IM Canada 2011 – Predictions (Main Post)

As for all prediction posts, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

IM Canada is one of the oldest IMs – and it will also be one of the bigger fields of the year. Even if it is just a 2000-points race, a lot of athletes trying to make it into the August Kona qualifiers are trying to secure some more points.

With a rating of 2:59, it’s not a fast course. Last year’s winners were Victor Zyemtsev in 8:32 and Meredith Kessler in 9:13.

Male Participants

The highest rated athlete is Jordan Rapp who is back to racing strong after his accident. He has a good shot at winning this race. It might even give him enough points to qualify for Kona, although as far as I know he is not interested in racing there.

Male Race Participants

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Jordan Rapp USA 08:28:42 08:31:32 11
2 Jasper Blake CAN 08:43:12 08:46:07 46
3 Victor Zyemtsev USA 08:47:16 08:50:12 75
4 Jason Shortis AUS 08:47:18 08:50:14 76
5 Torsten Abel GER 08:48:21 08:51:17 81
6 Bert Jammaer BEL 08:57:08 09:00:07 116
7 Mike Neill CAN 08:57:42 09:00:42 123
8 Christian Brader GER 08:58:59 09:01:59 134
9 Kyle Marcotte CAN 09:01:06 09:04:07 142
10 Trevor Delsaut FRA 09:02:40 09:05:41 150
11 Bryan Rhodes NZL 09:09:13 09:12:16 184
12 Christopher Bagg USA 09:10:39 09:13:43 192
13 Nigel Gray CAN 09:10:43 09:13:47 194
14 Scott Curry CAN 09:11:41 09:14:45 203
15 Hiroyuki Nishiuchi JPN 09:19:00 09:22:07 268
16 Matthew Russell USA 09:20:20 09:23:27 278
17 Trevor Wurtele CAN 09:23:49 09:26:57 302
18 Scott Tremblay CAN 09:26:35 09:29:44 317
19 Anthony Toth CAN 09:34:05 09:37:17 365
20 Dallas Cain CAN 09:43:59 09:47:14 441
21 Juan Carlos Ramirez USA 09:52:59 09:56:17 497
22 Ryan Cain CAN 10:48:53 10:52:30 737

There are a lot of athletes on the start list, but with the new WTC Pro license (pay a flat fee to start in any race) it is never clear who is actually foing to race.

Female Participants

Meredith Kessler is back to defend her title, but she faces strong competition in Mary Beth Ellis (two IM starts, two wins) who is trying to get some more points for Kona.

Rank Name Nation Expected Time Rating Rank
1 Mary Beth Ellis USA 09:15:45 09:18:51 4
2 Meredith Kessler USA 09:37:11 09:40:24 36
3 Mackenzie Madison USA 09:37:59 09:41:12 40
4 Kim Loeffler USA 09:45:44 09:49:00 55
5 Uli Bromme USA 09:55:36 09:58:55 75
6 Sara Gross CAN 09:58:44 10:02:04 84
7 Lauren Harrison USA 10:01:07 10:04:28 91
8 Tara Norton CAN 10:06:25 10:09:48 110
9 Emi Shiono JPN 10:06:29 10:09:52 112
10 Jacqui Gordon USA 10:07:21 10:10:44 114
11 Haley Cooper USA 10:10:01 10:13:25 128
12 Maki Nishiuchi JPN 10:12:17 10:15:41 133
13 Rachel Kiers CAN 10:21:17 10:24:44 160
14 Fernanda Keller BRA 10:29:08 10:32:38 183
15 Kelzie Beebe USA 10:37:35 10:41:08 200
16 Fiona Whitby CAN 10:42:41 10:46:16 211
17 Miranda Alldritt CAN 10:47:24 10:51:00 219
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