Author Archive | Thorsten

Qualifying for the February 2021 Kona race as a Professional

With all the canceled and rescheduled races that would have carried Kona slots, the Pro qualifying system also needs to adjust – otherwise the fields would be very small and a lot of deserving athletes wouldn’t have a chance to qualify. Andrew Messick, the CEO of Ironman, has sent a Message to Pro athletes on June 30th that outlines the elements of how Pro qualifying for the February race is likely to work. He himself admits that “we have very little insight into what is going to happen in the next few weeks and months”, but outlines the framework for Pro qualifying going forward as “the best we can do at this point”. This post has a closer look at what the implications of Andrew’s outline of what can be expected.

No Validation Required for Automatic Qualifiers

With the formal suspension of Pro qualifying rules for the current qualifying year, Ironman has also waived the requirement of slot validation for Automatic Qualifiers (former Kona winners, the most recent podium, and likely also the 70.3 Champion).

This means that Daniela Ryf, Anne Haug, Lucy Charles and Sarah Crowley can plan for February without needing a previous Ironman finish, as can Patrick Lange, Jan Frodeno and Sebastian Kienle on the men’s side. (Tim O’Donnell is also an AQ, but he had already validated at IM Cozumel.)

It’s not totally clear if that also applies to the 70.3 Champion, but it’s unlikely that Gustav Iden will be interested in preparing to race Kona in February when he has his eyes set on the Olympic Games later in the season.

Slot Allocations to reflect where Pro athletes are

As there are expected to be significant travel restrictions, slots shall be offered where athletes are.

Let’s have a look at where Professional Ironman athletes came from in 2019 and what share of the prize money they have made:

Continent Pros Prize Money
Europe 276 (58,7 %) 1.394.250 $ (56,5 %)
North America 110 (23,4 %) 595.500 $ (24,1 %)
Oceania 45 (9,6 %) 403.250 $ (16,3 %)
South America 24 (5,1 %) 28.750 $ (1,2 %)
Africa 10 (2,1 %) 39.250 $ (1,6 %)
Asia/Pacific 5 (1,1 %) 6.000 $ (0,2 %)

The majority of Pros comes from Europe (about 57%), with North America following in second place. Next is Oceania (mainly Australia and New Zealand), they have made a bigger share of prize money than their share of Pro athletes indicates, for South America it’s just the other way around. Africa and Asia/Pacific are very small compared to the big continents.

What will this mean for Kona Pro slots? In 2019, there were 57 men and 44 women who qualified for Kona. (There are fewer women as some slots are assigned based on the ratio of Pro men and women in a race.) Up to IM New Zealand in March (the last qualifying race before races were canceled because of Covid), 19 women and 20 men had already qualified which would leave between 25 and 37 slots still open. (Have a look at my Kona 2020 page for details.) Let’s apply this number of open slots to the percentages above and see which potential races there are for these slots.

Europe

With 56% of the Pros, this would mean that between 14 and 21 slots would be assigned to the European races.

Currently, the following European Ironman races are planned:

  • September 6th: IM Hamburg
  • September 19th: IM Italy
  • September 20th: IM Austria
  • October 4th: IM Barcelona
  • October 11th: IM France
  • October 11th: IM Vitoria
  • November 7th: IM Portugal

With the exception of Barcelona, all of these are rescheduled races, so it’s six or seven potential races with slots for February 2021. This would mean between two and four slots for each gender would be available in each of these races.

North America

North America has a smaller share of the Pros, roughly 24%. That would still result in about 6 to 9 slots for the North American races.

Currently, the following North American Ironman races are scheduled:

  • September 19th: IM St. George
  • October 17: IM Texas

With St. George as the designated Regional Championships (usually resulting in additional slots), it seems possible that all North American slots are awarded at these two races.

