You can submit your own predictions for IM Brasil at IM-Predictions.
Updates (May 30th): After checkin, Guto Antunes, Anja Beranek, Diana Riesler and Eimear Mullan are no longer on the start list.
Previous Winners
| Year | Male Winner | Time | Female Winner | Time |
| 2005 | Olaf Sabatschus (GER) | 08:50:37 | Joanna Zeiger (USA) | 09:31:43 |
| 2006 | Oscar Galindez (ARG) | 08:15:19 | Lisbeth Kristensen (DEN) | 09:20:47 |
| 2007 | Oscar Galindez (ARG) | 08:21:09 | Nina Kraft (GER) | 09:12:40 |
| 2008 | Eduardo Sturla (ARG) | 08:28:24 | Fernanda Keller (BRA) | 09:42:50 |
| 2009 | Eduardo Sturla (ARG) | 08:13:39 | Dede Griesbauer (USA) | 09:10:15 |
| 2010 | Luke McKenzie (AUS) | 08:07:38 | Tereza Macel (CZE) | 09:19:12 |
| 2011 | Eduardo Sturla (ARG) | 08:13:12 | Amy Marsh (USA) | 09:07:49 |
| 2012 | Ezequiel Morales (ARG) | 08:22:40 | Sofie Goos (BEL) | 09:17:42 |
| 2013 | Timothy O’Donnell (USA) | 08:01:32 | Amanda Stevens (USA) | 09:05:53 |
| 2014 | Igor Amorelli (BRA) | 08:07:54 | Sara Gross (CAN) | 08:56:35 |
Last Year’s TOP 3
Male Race Results
| Rank | Name | Nation | Swim | Bike | Run | Time |
| 1 | Igor Amorelli | BRA | 00:47:38 | 04:26:06 | 02:52:07 | 08:07:54 |
| 2 | Santiago Ascenco | BRA | 00:51:08 | 04:20:44 | 02:55:43 | 08:11:46 |
| 3 | Marcel Zamora | ESP | 00:50:49 | 04:26:41 | 02:53:22 | 08:16:16 |
Female Race Results
| Rank | Name | Nation | Swim | Bike | Run | Time |
| 1 | Sara Gross | CAN | 00:55:41 | 04:49:42 | 03:06:12 | 08:56:35 |
| 2 | Sofie Goos | BEL | 00:56:41 | 04:49:24 | 03:09:41 | 09:00:21 |
| 3 | Ariane Monticeli | BRA | 00:59:28 | 04:55:21 | 03:02:53 | 09:02:44 |
Course Records
| Leg | Gender | Record | Athlete | Date |
| Total | overall | 08:01:32 | Timothy O’Donnell | 2013-05-26 |
| Swim | overall | 00:42:26 | Luke McKenzie | 2010-05-30 |
| Bike | overall | 04:20:44 | Santiago Ascenco | 2014-05-25 |
| Run | overall | 02:49:31 | Ezequiel Morales | 2010-05-30 |
| Total | female | 08:56:35 | Sara Gross | 2014-05-25 |
| Swim | female | 00:45:48 | Dede Griesbauer | 2010-05-30 |
| Bike | female | 04:46:38 | Jessie Donavan | 2014-05-25 |
| Run | female | 03:02:53 | Ariane Monticeli | 2014-05-25 |
Course Rating
The Course Rating for IM Brasil is 17:19.
Race Adjustments for IM Brasil
| Year | Adjustment | Swim Adj. | Bike Adj. | Run Adj. | # of Athletes | Rating | Swim Rating | Bike Rating | Run Rating |
| 2006 | 17:51 | 01:58 | 04:01 | 00:49 | 21 | 17:51 | 01:58 | 04:01 | 00:49 |
| 2007 | 14:50 | -00:15 | 06:43 | 03:00 | 24 | 16:20 | 00:51 | 05:22 | 01:55 |
| 2008 | 09:19 | -06:37 | 11:23 | 01:14 | 25 | 14:00 | -01:38 | 07:22 | 01:41 |
| 2009 | 17:23 | -00:30 | 09:10 | 03:46 | 26 | 14:51 | -01:21 | 07:49 | 02:12 |
| 2010 | 21:29 | 04:10 | 09:36 | 00:25 | 36 | 16:10 | -00:15 | 08:11 | 01:51 |
| 2011 | 20:26 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 26 | 16:53 | -00:15 | 08:11 | 01:51 |
| 2012 | 15:35 | 02:31 | 21:24 | -04:24 | 23 | 16:42 | 00:13 | 10:23 | 00:48 |
| 2013 | 15:44 | 02:40 | 16:05 | 04:16 | 33 | 16:34 | 00:34 | 11:12 | 01:18 |
| 2014 | 23:14 | 00:24 | 21:43 | 05:46 | 29 | 17:19 | 00:33 | 12:31 | 01:52 |
KPR points and Prize Money
IM Brasil is a P-4000 race. It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$. The winners will receive automatic Kona slots.
