This is the first race on this course, therefore there are no course records or course ratings.
Kona slots and Prize Money
IM Ireland has 1m+1f Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 40.000 US$, paying 6 deep.
Male Race Participants
The strength of the field is 19% of a typical Kona field.
| # | Bib | Name | Nat | Expected | Rating | ESwim | EBike | ET2 | ERun | Consistency | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | Brent McMahon | CAN | 08:15:50 | 08:20:18 | 00:48:14 | 04:35:11 | 05:28:25 | 02:47:25 | 59% +0% -41% (13) | 19 |
| 2 | 3 | Marino Vanhoenacker | BEL | 08:25:15 | 08:28:23 | 00:50:09 | 04:34:23 | 05:29:32 | 02:55:43 | 60% +4% -36% (31) | 43 |
| 3 | 24 | Jeremy Jurkiewicz | FRA | 08:32:40 | 08:32:58 | 00:48:24 | 04:40:59 | 05:34:23 | 02:58:17 | 90% +0% -10% (16) | 56 |
| 4 | 14 | Igor Amorelli | BRA | 08:34:08 | 08:38:26 | 00:47:38 | 04:35:02 | 05:27:40 | 03:06:28 | 49% +6% -45% (21) | 77 |
| 5 | 7 | Markus Thomschke | GER | 08:37:44 | 08:37:31 | 00:51:33 | 04:39:53 | 05:36:25 | 03:01:19 | 55% +17% -29% (21) | 74 |
| 6 | 6 | Bryan McCrystal | IRL | 08:39:38 | 09:01:03 | 00:56:54 | 04:27:43 | 05:29:37 | 03:10:01 | 30% +19% -51% (9) | 155 |
| 7 | 2 | Victor Del Corral | ESP | 08:40:20 | 08:45:00 | 00:55:57 | 04:44:33 | 05:45:30 | 02:54:50 | 37% +0% -63% (22) | 96 |
| 8 | 4 | Philip Graves | GBR | 08:40:37 | 08:52:53 | 00:49:17 | 04:35:43 | 05:29:59 | 03:10:38 | 26% +25% -49% (13) | 127 |
| 9 | 26 | Harry Wiltshire | GBR | 08:41:32 | 08:52:19 | 00:47:35 | 04:47:56 | 05:40:30 | 03:01:02 | 15% +23% -61% (27) | (125) |
| 10 | 5 | Justin Metzler | USA | 08:42:13 | 09:14:55 | 00:49:19 | 04:44:22 | 05:38:42 | 03:03:31 | 27% +29% -44% (3) | (199) |
| 11 | 13 | Esben Hovgaard | DEN | 08:42:59 | 09:00:06 | 00:52:58 | 04:43:45 | 05:41:43 | 03:01:16 | 31% +16% -53% (14) | (150) |
| 12 | 17 | Lachlan Kerin | AUS | 08:47:03 | 09:14:49 | 00:51:30 | 04:41:29 | 05:37:59 | 03:09:04 | 4% +38% -59% (7) | 198 |
| 13 | 10 | Adam Feigh | USA | 08:53:22 | 09:01:07 | 00:54:10 | 04:47:09 | 05:46:19 | 03:07:03 | 59% +41% -0% (3) | 156 |
| 14 | 19 | Seppe Odeyn | BEL | 08:57:28 | 09:01:24 | 01:04:33 | 04:50:27 | 06:00:00 | 02:57:28 | 100% +0% -0% (4) | 157 |
| 15 | 12 | Arnaud Guilloux | FRA | 09:01:56 | 09:21:07 | 00:52:39 | 04:44:37 | 05:42:17 | 03:19:39 | n/a (1 IM Pro race) | (215) |
| 16 | 8 | Thomas Bosch | GER | 09:04:11 | 09:15:40 | 00:58:22 | 04:55:07 | 05:58:29 | 03:05:42 | 39% +25% -37% (7) | (201) |
| 17 | 20 | Stefan Overmars | NED | 09:09:51 | 09:15:32 | 00:54:21 | 04:48:36 | 05:47:56 | 03:21:55 | 61% +0% -39% (6) | 200 |
| 18 | 23 | Till Schramm | GER | 09:10:51 | 09:17:43 | 00:54:58 | 04:53:20 | 05:53:17 | 03:17:34 | 74% +12% -14% (11) | 206 |
| 19 | 11 | Rasmus Fitzner | DEN | 09:14:54 | 09:23:52 | 00:54:52 | 04:57:18 | 05:57:10 | 03:17:44 | 63% +0% -37% (4) | (222) |
| 20 | 15 | Elliot Bach | USA | 09:29:49 | 09:44:10 | 00:52:34 | 05:05:32 | 06:03:06 | 03:26:43 | n/a (1 IM Pro race) | (252) |
| 1 | Alistair Brownlee | GBR | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | n/a (no IM Pro race) | (n/a) | |
| 9 | Robert Drake | GBR | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | n/a (no IM Pro race) | (n/a) | |
| 16 | Ivan Kalashnikov | RUS | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | n/a (no IM Pro race) | (n/a) | |
| 18 | Christopher Declan Mintern | IRL | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | n/a (no IM Pro race) | (n/a) | |
| 21 | Sam Pictor | GBR | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | n/a (no IM Pro race) | (n/a) | |
| 22 | Ger Redmond | IRL | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | n/a (no IM Pro race) | (n/a) |
Female Race Participants
The strength of the field is 8% of a typical Kona field.