There are additional races that have been planned as qualifiers for the October 2021 race:

  • September 27th: IM Chattanooga
  • November 7th: IM Florida
  • November 22nd: IM Cozumel
  • November 22nd: IM Arizona

Oceania

As noted above, Pros from Oceania have been more successful than their number would indicate, let’s work with a number of 13%. This would result in 3 to 5 slots per gender.

Currently, the following Australian Ironman races are scheduled:

  • September 13th: IM Australia
  • September 27th: IM St. Cairns

Assigning the Oceania slots in these races shouldn’t be a problem. It seems that in order to “make space” on the Pro calendar for these races, 70.3 Sunshine Coast and 70.3 Western Sydney are no longer Pro races.

In addition, there is a 2021 qualifier:

  • December 6th: IM Western Australia

South America

Regardless of which South American quota you want to use, they should receive about one slot.

However, there are currently no Pro races scheduled for South America, IM Brasil has been rescheduled but not as a Pro race. It’s unclear where South American athletes will be able to qualify, especially with all the Corona problems they are currently suffering from, travel restrictions are likely to take some time before being lifted.

In fact, South American Pros have very little earning opportunity after the cancellation of IM Mar del Plata there is no longer a South American Regional Championship, IM Brasil isn’t a Pro race on it’s rescheduled date, and all Professional 70.3s have been canceled as well.

Africa

There aren’t very many African athletes (their quota corresponds to less than one slot), but there is a Pro race scheduled:

  • November 15th: IM South Africa

In the past, this has been a Regional Championship and a popular early season race for a lot of Europeans (unlikely to want to travel to South Africa late in the year), but at least one slot each still seems very likely.

Asia/Pacific

The Asia/Pacific region has had a very low number of Pro IMs for some time, and there aren’t many Professional athletes. Depending on where they are located, they will have to look to European or Australian races if they want to qualify.

In addition, Ironman has been removing all Pro 70.3s from the calendar – probably a mixture of the difficulty of organizing Pro races with a sizable purse in these times and because they have to focus on putting on Pro races in other regions.

Flexible Prize Money and Slot Allocation to payment to field sizes

With all the uncertainties, the prize money and the slots available at a race will be determined relatively close to race date based on the number of Pros who start  race. Andrew says that “we will not know the total prize purse until the race weekend” and that they want to pay deeper into the field to give more Pros a chance to earn some money. A similar approach will be used for the number of Pro slots: According to Andrew a “minimum allocation of slots will apply, with additional slots .. for every X number of athletes”.

While I agree that there needs to be a lot of flexibility, I hope that Ironman is going to “fix” the prize money and the number of slots before race start so that Pros have a better understanding of what they need to be shooting for.

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Overview of the Professional 2020 Long-Distance Season

With the Corona-crisis, a number of long-distance races were impacted. This post shows the Professional long-distance races of the 2020 racing season, indicating whether a race has been rescheduled (a new date has been announced), postponed (no new date announced so far) or even canceled (no alternative date in 2020, this also includes races that have been “moved” to 2021). Also, there are some races that have been rescheduled in 2020 but are not shown the Pro calendar. They are probably going to be held as an AG-only race and I also show them as canceled in this Pro calendar. For Races without an entry in the “Status” column, no new information is available. I hope that in the next weeks I can add a status of “confirmed”, i.e. a race going on as planned.

