Race

As per usual, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

Coeur d’Alene, with a course rating of 4:12, is just a few minutes quicker than IM Hawaii (-0:24) and about as fast as IM Australia (4:24).

Last year’s race was won by Andy Potts (8:24) and Linsey Corbin (9:17).

Male Participants

For this year, the “German Cycling Machine” Mail Twelsiek seems to be ready for his next IM win:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Maik Twelsiek	GER	08:31:03	08:40:42	28
2	Oliver Piggin	NZL	08:59:36	09:09:48	152
3	Joe McDaniel	USA	09:03:04	09:13:20	176
4	Raul Furtado	BRA	09:09:36	09:19:59	232
5	Billy Edwards	USA	09:20:30	09:31:05	299
6	Tim Snow	USA	09:21:25	09:32:01	305
7	Cesar Valera	VEN	09:31:05	09:41:52	379
8	Lewis Elliot	USA	09:32:35	09:43:24	384
9	Brendan Halpin	USA	09:33:45	09:44:35	392
10	Blake Becker	USA	09:37:04	09:47:58	416
11	Kyle Pawlaczyk	USA	09:39:01	09:49:57	428
12	Juan Carlos Ramirez	USA	09:50:53	10:02:03	510
13	Heath Thurston	USA	09:55:04	10:06:18	530
14	Adam Jensen	USA	09:58:09	10:09:27	553
15	Arland Macasieb	PHL	10:02:43	10:14:06	576
16	Scott Tremblay	CAN	n/a	unrated	n/a
17	Matt Burgess	NZL	n/a	unrated	n/a
18	Brian Hadley	USA	n/a	unrated	n/a

He has to be called the clear favorite and the only “almost rock star” in the race, but I’m sure that one of the other athletes will try to give him a good run for the money.

Update (6/22): Literally within minutes of me posting my predictions, Crowie announced on his blog that he will also race CdA. If he is properly recovered from his injury, that makes him the favorite for the race. One other question is if he’s racing just to finish and secure his Kona spot, or i he is going to go all out for another IM win. If he’s on form, I’m predicting an 8:12 for him (more in the updated details post).

Female Participants

On the female side, there is another clear favorite:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Julie Dibens	USA	09:02:46	09:13:01	2
2	Kelly Williamson	USA	09:28:04	09:38:48	23
3	Meredith Kessler	USA	09:30:41	09:41:28	33
4	Mackenzie Madison	USA	09:31:08	09:41:55	35
5	Caitlin Snow	USA	09:34:52	09:45:44	42
6	Alison Fitch	AUS	09:41:34	09:52:33	55
7	Desiree Ficker	USA	10:10:49	10:22:21	141
8	Haley Cooper	USA	10:10:56	10:22:28	142
9	Kelzie Beebe	USA	10:15:59	10:27:37	162
10	Lianne Evans	USA	10:16:07	10:27:45	162
11	Elly Franks	AUS	10:20:08	10:31:51	170
12	Teri Albertazzi	USA	10:28:03	10:39:55	188
13	Caroline Gregory	USA	n/a	unrated	n/a

“Dibs” just has one Ironman race so far (last year’s third place in IM Hawaii), and if she can even remotely repeat her Kona performance, she should win just as convincingly as Maik on the male side. Behind her we have 4 to 6 contenders for a podium spot – depending if you want to count Ali Fitch (with her comeback race after a prolonged injury) and Desiree Ficker (apparently trying to get back into Triathlon, but sometimes a hit and miss athlete).

As per usual, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

IM France is a medium-fast course (course rating of 8:24), comparable to IM Arizona (7:55). Last year’s race was won by Marcel Zamora in 8:25 and Tine Deckers in 9:21.

Male Participants

Surprisingly, last year’s winner does not top my prediction, but rather Paul Amey:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Paul Amey	USA	08:26:55	08:40:24	27
2	Marcel Zamora	ESP	08:30:15	08:43:49	35
3	Frederik Van Lierde	BEL	08:30:49	08:44:24	37
4	Francois Chabaud	FRA	08:36:48	08:50:32	68
5	Alexandro Santamaria	ESP	08:46:04	09:00:03	107
6	Simon Billeau	FRA	08:48:21	09:02:24	122
7	Sergio Marques	PRT	08:53:17	09:07:28	136
8	Trevor Delsaut	FRA	09:01:24	09:15:48	195
9	Bruno Clerbout	BEL	09:02:44	09:17:10	205
10	Chris Brands	NLD	09:03:56	09:18:24	219
11	Jose Jeuland	FRA	09:05:10	09:19:40	230
12	Dirk Wijnalda	NLD	09:07:26	09:21:59	246
13	Xavier Diepart	BEL	09:09:59	09:24:36	268
14	Leandro Gonzalez Bonet	ARG	09:20:41	09:35:35	328
15	Leonardo Simoncini	ITA	09:23:54	09:38:54	348
16	Scott Defilippis	USA	09:24:14	09:39:14	352
17	Alfred Rahm	GER	09:28:49	09:43:56	388
18	Matjaz Kovac	SVN	09:42:01	09:57:30	477
19	Luca De Paolis	ITA	n/a	unrated	n/a
20	Domenico Passuello	ITA	n/a	unrated	n/a
21	Nicolas Fernandez	FRA	n/a	unrated	n/a
22	Cedric Lassonde	FRA	n/a	unrated	n/a
23	Bill Scanlon	AUS	n/a	unrated	n/a

All of the top 3 prediction wouldn’t be a surprise winner, it’ll be interesting to see how the race between Amey, Marcel Zamora and Frederik van Lierde is going to turn out.

