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Ironman Lanzarote 2017 – Analyzing Results

Update May 21: Added a few DNFs after updated data was available in the Athlete Tracker.

Race Conditions

The conditions for this year’s race were typical for IM Lanzarote: Nothing special for the swim and run (almost no adjustments) but a very slow bike (adjustment of -19:11) and a slow race overall (adjustment of -23:51), even for the “slow standard” of Lanzarote.

Still, there were two new course records: Lucy Charles posted new swim and bike course records. She improved her own swim course record from last year by five seconds, and also Tara Norton’s bike course record (5:26:23 from 2010) to 5:23:29.

Male Race Results

Romain Guillaume quickly took the lead after the swim, after 90k he was joined by his BMC Etixx teammate Bart Aernouts. Bart stepped up his bike performance and posted the best split. When his teammate struggled on the run, he took control of the race and won by nine minutes. BartRun

Photo: A focused Bart at the start of the run. (Credit: Ingo Kutsche, used with permission)

Second place went to Alessandro Degasperi who lost some time on the bike but then posted the fastest run split. Defending champion Jesse Thomas couldn’t make up any time to the leader on the run, but a solid overall race saw him finish in third.  Fourth place went to the relatively unknown Peru Alfaro who had taken a two and a half year break from Ironman racing, Romain Guillaume struggled on the run but held on to fifth place.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Bart Aernouts BEL 00:50:34 04:48:23 02:48:28 08:34:13 -12:03 US$ 5,000 2000
2 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 00:50:33 04:59:18 02:47:39 08:43:22 -09:53 US$ 2,750 1600
3 Jesse Thomas USA 00:50:34 04:55:54 02:55:25 08:49:02 03:01 US$ 1,750 1280
4 Peru Alfaro ESP 00:47:03 05:02:28 02:55:29 08:52:31 -04:10 US$ 1,250 960
5 Romain Guillaume FRA 00:48:29 04:50:54 03:11:16 08:57:01 -06:21 US$ 1,000 720
6 Samuel Huerzeler SUI 00:52:08 05:05:06 02:53:53 08:59:07 -25:35 US$ 750 540
7 Timothy Van Houtem BEL 00:57:11 04:59:53 02:55:58 09:01:13 n/a 405
8 Cedric Lassonde FRA 00:53:29 05:08:09 03:05:18 09:14:49 -12:12 305
9 Guillaume Lecallier FRA 00:55:38 05:07:06 03:06:06 09:15:45 n/a 230
10 Trevor Delsaut FRA 00:50:32 05:09:17 03:11:52 09:19:16 11:01 170
11 Nicholas Ward Munoz GBR 00:53:32 05:21:48 03:00:34 09:23:44 05:52 120
12 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 00:52:14 05:24:33 03:00:05 09:24:17 -00:29 85
13 Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 00:50:29 05:19:35 03:12:56 09:29:50 11:30 60
14 Philipp Mock GER 00:57:02 05:01:56 03:23:38 09:32:13 n/a 40
15 Xavier Torrades ESP 00:50:31 05:27:44 03:10:20 09:35:10 04:56 30
16 Mike Schifferle SUI 00:59:28 05:18:17 03:14:09 09:43:24 14:44 20
17 Georgy Kaurov RUS 00:46:58 05:30:14 03:35:38 09:59:07 09:06 15
18 Marcus Hultgren SWE 00:55:50 05:22:56 03:45:42 10:13:20 25:26 10
19 Mads Bang Jensen DEN 00:55:31 05:32:38 03:47:50 10:23:56 n/a 8
20 Dominique Wymmersch Gallego ESP 00:58:11 05:33:54 03:51:45 10:35:19 n/a 5
21 Youri Severin NED 00:49:03 05:27:58 04:17:04 10:42:00 1:06:09 3
22 Ivan Tejero Vazquez ESP 00:50:34 05:33:05 04:18:00 10:50:07 26:37 3
23 Stephen Bayliss GBR 00:47:04 05:14:17 04:44:39 10:52:57 1:20:48 3
Konstantin Bachor GER 00:50:28 05:11:19 DNF
Frederic Schaffner FRA 00:55:36 05:48:57 DNF
Carlos Lopez Diaz ESP 00:46:58 DNF
Malte Bruns GER 00:52:09 DNF
Cyril Viennot FRA 00:52:16 DNF
Daniel Herlbauer AUT 00:53:31 DNF
Gergely Nagy HUN 00:53:42 DNF
Erik Holmberg SWE 00:53:45 DNF
Victor Del Corral ESP 00:55:37 DNF
Victor Rodriguez ESP 00:55:41 DNF
Stephen Donnelly IRL 00:55:42 DNF
Josep Vinolas ESP 00:55:43 DNF
Alain Djouad-Guibert MOR 01:04:49 DNF

Female Race Results

The female race was dominated by super swimmer Lucy Charles. It wasn’t a surprise she was leading after the swim (posting a new swim course record), but then she continued to extend her lead on the bike – also posting a new bike course record. Her lead in T2 was close to 20 minutes, leaving just a little bit of hope for the chasers. However, she was able to have a solid run as well and won the race with a comfortable margin of nine minutes.

LucyCharlesBike

Photo: Lucy on one of the picturesque spots of the Lanzarote bike course. (Credit: Ingo Kutsche, used with permission)

The only athlete able to take a serious chunk out of Lucy’s lead was Corinne Abraham who posted the fastest marathon to finish second. In T2 Lucy Gossage seemed to be in the best position to challenge Lucy for the win, but she had indicated before the race she hadn’t done her usual training and it showed a bit with a 3:13 run, she was still able to finish third – giving Great Britain a podium sweep. Solid bike rides allowed Jeanne Collonge to finish in fourth place and Saleta Castro in fifth.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Lucy Charles GBR 00:47:06 05:23:29 03:18:34 09:35:39 -34:58 US$ 5,000 2000
2 Corinne Abraham GBR 00:57:13 05:37:17 03:03:53 09:44:29 -04:41 US$ 2,750 1600
3 Lucy Gossage GBR 01:00:40 05:29:44 03:13:05 09:50:22 08:23 US$ 1,750 1280
4 Jeanne Collonge FRA 00:58:12 05:31:42 03:26:31 10:04:46 -05:57 US$ 1,250 960
5 Saleta Castro Nogueira ESP 00:55:40 05:47:28 03:21:01 10:11:45 -09:45 US$ 1,000 720
6 Kate Comber GBR 00:52:25 05:52:13 03:29:23 10:22:34 -00:24 US$ 750 540
7 Pia Englyst DEN 01:05:07 06:11:04 03:26:46 10:52:15 n/a 405
8 Kelly Fillnow USA 01:06:28 06:11:41 03:28:43 10:56:27 36:25 305
9 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 01:10:25 06:19:00 03:28:52 11:07:33 28:53 230
10 Patricia Bueno Perez ESP 01:00:58 06:37:27 03:48:59 11:38:08 n/a 170
11 Annabel Diawuoh GER 01:24:41 06:46:18 04:06:23 12:24:59 n/a 120
Tine Holst DEN 01:03:05 05:37:25 DNF
Alexandra Tondeur BEL 00:57:55 DNF
Camille Deligny FRA 01:00:12 DNF