Status Original Date New Date Race Prize Purse Kona Slots
Rescheduled 29-Mar-20 15-Nov-20 Ironman African Championship – Nelson Mandela Bay $ 150.000 2m+2f+2u
Rescheduled 25-Apr-20 17-Oct-2020 Ironman Texas $ 60.000 1m+1f
Rescheduled 2-May-20 19-Sep-20 Ironman North American Championship – St. George $ 150.000 2m+2f+2u
Rescheduled 3-May-20 13-Sep-20 Ironman Australia $ 40.000 1m+1f+2u
Canceled 23-May-20 Ironman Lanzarote $ 25.000 1m+1f
Canceled 31-May-20 moved to 23-May-21
(originally only a 2020 race)
Ironman Tulsa $ 60.000 1m+1f
Canceled 31-May-20 moved to 8-Nov-20
Pro Race unconfirmed
Ironman Brasil $ 40.000 1m+1f+2u
Rescheduled 07-Jun-20 27-Sep-20 Ironman Asia Pacific Championship – Cairns $ 150.000 2m+2f+2u
Rescheduled 14-Jun-20 11-Oct-20 Ironman France $ 80.000 1m+1f
Canceled 21-Jun-20 Ironman Ireland – WPRO $ 40.000 2f
Rescheduled 21-Jun-20 6-Sep-20 Ironman Hamburg (was planned as MPRO) $ 40.000 2m
Canceled 28-Jun-20 Ironman European Championship – Frankfurt $ 150.000 2m+2f+2u
Canceled 05-Jul-20 Challenge Roth € 62.000
Rescheduled 05-Jul-20 20-Sep-20 Ironman Austria $ 60.000 1m+1f
Postponed 12-Jul-20 Ironman Vitoria-Gasteiz – MPRO $ 40.000 2m
Canceled 12-Jul-20 Ironman Switzerland Thun – WPRO $ 40.000 2f
Canceled 25-Jul-20 17-Oct-20
Pro race unconfirmed
Ironman Santa Rosa – MPRO $ 40.000 2m
Canceled 26-Jul-20 Ironman Lake Placid – WPRO $ 40.000 2f
Canceled 15-Aug-20 Ironman Sweden – WPRO $ 40.000 1f
15-Aug-20 EmbrunMan € 125.000
Canceled 16-Aug-20 Ironman Copenhagen – MPRO $ 40.000 1m
Canceled 23-Aug-20 Ironman Mont Tremblant $ 60.000 1m+1f
Canceled 30-Aug-20 Ironman Canada – Penticton $ 60.000 1m+1f
Canceled 06-Sep-20 Ironman Wales $ 60.000 1m+1f (2021)
12-Sep-20 Challenge Almere
(ITU LD World Champs canceled)
€ 38.000
19-Sep-20 Ironman Italy (was planned as WPRO) $ 40.000 1f (2021)
Postponed 26-Sep-20 moved to 7-Nov-20
Pro Race unconfirmed
Ironman Portugal (was planned as MPRO) $ 40.000 1m (2021)
Rescheduled 10-Oct-20 6-Feb-21 Ironman World Championships – Kona $ 650.000 3m+3f (2021)
07-Nov-20 Ironman Florida  (was planned as WPRO) $ 40.000 2f (2021)
22-Nov-20 Ironman Arizona (was planned as MPRO) $ 40.000 2m (2021)
22-Nov-20 Ironman Cozumel $ 80.000 1m+1f (2021)
6-Dec-20 Ironman Western Australia $ 50.000 1m+1f (2021)
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DailyTriTrivia – Questions

Here are the recent questions of the #DailyTriTrivia series. The questions will be posted in the afternoon (German time) in this post, on Instagram and on Twitter. You can find all the questions and answers (plus some extra details) in the “DailyTriTrivia – Questions and Answers” post.

July 4th: Challenge Roth 2019 was one year ago on Sunday. Who were the male and female Pro winners?

July 3rd: Who are the three fastest males from South America (🇧🇷🇦🇷🇨🇱🇵🇪🇨🇴🇧🇴🇪🇨🇻🇪🇺🇾etc.) on the run🏃 at Ironman Hawaii?

July 2nd: Who are the three fastest British🇬🇧 females on the run🏃‍♀️ at Ironman Hawaii?

July 1st: Who are the three fastest males from New Zealand🇳🇿 on the run🏃 at Ironman Hawaii?

June 30th: Who are the three fastest Australian🇦🇺 male athletes on the bike🚵‍♂️ at Ironman Hawaii?

