Ironman Mallorca 2016 (Sept 24th) – Predictions

Thanks to Jocelyn McCauley, here’s the sign-in sheet from the Pro Meeting:

Mallorca SignIn

This is not necessarily complete, but those that signed will definitely want to race on Sunday. (However, Till Schramm and Diana Riesler are no longer on the sign-in sheet so I crossed them out in the lists below.)

Previous WinnersIMMallorcaLogo

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2014 Tim Don (GBR) 08:34:02 Eimear Mullan (IRL) 09:24:17
2015 Timo Bracht (GER) 08:17:22 Daniela Saemmler (GER) 09:24:48

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Timo Bracht GER 00:49:57 04:32:16 02:50:59 08:17:22
2 James Cunnama ZAF 00:49:54 04:34:14 02:50:52 08:19:36
3 Alessandro Degasperi ITA 00:51:43 04:37:40 02:49:41 08:23:56

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Daniela Saemmler GER 00:57:29 05:06:28 03:14:44 09:24:48
2 Emma-Kate Lidbury GBR 00:55:11 05:09:30 03:21:11 09:31:49
3 Alexandra Tondeur BEL 00:58:47 05:14:35 03:14:17 09:34:32

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:17:22 Timo Bracht 2015-09-26
Swim overall 00:44:46 Manuel Kueng 2014-09-27
Bike overall 04:32:16 Timo Bracht 2015-09-26
Run overall 02:47:30 Miquel Blanchart Tinto 2014-09-27
Total female 09:24:17 Eimear Mullan 2014-09-27
Swim female 00:49:52 Mette Pettersen Moe 2014-09-27
Bike female 05:04:52 Nina Kuhn 2014-09-27
Run female 03:10:26 Eimear Mullan 2014-09-27

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Mallorca is 05:31.

Race Adjustments for IM Mallorca

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2014 02:50 02:33 01:02 03:10 44 of 58 02:50 02:33 01:02 03:10
2015 08:13 -01:13 08:32 02:31 26 of 39 05:31 00:40 04:47 02:50