Kona Qualifying Implications

Here’s the notable changes in Kona Qualifying on the male side (projected July cutoff 3.500 points):

  • Safe for a July slot: Bart Aernouts (5.825)
  • On the Bubble (might be enough, but maybe not): Jesse Thomas (3.420)
  • Close (but more points needed): Romain Guillaume (2.390), Alessandro Degasperi (2.050)

On the female side (projected cutoff 4.300 points):

  • Safe for a July slot: Lucy Gossage (4.725, but she indicated she’s not interested in racing Kona this year)
  • Close (but more points needed): Jeanne Collonge (3.910)

Lucy Charles (2.115) and Corinne Abraham (2.675) haven’t scored many points before, they still need a lot of points to be able to qualify.

On the Relative Importance of Legs in Long Distance Triathlon

Triathlon’s combination of three different sports creates dynamic races. Comparing to single sport endurance events such as marathon running, you have to account for the strengths and weaknesses in each of the legs. While you can be pretty sure that the winner of a marathon will be close to the front after 30k, things are more complicated for a triathlon. The T2 leader is in a great position to win the race, but stronger runners keep the race interesting for much longer, and often big events are decided very close to the finish line – just think back to Kona 2014 when Mirinda Carfrae was able to win the race even after being more than 15 minutes behind in T2.

There has been a lot of discussion about the “most important” leg in a triathlon. In addition to getting the balance right, it’s still interesting to ask if long-distance triathlon favors the stronger bike riders (that will still need to have a decent run) or if everything is decided on the run and the strong runners just have to make sure to not fall too far behind on run.

This post discusses this issue from a statistical view point. I have analyzed Pro race results from 2005 to 2016, looking at more than 500 male and female races with a decent number of results from almost 300 Ironman and Challenge events over the IM-distance. For each of these I have calculated the “relative importance” of each of the legs with a statistics package. The concept of relative importance describes where the race is decided – not necessarily where the most time is spent or where the largest differences occur, but which leg matters most for the final outcome.

Examples and Averages

Here are a few examples where one of the legs had a very large influence on the race results:

  • 2015 Female Race at IM Cairns (Swim Importance: 40%)
    This race was basically decided after the swim. Liz Blatchford built a gap of more three and a half minutes to her competitors. She went on to post the best run and bike times as well, but the gaps were smaller than on the swim. Similarly, the order of athletes behind her didn’t change much after the swim, for example Gina Crawford was second in T1 and had the second best bike and run.
    It’s quite rare for the swim to be the deciding leg, there were only five races (out of more than 500 or less than 1%) where the swim was the most important leg.
  • 2014 Male Race at IM Hawaii (Bike Importance: 55%)
    In 2014 the men’s Kona winner was Sebastian Kienle – he built a dominating lead on the bike that he was able to hold on to during the run. Behind him there were a few shuffles on the run, but other than a few athletes “exploding” on the run the time differences were quite small.
  • 2016 Male Race at IM Hawaii (Run Importance: 69%)
    Last year’s male Kona race was wide open until the run: A group of seven athletes were leading into T2 less than a minute apart. Six of these finished in the Top 7 in the end, with the time differences on the run pretty much determining the order athletes finished. Only Patrick Lange managed to climb into the Top 7 – on the back of a new Kona run course record.

Another typical scenario is that there isn’t a dominating leg but that the bike and run have almost the same importance. Here’s an example from Kona:

  • 2013  Female Race at IM Hawaii (Bike Importance 43%, Run Importance 42%)
    The Top 5 women had almost the same bike splits: Yvonne Van Vlerken was the fastest with a 4:54, slowest among the Top 5 was Mirinda Carfrae with a 4:58 which was still the seventh fastest bike time – the fast bike times allowed them to separate from the rest of the field or make up lost ground after a slower swim. The top finishers also had pretty similar run times just above three hours with four of the five fastest runs among them, solidifying their positions at the front – exceptions were the winner Mirinda Carfrae with a 2:50 and fifth place Caroline Steffen with a 3:11.
The overall average numbers for the importance of each of the legs are:
  • 16% for the Swim
  • 39% for the Bike
  • 45% for the Run

Changes over the Years

While the leg contribution in a single race is often shaped by the participants, race tactics and dynamics, the average data by years shows a long term trend:

LegContributionYears

The graph above shows that the relative importance of the swim has increased in previous years but is still at under 20%. Similarly, the importance of the bike has been increasing, it is approaching the importance of the run. The run is still still the most important leg but with a smaller margin now than ten years ago. In fact 2015 has been the first year where I observed the bike on average being more important than the leg.

What’s the relevance of this data? Here’s my interpretation of it:

  • The increased importance of the swim shows that at the top level of our sport you have to be a good swimmer as well. This confirms the points that Tim Floyd and I made in our post “The Cost of the Kona Swim” for LavaMagazine.
  • It gets more and more important to be able to follow a fast bike with a fast run. In the past, the faster bike riders have always struggled a bit on the run, in order for them to be successful they can no longer afford to lose too much time on the run.
  • For the faster runners it’s the other way around: For them to be successful they can’t be too far behind in T2 – which means that they have to ride more aggressively, even if this ends up hurting their run times a bit.