June 29th: Who are the three fastest Scandinavian🇩🇰🇳🇴🇸🇪🇫🇮🇮🇸 females on the run🏃‍♀️ at Ironman Hawaii?

June 28th: IM France 2019 was one year ago. Who were the male and female Pro winners and why were the times so fast?

June 27th: IM Frankfurt 2019 was one year ago on Sunday. Who were the male and female Pro winners?

June 26th: Who are the three fastest German🇩🇪 female athletes on the bike🚴‍♂️ at Ironman Hawaii?

June 25th: Who are the three fastest Scandinavian males on the run at Ironman Hawaii?

June 24th: Who are the three fastest Canadian🇨🇦 male athletes on the bike at Ironman Hawaii?

June 23rd: Who are the three fastest Australian🇦🇺 female athletes on the run at Ironman Hawaii?

June 22nd: Who are the three fastest US🇺🇸 female athletes on the bike at Ironman Hawaii?

June 21st: Who are the three fastest US🇺🇸 athletes on the run at Ironman Hawaii?

Kona 2020 – Scenarios

With a lot of races getting postponed and/or canceled, I have received questions about how Kona Qualifying will work this year. This post looks at the timelines required before a Kona race and discusses at a few possible scenarios. As time goes by, some of these scenarios may become very hard to implement, resulting in other scenarios becoming more likely. My focus is on Professional racing, but a lot of the scenarios can be applied to age group qualifying as well.

Of course there are still a lot of unknowns at this point around the Corona crisis and when a return to racing will be possible. Also, I don’t have any special insights into organizing races so most of the timelines are my “best guesstimate” of the required time – some of it might be off, but I hope it’s at least a good starting point to discuss the different scenarios.

Baseline: “Almost Normal”

The “Ironman World Championships” in Kona are currently scheduled for Saturday, October 10th. Of course, there are a lot of things that have to happen before race day, here is a look at how an almost normal racing season for 2020 could look like:

Timeline Almost Normal

Working backward from the race date, the following phases can be distinguished:

  • Kona Prep
    The Pros racing in Kona will obviously need some time to prepare for the race, for organizing travel, acclimatizing to the conditions in Hawaii etc. Assuming that qualifying is still going to happen in Ironman-distance races, the final qualifiers will also need some time to recover from their qualifying race. At the same time, there are a lot of things that the race organizer has to take care of.
    In a normal season, this period is about eight weeks.
  • Qualifying
    Usually, qualifying races are happening across the whole year, but with races getting canceled because of the Corona virus, we are obviously looking at a shortened period for Kona 2020 qualifying races. With a period of roughly eight weeks, you should still be able to have a decent geographic distribution. In addition to the regular European and North American races there should also be races in South America (note that IM Brasil has been rescheduled to occur before the normal cutoff on August 23rd) and Asia/Australia (no new dates for IM Australia and IM Cairns; IM Taiwan which was planned as an AG-only race might be another option).
  • Race Prep
    Athletes and race organizers will also need some lead time before having a good race. As for the Kona prep, this time will be needed both for doing the proper training (obviously athletes can’t be “almost race ready” for a prolonged period of time) and for logistics (travel but also getting the required race infrastructure in place). Again, a period of eight weeks sounds reasonable to me. For this phase to start, most of the current “lockdown” restrictions (including re-opened swimming pools and the ability for unrestricted travel) will have to have already been lifted for almost all athletes and regions (or at least a firm short-term date is in place).

When you “stack” these phases after each other for a Kona race date on October 10th, you end up with a start date for the Race Prep period at roughly mid-April.

All of these periods may be shortened a bit, but at some point things will start to break down. For example, having a final qualifying Ironman four weeks before Kona creates an uneven playing field between those that qualified early (for example, late 2019) and can take all the time to prepare and those still having to qualify that late. If you shorten the qualifying period too much, athletes will only have a single shot to qualify as it becomes difficult to prepare well for two qualifying races, and there may be a huge number of slots per race if the number of races shrinks much further.

