After the first men are in, here are some observations:
- Similar to the swim, conditions were pretty typical for Kona – meaning that a course record is probably not in the cards.
- So far Maik Twelsiek posted the fastest bike split in 4:25:10, nearly 6 minutes than expected
- Sebastian Kienle rode a bit quicker than Jan Frodeno, but was still 1:30 slower than expected.
- Jan Frodeno was more than two minutes quicker than expected, he is projected to be the winner this year. But of course the marathon still has to be run!
- Tim O’Donnell and Joe Skipper were 13:42 and 10:36 quicker than expected – hopefully they can still have a good run!
Projected Top 10
- Jan Frodeno GER 08:12:50
- Brent McMahon CAN 08:15:42
- Frederik Van Lierde BEL 08:18:44
- Sebastian Kienle GER 08:19:12
- Andreas Raelert GER 08:19:39
- Timothy O’Donnell USA 08:21:14
- Andy Potts USA 08:21:35
- Eneko Llanos ESP 08:24:02
- Ben Hoffman USA 08:24:09
- Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 08:25:27
Bike Analysis
| Rank | Name | Nation | Bike | Bike Diff |
| 1 | Maik Twelsiek | GER | 04:25:10 | -05:42 |
| 2 | Sebastian Kienle | GER | 04:25:53 | 01:32 |
| 3 | Timothy O’Donnell | USA | 04:26:13 | -13:42 |
| 4 | Eneko Llanos | ESP | 04:26:56 | -05:51 |
| 5 | Frederik Van Lierde | BEL | 04:27:18 | -02:49 |
| 6 | Marino Vanhoenacker | BEL | 04:27:26 | 00:57 |
| 7 | Jan Frodeno | GER | 04:27:27 | -02:20 |
| 8 | Brent McMahon | CAN | 04:27:51 | -02:20 |
| 9 | Andi Boecherer | GER | 04:27:58 | -03:27 |
| 10 | Joe Skipper | GBR | 04:28:34 | -10:36 |
| 11 | Michael Weiss | AUT | 04:28:34 | 00:53 |
| 12 | Ben Hoffman | USA | 04:28:51 | -06:49 |
| 13 | Tyler Butterfield | BMU | 04:29:35 | -06:42 |
| 14 | Boris Stein | GER | 04:30:48 | -05:10 |
| 15 | Andreas Raelert | GER | 04:30:52 | -04:35 |
| 16 | Romain Guillaume | FRA | 04:31:12 | -08:18 |
| 17 | Andy Potts | USA | 04:32:41 | -04:35 |
| 18 | Cyril Viennot | FRA | 04:34:27 | -05:54 |
| 19 | Igor Amorelli | BRA | 04:34:56 | -05:51 |
| 20 | Lionel Sanders | CAN | 04:35:17 | -00:02 |