Challenge Taiwan 2014 (April 19th) – Predictions

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Dylan McNeice	NZL	00:47:00	04:29:35	02:54:54	08:16:21
2	Georg Potrebitsch	GER	00:52:19	04:28:40	03:01:46	08:27:06
3	Fredrik Croneborg	SWE	00:56:20	04:34:57	02:52:33	08:28:28

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Belinda Granger	AUS	01:01:16	04:55:34	03:21:10	09:23:15
2	Hillary Biscay	USA	00:54:53	05:09:54	03:27:18	09:37:40
3	Kate Bevilaqua	AUS	00:56:26	05:24:00	03:39:14	10:05:09

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:16:21	Dylan McNeice	2013-05-04
Swim	overall	00:47:00	Dylan McNeice	2013-05-04
Bike	overall	04:28:40	Georg Potrebitsch	2013-05-04
Bike	overall	04:28:40	Todd Skipworth	2013-05-04
Run	overall	02:52:33	Fredrik Croneborg	2013-05-04
Total	female	09:23:15	Belinda Granger	2013-05-04
Swim	female	00:54:53	Hillary Biscay	2013-05-04
Bike	female	04:55:34	Belinda Granger	2013-05-04
Run	female	03:21:10	Belinda Granger	2013-05-04

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Taiwan is 09:36.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Taiwan

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Athletes	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2013	09:36	-04:41	12:29	05:45	12	09:36	-04:41	12:29	05:45

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	1	Dylan McNeice	NZL	08:38:00	08:47:23	00:44:58	04:51:08	03:06:43	65
2	5	Andrej Vistica	CRO	08:39:31	08:48:56	00:53:50	04:43:34	03:03:09	73
3	2	Fredrik Croneborg	SWE	08:41:30	08:50:57	00:52:09	04:56:10	02:59:00	81
4	6	Nick Baldwin	SEY	08:42:42	08:52:10	00:53:11	04:48:30	03:03:24	89
5	7	Matt Burton	AUS	08:43:14	08:52:43	00:54:22	04:38:56	03:07:31	(95)
6	13	Jason Shortis	AUS	08:43:46	08:53:15	00:54:00	04:51:08	03:01:47	99
7	9	Petr Vabrousek	CZE	08:48:00	08:57:34	00:54:52	04:52:49	03:03:21	116
8	3	Guy Crawford	NZL	08:50:51	09:00:28	00:48:47	04:45:04	03:24:56	132
9	4	Matt Burgess	NZL	09:09:44	09:19:41	00:49:56	04:49:27	03:24:39	(204)
10	12	Jaroslav Kovacic	SLO	09:22:15	09:32:26	00:50:03	05:04:49	03:20:01	(247)
11	11	Eneko Elosegui	ESP	09:22:47	09:32:59	00:59:52	05:00:10	03:25:28	248
12	14	Till Schramm	GER	10:02:32	10:13:27	00:55:15	04:51:52	04:06:26	(384)
	8	Mao Yung yang	TWN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	10	Brad Wauer	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating	Rank
1	52	Gina Crawford	NZL	09:15:58	09:26:02	00:51:55	05:14:00	03:13:13	10
2	56	Britta Martin	NZL	09:29:34	09:39:53	01:00:30	05:12:08	03:18:38	34
3	50	Belinda Granger	AUS	09:30:28	09:40:48	00:54:05	05:10:52	03:30:12	37
4	61	Simone Maier	GER	09:44:56	09:55:32	01:04:19	05:21:49	03:19:05	69
5	58	Kate Bevilaqua	AUS	09:52:29	10:03:13	00:56:42	05:24:46	03:36:06	90
6	55	Yvette Grice	GBR	09:53:06	10:03:51	00:55:41	05:36:08	03:24:01	92
7	51	Hillary Biscay	USA	09:59:09	10:10:00	00:52:18	05:34:25	03:36:49	98
8	59	Yasuko Miyazaki	JPN	10:23:32	10:34:50	01:00:29	05:54:05	03:38:53	135
9	53	Jodie Scott	AUS	10:29:53	10:41:18	00:56:44	05:39:59	03:57:53	(140)
10	54	Kathrin Walther	GER	10:33:13	10:44:41	00:59:10	05:37:54	03:52:20	(142)
	60	Stef Puszka	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)
	57	Jessica Fleming	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

• Dylan McNeice: 36% (2-1)
• Fredrik Croneborg: 24% (3-1)
• Jason Shortis: 12% (8-1)
• Andrej Vistica: 12% (8-1)
• Petr Vabrousek: 6% (16-1)
• Matt Burton: 4% (22-1)
• Nick Baldwin: 4% (24-1)
• Guy Crawford: 2% (41-1)

Female Race Participants

• Gina Crawford: 60% (1-1)
• Britta Martin: 19% (4-1)
• Belinda Granger: 15% (6-1)
• Kate Bevilaqua: 2% (40-1)
• Yvette Grice: 2% (60-1)