IM Austria 2011 – Predictions (Main Post)

As per usual, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

Austria is one of the quickest courses. It’s the fastest of the “official” Ironman courses (with several sub-8 times posted by Marino Vanhoenacker and at least one “world-record” by Sandra Wallenhorst). It has a course rating of 16:10, only Challenge Roth (19:03) is quicker (by almost 3 minutes).

Last years’s race was won by Marino Vanhoenacker in 7:52 and Eva Dollinger in 9:18.

Male Participants

Marino is always racing Austria, and he always posts great results, so it’s not surprise he’s the favorite for this race:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 08:02:55 08:21:59 3
2 Tom Lowe GBR 08:04:45 08:23:54 5
3 Michael Weiss AUT 08:18:18 08:37:59 18
4 Jozsef Major HUN 08:28:54 08:49:00 60
5 Stephen Bayliss GBR 08:30:33 08:50:43 70
6 Georg Swoboda AUT 08:31:16 08:51:28 76
7 Jose Luis Villanueva ESP 08:35:28 08:55:49 91
8 Anton Blokhin UKR 08:42:32 09:03:10 128
9 Dominik Berger AUT 08:43:27 09:04:07 133
10 Ernst Moser AUT 08:46:41 09:07:29 144
11 Max Renko Aus 08:48:09 09:09:00 150
12 Markus Ressler AUT 08:49:23 09:10:17 158
13 Balazs Csoke HUN 08:51:49 09:12:49 177
14 Sebastian Pedraza ITA 08:52:48 09:13:51 182
15 Paul Westwood NZL 08:58:24 09:19:40 236
16 Markus Strini AUT 08:59:03 09:20:20 240
17 Lukas Vrobel CZE 09:00:38 09:21:59 253
18 Andreas Wolpert GER 09:00:39 09:22:00 254
19 Toby Radcliffe GBR 09:03:18 09:24:45 275
20 Markus Mlinar AUT 09:18:41 09:40:45 379
21 Marcel Bischof GER 09:21:04 09:43:14 391
22 Heinrich Sickl AUT 09:24:06 09:46:23 413
23 Stefano Paoli ITA 09:27:31 09:49:56 432
24 Sandi Ivancic SLO 09:27:31 09:49:56 432
25 Matjaz Kovac SVN 09:34:49 09:57:31 480
26 Jerzy Kasemier NLD 09:36:38 09:59:24 490
27 Gergely Nagy HUN 10:12:05 10:36:15 667
28 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:49:20 12:17:21 790
29 Jules Hatcher GBR n/a unrated n/a
30 Michal Kulich SVK n/a unrated n/a
31 Dorian Wagner GER n/a unrated n/a
32 Marco Albert EST n/a unrated n/a
33 Flo Kriegl AUT n/a unrated n/a

However, he has had a few DNFs, although I’m not aware of any injuries. Next on the list is Tom Lowe who has just one result to his credit (a great time in IM Arizona). He was injured for the first race he was on the start list (IM South Africa), I hope he’s back on form and can continue a stellar IM career. Michael Weiss’s last IM race was also a DNF while defending his title at IM St. George. Unless there is a major upset, I’m pretty sure that the winner will come from these three athletes. Austria is paying price money up to 8th place, and there are a lot of athletes that will race for these spots.

Female Participants

Even though last year’s winner Eve Dollinger is back at the race, she is not the favorite:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Erika Csomor HUN 09:15:12 09:37:08 22
2 Heleen Bij De Vaate NLD 09:21:29 09:43:39 40
3 Edith Niederfringer ITA 09:27:35 09:50:00 52
4 Eva Dollinger AUT 09:30:36 09:53:08 58
5 Fernanda Keller BRA 09:49:42 10:12:59 119
6 Barbara Tesar AUT 09:49:47 10:13:05 120
7 Kristin Lie NOR 09:53:02 10:16:27 128
8 Nicole Woysch GER 10:07:22 10:31:21 171
9 Monika Stadlmann AUT 10:25:13 10:49:55 209
10 Svetlana Blazevic SCG 10:37:27 11:02:38 234
11 Joyce Wolfe IRL n/a unrated n/a
12 Anja Ippach GER n/a unrated n/a
13 Simone Helfenschneider-Ofner AUT n/a unrated n/a

Erica Csomor, Heleen Bij De Vaate and Edith Niederfringer will be strong contenders fro the win!

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