Ironman Ireland 2019 (June 23rd) – Seedings

NewImageThis is the first race on this course, therefore there are no course records or course ratings.

Kona slots and Prize Money

IM Ireland has 1m+1f Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 40.000 US$, paying 6 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 19% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 25 Brent McMahon CAN 08:15:50 08:20:18 00:48:14 04:35:11 05:28:25 02:47:25 59% +0% -41% (13) 19
2 3 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 08:25:15 08:28:23 00:50:09 04:34:23 05:29:32 02:55:43 60% +4% -36% (31) 43
3 24 Jeremy Jurkiewicz FRA 08:32:40 08:32:58 00:48:24 04:40:59 05:34:23 02:58:17 90% +0% -10% (16) 56
4 14 Igor Amorelli BRA 08:34:08 08:38:26 00:47:38 04:35:02 05:27:40 03:06:28 49% +6% -45% (21) 77
5 7 Markus Thomschke GER 08:37:44 08:37:31 00:51:33 04:39:53 05:36:25 03:01:19 55% +17% -29% (21) 74
6 6 Bryan McCrystal IRL 08:39:38 09:01:03 00:56:54 04:27:43 05:29:37 03:10:01 30% +19% -51% (9) 155
7 2 Victor Del Corral ESP 08:40:20 08:45:00 00:55:57 04:44:33 05:45:30 02:54:50 37% +0% -63% (22) 96
8 4 Philip Graves GBR 08:40:37 08:52:53 00:49:17 04:35:43 05:29:59 03:10:38 26% +25% -49% (13) 127
9 26 Harry Wiltshire GBR 08:41:32 08:52:19 00:47:35 04:47:56 05:40:30 03:01:02 15% +23% -61% (27) (125)
10 5 Justin Metzler USA 08:42:13 09:14:55 00:49:19 04:44:22 05:38:42 03:03:31 27% +29% -44% (3) (199)
11 13 Esben Hovgaard DEN 08:42:59 09:00:06 00:52:58 04:43:45 05:41:43 03:01:16 31% +16% -53% (14) (150)
12 17 Lachlan Kerin AUS 08:47:03 09:14:49 00:51:30 04:41:29 05:37:59 03:09:04 4% +38% -59% (7) 198
13 10 Adam Feigh USA 08:53:22 09:01:07 00:54:10 04:47:09 05:46:19 03:07:03 59% +41% -0% (3) 156
14 19 Seppe Odeyn BEL 08:57:28 09:01:24 01:04:33 04:50:27 06:00:00 02:57:28 100% +0% -0% (4) 157
15 12 Arnaud Guilloux FRA 09:01:56 09:21:07 00:52:39 04:44:37 05:42:17 03:19:39 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (215)
16 8 Thomas Bosch GER 09:04:11 09:15:40 00:58:22 04:55:07 05:58:29 03:05:42 39% +25% -37% (7) (201)
17 20 Stefan Overmars NED 09:09:51 09:15:32 00:54:21 04:48:36 05:47:56 03:21:55 61% +0% -39% (6) 200
18 23 Till Schramm GER 09:10:51 09:17:43 00:54:58 04:53:20 05:53:17 03:17:34 74% +12% -14% (11) 206
19 11 Rasmus Fitzner DEN 09:14:54 09:23:52 00:54:52 04:57:18 05:57:10 03:17:44 63% +0% -37% (4) (222)
20 15 Elliot Bach USA 09:29:49 09:44:10 00:52:34 05:05:32 06:03:06 03:26:43 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (252)
1 Alistair Brownlee GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
9 Robert Drake GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
16 Ivan Kalashnikov RUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
18 Christopher Declan Mintern IRL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
21 Sam Pictor GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
22 Ger Redmond IRL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 8% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 30 Linsey Corbin (KQ) USA 09:14:04 09:14:08 00:57:39 05:05:51 06:08:30 03:05:34 97% +3% -0% (27) 11
2 38 Angela Naeth * CAN 09:18:18 09:25:27 00:59:16 04:57:53 06:02:08 03:16:10 3% +72% -25% (11) 32
3 31 Anja Ippach GER 09:27:06 09:27:35 00:53:07 05:01:51 05:59:57 03:27:09 52% +3% -45% (13) 37
4 32 Emma Bilham SUI 09:35:48 09:40:22 00:54:43 05:21:34 06:21:17 03:14:31 81% +0% -19% (5) (56)
5 35 Renee Kiley AUS 10:02:40 10:19:31 01:00:10 05:20:17 06:25:27 03:37:13 64% +0% -36% (3) (111)
6 33 Pleuni Hooijman NED 10:05:02 10:11:55 01:05:34 05:11:03 06:21:37 03:43:25 43% +30% -27% (4) 96
7 36 Amanda Wendorff USA 10:09:39 10:19:23 00:59:52 05:14:56 06:19:48 03:49:51 40% +0% -60% (4) (110)
34 Michelle Heneghan IRL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

A lot of eyes will be on the “Iron-virgin” Alastair Brownlee. As I’ve analyzed in last year’s post “Trying to Predict Ironman Times From 70.3 Ratings“, it’s tricky to predict based on 70.3 times how an athlete is going to perform in an Ironman. But an athlete of the caliber of Alistair can be expected to be well prepared for such a challenge. Based on the usual conversion factors I expect Alistair’s IM performance to be about 8:06 (with a range of 7:55 to 8:26) which would put him well ahead of the other athletes! Even if I can’t express this as winning odds, it seems clear that Alistair is the athlete to beat in Cork.

Leaving Alistair aside, the odds would be as follows:

  • Brent McMahon: 52% (1-1)
  • Marino Vanhoenacker: 25% (3-1)
  • Jeremy Jurkiewicz: 8% (12-1)
  • Igor Amorelli: 5% (20-1)
  • Philip Graves: 4% (25-1)
  • Bryan McCrystal: 3% (33-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Linsey Corbin: 66% (1-1)
  • Angela Naeth: 25% (3-1)
  • Anja Ippach: 5% (19-1)
  • Emma Bilham: 3% (32-1)
Comments are closed.

Powered by WordPress. Designed by Woo Themes

By continuing to use the site, you agree to the use of cookies. more information

The cookie settings on this website are set to "allow cookies" to give you the best browsing experience possible. If you continue to use this website without changing your cookie settings or you click "Accept" below then you are consenting to this.

Close