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Mallorca is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 50.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 2 Markus Fachbach GER 08:32:10 08:42:16 00:49:16 04:37:28 03:00:25 61% +0% -39% (18) (66)
2 7 Konstantin Bachor GER 08:32:36 08:50:22 00:49:05 04:31:08 03:07:24 49% +9% -42% (10) (95)
3 29 Horst Reichel GER 08:34:45 09:05:54 00:48:23 04:40:45 03:00:37 6% +16% -79% (16) (153)
4 1 Marcel Zamora ESP 08:38:17 08:40:55 00:51:05 04:46:45 02:55:28 97% +0% -3% (13) (59)
5 42 Ritchie Nicholls GBR 08:38:19 08:58:34 00:50:11 04:53:31 02:49:37 47% +0% -53% (4) (121)
6 48 Trevor Delsaut FRA 08:40:57 08:46:42 00:53:12 04:46:33 02:56:13 47% +9% -44% (23) 83
7 14 Herve Faure FRA 08:41:59 08:50:23 00:50:53 04:43:17 03:02:49 45% +0% -55% (8) (95)
8 12 Roman Deisenhofer GER 08:43:21 08:59:36 00:52:25 04:37:36 03:08:20 27% +73% -0% (5) 125
9 30 Michael Ruenz GER 08:45:09 08:53:01 00:54:59 04:48:51 02:56:19 63% +0% -37% (8) 100
10 26 Matic Modic SLO 08:45:58 08:58:03 00:54:47 04:49:17 02:56:53 49% +43% -8% (8) 120
11 3 Carlos Lopez Diaz ESP 08:46:16 09:05:53 00:46:51 04:46:15 03:08:10 26% +13% -61% (6) 152
12 34 Erik-Simon Strijk NED 08:46:20 08:53:46 00:52:39 04:45:47 03:02:55 96% +4% -0% (7) 101
13 32 Alexander Schilling GER 08:47:10 09:03:20 00:46:39 04:49:44 03:05:48 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (138)
14 36 Darby Thomas FIN 08:47:35 08:56:34 00:58:33 04:44:41 02:59:21 48% +7% -45% (8) 114
15 44 Samuel Huerzeler SUI 08:54:52 09:08:50 00:52:29 04:54:02 03:03:21 68% +32% -0% (6) 160
16 43 Mike Schifferle SUI 08:56:40 09:03:07 00:59:35 04:47:20 03:04:45 89% +8% -3% (60) 137
17 25 Tomas Mika CZE 08:59:16 09:09:20 00:54:00 05:00:23 02:59:52 89% +11% -0% (6) 163
18 4 Michael Van Cleven BEL 09:01:42 09:18:18 00:49:35 04:37:22 03:29:46 61% +0% -39% (2) (190)
19 18 Mikita Hryhoryeu POL 09:03:21 09:15:27 00:51:26 05:00:14 03:06:41 100% +0% -0% (2) (185)
20 9 Bart Borghs BEL 09:03:26 09:20:05 01:00:33 04:58:17 02:59:36 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (196)
21 8 Herve Banti MCO 09:07:39 09:26:06 00:51:33 04:48:31 03:22:35 22% +0% -78% (6) (211)
22 45 Johan Kaerner SWE 09:10:44 09:33:18 00:58:48 04:52:04 03:14:53 38% +0% -62% (2) (229)
23 33 Till Schramm GER 09:12:26 09:30:19 00:56:25 04:55:14 03:15:47 7% +38% -55% (6) 222
24 50 Gustavo Rodriguez ESP 09:14:30 09:26:09 00:53:37 04:58:06 03:17:47 100% +0% -0% (2) (212)
25 24 Michael Louys BEL 09:16:49 09:40:34 01:02:17 04:53:39 03:15:53 52% +8% -41% (11) 245
26 10 Thomas Bosch GER 09:22:43 09:48:40 00:58:51 05:03:34 03:15:18 40% +0% -60% (2) (258)
27 40 Urs Mueller SUI 09:23:09 09:34:41 00:56:13 04:59:00 03:22:55 65% +0% -35% (3) (231)
28 37 Hendrik-Jan Verhaegen BEL 09:24:12 09:33:06 00:57:00 05:01:21 03:20:51 43% +0% -57% (5) (229)
29 49 Guillaume Jeannin FRA 09:27:20 09:50:34 00:50:39 04:56:47 03:34:54 23% +0% -77% (4) (262)
30 19 David Jilek CZE 09:27:32 09:39:13 00:57:46 05:00:17 03:24:28 64% +21% -15% (7) 242
31 28 Sebastian Pedraza ITA 09:33:59 09:23:42 00:55:42 05:00:07 03:33:11 13% +4% -84% (14) 202
32 47 Vincent Depuiset FRA 09:35:52 09:52:53 01:07:21 05:06:48 03:16:44 60% +28% -12% (9) 264
33 13 Rafael Espinar Puig ESP 09:36:56 09:48:59 01:05:33 05:17:33 03:08:49 68% +0% -32% (6) 259
34 41 Alfred Rahm GER 09:41:34 09:56:49 01:03:44 05:08:01 03:24:49 43% +0% -56% (18) 269
35 17 Jan Hron CZE 09:49:04 10:01:13 01:01:29 05:23:49 03:18:46 100% +0% -0% (2) (275)
36 23 Ludovic Le Guellec FRA 09:57:09 10:15:29 01:00:21 05:22:38 03:29:10 59% +4% -38% (21) 283
37 6 Santiago Abad de Agueda ESP 10:30:50 10:56:40 01:03:04 05:24:02 03:58:45 49% +0% -51% (2) (298)
38 11 Simon Brierley SEY 10:42:47 10:49:37 00:59:11 05:25:50 04:12:46 100% +0% -0% (3) 295
39 22 David Krupicka CZE 10:45:48 10:59:26 01:04:22 05:23:12 04:13:14 100% +0% -0% (2) (298)
40 27 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:38:17 12:16:37 01:11:57 05:51:22 04:29:58 30% +23% -47% (36) 302
5 Joan Nadal Clar ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
15 Francisco Fernandez Cortes ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
16 Erik Holmberg SWE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
20 Philipp Koutny SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
21 Alen Kralj SVN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
31 Kevin Rundstadler FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (3) (n/a)
35 Tomas Swift-Metcalfe GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
38 Chris Walker GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
39 Richard Westover GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
46 Hannes Bonami BEL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 53 Diana Riesler GER 09:23:37 09:31:45 00:57:27 05:01:20 03:19:50 46% +14% -40% (18) 31
2 54 Emma Bilham SUI 09:26:59 09:38:59 00:53:57 05:11:41 03:16:21 100% +0% -0% (2) (49)
3 51 Natascha Schmitt GER 09:30:14 09:52:58 00:53:19 05:08:44 03:23:10 25% +42% -33% (6) 72
4 60 Leslie DiMichele Miller USA 09:52:21 10:00:27 00:58:50 05:28:41 03:19:50 100% +0% -0% (3) 89
5 66 Tineke Van den Berg NED 09:56:01 10:10:14 01:04:07 05:14:07 03:32:47 72% +10% -18% (6) 105
6 57 Jocelyn McCauley USA 09:58:35 10:23:05 00:59:01 05:26:49 03:27:44 41% +0% -59% (4) (130)
7 68 Petra Krejcova CZE 10:04:58 10:12:11 01:01:16 05:33:29 03:25:13 100% +0% -0% (3) 108
8 67 Diane Luethi SUI 10:05:23 10:23:56 00:54:15 05:28:04 03:38:04 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (136)
9 61 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 10:06:06 10:14:09 01:12:01 05:20:03 03:29:02 78% +0% -22% (6) 111
10 65 Nicole Woysch GER 10:06:27 10:15:54 01:01:11 05:22:50 03:37:25 44% +2% -53% (23) 113
11 64 Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 10:12:08 10:30:23 00:59:17 05:44:58 03:22:53 25% +0% -75% (5) (144)
12 70 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 10:13:25 10:51:20 01:05:25 05:26:53 03:36:08 45% +0% -55% (2) (160)
13 69 Nina Kuhn GER 10:13:43 10:35:41 01:00:30 05:33:00 03:35:13 62% +0% -38% (2) (153)
14 62 Alena Stevens SVK 10:14:58 10:24:38 01:01:34 05:36:40 03:31:45 65% +23% -12% (5) (136)
15 55 Jessica Ahlund SWE 10:59:23 11:19:35 01:02:13 05:44:12 04:07:58 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (164)
16 63 Deborah Van Gossum BEL 11:00:11 11:23:35 00:54:52 05:40:09 04:20:10 20% +80% -0% (2) (164)
56 Nikki Bartlett GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
58 Lauren Parker AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
59 Sara Svensk SWE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Markus Fachbach: 44% (1-1)
  • Horst Reichel: 25% (3-1)
  • Konstantin Bachor: 17% (5-1)
  • Ritchie Nicholls: 4% (23-1)
  • Trevor Delsaut: 3% (34-1)
  • Roman Deisenhofer: 2% (56-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Diana Riesler: 47% (1-1)
  • Emma Bilham: 19% (4-1) 43% (1-1)
  • Natascha Schmitt: 23% (3-1) 26% (3-1)
  • Leslie DiMichele Miller: 6% (15-1) 15% (6-1)
  • Tineke Van den Berg: 3% (35-1) 5% (17-1)
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