Female Participants

Another surprise tops the women’s field:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Silvia Felt	GER	09:21:28	09:36:24	20
2	Christel Robin	FRA	09:25:53	09:40:56	31
3	Heather Gollnick	USA	09:32:03	09:47:16	45
4	Kim Loeffler	USA	09:32:24	09:47:37	46
5	Jeanne Collonge	FRA	09:36:35	09:51:55	54
6	Martina Dogana	ITA	09:40:23	09:55:49	63
7	Britta Martin	NZL	09:44:06	09:59:38	69
8	Alexandra Louison	FRA	09:49:55	10:05:36	85
9	Johanna Daumas	FRA	09:56:10	10:12:01	110
10	Katya Meyers	USA	10:05:06	10:21:11	137
11	Fiona Whitby	CAN	10:14:28	10:30:48	167
12	Stephanie Jones	USA	10:29:54	10:46:39	205
13	Miranda Alldritt	CAN	10:45:30	11:02:40	230
14	Christine Hemphill	AUS	n/a	unrated	n/a

As you can see in the details, I have just one result Silvia Felt in my database (a 9:24 and 4th place from this year’s IM South Africa) – I wonder if she’ll be able to put in another performance at this level. She is followed by a number of established athletes, and I would think that everyone up to #8 has a realistic chance of winning the race or at least being in the mix.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Paul Amey	USA	08:26:55	08:40:24	27
2	Marcel Zamora	ESP	08:30:15	08:43:49	35
3	Frederik Van Lierde	BEL	08:30:49	08:44:24	37
4	Francois Chabaud	FRA	08:36:48	08:50:32	68
5	Alexandro Santamaria	ESP	08:46:04	09:00:03	107
6	Simon Billeau	FRA	08:48:21	09:02:24	122
7	Sergio Marques	PRT	08:53:17	09:07:28	136
8	Trevor Delsaut	FRA	09:01:24	09:15:48	195
9	Bruno Clerbout	BEL	09:02:44	09:17:10	205
10	Chris Brands	NLD	09:03:56	09:18:24	219
11	Jose Jeuland	FRA	09:05:10	09:19:40	230
12	Dirk Wijnalda	NLD	09:07:26	09:21:59	246
13	Xavier Diepart	BEL	09:09:59	09:24:36	268
14	Leandro Gonzalez Bonet	ARG	09:20:41	09:35:35	328
15	Leonardo Simoncini	ITA	09:23:54	09:38:54	348
16	Scott Defilippis	USA	09:24:14	09:39:14	352
17	Alfred Rahm	GER	09:28:49	09:43:56	388
18	Matjaz Kovac	SVN	09:42:01	09:57:30	477
19	Luca De Paolis	ITA	n/a	unrated	n/a
20	Domenico Passuello	ITA	n/a	unrated	n/a
21	Nicolas Fernandez	FRA	n/a	unrated	n/a
22	Cedric Lassonde	FRA	n/a	unrated	n/a
23	Bill Scanlon	AUS	n/a	unrated	n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Silvia Felt	GER	09:21:28	09:36:24	20
2	Christel Robin	FRA	09:25:53	09:40:56	31
3	Heather Gollnick	USA	09:32:03	09:47:16	45
4	Kim Loeffler	USA	09:32:24	09:47:37	46
5	Jeanne Collonge	FRA	09:36:35	09:51:55	54
6	Martina Dogana	ITA	09:40:23	09:55:49	63
7	Britta Martin	NZL	09:44:06	09:59:38	69
8	Alexandra Louison	FRA	09:49:55	10:05:36	85
9	Johanna Daumas	FRA	09:56:10	10:12:01	110
10	Katya Meyers	USA	10:05:06	10:21:11	137
11	Fiona Whitby	CAN	10:14:28	10:30:48	167
12	Stephanie Jones	USA	10:29:54	10:46:39	205
13	Miranda Alldritt	CAN	10:45:30	11:02:40	230
14	Christine Hemphill	AUS	n/a	unrated	n/a

Results for Paul Amey (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	08:27:20	08:32:39	08:40:24	7
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	08:48:58	08:48:25	08:48:25	16

Results for Marcel Zamora (ESP)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2010-06-27	08:25:28	08:38:33	08:43:49	1
IM France	2009-06-28	08:30:06	08:35:58	08:45:11	1
IM France	2008-06-22	08:34:03	08:38:33	08:47:23	1
IM South Africa	2008-04-13	08:53:39	09:02:13	08:49:19	12
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	08:46:36	08:47:19	08:45:58	20
IM France	2007-06-24	08:38:45	08:47:29	08:45:34	1
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	08:44:46	08:42:28	08:44:52	24
IM France	2006-06-24	08:33:56	08:41:29	08:45:54	1
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	08:47:16	08:46:47	08:48:43	25
IM France	2005-06-19	08:50:50	08:50:50	08:50:50	2