Let’s have a closer look at the slots for this baseline scenario. At the time I’m writing this post, there are roughly 60 unassigned Pro slots (check out my post on the Kona 2020 Pro field). Starting with IM Austria on July 5th and ending with the planned cutoff on August 23rd at IM Mont Tremblant there is a total of eight Professional races (even if some of them have been planned as single-gender races). When adding IM Brasil (scheduled on the cutoff weekend) and a potential race in Australia/Asia, there could be a total of ten Pro races. That would result in three per gender in each of theses – something that could still be handled by the existing qualifying system. There are a few more races for the agegroupers (IM UK, IM Santa Rosa, IM Tallinn, IM Finland). According to Russel Cox there are roughly 1.400 slots still open, with 14 races that would result in 100 slots per race on average – a pretty large number but also completely workable with the existing system.

Regardless of how the 2020 slots are determined, there will have to be modifications for 2021 qualifying. At this time, there are already races with 18 2020 slots that have been moved into the 2021 qualifying period, plus another 10 slots from races without a new date. There will be a similar problem for agegroupers, at least 250 and potentially 450 slots may have been shifted to from 2020 to 2021. It’s unlikely that the Kona course will be able to handle these additional athletes, so changes for the slot allocation for 2021 are likely. It’s unlikely that there are going to firm announcements from Ironman until the exact number of slots that have shifted are know, and that will only be known when racing is able to restart.

Modifications

As stated above, there are a lot of unknowns at the writing of this post (end of March), and it’s unlikely that we are going to be in an “almost normal” state by mid- or even end-April that would allow athletes a proper race prep period.

Here are a few modifications of the “baseline” discussed above:

  • Condensed Periods
    As discussed above, there is a limit as to how much you can condense the periods without creating an impossible or unfair race in Kona. The most extreme version I can think of is to “squish” them down to maybe four weeks. With the qualifying period this short, you can’t assign the Kona slots in a full-distance race and have to offer Pro Kona slots in 70.3s – something that Ironman hasn’t done for quite some time. For this condensed timeline, a “start signal” may come as late as at the end of June.
  • No Qualifying
    If the time is running out to have qualifying races, you could assign the remaining slots using another system. (Of course, the athletes already qualified should be on the Kona 2020 start line.) One suggestion would be the PTO World Rankings, maybe requiring at least score from an Ironman race, another idea (probably more likely) is to apply the old KPR points system to the results between March/April 2019 and the last races in mid-March 2020 so you have a full season of racing that counts for qualifying.
    While this could work for the Pros, I’m not sure if the AWA system can be used in a similar way for agegroupers. If no suitable system for AG qualifying can be determined, then maybe Kona could be raced as a “normal IM” without the designation of “World Championships”, giving a lot of agegroupers (such as those looking to race on a legacy slot) the chance to race on the big island.
  • Move Kona
    Another option would be to move Kona, but obviously there are a lot of triathlon- and non-triathlon related influences which dates might work and which won’t. A date in December of February might give enough “breathing room” to implement one of the timelines discussed so far, but the lengthened 2020 qualifying period and the shortened 2021 season would also have to be kept in mind.
  • Cancel Kona
    If the Corona crisis lasts through the summer and fall, time may be running out for all options discussed so far, and there may not be a viable plan to organize Kona 2020 at all.

Here is a graphical representation of all the plans discussed:

KQ 2020 Scenarios

Decision Points

As time progresses, certain timelines will no longer be possible. As stated above, there is a bit of wriggle room for these dates, but here are the rough dates when decisions will have to be made:

  • Mid April:  Feasibility of the “Almost Normal” timeline
  • Late June: Feasibility of the “Condensed” timeline
  • Mid August: Feasibility of the “No Qualifying” timeline, announce new Kona date or cancel Kona

There are currently much more important issues than an October sporting event on a Hawaiian island. I’m looking forward to a return to “normal racing”, wishing everyone to stay healthy (or only have mild symptoms) in the meantime.

