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IM Brazil 2011–Predictions (Main Post)

As per usual, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

IM Brazil is one of the fastest courses on the IM calendar. It has a course rating of 15:05 and is quicker than IM Arizona (at 12:39), but a bit slower than IM Florida (at 17:17) and Challenge Roth (at 20:47).

Male Participants

The rankings are topped by Oscar Halindez and Eduardo Sturla who between them won this race from 2006 onwards:

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Oscar Galindez ARG 08:22:58 08:41:18 25
2 Eduardo Sturla ARG 08:23:03 08:41:23 26
3 Santiago Ascenco BRA 08:25:12 08:43:37 30
4 Ezequiel Morales ARG 08:34:08 08:52:53 61
5 Chris McDonald AUS 08:34:21 08:53:06 62
6 Guilherme Manocchio BRA 08:38:33 08:57:27 76
7 Ivan Albano BRA 08:51:57 09:11:21 117
8 Brandon Marsh USA 08:53:57 09:13:25 132
9 Keegan Williams NZL 08:54:43 09:14:13 137
10 Mike Schifferle SWI 09:03:29 09:23:18 196
11 Lucas Cocha ARG 09:03:38 09:23:27 198
12 Bonieck Clemente BRA 09:07:52 09:27:50 217
13 Antonio Filho BRA 09:10:43 09:30:48 232
14 Richard Wygand BRA 10:44:59 11:08:30 619
15 Kelmerson Henri Buck BRA n/a unrated n/a
16 Luiz Francisco Ferreira BRA n/a unrated n/a
17 Fredrico Carvalho Zacharias BRA n/a unrated n/a
18 Mario De Elias ARG n/a unrated n/a
19 Santiago Amigo ARG n/a unrated n/a

There aren’t any rock stars, but it’ll be interested to see how “rising” athletes like Chris McDonald, Brandon Marsh and Keegan Williams are going to do.

Female Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Amy Marsh USA 09:14:32 09:34:45 10
2 Lucie Zelenkova ZAF 09:29:02 09:49:47 38
3 Ana Lidia Borba BRA 09:44:40 10:05:59 71
4 Sara Gross CAN 09:44:56 10:06:15 72
5 Fernanda Keller BRA 09:51:45 10:13:19 89
6 Hillary Biscay USA 09:57:22 10:19:09 108
7 Maria Omar BRA 10:00:12 10:22:05 114
8 Ariane Silveira BRA 10:05:38 10:27:43 132
9 Silvia Fusco BRA 10:17:02 10:39:32 159
10 Mariana Andrade BRA 10:37:47 11:01:02 193
11 Federica Frontini URU 10:38:30 11:01:47 194
12 Amanda Balding USA 10:45:09 11:08:40 205
13 Alessandra Carvalho BRA 11:47:40 12:13:28 232
14 Kelzie Beebe USA n/a unrated n/a
15 Vanessa Gianinni BRA n/a unrated n/a
16 Mariana Guimaraes BRA n/a unrated n/a

Not too many big names on the women’s side, I’m picking Amy Marsh (previous winner of IM Lake Placid and IM Wisconsin) as the race favorite. IM legend Fernanda Keller is back on the start list, but I’m afraid that she won’t contend for the win. I’m rooting for prolific blogger Hillary Biscay, I hope she can find back to some better IM results.

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