Results for Frederik Van Lierde (BEL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:31:43	08:34:28	08:44:24	14
IM France	2010-06-27	08:30:39	08:43:53	08:47:18	2
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:09:38	09:06:56	08:48:34	35
IM Austria	2009-07-05	08:26:58	08:42:33	08:40:41	5
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	08:34:34	08:39:58	08:39:27	9
IM New Zealand	2008-03-01	08:31:35	08:38:49	08:38:49	2

Results for Francois Chabaud (FRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
Challenge Roth	2008-07-13	08:23:44	08:46:38	08:50:32	5
IM South Africa	2008-04-13	08:33:53	08:42:08	08:52:05	4
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	08:59:56	08:57:34	08:57:52	42
IM France	2006-06-24	08:53:10	09:00:59	08:58:04	3
IM UK	2005-08-21	09:07:26	08:54:20	08:54:20	2

Results for Alexandro Santamaria (ESP)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM St. George	2011-05-07	09:04:38	09:06:05	09:00:03	7
IM UK	2006-08-16	08:54:42	08:57:57	08:46:26	4
IM Austria	2005-07-03	08:30:33	08:30:33	08:30:33	6

Results for Simon Billeau (FRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM South Africa	2010-04-25	08:53:49	09:02:27	09:02:24	8
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:14:07	09:11:24	09:02:22	40
IM France	2009-06-28	08:46:30	08:52:34	08:52:34	3

Results for Sergio Marques (PRT)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Texas	2011-05-21	08:48:57	08:58:30	09:07:28	12
IM South Africa	2011-04-10	09:09:30	09:21:04	09:09:17	15
IM St. George	2010-05-01	09:11:10	09:06:54	09:06:24	7
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:41:02	09:38:11	09:06:17	63
IM Lanzarote	2009-05-23	09:08:38	09:05:18	08:58:33	8
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:47:16	09:46:40	08:56:41	66
IM Florida	2007-11-03	08:23:49	08:39:33	08:41:32	2
IM Austria	2007-07-08	08:36:05	08:48:24	08:42:07	7
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	08:40:32	08:38:15	08:39:45	19
IM Arizona	2006-04-09	08:31:26	08:33:09	08:40:25	5
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	08:43:45	08:43:16	08:44:54	20
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	08:46:47	08:46:47	08:46:47	3

Results for Trevor Delsaut (FRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM South Africa	2011-04-10	08:41:57	08:52:56	09:15:48	9
IM Austria	2010-07-04	08:33:27	08:51:49	09:29:13	7
IM Switzerland	2008-07-13	09:27:44	09:43:23	10:02:29	19
IM France	2008-06-22	10:16:31	10:21:55	10:21:55	20

Results for Bruno Clerbout (BEL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM St. George	2011-05-07	09:37:12	09:38:44	09:17:10	14
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	09:13:33	09:27:35	09:11:38	23
IM France	2010-06-27	08:53:15	09:07:04	09:06:59	4
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	08:55:11	08:52:34	09:06:57	24
IM France	2009-06-28	08:58:02	09:04:14	09:12:41	6
IM France	2008-06-22	09:22:52	09:27:48	09:17:35	11
IM France	2007-06-24	08:46:30	08:55:22	09:09:48	4
IM France	2006-06-24	09:20:48	09:29:02	09:29:02	9

Results for Chris Brands (NLD)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2010-08-29	09:05:03	09:15:13	09:18:24	15
IM Austria	2010-07-04	08:52:52	09:11:56	09:19:07	18
IM Lanzarote	2010-05-22	09:18:04	09:16:29	09:21:03	12
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:35:15	09:32:26	09:22:40	61
IM Lanzarote	2009-05-23	09:16:01	09:12:38	09:18:33	10
IM Switzerland	2008-07-13	09:14:10	09:29:27	09:22:08	18
IM Canada	2006-08-27	09:05:42	09:04:45	09:15:36	8
IM Lanzarote	2006-05-20	09:31:40	09:27:19	09:27:19	12

Results for Jose Jeuland (FRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2010-06-27	09:05:46	09:19:54	09:19:40	6
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	09:39:51	09:40:08	09:19:38	13
Challenge Roth	2009-07-12	08:26:51	08:47:52	09:15:40	15
IM France	2009-06-28	09:18:38	09:25:04	09:22:13	10
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	08:51:29	08:57:04	09:21:22	14
IM France	2008-06-22	08:53:34	08:58:15	09:29:43	4
IM Wisconsin	2007-09-09	09:59:52	10:00:15	09:43:32	19
IM France	2007-06-24	09:09:14	09:18:29	09:34:32	9
IM Lanzarote	2007-05-20	09:53:16	09:51:02	09:51:02	17

Results for Dirk Wijnalda (NLD)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote	2011-05-21	09:30:25	09:26:00	09:21:59	11
IM Wisconsin	2010-09-12	09:01:07	09:04:23	09:20:18	9
IM France	2009-06-28	09:41:11	09:47:53	09:28:39	13
IM Florida	2007-11-03	08:53:25	09:10:05	09:17:21	22
IM Switzerland	2007-06-24	09:04:38	09:18:19	09:21:32	11
IM South Africa	2007-03-18	09:25:14	09:25:00	09:25:00	8