Ironman South Africa 2020 (March 29th) – Seedings

Note: Ironman South Africa has been postponed. Here’s the official text from Ironman:

In alignment with the Provincial Department of Health, and due to the force majeure COVID-19 pandemic, IRONMAN race officials in conjunction with local authorities have decided to postpone the 2020 IRONMAN® African Championship in Nelson Mandela Bay originally scheduled for 29 March to 15 November 2020. Athletes that are registered for the event will receive an email with further details.

IMSA_Logo

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2006 Gerrit Schellens (BEL) 08:36:06 Natascha Badmann (SUI) 09:46:38
2007 Gerrit Schellens (BEL) 08:33:05 Natascha Badmann (SUI) 09:22:01
2008 Stephen Bayliss (GBR) 08:18:23 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 09:27:48
2009 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:17:32 Lucie Zelenkova (CZE) 09:16:32
2010 Raynard Tissink (ZAF) 08:23:28 Sonja Tajsich (GER) 09:16:55
2011 Raynard Tissink (ZAF) 08:05:36 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:33:56
2012 Clemente Alonso McKernan (ESP) 08:34:45 Natascha Badmann (SUI) 09:47:10
2013 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 08:11:24 Jessie Donavan (USA) 09:10:58
2014 Nils Frommhold (GER) 08:26:07 Simone Braendli (SUI) 09:31:54
2015 Frederik Van Lierde (BEL) 08:16:35 Jodie Cunnama (GBR) 09:26:56
2016 Ben Hoffman (USA) 08:12:37 Kaisa Sali (FIN) 09:06:50
2017 Ben Hoffman (USA) 07:58:40 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:47:02
2018 Kyle Buckingham (ZAF) 08:13:00 Lucy Charles-Barclay (GBR) 08:56:06
2019 Ben Hoffman (USA) 07:34:19 Lucy Charles-Barclay (GBR) 08:35:31

Last Race’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Ben Hoffman USA 00:26:03 04:24:24 02:39:17 07:34:19
2 Nils Frommhold GER 00:25:48 04:26:23 02:43:43 07:40:12
3 Michael Weiss AUT 00:30:05 04:24:18 02:43:41 07:42:35

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Lucy Charles-Barclay GBR 00:25:20 05:05:46 02:59:32 08:35:31
2 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 00:32:59 05:10:07 02:52:40 08:40:47
3 Annah Watkinson ZAF 00:30:44 05:12:17 02:55:02 08:43:18

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:58:40 Ben Hoffman 2017-04-02
Swim overall 00:45:22 Anton Storm 2009-04-05
Bike overall 04:19:41 Raynard Tissink 2011-04-10
Run overall 02:42:52 Ben Hoffman 2017-04-02
Total female 08:33:56 Chrissie Wellington 2011-04-10
Swim female 00:47:32 Lucy Charles-Barclay 2018-04-15
Bike female 04:45:23 Chrissie Wellington 2011-04-10
Run female 02:52:54 Chrissie Wellington 2011-04-10

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM South Africa is 03:25.

Race Adjustments for IM South Africa

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 01:34 -03:56 02:49 02:41 28 01:34 -03:56 02:49 02:41
2007 01:16 -08:10 06:34 02:52 33 01:25 -06:03 04:41 02:47
2008 15:32 01:07 10:31 03:54 36 06:07 -03:41 06:38 03:10
2009 17:18 02:43 13:35 01:01 28 08:55 -02:05 08:23 02:37
2010 09:38 -00:12 08:23 01:27 34 09:03 -01:42 08:23 02:23
2011 15:30 00:07 13:51 01:33 36 10:08 -01:24 09:17 02:15
2012 -11:58 -08:14 -06:39 02:54 28 06:58 -02:23 07:01 02:21
2013 06:23 -01:59 07:37 00:45 36 of 44 06:54 -02:20 07:05 02:09
2014 -12:12 -01:03 -08:23 -02:47 29 of 40 04:46 -02:11 05:22 01:36
2015 -13:44 -00:59 -11:06 -01:39 49 of 61 02:55 -02:04 03:44 01:16
2016 03:31 -03:11 06:40 00:03 42 of 53 02:59 -02:10 04:00 01:10
2017 08:21 -00:16 07:41 00:57 43 of 63 03:25 -02:01 04:18 01:09
2018 03:34 -00:07 01:35 02:06 35 of 47 03:26 -01:52 04:06 01:13

