Skip to content

Ironman Switzerland 2015 (July 19th) – Predictions

IMSUIUpdate (July 10th): Corinne Abraham and Eimear Mullan are no longer on the startlist posted by ironman.com.

Update (July 14th): Matt Trautmann has tweeted that he has broken his clavicle. Speedy healing, I hope he’ll be back in form for Kona.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Christoph Mauch (SUI) 08:21:48 Karin Thuerig (SUI) 09:10:51
2006 Mathias Hecht (SUI) 08:26:01 Rebecca Preston (AUS) 09:24:18
2007 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:24:58 Rebecca Preston (AUS) 09:20:40
2008 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:16:05 Sibylle Matter (SUI) 09:30:12
2009 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:20:00 Sibylle Matter (SUI) 09:14:35
2010 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:12:40 Karin Thuerig (SUI) 09:00:04
2011 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:19:51 Karin Thuerig (SUI) 09:03:26
2012 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:17:13 Erika Csomor (HUN) 09:20:16
2013 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:33:39 Anja Beranek (GER) 09:21:31
2014 Boris Stein (GER) 08:33:02 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 09:13:30

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Boris Stein GER 00:58:49 04:35:55 02:53:49 08:33:02
2 David Plese SLO 00:56:44 04:37:35 02:54:51 08:34:13
3 Marek Jaskolka POL 00:51:23 04:51:09 02:53:46 08:40:40

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:56:41 05:00:18 03:11:03 09:13:30
2 Natascha Badmann SUI 01:05:10 04:55:00 03:23:01 09:28:37
3 Sonja Tajsich GER 01:05:14 04:59:49 03:19:13 09:29:15

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:12:40 Ronnie Schildknecht 2010-07-25
Swim overall 00:45:29 Benjamin Sanson 2005-07-15
Bike overall 04:27:42 Ronnie Schildknecht 2012-07-15
Run overall 02:41:58 Clemente Alonso McKernan 2011-07-10
Total female 09:00:04 Karin Thuerig 2010-07-25
Swim female 00:51:23 Celine Schaerer 2014-07-27
Bike female 04:43:53 Karin Thuerig 2010-07-25
Run female 03:00:27 Kristin Moeller 2014-07-27

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Switzerland is 06:06.

Race Adjustments for IM Switzerland

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 -03:50 00:25 02:46 -07:19 6 -03:50 00:25 02:46 -07:19
2006 15:12 01:09 04:34 00:02 21 05:41 00:47 03:40 -03:39
2007 16:28 -01:00 10:07 01:36 26 09:17 00:11 05:49 -01:54
2008 08:26 -00:10 01:43 01:50 22 09:04 00:06 04:48 -00:58
2009 12:10 -00:57 05:49 05:20 30 09:41 -00:07 05:00 00:18
2010 06:52 -01:25 05:36 02:00 27 09:13 -00:20 05:06 00:35
2011 09:41 -02:31 00:57 07:25 17 09:17 -00:39 04:30 01:34
2012 07:00 -03:11 04:02 02:15 24 09:00 -00:58 04:27 01:39
2013 -09:50 -05:13 02:43 -05:14 35 06:54 -01:26 04:15 00:53
2014 -01:06 -03:47 05:01 -00:18 25 06:06 -01:40 04:20 00:46

