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Ironman Arizona 2017 (Nov 19th) – Seedings

IMAZLogoUpdate Nov 15th: Heather Jackson and Angela Naeth are no longer on the current startlist.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Faris Al-Sultan (GER) 08:25:42 Kate Major (AUS) 09:44:02
2006 Michael Lovato (USA) 08:20:56 Michellie Jones (AUS) 09:12:53
2007 Rutger Beke (BEL) 08:21:14 Heather Gollnick (USA) 09:36:40
2008 Jozsef Major (HUN) 08:34:19 Erika Csomor (HUN) 09:14:49
2008 Andreas Raelert (GER) 08:14:16 Heleen Bij De Vaate (NED) 09:21:06
2009 Jordan Rapp (USA) 08:13:35 Samantha McGlone (CAN) 09:09:19
2010 Timo Bracht (GER) 08:07:16 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:36:13
2011 Eneko Llanos (ESP) 07:59:38 Leanda Cave (GBR) 08:49:00
2012 Nils Frommhold (GER) 08:03:13 Linsey Corbin (USA) 09:01:41
2013 Victor Del Corral (ESP) 08:02:00 Julia Gajer (GER) 08:52:49
2014 Brent McMahon (CAN) 07:55:48 Meredith Kessler (USA) 08:50:41
2015 Lionel Sanders (CAN) 07:58:22 Meredith Kessler (USA) 08:44:00
2016 Lionel Sanders (CAN) 07:44:29 Meredith Kessler (USA) 08:48:23

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Lionel Sanders CAN 00:53:45 04:04:38 02:42:31 07:44:29
2 Brent McMahon CAN 00:48:21 04:18:20 02:40:17 07:50:15
3 TJ Tollakson USA 00:49:40 04:11:59 02:56:43 08:02:30

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Meredith Kessler USA 00:49:31 04:44:24 03:09:40 08:48:23
2 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 00:58:04 04:40:40 03:08:43 08:51:27
3 Malindi Elmore CAN 01:01:01 04:51:06 03:00:52 08:57:22

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:44:29 Lionel Sanders 2016-11-20
Swim overall 00:45:31 Rafael Goncalves 2016-11-20
Bike overall 04:03:35 Andrew Starykowicz 2015-11-15
Run overall 02:40:17 Brent McMahon 2016-11-20
Total female 08:36:13 Chrissie Wellington 2010-11-21
Swim female 00:48:13 Leanda Cave 2008-11-23
Bike female 04:40:40 Yvonne Van Vlerken 2016-11-20
Run female 02:52:56 Chrissie Wellington 2010-11-21

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Arizona is 14:58.

Race Adjustments for IM Arizona

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 08:56 00:13 06:59 -03:39 44 08:56 00:13 06:59 -03:39
2007 08:46 00:10 02:08 02:38 30 08:51 00:11 04:33 -00:31
2008 10:00 00:35 05:36 -01:30 40 09:14 00:19 04:54 -00:50
2008 14:13 01:50 11:27 02:16 66 10:29 00:42 06:32 -00:04
2009 17:37 -00:15 13:55 01:14 45 11:55 00:31 08:01 00:12
2010 14:32 00:14 12:01 02:08 54 12:21 00:28 08:41 00:31
2011 16:50 -00:19 17:38 03:00 67 12:59 00:21 09:58 00:52
2012 13:36 -01:23 17:55 02:18 60 13:04 00:08 10:57 01:03
2013 20:51 00:06 22:25 02:44 75 of 86 13:56 00:08 12:14 01:14
2014 09:26 -00:35 11:14 01:38 49 of 67 13:29 00:04 12:08 01:17
2015 21:48 00:38 20:56 03:32 56 of 75 14:14 00:07 12:56 01:29
2016 22:58 00:15 22:13 05:29 63 of 70 14:58 00:07 13:42 01:49

