Archive | IM Ireland

Ironman Ireland 2019 – Results

IMIrelandLogoCourse Conditions

Cold water combined with rainy and windy conditions produced a canceled swim and slow times on the bike. The race was started with a time-trial start in random order every 30 seconds. This made it hard to follow the race (especially when only having the tracker as the app didn’t adjust for start times).

It also makes it hard to evaluate the performance of the winners. Based on the gaps it’s pretty obvious that Bryan McCrystal was putting out a great time on the bike, and the T2 leaders on the female side Emma Bilham and Anja Ippach were also riding strong. Contrary to some expectations, Alistair Brownlee didn’t self-destruct on the bike, but it’s next to impossible to tell what his 4:49 is worth. The same thing can be said for the run: Alistair’s 2:51 was the fastest of the day and one of only two sub-3 runs of the day, Emma’s 3:15 was the fastest female run by more than half an hour. But both would probably have been able to run a bit faster if he was in a close fight for the win. And it’s next to impossible to draw any conclusions from a no-swim, cold and rainy IM Ireland for the ocean-swim, hot and humid race on Hawaii.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Alistair Brownlee GBR 04:49:41 02:51:31 07:44:16 n/a US$ 8,000
2 Bryan McCrystal IRL 04:36:15 03:10:25 07:49:45 n/a US$ 4,000
3 Markus Thomschke GER 04:48:35 03:06:44 07:58:10 n/a US$ 3,000
4 Justin Metzler USA 05:10:03 02:56:02 08:08:10 n/a US$ 2,500
5 Seppe Odeyn BEL 05:05:29 03:00:48 08:08:45 n/a US$ 1,500
6 Till Schramm GER 05:08:16 03:11:14 08:22:21 n/a US$ 1,000
7 Adam Feigh USA 05:07:12 03:49:38 08:59:44 n/a
8 Robert Drake GBR 05:45:38 03:26:09 09:16:45 n/a
Esben Hovgaard DEN 05:06:35 DNF
Stefan Overmars NED 05:27:12 DNF

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Emma Bilham SUI 05:30:30 03:16:16 08:50:18 n/a US$ 8,000
2 Pleuni Hooijman NED 05:36:41 03:40:06 09:19:50 n/a US$ 4,000
3 Amanda Wendorff USA 05:42:10 03:41:46 09:28:32 n/a US$ 3,000
4 Michelle Heneghan IRL 06:04:05 03:41:17 09:50:01 n/a US$ 2,500
Linsey Corbin USA 05:51:41 DNF
Anja Ippach GER 05:28:05 DNF

Ironman Ireland 2019 (June 23rd) – Seedings

NewImageThis is the first race on this course, therefore there are no course records or course ratings.