Male Race Participants
| Rank | Bib | Name | Nation | Expected Time | Rating | Exp. Swim | Exp. Bike | Exp. Run | Overall |
| 1 | 41 | Brent McMahon | CAN | 07:52:47 | 08:18:15 | 00:45:58 | 04:17:42 | 02:44:06 | (4) |
| 2 | 3 | Timothy O’Donnell | USA | 08:09:06 | 08:37:20 | 00:46:08 | 04:23:52 | 02:54:06 | 38 |
| 3 | 7 | Marino Vanhoenacker | BEL | 08:10:16 | 08:27:46 | 00:48:56 | 04:20:05 | 02:56:15 | 15 |
| 4 | 38 | Matt Trautman | ZAF | 08:12:55 | 08:30:24 | 00:48:49 | 04:24:29 | 02:54:38 | 17 |
| 5 | 6 | Paul Matthews | AUS | 08:13:50 | 08:26:11 | 00:45:58 | 04:27:53 | 02:54:58 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | Denis Chevrot | FRA | 08:16:27 | 08:38:58 | 00:46:41 | 04:33:01 | 02:51:46 | 43 |
| 7 | 1 | Igor Amorelli | BRA | 08:18:07 | 08:38:50 | 00:46:38 | 04:29:41 | 02:56:47 | 42 |
| 8 | 8 | Tyler Butterfield | BMU | 08:19:47 | 08:38:58 | 00:49:05 | 04:30:57 | 02:54:44 | 43 |
| 9 | 9 | Kyle Buckingham | ZAF | 08:19:54 | 08:33:42 | 00:48:34 | 04:24:40 | 03:01:39 | 29 |
| 10 | 2 | Santiago Ascenco | BRA | 08:21:08 | 08:45:52 | 00:49:56 | 04:27:41 | 02:58:32 | (66) |
| 11 | 12 | Daniel Fontana | ITA | 08:25:22 | 08:46:23 | 00:48:30 | 04:32:33 | 02:59:19 | 68 |
| 12 | 32 | Mike Aigroz | SUI | 08:28:19 | 08:52:32 | 00:47:58 | 04:31:46 | 03:03:36 | 96 |
| 13 | 23 | Per Bittner | GER | 08:28:20 | 08:44:33 | 00:49:18 | 04:33:14 | 03:00:48 | 62 |
| 14 | 29 | Anton Blokhin | UKR | 08:28:36 | 08:48:21 | 00:48:14 | 04:35:32 | 02:59:51 | 81 |
| 15 | 4 | Guilherme Manocchio | BRA | 08:29:22 | 08:55:33 | 00:48:09 | 04:38:19 | 02:57:53 | 112 |
| 16 | 19 | Jonathan Shearon | USA | 08:30:03 | 08:59:54 | 00:52:15 | 04:29:46 | 03:03:01 | 129 |
| 17 | 11 | Mario De Elias | ARG | 08:36:29 | 09:13:55 | 00:49:47 | 04:39:45 | 03:01:58 | (189) |
| 18 | 13 | Thiago Vinhal | BRA | 08:39:10 | 09:04:00 | 00:47:36 | 04:50:30 | 02:56:03 | 148 |
| 19 | 40 | Nick Baldwin | SEY | 08:39:58 | 08:57:33 | 00:52:44 | 04:36:55 | 03:05:18 | 120 |
| 20 | 16 | Simon Billeau | FRA | 08:40:52 | 08:55:43 | 00:53:47 | 04:30:26 | 03:11:39 | 113 |
| 21 | 17 | Balazs Csoke | HUN | 08:43:00 | 09:00:43 | 00:47:11 | 04:37:19 | 03:13:31 | 132 |
| 22 | 42 | Michael Davidson | ZAF | 08:44:40 | 09:01:53 | 00:55:10 | 04:44:44 | 02:59:46 | 136 |
| 23 | 39 | Karol Dzalaj | SVK | 08:46:00 | 09:07:26 | 00:53:16 | 04:36:47 | 03:10:57 | 158 |
| 24 | 26 | Ciro Violin | BRA | 08:46:43 | 09:26:29 | 00:50:08 | 04:41:04 | 03:10:32 | (243) |
| 25 | 15 | Marcel Bischof | GER | 08:46:57 | 09:19:14 | 00:55:06 | 04:40:43 | 03:06:08 | 208 |
| 26 | 20 | Ivan Risti | ITA | 08:48:00 | 09:16:27 | 00:47:11 | 04:54:45 | 03:01:04 | (197) |
| 27 | 28 | Frank Silvestrin | BRA | 08:48:11 | 09:10:19 | 00:48:19 | 04:44:16 | 03:10:37 | 176 |
| 28 | 36 | Felipe De Oliveira Manente | BRA | 08:52:14 | 09:36:39 | 00:51:38 | 04:43:39 | 03:11:57 | (282) |