Results for Xavier Diepart (BEL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2010-06-27	09:06:54	09:21:04	09:24:36	7
IM France	2007-06-24	09:23:37	09:33:07	09:29:18	12
IM UK	2006-08-16	09:21:01	09:24:26	09:24:26	13

Results for Leandro Gonzalez Bonet (ARG)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
Challenge Roth	2010-07-18	09:26:34	09:47:23	09:35:35	17
IM Florida	2008-11-01	08:56:56	09:16:17	09:16:17	18

Results for Leonardo Simoncini (ITA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2010-06-27	09:24:17	09:38:54	09:38:54	11

Results for Scott Defilippis (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM St. George	2011-05-07	09:58:05	09:59:40	09:39:14	15
IM Florida	2010-11-06	08:43:35	08:58:41	09:30:13	12
IM St. George	2010-05-01	09:53:07	09:48:32	09:49:46	17
IM Florida	2009-11-07	09:31:53	09:51:11	09:51:11	17

Results for Alfred Rahm (GER)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Florida	2008-11-01	09:25:20	09:45:42	09:43:56	32
Challenge Roth	2008-07-13	09:02:12	09:26:51	09:43:39	23
IM Lanzarote	2008-05-24	10:20:00	10:17:04	09:46:38	32
IM Florida	2007-11-03	09:28:12	09:45:57	09:40:21	39
IM France	2007-06-24	09:36:45	09:46:28	09:39:10	16
IM Florida	2006-11-04	09:38:13	09:46:59	09:37:25	30
IM France	2006-06-24	09:19:46	09:27:59	09:35:04	8
IM Lanzarote	2006-05-20	10:30:36	10:25:48	09:37:05	29
IM South Africa	2006-03-18	09:37:33	09:36:00	09:18:17	12
IM Florida	2005-11-05	09:07:55	09:10:45	09:07:59	13
IM Germany	2005-07-11	09:08:00	09:04:58	09:04:58	10

Results for Matjaz Kovac (SVN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	10:07:28	10:22:52	09:57:30	34
IM Wisconsin	2010-09-12	09:32:03	09:35:30	09:53:08	15
IM Austria	2010-07-04	09:29:03	09:49:24	09:56:33	29
IM Lanzarote	2010-05-22	10:16:55	10:15:10	09:58:10	20
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:16:22	09:21:45	09:53:26	14
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	10:04:22	10:04:40	10:02:42	16
IM Lanzarote	2009-05-23	09:45:36	09:42:02	10:01:54	23
IM Lanzarote	2008-05-24	10:11:43	10:08:49	10:13:59	30
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:45:44	09:43:10	10:18:18	75
IM Lanzarote	2006-05-20	11:03:01	10:57:58	10:57:58	34

Results for Luca De Paolis (ITA)

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Results for Domenico Passuello (ITA)

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Results for Nicolas Fernandez (FRA)

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Results for Cedric Lassonde (FRA)

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Results for Bill Scanlon (AUS)

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Results for Silvia Felt (GER)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM South Africa	2011-04-10	09:24:31	09:36:24	09:36:24	4

Results for Christel Robin (FRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2009-06-28	09:34:19	09:40:56	09:40:56	2

Results for Heather Gollnick (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Florida	2009-11-07	09:22:13	09:41:12	09:47:16	5
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:04:58	10:02:00	09:48:10	24
IM Brasil	2009-05-31	09:31:42	09:47:36	09:45:48	3
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	09:50:34	09:55:41	09:45:28	2
IM Arizona	2008-04-13	09:32:07	09:39:31	09:43:48	3
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:40:48	09:41:36	09:44:35	11
IM Arizona	2007-04-15	09:36:40	09:40:41	09:45:08	1
IM New Zealand	2007-03-03	09:28:16	09:33:45	09:46:00	2
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:43:42	09:41:09	09:48:48	14
IM Coeur d’Alene	2006-06-25	09:36:39	09:36:35	09:50:47	2
IM Arizona	2006-04-09	09:33:25	09:35:20	09:55:10	2
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	09:59:55	09:59:22	10:03:18	24
IM Lake Placid	2005-07-24	10:01:47	09:56:48	10:05:30	3
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	10:14:57	10:14:57	10:14:57	6

Results for Kim Loeffler (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Texas	2011-05-21	09:20:04	09:30:11	09:47:37	6
IM Florida	2010-11-06	09:21:26	09:37:38	09:51:21	3
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	09:30:57	09:41:21	09:54:26	3
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:32:00	10:28:54	09:57:24	36
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	09:33:54	09:39:55	09:49:25	4
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	09:54:55	09:55:11	09:51:44	2
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:00:15	10:01:05	09:50:45	22
IM New Zealand	2007-03-03	09:33:43	09:39:15	09:47:42	3
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:48:40	09:46:06	09:50:29	15
IM Coeur d’Alene	2006-06-25	10:16:39	10:16:35	09:52:21	11
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	09:30:18	09:29:47	09:37:04	8
IM Lake Placid	2005-07-24	09:49:44	09:44:51	09:44:51	2

Results for Jeanne Collonge (FRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Florida	2010-11-06	09:35:19	09:51:55	09:51:55	6