Kona slots and Prize Money

IM South Africa has 2m+2f +2u Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 27% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 2 Sebastian Kienle (AQ) GER 08:02:16 08:01:27 00:51:57 04:17:21 05:14:18 02:47:58 87% +0% -13% (19) 2
2 1 Nils Frommhold GER 08:08:12 08:16:48 00:49:48 04:24:34 05:19:22 02:48:50 70% +0% -30% (12) 11
3 10 Andi Boecherer GER 08:08:40 08:24:32 00:49:19 04:21:23 05:15:42 02:52:58 27% +9% -64% (19) 31
4 26 Joe Skipper (KQ) GBR 08:09:48 08:12:55 00:53:48 04:24:15 05:23:03 02:46:45 72% +4% -23% (28) 5
5 3 Andreas Dreitz GER 08:12:58 08:22:07 00:50:57 04:22:21 05:18:18 02:54:40 59% +0% -41% (6) 21
6 22 Matthew Russell USA 08:20:45 08:24:18 00:56:01 04:27:17 05:28:18 02:52:27 62% +23% -15% (54) 29
7 4 Matt Trautman ZAF 08:21:42 08:26:20 00:52:17 04:30:35 05:27:53 02:53:49 33% +34% -33% (11) 37
8 12 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 08:22:09 08:35:17 00:50:48 04:31:48 05:27:35 02:54:34 73% +4% -23% (20) 66
9 5 James Cunnama ZAF 08:24:01 08:27:54 00:51:41 04:29:16 05:25:58 02:58:03 43% +16% -41% (30) 41
10 28 Ivan Rana ESP 08:24:41 08:34:45 00:50:09 04:39:24 05:34:33 02:50:08 49% +1% -50% (21) 64
11 24 Evert Scheltinga NED 08:27:35 08:40:29 00:50:51 04:31:27 05:27:18 03:00:17 66% +0% -34% (10) 86
12 13 Antony Costes FRA 08:28:45 08:39:09 00:50:36 04:29:53 05:25:29 03:03:16 30% +17% -53% (15) 81
13 17 Sebastien Fraysse FRA 08:30:14 08:46:25 00:48:46 04:30:56 05:24:43 03:05:31 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (110)
14 18 Samuel Huerzeler SUI 08:34:59 08:43:30 00:54:41 04:39:53 05:39:33 02:55:26 81% +19% -0% (14) 95
15 15 Roman Deisenhofer GER 08:36:08 08:44:06 00:53:16 04:33:19 05:31:35 03:04:33 26% +50% -23% (11) 100
16 9 Scott Bayvel ZAF 08:42:36 08:59:11 00:51:35 04:42:09 05:38:44 03:03:52 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (163)
17 25 Stefan Schumacher GER 08:43:15 08:58:34 01:01:23 04:25:20 05:31:43 03:11:32 34% +0% -66% (3) (162)
18 8 Reece Barclay GBR 08:45:51 09:01:30 00:49:45 04:51:46 05:46:30 02:59:21 29% +0% -71% (3) (168)
19 21 Michael Raelert GER 08:49:31 08:55:49 00:48:09 04:49:00 05:42:08 03:07:23 45% +0% -55% (6) 145
20 23 Paul Ruttmann AUT 08:52:20 09:02:40 00:57:10 04:39:52 05:42:03 03:10:17 0% +64% -36% (3) (172)
21 6 Nick Baldwin SEY 08:53:03 09:01:37 00:55:09 04:44:21 05:44:30 03:08:33 66% +0% -34% (26) 169
22 14 Gerhard De Bruin ZAF 09:15:45 09:29:23 00:57:11 04:59:35 06:01:45 03:14:00 84% +16% -0% (7) 236
7 Baptiste Neveu FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
11 Adam Bowden GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
16 Georg Enzenberger AUT n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