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Arizona is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 80.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 10% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 1 Lionel Sanders CAN 07:54:21 08:16:06 00:53:19 04:09:41 05:08:00 02:46:21 44% +56% -0% (7) 7
2 2 Brent McMahon CAN 07:57:27 08:19:25 00:47:28 04:20:43 05:13:11 02:44:16 58% +0% -42% (10) 12
3 4 Jeff Symonds CAN 08:15:28 08:44:34 00:51:05 04:35:50 05:31:56 02:43:32 41% +0% -59% (11) (87)
4 21 Marc Duelsen GER 08:16:44 08:34:05 00:51:08 04:26:57 05:23:05 02:53:39 89% +0% -11% (11) 56
5 7 Giulio Molinari ITA 08:16:57 08:31:38 00:48:49 04:21:10 05:14:59 03:01:58 100% +0% -0% (4) 41
6 3 Victor Del Corral ESP 08:21:45 08:40:18 00:55:45 04:30:37 05:31:22 02:50:23 45% +0% -55% (18) 77
7 5 Pedro Gomes POR 08:22:27 08:42:38 00:51:59 04:30:49 05:27:48 02:54:39 51% +1% -48% (29) 83
8 6 Christian Kemp AUS 08:23:20 08:55:45 00:46:47 04:30:01 05:21:48 03:01:32 22% +32% -46% (3) (134)
9 10 Jeremy Jurkiewicz * FRA 08:23:25 08:39:45 00:48:12 04:33:41 05:26:53 02:56:32 83% +0% -17% (14) 74
10 36 Jonathan Shearon * USA 08:26:22 08:50:19 00:53:37 04:26:45 05:25:21 03:01:01 61% +7% -32% (19) 107
11 13 Christian Brader GER 08:30:39 08:51:46 00:54:44 04:36:05 05:35:49 02:54:50 77% +2% -20% (39) 116
12 24 Philip Graves GBR 08:34:03 08:51:08 00:49:09 04:22:44 05:16:54 03:17:09 79% +21% -0% (10) 113
13 26 Tripp Hipple USA 08:34:56 08:53:16 00:52:58 04:31:23 05:29:21 03:05:35 100% +0% -0% (3) 125
14 16 Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 08:36:08 09:03:10 00:51:09 04:26:58 05:23:07 03:13:01 41% +18% -42% (16) 164
15 9 Thomas Gerlach USA 08:36:37 08:59:59 00:53:45 04:30:24 05:29:09 03:07:28 34% +10% -56% (24) 156
16 38 Nicholas Ward Munoz GBR 08:37:36 08:55:31 00:55:13 04:41:51 05:42:04 02:55:32 85% +4% -11% (20) 131
17 30 Sam Long * USA 08:38:38 08:58:24 00:56:01 04:29:30 05:30:31 03:08:07 100% +0% -0% (3) 146
18 37 Jesse Vondracek USA 08:44:28 09:13:11 00:53:53 04:38:29 05:37:22 03:07:06 73% +25% -2% (20) 192
19 11 Michael Patrick Alonso Mckernan ESP 08:46:07 09:14:44 00:56:54 04:29:26 05:31:20 03:14:47 37% +0% -63% (3) (198)
20 14 James Capparell USA 08:51:00 09:14:47 00:47:53 04:40:03 05:32:56 03:18:04 100% +0% -0% (2) (198)
21 15 Daniel Clarke CAN 08:52:31 09:17:06 00:57:59 04:37:27 05:40:27 03:12:04 32% +36% -33% (3) 205
22 12 Andreas Borch DEN 08:52:47 09:15:11 00:50:55 04:49:39 05:45:34 03:07:13 91% +2% -7% (8) 199
23 29 Colin Laughery USA 08:53:24 09:16:13 00:57:26 04:41:15 05:43:41 03:09:43 73% +27% -0% (9) 201
24 28 Clint Kimmins AUS 08:54:16 09:23:19 00:52:17 04:37:29 05:34:46 03:19:30 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (225)
25 32 Ryan Rau USA 08:55:32 09:20:04 00:58:45 04:47:00 05:50:46 03:04:46 98% +2% -0% (9) 214
26 31 James Lubinski USA 08:59:37 09:23:21 01:03:04 04:44:28 05:52:32 03:07:05 63% +17% -19% (20) 225
27 17 Gerhard De Bruin ZAF 09:00:33 09:29:52 00:54:43 04:46:43 05:46:26 03:14:07 76% +24% -0% (6) 244
28 35 Matthew Shanks USA 09:09:23 09:37:00 00:59:21 04:54:31 05:58:52 03:10:31 56% +11% -33% (8) 261
29 23 Jonathan Fecik USA 09:17:04 09:38:23 00:56:04 04:47:40 05:48:43 03:28:21 49% +36% -14% (4) 266
30 34 Steve Rosinski USA 09:23:47 09:48:30 00:58:17 04:45:34 05:48:52 03:34:55 62% +0% -38% (3) (278)
31 25 Elmar Heger GER 09:27:11 09:57:26 00:56:10 04:47:46 05:48:56 03:38:15 42% +11% -47% (8) 289
32 8 Robbie Wade IRL 09:41:09 10:28:13 00:58:16 04:55:14 05:58:30 03:42:39 14% +0% -86% (3) (305)
33 19 Ivan Dominguez USA 09:56:24 10:28:51 00:55:07 04:59:50 05:59:57 03:56:27 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (307)
34 20 Nathan Dressel USA 09:56:41 10:30:42 01:00:48 05:12:21 06:18:10 03:38:31 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (309)
18 Inaki De La Parra POL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
22 Tyler Ems USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
27 Sam Holmes USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
33 Philipp Reiner AUT n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
39 Charles Maltha IRL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
40 Vincent Morizot FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 28% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 46 Kaisa Sali FIN 08:50:15 09:06:00 00:55:58 04:51:02 05:52:00 02:58:15 100% +0% -0% (5) 2
2 45 Heather Jackson USA 08:51:51 09:06:45 00:57:22 04:44:49 05:47:11 03:04:40 77% +16% -7% (8) 3
3 51 Angela Naeth * CAN 08:59:03 09:39:17 00:58:29 04:45:55 05:49:24 03:09:39 16% +28% -56% (6) (49)
4 47 Michelle Vesterby * DEN 09:04:25 09:25:37 00:52:27 04:52:09 05:49:35 03:14:50 75% +2% -23% (23) 25
5 48 Sarah Piampiano USA 09:06:18 09:27:41 01:02:38 04:53:13 06:00:51 03:05:27 68% +11% -21% (19) 31
6 49 Jodie Robertson USA 09:08:37 09:38:29 01:01:57 04:54:56 06:01:52 03:06:45 25% +33% -42% (3) (47)
7 72 Alexandra Tondeur * BEL 09:19:55 09:38:54 00:59:36 05:02:22 06:06:58 03:12:57 45% +18% -37% (7) 48
8 50 Kelly Williamson * USA 09:19:57 09:36:45 00:53:32 05:18:49 06:17:22 03:02:35 92% +4% -4% (16) 42
9 52 Melanie McQuaid CAN 09:20:13 09:49:48 00:56:52 04:55:59 05:57:51 03:22:22 44% +0% -56% (3) (71)
10 69 Darbi Roberts USA 09:20:55 10:00:56 00:53:27 05:05:19 06:03:46 03:17:09 40% +0% -60% (9) 87
11 55 Jen Annett CAN 09:21:32 09:46:23 01:02:19 04:52:22 05:59:42 03:21:50 38% +49% -12% (6) 61
12 54 Uli Bromme USA 09:24:55 09:47:51 01:02:45 04:58:51 06:06:36 03:18:19 62% +22% -16% (15) 65
13 60 Amber Ferreira USA 09:30:54 09:59:31 00:56:29 05:04:16 06:05:45 03:25:09 31% +11% -58% (19) 81
14 66 Mackenzie Madison USA 09:31:24 10:06:54 00:59:10 05:02:51 06:07:01 03:24:23 49% +5% -46% (14) 100
15 71 Bianca Steurer AUT 09:32:35 09:47:32 00:58:01 05:09:31 06:12:33 03:20:02 89% +11% -0% (7) 64
16 64 Corina Hengartner SUI 09:34:36 10:00:37 01:01:45 05:02:44 06:09:29 03:25:07 47% +43% -10% (6) 85
17 61 Christine Fletcher CAN 09:48:51 10:10:39 00:58:22 05:11:37 06:14:59 03:33:52 83% +3% -13% (23) 109
18 63 Robyn Hardage CAN 09:51:32 10:23:43 01:02:50 05:15:38 06:23:28 03:28:04 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (124)
19 65 Sarah Jarvis GER 09:54:02 10:19:01 01:00:17 05:15:03 06:20:20 03:33:42 86% +0% -14% (5) 120
20 62 Erin Green USA 09:58:20 10:20:44 01:01:39 05:20:04 06:26:43 03:31:37 78% +22% -0% (4) 122
21 67 Caroline Martineau CAN 10:00:49 11:05:07 01:02:34 05:18:35 06:26:09 03:34:40 34% +14% -52% (9) 162
22 70 Carla Schubiger SUI 10:03:44 10:36:34 01:02:25 05:24:54 06:32:19 03:31:25 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (151)
23 73 Natasha Van der Merwe USA 10:04:40 10:43:47 01:03:33 05:13:59 06:22:32 03:42:08 43% +8% -49% (10) (159)
24 68 Julia Montgomery SWE 10:21:58 10:43:03 01:07:13 05:23:15 06:35:27 03:46:31 100% +0% -0% (3) 158
25 56 Liz Baugher USA 10:23:14 11:05:21 00:58:47 05:31:02 06:34:49 03:48:25 41% +0% -59% (2) (163)
53 Helle Frederiksen * DEN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
57 Whitney Burdzilauskas USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
58 Aine Donegan IRL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
59 Katy Evans USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Last two year’s winner (and second in Kona), Lionel Sanders, is the clear favorite on the men’s side, but Brent McMahon will be looking for a good race after his DNF in Kona this year.