I think this interpretation is supported by the development of race times we’ve seen in the last few years: For a while male athletes struggled to balance the bike and run. In 2013 we’ve seen a number of 2:40 runs: Bart Aernouts (at IM France) and Victor Del Corral (at IM Florida) ran 2:37 marathons.In 2015 there were some crazy fast bike times, for example IM Texas saw two great bike splits with a 4:10 by Joe Skipper and a 4:11 by Lionel Sanders, but they only ran 3:04 and 3:11 and the race was won by Matt Hanson with a 2:45 run. In 2016 athletes were much better at getting the balance right: A world record by Jan Frodeno (7:35 at Roth with a 4:08 bike and 2:39 run) and the fastest time in an Ironman-branded race by Lionel Sanders (7:44 at Arizona with a 4:04 and 2:42).

Differences between Courses

Another question that is often asked is which courses favor certain types of athletes.

As noted above, the swim has a relatively small contribution to the overall result, but there are still some noticeable differences between different courses:

SwimContribution

Kona is actually the course with the lowest average swim contribution. I think this is mainly caused by a relatively evenly matched field, and everyone tries to stay with the front group as long as possible, usually resulting in relatively large front groups coming out with very small differences. Compare that to IM Germany, IM Western Australia or IM Copenhagen, where often the swim leader manages to create a gap and then goes on to win the race. Think of Jan Frodeno in Germany 2015, Luke McKenzie at Western Australia 2015 or Camilla Pedersen at IM Copenhagen 2012.

Another question that is asked is which courses are good for the strong bike riders and which favor the faster runners. The following graph shows the average difference between the bike and run contribution for the courses with a decent amount of data:

BikeVsRun

If the bar goes to the left and into the red, the bike leg has a higher contribution, if it goes to the right and into the green, then the run is more important. Also, the longer the bar the larger the difference is. IM Wales is the best course for the strong bike riders (with the bike leg contributing 20% more to the final result than the run), while Western Australia clearly favors the runners (run contribution 19% larger than the bike).

Summary

Analyzing the importance of the swim, bike and run in long distance Pro races shows a couple of interesting points:

  • Each race has different participants creating different race dynamics, influencing where important things happen in the race, averages help to identify differences between courses.
  • While the swim and bike are getting more and more important, the leg with the largest contribution to the final result is still the run.
  • For most courses the contribution is between 13 and 18%, only very few have a swim importance slightly above 20%.
  • With Ironman Wales and Challenge Wanka there are only two courses that clearly favor the bike leg (bike contribution more than 5% higher than the run contribution).
  • Conversely, there are 12 courses favoring the run, the run legs at IM Wisconsin and IM Western Australia showing the largest difference.

While the analysis presented in this post is based on Pro data, the conclusions about the courses seem to be properties of the courses rather than the fields racing the course. Therefore, they should apply to agegroupers as well and can be used as a general guideline to decide which course might favor the strengths of a particular athlete.

But even with the differences between courses affecting the importance of the legs, triathlon is truly a sport of its own: You can only do well if you are great in each of the three legs. The interaction between the disciplines makes triathlon such an interesting sport to follow and to participate in.

Ironman Brasil (May 27th) – Seedings

IMBra_LogoThe third of the Regional Championships is coming up – lots of Kona points, decent prize money and automatic qualifying spots for the two winners have attracted strong fields.

Update May 12th: Based on the latest startlist I added bib for Mareen Hufe, added Felipe Manente, and removed Alicia Kaye.

Update May 23rd: I’ve added a detailed preview for the Men’s Race.

Update May 25th: There’s also a detailed preview for the Female Race.

Update May 27th: Laurel Wassner won’t be racing Brasil, she’s now targeting one of the European Ironman races.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Olaf Sabatschus (GER) 08:50:37 Joanna Zeiger (USA) 09:31:43
2006 Oscar Galindez (ARG) 08:15:19 Lisbeth Kristensen (DEN) 09:20:47
2007 Oscar Galindez (ARG) 08:21:09 Nina Kraft (GER) 09:12:40
2008 Eduardo Sturla (ARG) 08:28:24 Fernanda Keller (BRA) 09:42:50
2009 Eduardo Sturla (ARG) 08:13:39 Dede Griesbauer (USA) 09:10:15
2010 Luke McKenzie (AUS) 08:07:38 Tereza Macel (CZE) 09:19:12
2011 Eduardo Sturla (ARG) 08:13:12 Amy Marsh (USA) 09:07:49
2012 Ezequiel Morales (ARG) 08:22:40 Sofie Goos (BEL) 09:17:42
2013 Timothy O’Donnell (USA) 08:01:32 Amanda Stevens (USA) 09:05:53
2014 Igor Amorelli (BRA) 08:07:54 Sara Gross (CAN) 08:56:35
2015 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 07:53:44 Ariane Monticeli (BRA) 08:59:08
2016 Brent McMahon (CAN) 07:46:10 Elizabeth Lyles (USA) 08:54:10

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Brent McMahon CAN 00:47:47 04:11:54 02:42:52 07:46:10
2 Tim Don GBR 00:47:49 04:22:01 02:50:27 08:04:15
3 Kevin Collington USA 00:47:58 04:23:48 02:48:48 08:04:58

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Elizabeth Lyles USA 00:56:52 04:48:37 03:03:48 08:54:10
2 Mareen Hufe GER 01:01:22 04:51:32 03:11:02 09:09:36
3 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 01:01:26 05:00:36 03:08:54 09:15:52

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:46:10 Brent McMahon 2016-05-29
Swim overall 00:42:26 Luke McKenzie 2010-05-30
Bike overall 04:11:23 Marino Vanhoenacker 2015-05-31
Run overall 02:42:52 Brent McMahon 2016-05-29
Total female 08:54:10 Elizabeth Lyles 2016-05-29
Swim female 00:45:48 Dede Griesbauer 2010-05-30
Bike female 04:46:38 Jessie Donavan 2014-05-25
Run female 02:56:28 Ariane Monticeli 2015-05-31

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Brasil is 21:43.