19 Kevin Maurel FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
20 Rudolf Naude ZAF n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
27 Lars Petter Stormo NOR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 35% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 37 Anne Haug (AQ) GER 08:47:23 08:47:22 00:54:37 04:56:09 05:55:46 02:51:37 80% +20% -0% (4) 2
2 36 Lucy Charles-Barclay (AQ) GBR 08:51:39 08:55:40 00:48:53 04:54:00 05:47:53 03:03:46 50% +50% -0% (8) 3
3 49 Laura Philipp GER 08:52:16 08:58:12 00:58:54 04:50:42 05:54:36 02:57:40 100% +0% -0% (2) (4)
4 42 Susie Cheetham GBR 09:08:56 09:21:53 00:58:01 05:00:17 06:03:19 03:05:37 70% +0% -30% (14) 22
5 38 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 09:16:53 09:24:30 01:02:59 05:07:46 06:15:45 03:01:08 70% +26% -4% (15) 26
6 46 Kristin Liepold GER 09:20:48 09:29:46 01:08:24 05:10:44 06:24:08 02:56:40 77% +15% -8% (29) 39
7 39 Annah Watkinson ZAF 09:22:46 09:31:49 00:59:52 05:10:56 06:15:48 03:06:58 75% +0% -25% (10) 43
8 53 Mareen Hufe GER 09:24:31 09:29:03 01:00:42 04:59:44 06:05:26 03:19:05 87% +11% -2% (32) 37
9 43 Manon Genet FRA 09:25:32 09:34:33 00:59:52 05:02:43 06:07:34 03:17:58 35% +38% -27% (7) 49
10 41 Nikki Bartlett GBR 09:27:32 09:32:06 01:01:00 05:02:37 06:08:37 03:18:55 71% +20% -9% (8) 44
11 47 Pamella Oliveira BRA 09:31:56 09:50:05 00:54:42 05:13:40 06:13:22 03:18:34 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (66)
12 40 Ruth Astle GBR 09:33:51 09:52:04 01:05:26 05:03:42 06:14:08 03:19:43 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (69)
13 44 Katharina Grohmann GER 09:38:00 09:47:20 01:12:40 05:08:48 06:26:27 03:11:33 68% +32% -0% (20) 63
14 51 Karen Steurs BEL 09:45:31 09:58:30 01:02:53 05:16:30 06:24:23 03:21:08 100% +0% -0% (2) (77)
15 48 Magda Nieuwoudt ZAF 09:58:38 10:17:38 01:04:08 05:14:59 06:24:06 03:34:32 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (105)
16 45 Jennifer Lentzke CAN 10:48:27 11:16:49 01:17:02 05:39:51 07:01:53 03:46:34 3% +2% -95% (6) (123)
50 Mariella Sawyer ZAF n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
52 Natia Van Heerden ZAF n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
54 Radka Kahlefeldt CZE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Sebastian Kienle: 33% (2-1)
  • Joe Skipper: 29% (3-1)
  • Andi Boecherer: 14% (6-1)
  • Nils Frommhold: 13% (7-1)
  • Andreas Dreitz: 5% (17-1)
  • Matt Trautman: 3% (37-1)
  • James Cunnama: 2% (56-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Anne Haug: 45% (1-1)
  • Lucy Charles-Barclay: 45% (1-1)
  • Laura Philipp: 8% (11-1)

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