Results for Martina Dogana (ITA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM South Africa	2011-04-10	09:47:47	10:00:09	09:55:49	8
IM South Africa	2010-04-25	09:48:13	09:57:44	09:54:27	7
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:04:45	10:01:47	09:53:26	23
IM France	2009-06-28	09:37:35	09:44:14	09:50:24	3
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:50:47	09:50:11	09:53:31	15
IM France	2008-06-22	09:35:29	09:40:32	09:55:50	1
IM France	2006-06-24	10:13:59	10:23:00	10:23:00	3

Results for Britta Martin (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2010-06-27	09:40:53	09:55:56	09:59:38	4
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	09:47:11	09:57:52	10:01:57	5
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	09:56:18	10:07:23	10:07:23	8

Results for Alexandra Louison (FRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2010-06-27	09:38:25	09:53:24	10:05:36	3
IM France	2009-06-28	09:52:28	09:59:17	10:10:11	5
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	10:20:58	10:20:20	10:14:28	28
IM France	2008-06-22	10:03:46	10:09:03	10:11:42	3
IM France	2007-06-24	09:49:11	09:59:07	10:13:42	1
IM France	2006-06-24	10:24:00	10:33:09	10:33:09	5

Results for Johanna Daumas (FRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2010-06-27	09:56:34	10:12:01	10:12:01	5

Results for Katya Meyers (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2010-06-27	10:02:12	10:17:48	10:21:11	6
IM Florida	2009-11-07	09:35:53	09:55:20	10:21:51	8
IM Canada	2009-08-30	10:12:59	10:18:55	10:27:01	10
IM France	2009-06-28	09:58:30	10:05:24	10:28:51	6
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	10:23:01	10:22:23	10:35:19	29
IM France	2008-06-22	10:28:06	10:33:36	10:39:03	5
IM Australia	2007-04-08	10:24:36	10:27:14	10:41:01	13
IM Wisconsin	2006-09-10	11:33:39	11:17:16	10:45:43	12
IM France	2006-06-24	10:18:41	10:27:46	10:32:52	4
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	10:48:46	10:48:11	10:36:02	48
IM Canada	2005-08-29	10:24:49	10:23:25	10:23:25	10

Results for Fiona Whitby (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2010-08-29	10:10:58	10:22:22	10:30:48	11
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	10:34:44	10:46:30	10:36:26	10
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	10:18:34	10:18:51	10:18:51	4

Results for Stephanie Jones (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2008-04-13	11:59:14	12:08:32	10:46:39	21
IM Florida	2007-11-03	09:34:31	09:52:28	10:18:35	9
IM Wisconsin	2007-09-09	10:29:55	10:30:19	10:29:52	10
IM Wisconsin	2006-09-10	10:43:35	10:28:23	10:29:33	8
IM Arizona	2006-04-09	10:28:46	10:30:52	10:30:52	10

Results for Miranda Alldritt (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Texas	2011-05-21	10:19:12	10:30:23	11:02:40	14
IM St. George	2011-05-07	11:51:45	11:53:38	11:06:51	8
IM Canada	2010-08-29	12:47:12	13:01:31	10:59:58	18
IM St. George	2010-05-01	10:40:59	10:36:01	10:43:15	7
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	09:53:01	10:10:09	10:44:18	12
IM Coeur d’Alene	2009-06-21	13:39:19	13:47:51	10:49:13	14
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	10:18:02	10:29:32	10:49:13	10
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	10:06:24	10:12:46	10:51:50	12
IM Wisconsin	2008-09-07	10:54:52	10:55:36	10:57:18	12
IM Canada	2008-08-24	11:21:23	11:27:27	10:57:33	17
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	10:18:14	10:23:35	10:52:17	8
IM Arizona	2008-04-13	10:21:42	10:29:44	10:58:04	13
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:43:58	10:44:51	11:04:45	48
IM Arizona	2007-04-15	10:16:31	10:20:49	11:09:51	5
IM Canada	2006-08-27	11:15:34	11:14:24	11:23:52	17
IM Coeur d’Alene	2006-06-25	11:22:19	11:22:15	11:26:50	19
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	11:27:13	11:26:36	11:28:46	55
IM Canada	2005-08-29	11:19:15	11:17:43	11:29:55	14
IM Coeur d’Alene	2005-06-26	11:42:45	11:42:45	11:42:45	5

Results for Christine Hemphill (AUS)

Race

Date

Total

Adjusted

Rating

Rank in Race

Male Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Craig Alexander	AUS	08:11:59	08:21:17	3
2	Maik Twelsiek	GER	08:31:03	08:40:42	28
3	Oliver Piggin	NZL	08:59:36	09:09:48	152
4	Joe McDaniel	USA	09:03:04	09:13:20	176
5	Raul Furtado	BRA	09:09:36	09:19:59	232
6	Billy Edwards	USA	09:20:30	09:31:05	299
7	Tim Snow	USA	09:21:25	09:32:01	305
8	Cesar Valera	VEN	09:31:05	09:41:52	379
9	Lewis Elliot	USA	09:32:35	09:43:24	384
10	Brendan Halpin	USA	09:33:45	09:44:35	392
11	Blake Becker	USA	09:37:04	09:47:58	416
12	Kyle Pawlaczyk	USA	09:39:01	09:49:57	428
13	Juan Carlos Ramirez	USA	09:50:53	10:02:03	510
14	Heath Thurston	USA	09:55:04	10:06:18	530
15	Adam Jensen	USA	09:58:09	10:09:27	553
16	Arland Macasieb	PHL	10:02:43	10:14:06	576
17	Scott Tremblay	CAN	n/a	unrated	n/a
18	Matt Burgess	NZL	n/a	unrated	n/a
19	Brian Hadley	USA	n/a	unrated	n/a