Race Adjustments for IM Brasil

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 26:07 02:15 07:01 04:41 37 26:07 02:15 07:01 04:41
2007 19:38 00:14 07:38 03:25 40 22:52 01:15 07:19 04:03
2008 13:11 -06:09 14:07 -00:36 45 19:38 -01:13 09:35 02:30
2009 22:14 00:15 11:28 04:42 39 20:17 -00:51 10:03 03:03
2010 26:28 04:18 09:25 00:26 42 21:32 00:11 09:56 02:32
2011 25:42 n/a n/a n/a 29 22:13 00:11 09:56 02:32
2012 20:18 02:37 22:28 -05:16 32 21:57 00:35 12:01 01:14
2013 18:33 02:57 17:03 03:13 41 of 45 21:31 00:55 12:44 01:31
2014 26:59 00:48 22:40 04:39 34 of 40 22:08 00:54 13:59 01:54
2015 21:31 00:23 19:50 05:47 33 of 47 22:04 00:51 14:38 02:20
2016 18:17 -00:21 18:20 03:49 27 of 39 21:43 00:44 15:00 02:29

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Brasil is a P-4000 race. It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$.

Estimated Time Plan

The following table shows the time plan for the race start and the estimated times for the first athlete in the transition zones or across the finish line. The estimates are based on the start time and my time estimates, these times can change based on how fast or slow the race ends up:

What Est. Racetime Est. Local Time
Male Pro Start 06:45
Female Pro Start 06:50
Age Group Wave Start 07:05 – 07:35
First Male in T1  0:46  7:31
First Female in T1  0:48  7:38
First Male in T2  5:05  11:50
First Female in T2  5:51  12:41 pm
Male Winner  7:50  2:35pm
Female Winner  8:55  3:45 pm

Florianopolis is on Brasilia Time, 3 hours behind UTC. Here are the conversions to a few other time zones:

  • + 13 hours: Sydney (AEST), race starts at 7:45pm
  • + 5: Central Europe (CEST), race starts at 11:45am
  • +4  hours: United Kingdom (BST), race starts at 10:45am
  • – 1 hour: US East Coast (EDT), race starts at 5:45am
  • – 4 hours: US West Coast (PDT), race starts at 2:45am

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 29% of a typical Kona field.

Ty Butterfield is safe for Kona after his third place in Texas and unlikely to race. I have put his name in brackets as he is still on the official list.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 1 Brent McMahon CAN 07:49:28 08:16:06 00:46:13 04:14:06 02:44:08 80% +0% -20% (7) 4
2 36 Andreas Raelert GER 08:01:19 08:29:46 00:47:53 04:17:39 02:50:47 22% +10% -68% (21) 28
3 2 Tim Don GBR 08:03:14 08:32:43 00:46:27 04:22:01 02:49:46 64% +0% -36% (4) 40
4 6 Ivan Tutukin RUS 08:03:39 08:41:47 00:47:01 04:32:21 02:39:17 43% +0% -57% (2) (75)
(5) 11 (Tyler Butterfield) BMU 08:04:10 08:31:23 00:47:39 04:18:37 02:52:54 37% +32% -30% (14) 34
6 3 Igor Amorelli BRA 08:08:08 08:40:48 00:46:34 04:20:53 02:55:41 28% +17% -54% (14) 70
7 42 Eneko Llanos ESP 08:08:48 08:28:55 00:47:26 04:16:21 03:00:01 92% +0% -8% (29) 26
8 53 Paul Matthews AUS 08:09:04 08:40:04 00:46:09 04:23:22 02:54:32 37% +0% -63% (13) 68
9 8 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 08:09:10 08:33:44 00:48:09 04:23:01 02:53:00 51% +17% -32% (12) 42
10 51 Matt Chrabot USA 08:09:35 08:44:38 00:47:23 04:23:55 02:53:17 8% +34% -58% (5) (82)
11 44 Fabio Carvalho BRA 08:10:16 09:12:33 00:46:45 04:26:57 02:51:33 1% +35% -64% (12) 172
12 54 Pedro Gomes POR 08:14:42 08:35:16 00:51:38 04:27:46 02:50:18 67% +1% -31% (25) 54
13 4 Guilherme Manocchio BRA 08:16:36 08:39:00 00:49:24 04:25:35 02:56:37 66% +18% -16% (13) 63
14 47 Frank Silvestrin BRA 08:21:01 08:56:42 00:48:46 04:32:45 02:54:30 31% +62% -7% (7) 122
15 43 Esben Hovgaard DEN 08:22:10 08:52:12 00:51:20 04:27:07 02:58:43 41% +38% -21% (11) 103
16 50 Mario De Elias ARG 08:22:58 08:54:17 00:50:26 04:33:23 02:54:09 32% +38% -30% (8) 110
17 48 Luis Henrique Ohde BRA 08:23:59 08:53:20 00:46:59 04:34:39 02:57:21 100% +0% -0% (2) (109)
18 37 Barrett Brandon USA 08:25:09 08:49:18 00:46:22 04:33:37 03:00:10 63% +0% -37% (8) 95
19 5 Harry Wiltshire GBR 08:27:06 09:02:07 00:46:39 04:34:50 03:00:37 31% +20% -49% (20) 145
20 56 Reinaldo Colucci BRA 08:27:17 08:52:55 00:47:47 04:27:28 03:07:02 89% +11% -0% (6) (106)
21 55 Philipp Koutny * SUI 08:28:23 09:00:58 00:50:06 04:28:54 03:04:23 26% +0% -74% (4) (142)
22 10 Thiago Vinhal BRA 08:29:37 09:00:08 00:47:54 04:40:47 02:55:57 72% +18% -10% (12) 136
23 58 Sylvain Sudrie FRA 08:29:53 09:04:38 00:49:06 04:33:24 03:02:23 53% +0% -47% (2) (153)
24 52 Patrick Evoe USA 08:35:20 09:00:50 00:54:36 04:29:39 03:06:05 77% +4% -20% (25) 140
25 46 Fellipe Santos BRA 08:45:12 09:22:23 00:47:36 04:45:47 03:06:49 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (201)
(25) 61 Felipe De Oliveira Manente BRA 08:54:11 09:37:13 00:52:17 04:44:33 03:12:21 18% +7% -75% (8) (237)
26 49 Luiz Francisco Paiva Ferreira BRA 09:19:45 09:57:54 00:45:25 04:41:39 03:47:41 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (273)
27 39 Christian Carletto ARG 09:19:57 09:51:24 00:56:19 04:57:47 03:20:51 92% +8% -0% (9) 261
28 38 Bruno Matheus BRA 09:31:37 10:10:34 00:49:22 05:06:43 03:30:32 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (280)
29 7 Josef Svoboda CZE 11:00:33 11:51:37 01:14:31 05:36:55 04:04:06 54% +18% -28% (16) 299
40 Diego Vasquez ECU n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
41 Eduardo Diaz ARG n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
45 Felipe Van de Wyngard CHI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
57 Rodrigo Sanchez ARG n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
59 Vinicius Canhedo BRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note:Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 24% of a typical Kona field.