Kona slots and Prize Money

IM Ireland has 1m+1f Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 40.000 US$, paying 6 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 19% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 25 Brent McMahon CAN 08:15:50 08:20:18 00:48:14 04:35:11 05:28:25 02:47:25 59% +0% -41% (13) 19
2 3 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 08:25:15 08:28:23 00:50:09 04:34:23 05:29:32 02:55:43 60% +4% -36% (31) 43
3 24 Jeremy Jurkiewicz FRA 08:32:40 08:32:58 00:48:24 04:40:59 05:34:23 02:58:17 90% +0% -10% (16) 56
4 14 Igor Amorelli BRA 08:34:08 08:38:26 00:47:38 04:35:02 05:27:40 03:06:28 49% +6% -45% (21) 77
5 7 Markus Thomschke GER 08:37:44 08:37:31 00:51:33 04:39:53 05:36:25 03:01:19 55% +17% -29% (21) 74
6 6 Bryan McCrystal IRL 08:39:38 09:01:03 00:56:54 04:27:43 05:29:37 03:10:01 30% +19% -51% (9) 155
7 2 Victor Del Corral ESP 08:40:20 08:45:00 00:55:57 04:44:33 05:45:30 02:54:50 37% +0% -63% (22) 96
8 4 Philip Graves GBR 08:40:37 08:52:53 00:49:17 04:35:43 05:29:59 03:10:38 26% +25% -49% (13) 127
9 26 Harry Wiltshire GBR 08:41:32 08:52:19 00:47:35 04:47:56 05:40:30 03:01:02 15% +23% -61% (27) (125)
10 5 Justin Metzler USA 08:42:13 09:14:55 00:49:19 04:44:22 05:38:42 03:03:31 27% +29% -44% (3) (199)
11 13 Esben Hovgaard DEN 08:42:59 09:00:06 00:52:58 04:43:45 05:41:43 03:01:16 31% +16% -53% (14) (150)
12 17 Lachlan Kerin AUS 08:47:03 09:14:49 00:51:30 04:41:29 05:37:59 03:09:04 4% +38% -59% (7) 198
13 10 Adam Feigh USA 08:53:22 09:01:07 00:54:10 04:47:09 05:46:19 03:07:03 59% +41% -0% (3) 156
14 19 Seppe Odeyn BEL 08:57:28 09:01:24 01:04:33 04:50:27 06:00:00 02:57:28 100% +0% -0% (4) 157
15 12 Arnaud Guilloux FRA 09:01:56 09:21:07 00:52:39 04:44:37 05:42:17 03:19:39 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (215)
16 8 Thomas Bosch GER 09:04:11 09:15:40 00:58:22 04:55:07 05:58:29 03:05:42 39% +25% -37% (7) (201)
17 20 Stefan Overmars NED 09:09:51 09:15:32 00:54:21 04:48:36 05:47:56 03:21:55 61% +0% -39% (6) 200
18 23 Till Schramm GER 09:10:51 09:17:43 00:54:58 04:53:20 05:53:17 03:17:34 74% +12% -14% (11) 206
19 11 Rasmus Fitzner DEN 09:14:54 09:23:52 00:54:52 04:57:18 05:57:10 03:17:44 63% +0% -37% (4) (222)
20 15 Elliot Bach USA 09:29:49 09:44:10 00:52:34 05:05:32 06:03:06 03:26:43 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (252)
1 Alistair Brownlee GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
9 Robert Drake GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
16 Ivan Kalashnikov RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
18 Christopher Declan Mintern IRL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
21 Sam Pictor GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
22 Ger Redmond IRL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 8% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 30 Linsey Corbin (KQ) USA 09:14:04 09:14:08 00:57:39 05:05:51 06:08:30 03:05:34 97% +3% -0% (27) 11
2 38 Angela Naeth * CAN 09:18:18 09:25:27 00:59:16 04:57:53 06:02:08 03:16:10 3% +72% -25% (11) 32
3 31 Anja Ippach GER 09:27:06 09:27:35 00:53:07 05:01:51 05:59:57 03:27:09 52% +3% -45% (13) 37
4 32 Emma Bilham SUI 09:35:48 09:40:22 00:54:43 05:21:34 06:21:17 03:14:31 81% +0% -19% (5) (56)
5 35 Renee Kiley AUS 10:02:40 10:19:31 01:00:10 05:20:17 06:25:27 03:37:13 64% +0% -36% (3) (111)
6 33 Pleuni Hooijman NED 10:05:02 10:11:55 01:05:34 05:11:03 06:21:37 03:43:25 43% +30% -27% (4) 96
7 36 Amanda Wendorff USA 10:09:39 10:19:23 00:59:52 05:14:56 06:19:48 03:49:51 40% +0% -60% (4) (110)
34 Michelle Heneghan IRL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

A lot of eyes will be on the “Iron-virgin” Alastair Brownlee. As I’ve analyzed in last year’s post “Trying to Predict Ironman Times From 70.3 Ratings“, it’s tricky to predict based on 70.3 times how an athlete is going to perform in an Ironman. But an athlete of the caliber of Alistair can be expected to be well prepared for such a challenge. Based on the usual conversion factors I expect Alistair’s IM performance to be about 8:06 (with a range of 7:55 to 8:26) which would put him well ahead of the other athletes! Even if I can’t express this as winning odds, it seems clear that Alistair is the athlete to beat in Cork.

Leaving Alistair aside, the odds would be as follows:

  • Brent McMahon: 52% (1-1)
  • Marino Vanhoenacker: 25% (3-1)
  • Jeremy Jurkiewicz: 8% (12-1)
  • Igor Amorelli: 5% (20-1)
  • Philip Graves: 4% (25-1)
  • Bryan McCrystal: 3% (33-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Linsey Corbin: 66% (1-1)
  • Angela Naeth: 25% (3-1)
  • Anja Ippach: 5% (19-1)
  • Emma Bilham: 3% (32-1)

Ironman Ireland 2019 (June 26th) – Entry List

Kona Slots and Prize Money

IM Ireland has 1m+1f Pro Kona slots. It has a total prize purse of 40.000 US$, paying 6 deep.

Male Race Participants

Name Nation
Elliot Bach USA
Victor Del Corral ESP
Robert Drake GBR
Adam Feigh USA
Rasmus Fitzner DEN
Philip Graves GBR
Arnaud Guilloux FRA
Esben Hovgaard DEN
Ivan Kalashnikov RUS
Lachlan Kerin AUS
Brent McMahon CAN
Justin Metzler USA
Seppe Odeyn BEL
Stefan Overmars NED
Sam Pictor GBR
Ger Redmond IRL
Till Schramm GER
Markus Thomschke GER

Female Race Participants

Name Nation
Linsey Corbin (KQ) USA
Michelle Heneghan CAN
Pleuni Hooijman NED
Anja Ippach GER
Caroline Livesey GBR
Angela Naeth CAN
Amanda Wendorff USA

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