Female Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Julie Dibens	USA	09:02:46	09:13:01	2
2	Kelly Williamson	USA	09:28:04	09:38:48	23
3	Meredith Kessler	USA	09:30:41	09:41:28	33
4	Mackenzie Madison	USA	09:31:08	09:41:55	35
5	Caitlin Snow	USA	09:34:52	09:45:44	42
6	Alison Fitch	AUS	09:41:34	09:52:33	55
7	Desiree Ficker	USA	10:10:49	10:22:21	141
8	Haley Cooper	USA	10:10:56	10:22:28	142
9	Kelzie Beebe	USA	10:15:59	10:27:37	162
10	Lianne Evans	USA	10:16:07	10:27:45	162
11	Elly Franks	AUS	10:20:08	10:31:51	170
12	Teri Albertazzi	USA	10:28:03	10:39:55	188
13	Caroline Gregory	USA	n/a	unrated	n/a

Results for Craig Alexander (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:16:53	08:19:33	08:21:17	4
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	08:20:21	08:17:54	08:22:06	1
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	08:17:45	08:17:14	08:24:26	1
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	08:19:04	08:19:45	08:29:35	2
IM Australia	2007-04-08	08:38:48	08:40:59	08:40:59	3

Results for Maik Twelsiek (GER)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM St. George	2011-05-07	08:33:46	08:35:08	08:40:42	2
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:27:02	08:29:45	08:41:35	12
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	08:48:33	08:52:44	08:43:26	3
IM Lanzarote	2010-05-22	08:42:53	08:41:24	08:41:50	3
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	08:35:10	08:32:39	08:41:55	12
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	08:36:37	08:36:52	08:43:45	1
IM Australia	2009-04-05	08:34:10	08:38:37	08:45:20	5
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	08:48:37	08:48:04	08:47:06	14
IM Germany	2008-07-06	08:24:03	08:42:18	08:46:49	11
IM Wisconsin	2007-09-09	08:52:49	08:53:10	08:48:33	1
Challenge Roth	2007-06-24	08:17:03	08:38:28	08:46:32	6
Challenge Roth	2006-06-24	08:31:53	08:44:02	08:52:08	9
IM South Africa	2006-03-18	09:02:19	09:00:52	09:00:52	9

Results for Oliver Piggin (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM New Zealand	2005-05-03	09:09:48	09:09:48	09:09:48	16

Results for Joe McDaniel (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM St. George	2011-05-07	09:26:27	09:27:57	09:13:20	12
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	08:43:23	08:56:39	08:56:39	9

Results for Raul Furtado (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Texas	2011-05-21	09:09:39	09:19:34	09:19:59	16
IM Brasil	2009-05-31	08:53:20	09:08:10	09:20:18	5
IM Brasil	2008-05-25	08:55:04	09:05:07	09:29:35	5
IM Brasil	2007-05-27	09:49:00	10:02:10	10:02:10	26

Results for Billy Edwards (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	09:45:55	09:50:34	09:31:05	17
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	09:14:42	09:24:59	09:27:18	11
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:59:30	09:56:34	09:27:51	72
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	09:12:09	09:12:25	09:21:03	7
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	09:17:02	09:22:53	09:23:31	27
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:24:34	09:25:21	09:23:43	55
IM Coeur d’Alene	2007-06-23	09:16:09	09:16:57	09:23:14	10
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:22:27	09:19:59	09:25:31	68
IM Canada	2006-08-27	09:21:48	09:20:50	09:27:53	12
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	09:36:45	09:36:14	09:32:44	72
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	09:28:40	09:28:40	09:28:40	18

Results for Tim Snow (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	09:10:48	09:15:10	09:32:01	5
IM St. George	2010-05-01	09:34:35	09:30:08	09:35:08	14
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	09:26:26	09:26:43	09:36:11	11
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	10:02:51	10:02:14	09:38:06	73
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	09:18:38	09:18:53	09:33:28	10
IM Florida	2007-11-03	08:49:50	09:06:23	09:36:40	16
IM Coeur d’Alene	2007-06-23	09:21:12	09:22:00	09:43:16	11
IM Arizona	2007-04-15	09:29:49	09:33:47	09:48:28	14
IM Canada	2006-08-27	13:38:30	13:37:05	09:52:53	32
IM Lake Placid	2006-07-23	09:59:10	09:51:06	09:52:53	24
IM Florida	2005-11-05	10:02:12	10:05:19	09:53:28	30
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	10:04:53	10:04:20	09:49:13	86
IM Germany	2005-07-11	09:47:00	09:43:45	09:41:01	12
IM Coeur d’Alene	2005-06-26	09:38:16	09:38:16	09:38:16	15

Results for Cesar Valera (VEN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Lanzarote	2010-05-22	09:43:31	09:41:52	09:41:52	16