| 30 | 18 | Rene Vallant | AUT | 09:06:49 | 09:41:44 | 00:55:12 | 04:37:24 | 03:29:12 | (304) |
| 31 | 5 | Fabio Carvalho | BRA | 09:18:39 | 10:04:38 | 00:46:43 | 05:01:08 | 03:25:47 | 378 |
| 32 | 25 | Edmilson Pereira | BRA | 09:20:08 | 09:53:16 | 00:49:40 | 05:12:47 | 03:12:41 | (347) |
| 33 | 30 | Christian Carletto | ARG | 09:23:18 | 09:50:49 | 00:54:09 | 04:56:09 | 03:27:59 | (335) |
| 34 | 37 | Gaston Duran | ARG | 09:46:36 | 10:21:17 | 00:57:40 | 05:10:09 | 03:33:47 | (428) |
| 35 | 35 | Andres Darricau | Arg | 09:54:00 | 10:26:01 | 00:54:51 | 04:58:43 | 03:55:26 | (439) |
| 14 | Jason Britton | CAN | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 21 | Alejo Badino | ARG | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 22 | Jorge Vazquez | MEX | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 24 | Luan Ortiz Silva | BRA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 31 | Sergio Carrettoni | ARG | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) | |
| 33 | Bruno Lazaretti | BRA | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) |
Female Race Participants
| Rank | Bib | Name | Nation | Expected Time | Rating | Exp. Swim | Exp. Bike | Exp. Run | Overall |
| 2 | 59 | Tine Deckers | BEL | 09:05:28 | 09:38:44 | 00:57:43 | 04:53:21 | 03:09:25 | 43 |
| 3 | 65 | Elizabeth Lyles | USA | 09:06:14 | 09:30:10 | 00:55:55 | 05:01:34 | 03:03:45 | 26 |
| 5 | 53 | Haley Chura | USA | 09:11:39 | 09:37:25 | 00:47:49 | 05:02:02 | 03:16:48 | 40 |
| 6 | 52 | Amanda Stevens | USA | 09:12:26 | 09:35:48 | 00:49:35 | 04:55:30 | 03:22:20 | 34 |
| 7 | 71 | Asa Lundstroem | SWE | 09:14:50 | 09:32:35 | 00:59:28 | 04:57:02 | 03:13:20 | 29 |
| 8 | 54 | Ariane Monticeli | BRA | 09:18:17 | 09:53:18 | 01:00:13 | 05:05:20 | 03:07:45 | 72 |
| 9 | 76 | Mareen Hufe | GER | 09:19:10 | 09:37:00 | 00:59:24 | 04:52:01 | 03:22:45 | 39 |
| 10 | 60 | Lucie Reed | CZE | 09:20:19 | 09:47:03 | 00:50:06 | 05:04:01 | 03:21:11 | 55 |
| 12 | 70 | Ashley Clifford | USA | 09:23:50 | 09:40:16 | 00:54:06 | 05:14:22 | 03:10:22 | 46 |
| 13 | 61 | Astrid Ganzow | GER | 09:24:08 | 09:43:53 | 00:58:17 | 04:58:53 | 03:21:58 | 49 |
| 14 | 66 | Laurel Wassner | USA | 09:24:36 | 09:46:54 | 00:53:51 | 05:14:04 | 03:11:42 | 53 |
| 15 | 67 | Mariana Andrade | BRA | 09:31:32 | 10:16:16 | 00:59:08 | 04:56:27 | 03:30:56 | 117 |
| 16 | 58 | Mette Pettersen Moe | NOR | 09:34:55 | 10:01:39 | 00:52:05 | 05:02:20 | 03:35:31 | (88) |
| 17 | 72 | Karen Thibodeau | CAN | 09:40:11 | 10:05:18 | 00:55:24 | 05:15:01 | 03:24:46 | 97 |
| 18 | 74 | Ana Lidia Borba | BRA | 09:40:27 | 10:25:02 | 00:54:56 | 04:59:30 | 03:41:01 | 143 |
| 62 | Laura Barrena | ARG | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | (n/a) |
KPR Situation
As a Regional Championship, Basil is a P-4000 race so a lot of athletes that are trying to qualify for Kona will be on the start line.
