Ironman Netherlands 2015 (Aug 2nd) – Predictions

Update (July 29th): Corinne Abraham announced she won’t be racing in Maastricht. (She already slipped into the first round of qualifiers.)

This is the first race on this course.

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Netherlands is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 25.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Overall
1	1	Bas Diederen	NED	08:24:09	00:47:37	04:37:33	02:55:23	10
2	2	Cyril Viennot	FRA	08:33:18	00:50:48	04:40:56	02:57:29	31
3	32	Per Bittner	GER	08:41:33	00:49:40	04:44:43	03:04:24	54
4	24	Fraser Cartmell	GBR	08:44:22	00:48:12	04:41:01	03:10:27	66
5	13	Andrey Lyatskiy	RUS	08:59:26	00:48:29	04:55:55	03:12:00	124
6	25	Mike Schifferle	SUI	09:02:37	01:00:15	04:50:44	03:06:14	138
7	23	Alberto Casadei	ITA	09:03:18	00:48:02	04:58:28	03:04:33	142
8	17	Mark Oude Bennink	NED	09:09:16	00:48:37	04:53:39	03:17:21	169
9	28	Bart Candel	NED	09:13:55	00:56:01	04:57:44	03:00:05	(190)
10	26	Matic Modic	SLO	09:14:08	00:55:15	04:56:51	03:10:33	192
11	8	Hannes Cool	BEL	09:18:50	00:51:15	04:57:36	03:21:04	211
12	5	Martijn Dekker	NED	09:20:20	00:47:40	04:44:54	03:25:50	(218)
13	10	Rinus Holvoet	BEL	09:25:00	00:53:44	05:00:26	03:19:29	243
14	22	Remy Vasseur	NED	09:27:32	00:54:14	05:05:49	03:16:51	(248)
15	27	Joerie Vansteelant	BEL	09:28:00	00:58:55	04:45:05	03:24:51	(249)
16	21	Hendrik-Jan Verhaegen	BEL	09:31:24	00:56:47	05:01:11	03:21:52	263
17	29	Stefan Eichheimer	GER	09:39:04	00:57:36	04:56:28	03:18:39	(299)
18	33	Urs Mueller	SWI	09:40:24	00:56:45	05:03:55	03:20:35	(304)
19	30	Lukas Polan	CZE	10:07:42	01:02:37	05:13:35	03:39:17	401
20	4	Ludovic Le Guellec	FRA	10:15:34	01:01:08	05:23:41	03:39:46	424
21	34	Josef Svoboda	CZE	11:54:44	01:11:32	06:03:13	04:22:23	492
22	16	Mathias Nagel	GER	15:28:03	01:54:35	06:52:42	06:08:43	(495)
	3	Wouter Duinisveld	NED	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	6	Tim Brydenbach	BEL	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	7	Emanuele Ciotti	ITA	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	11	Thomas Kaiser	GER	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	12	Roman Krivosheev	RUS	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	18	Frederic Schaffner	FRA	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	19	Andreas Thissen	GER	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	20	Xavier Torrades	ESP	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	31	Cedric Largajolli	FRA	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Overall
1	51	Yvonne Van Vlerken	NED	09:13:06	00:58:09	05:01:06	03:10:34	5
2	59	Corinne Abraham	GBR	09:23:37	00:59:58	05:11:07	03:09:44	16
3	55	Carolin Lehrieder	GER	09:55:34	unrated	unrated	unrated	80
4	54	Irene Kinnegim	NED	10:07:41	01:07:40	05:20:46	03:31:44	(112)
5	57	Maria Lemeseva	RUS	10:15:03	01:08:47	05:32:48	03:23:50	123
6	58	Anne Jensen	DNK	10:28:48	01:09:45	05:24:33	03:45:14	159
7	56	Carla Van Rooijen	NED	10:31:35	01:14:39	05:28:30	03:36:48	(162)
	53	Sarissa De Vries	NED	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Bas and Cyril lead the odds for the men, they are already qualified for Kona and may not race at their full potential. Per Bittner (3.030 points), Fraser Cartmell (3.545) and Alberto Casadei (1.791) look for more KPR points to secure an August slot.

• Bas Diederen: 49% (1-1)
• Cyril Viennot: 20% (4-1)
• Per Bittner: 14% (6-1)
• Fraser Cartmell: 11% (8-1)
• Alberto Casadei: 4% (23-1)

Female Race Participants

Yvonne Van Vlerken is the clear favorite on the women’s side. If there is a threat to her it’s going to come from Corinne Abraham who has had a few DNSs since her 5th place in Texas. Yvonne and Corinne are both already qualified for Kona, there is no one else in the field that has a significant number of points.

• Yvonne Van Vlerken: 60% (1-1)
• Corinne Abraham: 32% (2-1)
• Carolin Lehrieder: 3% (28-1)
• Irene Kinnegim: 3% (32-1)