Results for Lewis Elliot (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	09:10:54	09:24:52	09:43:24	22
IM Canada	2010-08-29	10:46:20	10:58:24	09:48:10	27
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	09:00:14	09:15:50	09:25:52	15
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	09:22:43	09:27:35	09:29:18	10
IM Arizona	2008-04-13	09:29:08	09:36:29	09:29:48	13
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:41:31	09:42:19	09:27:14	68
IM Arizona	2007-04-15	08:53:51	08:57:34	09:19:41	8
IM Arizona	2006-04-09	09:44:10	09:46:07	09:36:37	25
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	09:23:58	09:23:58	09:23:58	14

Results for Brendan Halpin (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:36:40	09:42:15	09:44:35	23
IM Coeur d’Alene	2007-06-23	09:48:09	09:48:59	09:48:59	20

Results for Blake Becker (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	09:05:04	09:18:53	09:47:58	18
IM Wisconsin	2010-09-12	08:55:44	08:58:58	09:53:29	5
IM Florida	2009-11-07	09:39:16	09:58:49	10:05:26	18
IM Wisconsin	2009-09-13	10:01:56	10:01:39	10:06:49	17
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	10:35:12	10:34:33	10:08:05	79
IM Wisconsin	2008-09-07	10:16:55	10:17:36	10:01:53	18
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	09:26:30	09:31:24	09:57:13	11
IM Wisconsin	2007-09-09	09:38:15	09:38:37	10:07:12	15
IM Arizona	2007-04-15	09:53:12	09:57:20	10:19:59	20
IM Florida	2006-11-04	10:35:27	10:45:06	10:34:57	39
IM Wisconsin	2005-09-11	10:37:51	10:20:49	10:20:49	19

Results for Kyle Pawlaczyk (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Florida	2010-11-06	09:40:43	09:57:28	09:49:57	29
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	09:37:13	09:41:48	09:41:48	15

Results for Juan Carlos Ramirez (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2010-08-29	10:03:03	10:14:18	10:02:03	26
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:41:34	09:47:11	09:55:48	24
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:46:00	09:51:13	10:01:09	30
IM Canada	2007-08-26	10:11:53	10:13:57	10:09:46	29
IM Coeur d’Alene	2005-06-26	10:01:58	10:01:58	10:01:58	19

Results for Heath Thurston (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM St. George	2011-05-07	10:09:18	10:10:55	10:06:18	16
IM Canada	2009-08-30	10:08:42	10:14:35	10:03:11	30
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	09:57:00	10:03:16	09:55:00	41
IM Florida	2007-11-03	09:26:07	09:43:48	09:43:48	37

Results for Adam Jensen (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	09:06:32	09:16:40	10:09:27	9
IM Canada	2009-08-30	11:27:01	11:33:40	10:35:22	36
IM Canada	2008-08-24	10:36:21	10:42:01	09:58:29	36
IM Coeur d’Alene	2007-06-23	08:56:53	08:57:39	09:19:29	7
IM Coeur d’Alene	2005-06-26	09:58:11	09:58:11	09:58:11	18

Results for Arland Macasieb (PHL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Florida	2010-11-06	09:48:00	10:04:58	10:14:06	30
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	10:13:33	10:18:25	10:19:23	23
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	10:15:35	10:15:52	10:20:30	23
IM Lake Placid	2006-07-23	10:37:18	10:28:43	10:28:43	26

Results for Scott Tremblay (CAN)

Race

Date

Total

Adjusted

Rating

Rank in Race

Results for Matt Burgess (NZL)

Race

Date

Total

Adjusted

Rating

Rank in Race

Results for Brian Hadley (USA)

Race

Date

Total

Adjusted

Rating

Rank in Race

Results for Julie Dibens (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	09:10:04	09:13:01	09:13:01	3

Results for Kelly Williamson (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Texas	2011-05-21	09:07:54	09:17:47	09:38:48	2
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	09:36:11	09:39:16	09:49:20	15
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	09:39:23	09:50:08	09:56:38	3
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	10:21:14	10:20:40	10:09:44	36
IM Coeur d’Alene	2005-06-26	09:57:48	09:57:48	09:57:48	1

Results for Meredith Kessler (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	09:15:01	09:29:05	09:41:28	4
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	10:04:02	10:07:16	09:44:17	26
IM Canada	2010-08-29	09:13:46	09:24:06	09:37:49	1
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	09:23:52	09:34:19	09:42:57	2
IM St. George	2010-05-01	09:46:58	09:42:25	09:47:45	2
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	09:37:09	09:53:49	09:53:49	7

Results for Mackenzie Madison (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	09:24:11	09:38:29	09:41:55	7
IM Canada	2010-08-29	09:34:51	09:45:35	09:45:35	3

Results for Caitlin Snow (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	09:26:42	09:29:44	09:45:44	8
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	09:44:18	09:48:56	09:49:53	2
IM St. George	2010-05-01	10:07:26	10:02:44	09:50:12	3
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:51:59	09:49:05	09:44:44	14
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	09:41:21	09:41:38	09:42:10	2
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:43:27	09:42:51	09:42:51	12

Results for Alison Fitch (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Wisconsin	2009-09-13	10:09:29	10:09:12	09:52:33	5
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:26:15	09:31:18	09:45:26	2
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:00:15	10:01:05	09:51:57	22
IM Switzerland	2007-06-24	09:31:45	09:46:07	09:46:50	3
IM Australia	2007-04-08	09:45:07	09:47:35	09:47:35	5