| # | Bib | Name | Nat | Expected | Rating | ESwim | EBike | ET2 | ERun | Consistency | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | Linsey Corbin (KQ) | USA | 09:14:04 | 09:14:08 | 00:57:39 | 05:05:51 | 06:08:30 | 03:05:34 | 97% +3% -0% (27) | 11 |
| 2 | 38 | Angela Naeth * | CAN | 09:18:18 | 09:25:27 | 00:59:16 | 04:57:53 | 06:02:08 | 03:16:10 | 3% +72% -25% (11) | 32 |
| 3 | 31 | Anja Ippach | GER | 09:27:06 | 09:27:35 | 00:53:07 | 05:01:51 | 05:59:57 | 03:27:09 | 52% +3% -45% (13) | 37 |
| 4 | 32 | Emma Bilham | SUI | 09:35:48 | 09:40:22 | 00:54:43 | 05:21:34 | 06:21:17 | 03:14:31 | 81% +0% -19% (5) | (56) |
| 5 | 35 | Renee Kiley | AUS | 10:02:40 | 10:19:31 | 01:00:10 | 05:20:17 | 06:25:27 | 03:37:13 | 64% +0% -36% (3) | (111) |
| 6 | 33 | Pleuni Hooijman | NED | 10:05:02 | 10:11:55 | 01:05:34 | 05:11:03 | 06:21:37 | 03:43:25 | 43% +30% -27% (4) | 96 |
| 7 | 36 | Amanda Wendorff | USA | 10:09:39 | 10:19:23 | 00:59:52 | 05:14:56 | 06:19:48 | 03:49:51 | 40% +0% -60% (4) | (110) |
| 34 | Michelle Heneghan | IRL | n/a | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | unrated | n/a (no IM Pro race) | (n/a) |
Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.
Winning Odds
Male Race Participants
A lot of eyes will be on the “Iron-virgin” Alastair Brownlee. As I’ve analyzed in last year’s post “Trying to Predict Ironman Times From 70.3 Ratings“, it’s tricky to predict based on 70.3 times how an athlete is going to perform in an Ironman. But an athlete of the caliber of Alistair can be expected to be well prepared for such a challenge. Based on the usual conversion factors I expect Alistair’s IM performance to be about 8:06 (with a range of 7:55 to 8:26) which would put him well ahead of the other athletes! Even if I can’t express this as winning odds, it seems clear that Alistair is the athlete to beat in Cork.
Leaving Alistair aside, the odds would be as follows:
- Brent McMahon: 52% (1-1)
- Marino Vanhoenacker: 25% (3-1)
- Jeremy Jurkiewicz: 8% (12-1)
- Igor Amorelli: 5% (20-1)
- Philip Graves: 4% (25-1)
- Bryan McCrystal: 3% (33-1)
Female Race Participants
- Linsey Corbin: 66% (1-1)
- Angela Naeth: 25% (3-1)
- Anja Ippach: 5% (19-1)
- Emma Bilham: 3% (32-1)