There are some questions about the start list as published by Ironman. Therefore I have included Mareen Hufe in my calculations as I’m aware that she fully intends to race and was included in earlier versions of the entry list. Alicia Kaye is safe for Kona after her fourth place in Texas and unlikely to race another full IM before Kona. I have put Alicia’s name in brackets as she is still on the official list.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 35 Susie Cheetham GBR 08:54:32 09:14:17 00:53:30 04:53:31 03:02:32 78% +0% -22% (6) 6
2 29 Linsey Corbin USA 08:56:41 09:18:58 00:56:53 04:52:16 03:02:32 89% +11% -0% (21) 10
3 60 Mareen Hufe GER 09:05:07 09:30:03 00:59:20 04:47:17 03:13:30 76% +15% -8% (23) 28
4 34 Sonja Tajsich GER 09:06:36 09:33:03 01:00:46 04:51:26 03:09:24 71% +6% -23% (22) (32)
5 23 Haley Chura USA 09:08:54 09:39:36 00:48:10 04:58:17 03:17:27 64% +14% -22% (9) (43)
6 18 Elisabeth Gruber AUT 09:09:35 09:37:10 01:01:00 04:58:48 03:04:47 94% +6% -0% (8) 37
(7) 12 (Alicia Kaye) USA 09:12:13 09:37:25 00:50:59 04:58:33 03:17:42 59% +41% -0% (3) 38
8 22 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 09:15:17 09:45:05 00:59:51 05:02:27 03:07:59 51% +29% -20% (8) 52
9 28 Laurel Wassner USA 09:16:07 09:44:50 00:53:15 05:07:31 03:10:22 63% +16% -21% (10) 51
10 13 Annah Watkinson ZAF 09:16:24 09:50:26 00:56:54 04:57:00 03:17:30 68% +0% -32% (4) 61
11 17 Celine Schaerer SUI 09:17:45 09:44:26 00:50:12 05:04:19 03:18:13 89% +0% -11% (8) 50
12 27 Kristin Moeller GER 09:18:10 09:48:30 01:01:48 05:11:16 03:00:06 69% +7% -24% (22) 56
13 26 Kirsty Jahn CAN 09:18:13 10:02:13 00:58:01 05:08:33 03:06:40 32% +0% -68% (2) (78)
14 33 Pamela Tastets CHI 09:18:17 09:56:19 00:55:57 05:00:57 03:16:22 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (71)
15 15 Brooke Brown CAN 09:28:25 10:09:10 01:00:56 05:04:09 03:18:20 35% +0% -65% (10) 94
16 31 Mariana Andrade BRA 09:31:52 10:26:31 00:58:26 05:01:42 03:26:44 11% +38% -51% (12) 125
17 32 Nicole Valentine USA 09:40:35 10:22:26 01:03:28 05:18:08 03:14:00 46% +54% -0% (2) (116)
18 24 Jenny Fletcher CAN 09:41:29 10:15:27 00:56:37 05:09:39 03:30:13 100% +0% -0% (2) (107)
19 14 Ashley Paulson USA 09:45:33 10:20:16 01:11:18 05:17:21 03:11:54 69% +0% -31% (4) 113
20 20 Bruna Mahn BRA 09:52:15 10:24:53 00:55:23 05:25:59 03:25:53 46% +54% -0% (2) (122)
21 25 Kate Bruck USA 09:58:20 10:33:25 01:02:10 05:24:14 03:26:57 60% +0% -40% (4) 138
16 Carolina Furriela BRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
19 Erika Simon ARG n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
30 Magali Tisseyre CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Last year’s winner (and course record holder) Brent McMahon is back to defend his title. His prep was not without issues as he needed a procedure on his hand after crashing in SuperLeague and missed some swimming. Still he’s the clear favorite. Still he faces strong competition, most notably by Tim Don, Kyle Buckingham and German veteran Andreas Raelert who is hopefully fully recovered from the injuries that led to his Kona DNF.

  • Brent McMahon: 49% (1-1)
  • Tyler Butterfield: 17% (5-1)
  • Tim Don: 9% (10-1)
  • Kyle Buckingham: 7% (14-1)
  • Andreas Raelert: 6% (17-1)
  • Igor Amorelli: 3% (28-1)
  • Fabio Carvalho: 3% (37-1)

In the paragraph above I have not mentioned Tyler Butterfield as he is already safe for Kona (after finishing third in Texas) and therefore unlikely to race. Removing him from the participants would increase Brent McMahon’s winning chances to 54% and slightly increase everybody else’s chances.

Female Race Participants

The female race does not have a clear favorite as with Linsey Corbin and Susie Cheetham there are two athletes from my overall Top 10. The odds slightly favor Linsey, the expected time sees Susie slightly ahead – hard to pick a frontrunner at this point. But there are a few more athletes that will make this race interesting to follow: Mareen Hufe has been slowly improving and seems to be ready to finally win an Ironman race after six second places so far (including her three last IMs and IM Brasil 2016). Sonja Tajsich is back to racing after giving birth to her second daughter Julia. And Haley Chura has recovered from injuries, raced well in her 70.3 races this year and just loves racing in Brasil!

  • Linsey Corbin: 33% (2-1)
  • Susie Cheetham: 28% (3-1)
  • Mareen Hufe: 19% (4-1)
  • Haley Chura: 9% (10-1)
  • Laurel Wassner: 4% (23-1)
  • Sonja Tajsich: 4% (27-1)
  • Elisabeth Gruber: 2% (65-1)

Kona Qualifying Situation

As IM Brasil is a Regional Championship and there is Automatic Qualifier spots for the winners, every participant has a chance to qualify for Kona. Also the P-4000 race has a lot of KPR points so there are a lot of athletes that should be able to qualify even without winning the race. Here are the minimum finishes for most of the participants.

Male Race Participants

The male cutoff for July is projected to be around 3.500 points.