Female
In order to qualify for Kona, Liz Lyles (4.390) basically needs an Ironman finish – even if she is looking for a much better result in Brasil.
In addition to Liz, there is a large number of athletes that want to score the points they still need for a Kona slot. Ashley Clifford has currently the most points (4.130-1.070) but as she already raced three IMs she is effectively sitting at 3.060 points. Asa Lundstroem (3.740-405) has also three IMs. Ariane Monticelli (3.810), Haley Chura (3.240), Mareen Hufe (3.155) and Astrid Ganzow (2.520) can add another IM to their score. Anja Beranek (2.170) and Amanda Stevens (2.140) would need at least a podium finish to have enough points for a Kona slot.
We also have Diana Riesler (4.270), Mette Moe (2.060) and Eimear Mullan (2.000), but it’s doubtful that they will start in Brasil as they are also on the list for Lanzarote just one week before Brasil.
Male
Matt Trautmann (5.525) and Brent McMahon (4.380) should already be safe for a Kona slot at this point, they are in Brasil to gain more racing experience and maybe win another Ironman.
Things are more critical for athletes that need more points: Guilherme Manochio (2.685), Denis Chevrot (2.500), Tim O’Donnell (2.230), Igor Amorelli (1.885) and Paul Matthews (1.810) can add one more IM to their score. Others have already raced three IMs, so their worst score will get bumped from the total. This includes Per Bittner (3.030-540), Nick Baldwin (2.400-540) and Karol Dzalaj (2.349-305).
In addition to these, almost all athletes have a chance to qualify for Kona with a podium finish in Brasil, this includes Kona 2014 participant Kyle Buckingham (1.330).
Winning Odds
Male Race Participants
Marino Vanhoenacker has announced that he won’t be targeting Kona any more, but still wants to win a few more Ironman races – he’s my favorite for Brasil. He’ll be competing against athletes that need Kona points (as noted above), especially “TO” Tim O’Donnell, Paul Matthews, Denis Chevrot or Igor Amorelli. Brent McMahon and Matt Trautmann can race without any points pressure – they’ll be focused on another Ironman win:
- Marino Vanhoenacker: 24% (3-1)
- Timothy O’Donnell: 23% (3-1)
- Brent McMahon: 19% (4-1)
- Paul Matthews: 9% (10-1)
- Denis Chevrot: 8% (11-1)
- Matt Trautman: 5% (18-1)
- Igor Amorelli: 4% (25-1)
Female Race Participants
It’s very hard to pick a favorite in the pretty even field at Brasil. Based on the number I see a slight advantage for Tine Deckers, but she had two DNFs in her last IMs in Mont Tremblant and South Africa. Haley Chura seems to be on a good upward path, her last IM was a win in Fortaleza. Liz Lyles had great results in 2014 (2nd in Germany and 7th in Kona) and showed her good form by winning Wildflower. Anja Beranek has taken a bit of a break from IM racing (her last was a DNF in Kona 2013) – it will be interesting to see what she’ll be able to do. Amanda Stevens will be close to the front for most of the day, but she’ll need a great run to repeat her 2013 win.
- Tine Deckers: 35% (2-1)
- Haley Chura: 21% (4-1)
Diana Riesler: 13% (7-1)- Elizabeth Lyles: 10% (9-1)
- Anja Beranek: 9% (10-1)
- Amanda Stevens: 6% (17-1)