  • Lionel Sanders: 55% (1-1)
  • Brent McMahon: 30% (2-1)
  • Marc Duelsen: 5% (19-1)
  • Philip Graves: 3% (38-1)
  • Jeff Symonds: 2% (43-1)

Female Race Participants

Meredith Kessler has won IM Arizona for the last three years, this year she won’t be able to race as she’s about to join the ranks of super-moms.  In her absence it promises to be an interesting race with a strong and deep field. Kaisa has been doing well on fast courses, but so far Heather has always been able to finish ahead of her when they started the same race. Angela Naeth is returning from a long-term injury, I’m not sure how aggressive she’ll be racing. (Last year she went even faster than the bike course record – 4:36 – but was forced to end her race shortly after T2.) With Michelle Vesterby and Sarah Piampiano there are two more contenders for the win – both of them are coming off a DNF in Kona and will look for a good result to have a decent start to their 2018 seasons.

An interesting addition is Helle Frederiksen who could do her first full-distance race (at this point she’s still on both the Arizona and Cozumel start lists) – as she hasn’t done an IM yet she’s unrated and I have no basis to calculate her odds.

  • Heather Jackson: 44% (1-1)
  • Kaisa Sali: 30% (2-1)
  • Angela Naeth: 11% (8-1)
  • Michelle Vesterby: 8% (11-1)
  • Sarah Piampiano: 5% (21-1)
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