this in a WTC event, so at least we won’t get the annoying corporate speak of “Ironman world record” and “Ironman-distance world best”:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 07:45:58 07:59:43
2 Michael Weiss AUT 07:57:39 08:15:01
3 Marko Albert EST 08:08:17 n/a
4 Tom Lowe GBR 08:11:30 08:01:33
5 Stephen Bayliss GBR 08:16:47 08:27:11
6 Jozsef Major HUN 08:28:15 08:25:32
7 Anton Blokhin UKR 08:30:57 08:39:04
8 Dorian Wagner GER 08:37:01 n/a
9 Ernst Moser AUT 08:37:10 08:43:12
10 Lukas Vrobel CZE 08:39:56 08:57:03
11 Andreas Wolpert GER 08:44:37 08:57:04
12 Marcel Bischof GER 08:44:51 09:17:22
13 Dominik Berger AUT 08:45:32 08:39:59
14 Michal Kulich SVK 08:53:43 n/a
15 Jules Hatcher GBR 08:55:15 n/a
16 Jerzy Kasemier NLD 09:04:22 09:32:49
17 Paul Westwood NZL 09:43:43 08:54:51
18 Gergely Nagy HUN 10:11:56 10:08:02
19 Marek Nemcik SVK 10:53:08 11:44:39

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

With his great time Marino moved up in the rankings to the second spot (passing Chris McCormack) and probably has to be considered the Kona favorite at this point. (After all, Andreas hasn’t even qualified yet.)

There were a number of other notable results. Michi Weiss also went sub-8, improved his place in the rankings and is close to breaking the TOP 10 now (13th with a rating of 8:33). Marko Albert posted a great first Ironman result, and Tom Lowe posted another great result after his first race in Arizona and a missing South Africa because of an injury. He is also in the TOP 10 ratings now (8th with a rating of 8:29).  

Female Results

There were a couple more great results on the women’s side with four athlete’s going sub-9:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Mary Beth Ellis USA 08:43:34 n/a
2 Erika Csomor HUN 08:51:10 09:11:32
3 Diana Riesler GER 08:53:34 09:22:00
4 Heleen Bij De Vaate NLD 08:56:11 09:17:46
5 Eva Dollinger AUT 09:05:13 09:26:50
6 Simone Helfenschneider-Ofner AUT 09:11:36 n/a
7 Joyce Wolfe IRL 09:15:42 n/a
8 Nicole Woysch GER 09:23:31 10:03:21
9 Svetlana Blazevic SCG 09:30:15 10:33:15
10 Kristin Lie NOR 09:31:44 09:49:06
11 Monika Stadlmann AUT 09:53:56 10:21:05
12 Fernanda Keller BRA 10:39:08 09:45:48

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

Mary Beth Ellis won her first IM posting a new rookie record. The next athletes also soundly beat their expected times. The results were really fast, especially considering that only Erika Csomor is actually rated in the TOP 20 (13th at 9:34).

IM Korea 2011 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

In the past, the times in Korea were pretty slow – and I mentioned that this was at least partly caused by long courses. This year, the adjustment of 6:47 was just a normal number – not crazy fast, but still a little bit faster than IM Hawaii.

Male Results

The athlete who registered for almost every official Ironman race (he was registered for Korea and Austria on the same day!) actually started in Korea and managed to win his first IM improving by quite a bit on his expected time:

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Balazs Csoke HUN 08:48:21 09:05:52
2 Andreas Venhorst GER 08:58:46 08:59:01
3 Bevan McKinnon NZL 09:03:50 09:02:52
4 Hiroyuki Nishiuchi JPN 09:18:12 09:14:23
5 Justin Granger AUS 09:30:44 09:07:02
6 Yeun Sik Ham KOR 09:36:02 n/a
7 Yong Taek Kim KOR 10:07:00 n/a

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

Andreas Venhorst and Bevan McKinnon finished close to their expected times and rounded out the podium.

Female Results

On the women’s side, the race was won by late entry Kate Bevilaqua:

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Actual Time Expected Time
1 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 09:39:44 09:58:37
2 Maki Nishiuchi JPN 09:56:28 10:13:11
3 Hillary Biscay USA 10:12:20 10:07:31

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

Three finishers seems like a low number, but it was all I could find. But with tracking on the ironamlive site not working for Korea, it was actually tricky to find results, so this may have to be updated once the official results coming out.

IM Korea 2011 – Predictions (Main Post)

As per usual, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

IM Korea in Jeju hasn’t been an official race between 2008 and 2010 (then it was just the “Jeju International Triathlon”), but it has been before that and now it’s back on the list of Kona qualifiers. It’s the slowest course I’ve been looking at so far, with a course rating of -6:22. At least some of it has to do with inaccurate courses (one year the best swim time was barely under an hour), but from what I’ve heard the course really is quite hard.

Most people remember the last race in 2007 because of the women’s winner – it was Chrissie Wellington’s first IM. She won in 9:54, qualified for Kona and the rest is history. On the men’s side, we have Raynard Tissink at the top with a winning time of 9:08.

Male Participants

There are not too many athletes on the start list, and German pro Andreas Venhorst tops the ratings:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Andreas Venhorst GER 09:22:28 09:05:52 139
2 Bevan McKinnon NZL 09:26:29 09:09:46 154
3 Balazs Csoke HUN 09:29:37 09:12:49 177
4 Justin Granger AUS 09:30:49 09:13:59 186
5 Hiroyuki Nishiuchi JPN 09:38:30 09:21:26 250
6 Eneko Elosegui ESP 10:04:25 09:46:35 414
7 Nobuyuki Tanaka JAP n/a unrated n/a
8 Jan Rehula CZE n/a unrated n/a

Andreas has just two results in my database (from 2008 and 2009), so with quite a few athletes close by, he’s not really a sure bet for the win. My pick would be Justin Granger or one of the relatively unknown Asian athletes who always race well in their “local” race. One more thing I noticed: Balazs Csoke seems to have registered for all IMs, he’s also on the start list in Austria on the same day and in IM Germany two weeks later.

Female Participants

On the female side, we have solid Japanese athlete Emi Shiono topping the ranking:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Emi Shiono JPN 10:28:26 10:09:54 106
2 Hillary Biscay USA 10:33:57 10:15:15 126
3 Maki Nishiuchi JPN 10:39:52 10:20:59 144
4 Jocelyn Wong USA 11:01:42 10:42:11 195
5 Yasuko Miyazaki JPN 11:09:58 10:50:12 210

Most eyes will be on Hillary Biscay who is trying to get another IM win under her belt. I hope she found some renewed spring in her step – after all this is only her second Ironman this year!

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