Results for Desiree Ficker (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Texas	2011-05-21	09:24:09	09:34:20	10:22:21	7
IM Australia	2010-03-28	11:14:54	11:26:04	10:36:18	7
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	11:07:48	11:07:07	10:23:09	42
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:56:09	10:01:28	10:13:55	6
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	11:09:30	11:09:49	10:17:04	7
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:40:43	10:41:36	09:59:49	47
IM Austria	2007-07-08	09:46:54	10:00:54	09:44:59	7
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:24:02	09:21:34	09:37:10	2
IM Arizona	2006-04-09	09:44:56	09:46:54	09:47:33	4
IM Lake Placid	2005-07-24	14:01:55	13:54:57	09:48:26	20
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	09:48:26	09:48:26	09:48:26	2

Results for Haley Cooper (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	09:42:02	09:52:49	10:22:28	4
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:23:19	10:20:16	10:28:00	34
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:53:35	09:59:19	10:29:24	4
IM Coeur d’Alene	2009-06-21	09:51:11	09:57:20	10:35:44	4
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	09:45:59	09:52:08	10:45:17	6
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	11:23:33	11:22:51	10:59:29	45
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	10:08:04	10:13:20	10:51:21	5
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:38:15	10:39:08	11:09:11	45
IM Coeur d’Alene	2007-06-23	10:42:57	10:43:52	11:27:55	1
IM Coeur d’Alene	2006-06-25	12:26:37	12:26:32	12:26:32	23

Results for Kelzie Beebe (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brasil	2011-05-29	10:01:52	10:27:37	10:27:37	8

Results for Lianne Evans (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Florida	2007-11-03	09:53:51	10:12:24	10:27:45	16
IM Florida	2006-11-04	10:25:47	10:35:17	10:38:12	17
IM Wisconsin	2006-09-10	10:56:45	10:41:14	10:41:14	11

Results for Elly Franks (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Australia	2009-04-05	10:34:10	10:39:39	10:31:51	11
IM New Zealand	2008-03-01	10:10:37	10:19:14	10:25:49	9
IM Australia	2007-04-08	10:31:41	10:34:20	10:34:20	15

Results for Teri Albertazzi (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	10:20:02	10:37:57	10:39:55	16
IM Arizona	2008-04-13	10:07:38	10:15:29	10:41:13	10
IM Wisconsin	2007-09-09	10:53:53	10:54:18	10:59:33	12
IM Arizona	2006-04-09	11:05:12	11:07:26	11:07:26	16

Results for Caroline Gregory (USA)

Race

Date

Total

Adjusted

Rating

Rank in Race

Race Conditions

Challenge Cairns is a new Ironman-distance race which is part of the Challenge family. They had a pretty impressive lineup, and almost all the names from the Pro start list actually made it. (The notable exception was Cam Brown – I’m not aware of any injuries he has, so I’m not sure what the story is.)

We’ve had a reasonable number of rated athletes, so the adjustment (and course rating) of 12:30 is pretty solid. This means that Cairns is a pretty fast course (similar to Arizona or Texas) but not crazy fast such as Challenge Roth.

Male Results

Chris McCormack was the big favorite, and he didn’t disappoint with a 13 minute winning margin:

Rank	Name	Nation	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Chris McCormack	AUS	08:15:56	08:09:02
2	Matt White	AUS	08:28:36	08:54:46
3	Tim Berkel	AUS	08:29:20	08:34:47
4	Jamie Whyte	NZL	08:35:07	08:48:26
5	Clayton Fettell		08:36:14	n/a
6	David Dellow		08:41:39	n/a
7	Jonathan Hotchkiss		08:42:49	n/a
8	Chris Dmitrieff	AUS	09:17:03	09:09:42
9	Graham O’Grady		13:25:55	n/a

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

He did go a bit slower than expected based on his rating, but with his recent focus on Olympic distance racing, that was probably not realistic. (This also means that Andreas Raelert is now the #1 rated athlete by a solid margin.) His 2:51 marathon was still quite impressive. Matty White had another great race and took the second spot, Tim Berkel and Jamie Whyte also improved their ratings. Clayton Fettell had a good first IM distance race – it’ll be interesting to see him improve on his 3:11 marathon. 

Female Results

On the women’s side, the pre-race favorite also won the race:

Rank	Name	Nation	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Rebekah Keat	AUS	09:26:31	09:17:07
2	Michelle Mitchell	AUS	09:30:41	09:42:14
3	Carrie Lester	AUS	09:34:56	09:34:06
4	Candice Hammond		09:43:03	n/a
5	Belinda Granger	AUS	09:44:41	09:32:31
6	Christie Sym	AUS	09:49:09	09:55:52
7	Lisa Ribes		09:52:41	n/a
8	Simone Maier		10:05:37	n/a

Expected time is based on athlete’s rating (prior to race) and race conditions.

However, Rebekah Keat was a bit slower than expected – but still managed to win, but only with a four minute margin to Michelle Mitchell who continues to improve her rating and has now climbed to #35 in the women’s rankings. Carrie Lester almost hit exactly her predicted time. Belinda Granger continues her rating slip, since winning IM Canada in 2008 she has not managed to hit her predicted times. However, with 22 races in my database she is one of the most prolific racers (only surpassed by Petr Vabrousek and Hillary Biscay).