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Switzerland is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 50.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 1 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 08:19:56 08:27:12 00:52:33 04:30:08 02:52:15 16
2 35 Matt Trautman ZAF 08:24:13 08:30:45 00:51:49 04:34:05 02:53:19 20
3 31 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 08:26:51 08:38:35 00:53:46 04:37:06 02:50:59 (45)
4 2 David Plese SLO 08:30:15 08:38:56 00:53:59 04:35:29 02:55:47 45
5 5 Mike Aigroz SUI 08:32:11 08:44:39 00:49:33 04:37:01 03:00:38 64
6 28 Michael Raelert GER 08:32:48 08:42:24 00:49:00 04:39:11 02:59:36 (57)
7 11 Miquel Blanchart Tinto ESP 08:34:53 08:42:51 00:50:19 04:48:04 02:51:30 58
8 3 Jan Van Berkel SUI 08:38:13 08:53:24 00:48:47 04:36:14 03:08:12 100
9 7 Alberto Casadei ITA 08:39:09 08:57:55 00:49:00 04:44:32 03:00:37 121
10 29 Dirk Wijnalda NED 08:44:00 09:04:39 00:58:27 04:45:50 02:54:43 148
11 6 Mauro Baertsch SUI 08:48:54 09:05:06 00:55:13 04:49:58 02:58:43 151
12 4 Mike Schifferle SUI 08:54:49 09:03:47 01:01:25 04:44:10 03:04:14 143
13 8 Rafael Wyss SUI 08:56:22 09:14:58 01:01:14 04:45:16 03:04:52 (198)
14 17 Martin Matula CZE 08:57:42 09:00:30 00:54:04 04:55:01 03:03:36 (131)
15 30 Manuel Kueng SUI 08:58:35 09:26:25 00:48:02 04:45:00 03:20:34 (246)
16 14 Kevin Everett USA 09:01:33 09:20:48 00:48:15 04:35:33 03:32:45 (226)
17 9 Samuel Huerzeler SUI 09:04:58 09:11:22 00:55:22 04:58:20 03:06:16 181
18 15 Rinus Holvoet BEL 09:13:17 09:25:13 00:54:41 04:55:55 03:17:41 (245)
19 23 Damien With FRA 09:15:10 09:32:48 00:54:04 04:53:53 03:22:12 (274)
20 21 Hendrik-Jan Verhaegen BEL 09:21:41 09:31:24 00:58:46 04:57:08 03:20:47 266
21 27 Evgeniy Nikitin RUS 09:36:59 10:19:03 00:52:44 05:13:56 03:25:18 432
22 33 David Jilek CZE 09:37:35 09:47:14 01:00:54 05:00:22 03:31:19 327
23 25 Lukas Polan CZE 09:42:00 09:59:32 01:05:04 05:04:02 03:27:55 372
24 38 Ivan Kharin RUS 09:46:58 10:02:58 01:09:25 05:05:30 03:27:03 (380)
25 12 Dan Brown PHI 09:54:58 11:12:34 01:04:19 05:13:31 03:32:08 482
26 20 Matthew Smith CZE 09:55:48 10:10:52 01:04:36 05:23:26 03:22:46 (410)
27 13 Rod De Kanel FRA 10:21:39 10:41:24 00:54:12 05:10:48 04:11:39 (469)
28 24 Valentin Zasypkin RUS 10:32:06 11:11:19 01:10:04 05:29:52 03:47:10 (482)
29 26 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:24:03 12:03:47 01:12:07 05:42:30 04:24:26 486
10 Martin Bader AUT n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
16 Thomas Kaiser GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
18 Mathias Nagel GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
19 Pascal Ramali GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
22 Michal Volejnik CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
32 Matteo Fontana ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
34 Gilian Oriet SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
36 Andy Sutz SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 47 Mary Beth Ellis USA 09:15:23 09:17:08 00:52:13 05:01:50 03:16:20 9
2 41 Corinne Abraham GBR 09:17:44 09:23:37 01:01:06 05:02:53 03:08:45 15
3 59 Beth Gerdes USA 09:28:49 09:52:53 01:03:47 05:14:44 03:05:18 71
4 58 Mareen Hufe GER 09:31:58 09:37:04 01:01:55 05:01:21 03:23:41 41
5 52 Eimear Mullan IRL 09:33:22 09:58:47 01:00:48 05:14:33 03:13:01 86
6 57 Regula Rohrbach SUI 09:36:13 09:50:30 00:58:16 05:01:45 03:31:12 64
7 50 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 09:38:33 09:52:00 01:03:34 05:14:09 03:15:50 68
8 51 Mariana Andrade BRA 09:53:35 10:22:26 01:02:21 05:11:06 03:35:08 141
9 48 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 10:15:47 10:29:03 01:12:33 05:25:09 03:33:04 (155)
10 54 Nicole Woysch GER 10:17:02 10:41:26 01:00:18 05:24:35 03:47:09 (162)
11 60 Alena Stevens SVK 10:20:12 10:34:40 01:02:59 05:38:27 03:33:46 (159)
12 49 Angela Kuehnlein GER 10:30:16 10:43:49 01:05:03 05:31:54 03:48:18 (165)

KPR Situation

Men

A few of the men are already safe for a July Kona slot:

  • Ronnie Schildknecht (5.550)
  • Matt Trautmann (7.195)
There are a few others that still need a few more points:
  • Miquel Blanchard Tinto: 3.700 at 3+1 (to improve he needs to score more than 960 points, i.e. 3rd or better)
  • Michael Raelert (3.000, he races Zürich as his 2015 IM race, a 4th or better should be enough for him)
A lot of athletes have to place in the Top3 or better for a slot – they probably avoided the deep field in Frankfurt and hope for better chances in Zürich:
  • Mike Aigroz (2.825)
  • Jan Van Berkel (2.600)
  • David Plese (2.285)
  • Alessandro Degasperi (2.000)
  • Mauro Baertsch (1.905)
  • Alberto Casadei (1.791)
Most of these can add another IM to their score or will only loose a few points.

Women

Mary Beth Ellis already has enough points for a slot, but she still needs to finish an Ironman (but will be racing for a good result as well).

In addition to her, there are athletes that need to place well to score the points they still need for a July slot (projected cutoff at 5.100 points). Most of them have already raced a lot, so in addition to the points they have at this point, I also show the “base” points they have before adding a good Zürich result to their score:

  • Corinne Abraham (4.725, same base; needs a 7th or better, but was DNS in Austria and it’s not clear if she’ll be racing)
  • Mareen Hufe (4.490, base 3.975; needs 3rd or better)
  • Beth Gerdes (4.515, base 3.795; needs 2nd or better)
  • Dimitry-Lee Duke (3.945, base 3.625; needs 2nd or better)
Among the other athletes, Eimear Mullan is the one with most points, but with 2.000 points she is already too far back for even a theoretical chance to qualify.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Ronnie Schildknecht has won this race seven times in a row, last year he was forced to race in Frankfurt in order to get more points for his Kona qualifying. This year, he is already safe after a 3rd place in Texas and can go back to his home race. He is joined by a number of strong athletes that are looking for more Kona points or a just a decent Ironman race:

  • Ronnie Schildknecht: 43% (1-1)
  • Matt Trautman: 17% (5-1)
  • Alessandro Degasperi: 15% (6-1)
  • David Plese: 8% (12-1)
  • Miquel Blanchart Tinto: 6% (16-1)
  • Mike Aigroz: 4% (23-1)
  • Michael Raelert: 4% (24-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Mary Beth Ellis: 50% (1-1)
  • Corinne Abraham: 22% (4-1)
  • Beth Gerdes: 13% (7-1)
  • Mareen Hufe: 9% (11-1)
  • Eimear Mullan: 3% (28-1)
Select your currency
EUR Euro

By continuing to use the site, you agree to the use of cookies. more information

The cookie settings on this website are set to "allow cookies" to give you the best browsing experience possible. If you continue to use this website without changing your cookie settings or you click "Accept" below then you are consenting to this.

Close