  • 10th or better (at least 685 points): Kyle Buckingham
  • 9th (855 points) or better: Brent McMahon, Harry Wiltshire
  • 8th (1070 points) or better: Tim Don
  • 6th (1670 points) or better: Patrick Evoe
  • 5th (2090 points) or better: Ivan Tutukin, Thiago Vinhal
  • 4th (2455 points) or better: Esben Hovgaard, Igor Amorelli, Mario de Elias
  • 3rd (2890 points) or better: Guilherme Manocchio, Renaldo Colucci, Felipe Van de Wyngard, Matt Chrabot

Female Race Participants

The female cutoff is likely to be around 4.300 points.

  • 9th (855 points) or better: Susie Cheetham
  • 8th (1070 points) or better: Mareen Hufe
  • 6th (1670 points) or better: Celine Schärer, Linsey Corbin
  • 5th (2090 points) or better: Gurutze Frades, Lisi Gruber
  • 3rd (2890 points) or better: Annah Watkinson, Pamela Tastets

Detailed Men’s Preview

In the past few years there have often been discussion how much drafting has influenced the Brasil results and finishing times. The course is very fast, but there have been years when large groups formed that the referees were not able to break up. Last year’s winner Brent McMahon avoided any drafting discussion by winning the race from the front. He built a solid lead on the bike and ended up posting a very fast new course record of 7:46:10.

McMahon

Photo: Brent leading a group of cyclists in the bike leg in Kona. (Credit: Jay Prasuhn)

Brent returns this year to defend his title and is the clear favorite for the South American Regional Championships. His preparation did not go completely according to plan: He hurt his hand in mid-March when racing SuperLeague and needed surgery. He had to take three weeks off from swim training, but was able to return to racing ahead of schedule with a 6th place at St. George in early May. He seems to be ready for a solid race in Florianopolis. He still needs some points for Kona, but a 9th place gives him quite a lot of “buffer” and it’s unlikely that he’ll “just play it safe”.

Don

Last year’s second place finisher was Tim Don. Tim is mostly racing 70.3s and is always placing very well: His 2017 results include two wins at 70.3 Campeche and 70.3 Liuzhou and 4th place at 70.3 St. George. An eighth place finish should be sufficient for him to qualify for Kona, and even if placing really well in Brasil is probably not his main goal I’m sure he wouldn’t mind winning the race. In order to do that when Brent is racing well, Tim will need to step up his bike performance and try to stick with Brent on the bike and also on the run. I don’t think he’ll risk completely blowing, it’s more likely that he’ll be racing his own race and finish on the podium but probably not on the top spot.

Photo: Tim running towards a 15th place finish at Kona 2015. (Credit: Jay Prasuhn)

While I’m reasonably sure that Tim is going to have a solid race, there is more doubt about Andreas Raelert. Andy’s last longer race was in Kona after an injury-plagued 2016 season that saw him qualify in the last possible race –  probably at a time when wasn’t completely healthy, resulting in a disappointing DNF.

Raelert

Photo: Andy on the bike at Kona 2015 where he was able to finish in second place. (Credit: Jay Prasuhn)

Andy has taken extra time during the winter to get healthy again, his fifth place at the shorter Cannes triathlon seems to indicate he’s back to running well. But Brasil is his first IM after the injury and he won’t know at what level he is until very late in the race. Even as a 40-year old he still targets a top finish in Kona, but he starts this season with zero Kona points. In order to have a shot at qualifying he needs a podium result, so he’ll have to be racing aggressively. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him try to bridge up to Brent and challenge him for the win – but his race could also end on the bike when his injury flares up again.

Another 40-year old athlete is Spaniard Eneko Llanos. He is always in a decent position in T2, but in his last long distance races he struggled to have a solid run and that’s required to place well in big Ironman races these days. A 3:11 run in South Africa saw him finish in 14th place, he’ll be looking for some Kona points in Florianopolis. Kyle Buckingham finished fourth at IM South Africa and is in a much better position for Kona Qualifying, just a Top 10 result should be enough for him to secure a July slot which is certainly an attainable goal for him. Matt Chrabot and Pedro Gomes will have to be on the podium for a reasonable chance to qualify – while unlikely it’s not impossible for them.

The Brazilian hopes will be riding on Igor Amorelli. Igor has won IM Brasil in 2014 and is an athlete with a good swim-bike combo. He won’t be too far back in T2, but he’ll have to run close to his marathon PR of 2:49 if he wants to finish on the podium. If he wants to qualify for Kona, he’ll need to finish fourth or better. Fabio Carvalho is a strong swimmer, if he can limit the time he looses on the bike his good run could see him finish in a similar position to last year when he was sixth and top Brazilian. But he’s also has had some explosions on the run, so it’s hard to predict where he’ll finish. Another Brazilian athlete to watch is Thiago Vinhal. A fifth place should be enough for him to qualify for Kona – and as far as I know he’d be the first African American athlete to do so.

There are a couple of great swimmers in the field: Luiz Franciso Paiva could be leading the field early on in his second Pro Ironman. The more established Barrett Brandon could also be the fastest swimmer, or Kona swim leader Harry Wiltshire. But “winning the swim” is probably the highlight of their race day – most of the overall contenders won’t be too far behind and will quickly take control of the race once on the bike..

Likely Race Development: Brent will enter T1 with the front group and will quickly take the lead on the bike, eventually entering T2 with a gap of at least three but even more likely five minutes to his chasers. He’ll likely extend the lead on the run, winning the race and posting another sub-8 finish. Last year there was a big chase group behind Brent, and that a likely scenario for this year as well. With Tim in that group, he’s the most likely candidate for second place even if Andy has a good swim and manages to be part of the chase group. I’m not sure if he thinks his run will be good enough to secure second place from within the group, so he could try to break up the chase group and make things interesting. But there are about eight podium candidates, so the race will be very close until the end, even if the main question is probably who will join Brent for the champagne ceremony.

Detailed Women’s Preview

A couple of years ago, the Female Pro race in Brazil was pretty difficult for the participants: The Pros started at the same time as the agegroupers which often resulted in the leading women racing in the middle of the fastest agegroupers. When bigger groups formed, it was tough not to be sucked into drafting – there is a limit to how often you sit up to let a group of drafting males pass. Things have improved since the Pros have their own start and the agegroupers start at least 15 minutes behind the Pro women. Extra diligence by the referees ensures that most of the females Pros can ride without any “cross-pollination” from faster agegroup racers. And while the male Pros often have similar strengths and therefore ride in closer proximity, there is a bit more variation among the female Pros. In short, the WPRO race has become a lot fairer than around 2010. Hopefully, this will be the case this year as well!

Susie

My top pick for IM Brasil is Susie Cheetham. Susie entered the Pro scene in 2015 with a third place at IM South Africa and a sixth place in Kona. 2016 was an up-and-down year for her: At the start of the season she crashed in 70.3 South Africa, breaking her elbow (but still finished). She need surgery to insert a wire and she had a lot of bike sessions on the trainer to get in shape for IM South Africa where she was probably racing “above her fitness” and took second place. Afterwards she needed some extra time for recovery and only raced a couple of 70.3s over the summer. She felt she was in great shape for Kona but early on the bike she sustained a muscle injury and couldn’t put out any power. A DNF was the unfortunate consequence.

Her first 2017 races show that she has left the injury behind her: A second place at 70.3 South Africa was followed by an Ironman PR at IM South Africa – still “only” good for a third place. This put her on a good track for Kona qualifying, but she still needs another good race. She decided to not wait too long to secure Kona qualifying – IM Brasil is just eight weeks later. “Not too short a gap so that you’re too tired from the last Ironman but also not too long so that you can’t hold onto and build on the fitness from the previous block of training and the race itself. I’ve put in some really good sessions and tested myself against targets that show I’m in good shape. I go into the race knowing I’ve prepared well and I’m in a good place.”  Winning the race, running sub-3 or going sub-9 “would be incredible. I was close in South Africa so it’s certainly a possibility but it’s not my focus. First goal is to qualify, after that it’s to improve on my performance in South Africa.”

Photo: Susie winning 70.3 Dublin. (Credit: Getty for Ironman)

On paper Susie’s biggest challenge for the win can be expected from Linsey Corbin. Linsey, one of the most consistent Kona racers, struggled with a series of injuries in 2015.

Linsey

She has raced a number of 70.3s in 2016, and her two Ironman races (second at IM Cairns and 13th in Kona) were superb performances, even if “just short” of a win or Kona Top 10 that sponsors will be looking for. This year, she’d like to add a sixth Ironman title to her resume and has chosen to race IM Brasil “as my fitness is coming along nicely”. Her secondary goal is qualifying for Kona. While a win would take care of both of these goals, her “B goal” is likely a Top 5 finish which should give her enough points for a slot.

Photo: Linsey on the bike in Kona 2014. (Credit: Jay Prasuhn)

Mareen

Third in my seedings is Mareen Hufe. She has had so many “almost” results that it’s hard to keep track: She was second in six Ironman races (including last year at IM Brasil) and also had a great 2015 Kona race .. except for that last few k on the run when she fell back from 8th place to an eventual 21st place finish. Mareen had to skip Kona 2016 when a niggle kept from doing decent run training, but she ended her 2016 season with two great second places (what else?) at IM Malaysia and IM Western Australia where she also went sub-9 for the first time. Mareen is one of the strongest female bike riders, but she has also improved on the run and seems to be “due” for a breakthrough performance.

Photo: Mareen on the run at IM Brasil 2015. (Credit: Private photo from Mareen)

HaleyHaley Chura is another athlete that has had her share of injury woes. After winning the Brazilian Ironman in Fortaleza in 2014 (the only time it was a Pro race), she qualified early for Kona 2015. In one of her final bike sessions before flying to the Big Island she was hit by a car and suffered injuries that nearly kept her from starting in Kona. She was able to finish the swim but then DNF’d on the bike. After she was waiting for some time for the injuries to heal, things did not get any better – until it was finally discovered that she had a broken fibula. Since returning to racing in the summer of 2016, she has been consistently getting stronger on the 70.3 distance. A third place at the 2017 season opener in Pucon was the first run in a long time where she felt strong , and she followed that up with a win at 70.3 Buenos Aires by making up six minutes on the run. IM Brasil is her first IM in two years, but her recent results indicate that she’s in a better shape than she’s been in the past.

Photo: Haley on the run at IM Fortaleza. (Credit: MundoTri)

These four athletes – Susie, Linsey, Mareen and Haley, are solid, experienced athletes that can be predicted with reasonable confidence. Two more athletes could also be in the mix but are much harder to predict: Sonja Tajsich‘s last international race was two years ago when she qualified for Kona with a third place at IM Copenhagen. However she suffered a stress fracture late in the run and was forced to decline her slot. A few weeks later she announced that she was pregnant. Since giving birth to her second daughter Julia she has done a few smaller races in Germany, but IM Brasil is a big step up and it’s unclear what she’ll be able to do after going hard for seven or eight hours. Another “unknown on the full distance” is Canadian Magali Tisseire who is stepping up to the long distance in Florianopolis. Coming from the excellent results in 70.3 races the main question for her will be if she’s patient enough to save enough energy for the last hour on the run when the final order will be decided.

As is typical for a field in a Regional Championship there is also a large group of good athletes that can finish on the podium on the right day. Examples include Gurutze Frades, a strong runner who was third at last year’s IM Brasil and fifth in South Africa 2017. Lisi Gruber is a member of Siri Lindley’s training group, she was second in Barcelona at the end of last year. Annah Watkinson was third in Barcelona, she had a frustrating DNF in her “home IM” in South Africa and will be very motivated to have a better result in Brasil. Kristin Moeller is another strong runner, she often looses a lot of time on the swim and bike but is able to consistently run under three hours. Laurel Wassner has managed to qualify for Kona a couple of times in the past years.

The Brazilian hopes were riding on 2015 champion Ariane Monticelli, but she has had a serious training accident and is unable to race. All the best wishes to her for a full recovery! Mariana Andrade, Bruna Mahn and Carolina Furriela (doing her first IM after some success on the half distance) will probably be happy if they manage to finish “in the money” by claiming a spot in the Top 10.

Likely Race Development: There can’t be many doubts that Haley Chura, consistently one of the best Ironman swimmers, is going to lead the race in T1. It’ll be interesting to see how large the time gaps to the other main contenders are going to be – the expected gaps are five minutes to Susie, about eight minutes to Linsey and eleven minutes to Mareen. The capabilities on the bike are exactly reversed: Mareen should be the fastest on the bike, nominally overtaking Linsey and Susie and almost closing the gap to Haley. It’ll be interesting to see how Mareen paces the bike (in Western Australia she had a very strong second half of the bike) and if Linsey and Susie will try to go with her. We may very well have all four top contenders enter T2 in just a minute or two. Susie and Linsey have the exact same expected time for the run, it would be an awesome run duel if they start the run within sight of each other. Mareen would need a gap to these two great runners to have a shot at winning the race, but she’s worked hard to improve her run so I don’t think that Susie and Linsey should feel confident to catch her unless she is within five minutes of them. Nominally, Haley is the weakest runner of the four, but she has also made improvements on the run and if things go right for her she should set a new marathon PR (currently 3:15 from her win at Fortaleza). Adding in the “wild cards” of Sonja and Magali into the mix of these four, the female race promises to be a constant back and forth among the athletes – and very hard to predict who will end up on top and on the podium.

Ironman Boulder (June 11th) – Entry List

After a two-year break, IM Boulder is again contested with a Pro field. The race seems to be a popular choice for a lot of local (or at least US-based) athletes as a validation race (Heather Jackson or Tim O’Donnell) or backup race (Tim Don who is on the start list for IM Brasil two weeks before). But it is also a popular choice as an “A Race”, for example Rachel Joyce has chose Boulder as her comeback race on the full distance.

Male Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Timothy O’Donnell USA 5525 1+2 (4725/400)
Tyler Butterfield BMU 4040 1+2 (2890/435)
Tim Don GBR 2515 0+2 (0/920)
Chris Leiferman USA 2420 1+2 (1280/500)
Leon Griffin AUS 2025 1+2 (1335/345)
Patrick Evoe USA 1828 2+1
Justin Daerr USA 825 1+2 (720/30)
Jozsef Major HUN 810 2+0
Matt Chrabot USA 665 0+2 (0/25)
Mike Schifferle SUI 525 2+0
Kennett Peterson USA 255 0+2 (0/115)
Colin Laughery USA 248 3+0 (3/0)
Sam Long USA 165 1+2 (30/35)
Tripp Hipple USA 160 1+2 (60/45)
Jarrod Shoemaker USA 134 2+2 (5/1)
Patrick Mckeon USA 65 0+2 (0/15)
Christopher Bagg USA 35 0+1
Steven Zawaski USA 20 0+2 (0/10)
Max Biessmann USA 4 0+2 (0/1)
Robert Wade IRL 1 0+1

Female Race Participants

Name Nation KPR points KPR races
Heather Jackson USA 7415 1+2 (6480/435)
Darbi Roberts USA 2755 3+0 (215/0)
Danielle Mack USA 2170 2+0
Kelly Williamson USA 1980 2+2 (305/100)
Rachel Joyce GBR 1140 0+2 (0/220)
Jessica Jones Meyers USA 455 0+2 (0/135)
Mackenzie Madison USA 200 2+0
Uli Bromme USA 195 0+1
Maggie Rusch USA 65 0+2 (0/30)
Amy Vantassel USA 30 0+1
Sarah Bay USA 8 1+1
Kate Bruck USA    
Carla Schubiger SUI    

Ironman Australia 2017 – Analyzing Results

Race Conditions

Conditions in Port Macquarie seemed to be quite normal this year, the adjustment of of 8:37 was only a bit faster than the new course rating of 6:54, but it was still almost ten minutes quicker than the last two years.

Men’s winner David Dellow improved the course record set by Tim Reed only one year ago even if by just about one minute.

Male Race Results

As expected Clayton Fettell led the race into T2 – and similar to last year he was again run down by David Dellow and Tim Reed. This year David had the fastest run, his 2:47 marathon just missed the run course record set by Tim Berkel in 2012 by 21 seconds. Still, David won the race in a new course record and with a gap of more than seven minutes over Tim. Clayton hang on for this place, producing the same podium as last year just in a slightly different order.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 David Dellow AUS 00:49:13 04:34:31 02:47:41 08:15:36 -01:53 US$ 8,000 2000
2 Tim Reed AUS 00:49:11 04:34:33 02:54:42 08:22:43 01:44 US$ 4,000 1600
3 Clayton Fettell AUS 00:45:19 04:30:40 03:10:26 08:30:03 -04:24 US$ 3,000 1280
4 Michael Fox AUS 00:45:23 04:46:25 02:57:02 08:32:15 04:59 US$ 2,500 960
5 Chris McDonald AUS 00:50:22 04:44:27 02:57:21 08:35:54 00:29 US$ 1,500 720
6 Paul Ambrose AUS 00:49:08 04:43:25 03:10:42 08:47:03 13:10 US$ 1,000 540
7 Nathan Shearer AUS 00:55:28 05:11:17 03:15:43 09:26:24 n/a 405
8 Carl Read NZL 00:52:10 05:45:19 03:04:58 09:49:38 56:24 305
9 Daniel Brown AUS 01:03:39 05:43:49 03:51:59 10:47:52 -14:11 230
Nick Baldwin SEY 00:49:07 04:42:38 DNF

Female Race Results

Karen Thibodeau had the fastest swim, but it didn’t take long for Laura Siddall to take control of the race on the bike, building a lead of 17 minutes into T2. Laura also had the strongest run of the day, with a 3:13 marathon she won her first Ironman race. Second place went to Michelle Gailey, returning to racing after a break of two years. Jessica Mitchell had the best race relative to her previous results – she was more than twenty minutes quicker than expected and finished in third place.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money KPR Points
1 Laura Siddall GBR 00:56:34 05:03:14 03:13:05 09:16:39 -01:20 US$ 8,000 2000
2 Michelle Gailey AUS 00:55:43 05:21:57 03:21:53 09:44:16 -01:23 US$ 4,000 1600
3 Jessica Mitchell AUS 01:01:29 05:23:44 03:22:18 09:53:49 -23:42 US$ 3,000 1280
4 Karen Thibodeau CAN 00:52:25 05:32:56 03:44:48 10:14:46 32:44 US$ 2,500 960
5 Jessica Richards AUS 01:05:59 05:24:12 04:53:26 11:28:45 56:25 US$ 1,500 720

Kona Qualifying

Two athletes secured their Kona slots: Tim Reed (just needed a decent validation race after winner 70.3 World Champs) and Laura Siddall (already being close, and adding 2.000 points for the win was more than enough for a slot) can now plan for the summer and October racing.

David Dellow (now at 2.520 points) is still short of the projected cutoff of 3.500 points, but one more good result (maybe in Cairns?) can put him over the threshold.

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