Ironman Chattanooga 20016 (Sept 25th) – Predictions

Previous Winners

Year	Male Winner	Time	Female Winner	Time
2014	Matt Hanson (USA)	08:12:32	Angela Naeth (CAN)	08:54:55
2015	Kirill Kotshegarov (EST)	08:08:32	Carrie Lester (AUS)	08:56:00

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Kirill Kotshegarov	EST	00:44:51	04:27:37	02:50:53	08:08:32
2	Matt Chrabot	USA	00:40:56	04:31:19	02:51:05	08:08:34
3	Stefan Schmid	GER	00:44:25	04:27:31	02:51:05	08:08:40

Female Race Results

Rank	Name	Nation	Swim	Bike	Run	Time
1	Carrie Lester	AUS	00:44:35	05:01:16	03:05:05	08:56:00
2	Lisa Roberts	USA	00:51:50	05:10:29	03:01:04	09:08:46
3	Kim Schwabenbauer	USA	00:48:50	05:11:55	03:08:28	09:14:11

Course Records

Leg	Gender	Record	Athlete	Date
Total	overall	08:08:32	Kirill Kotshegarov	2015-09-27
Swim	overall	00:38:06	Barrett Brandon	2014-09-28
Bike	overall	04:27:31	Stefan Schmid	2015-09-27
Run	overall	02:47:40	Matt Hanson	2014-09-28
Total	female	08:54:55	Angela Naeth	2014-09-28
Swim	female	00:39:56	Anna Cleaver	2014-09-28
Bike	female	04:50:03	Angela Naeth	2014-09-28
Run	female	03:01:04	Lisa Roberts	2015-09-27

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Chattanooga is 16:35.

Race Adjustments for IM Chattanooga

Year	Adjustment	Swim Adj.	Bike Adj.	Run Adj.	# of Finishers	Rating	Swim Rating	Bike Rating	Run Rating
2014	18:19	16:30	05:38	00:54	44 of 58	18:19	16:30	05:38	00:54
2015	14:51	10:46	07:14	03:22	65 of 82	16:35	13:38	06:26	02:08

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Chattanooga is a P-2000 race. It is an MPRO-only race with a prize purse of 50.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Bib	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Exp. Swim	Exp. Bike	Exp. Run	Consistency	Overall
1	2	Marino Vanhoenacker	BEL	08:03:17	08:18:47	00:37:25	04:26:00	02:54:52	57% +14% -29% (22)	4
2	1	Matt Hanson	USA	08:15:55	08:44:37	00:40:40	04:42:27	02:47:47	24% +33% -43% (10)	71
3	3	Viktor Zyemtsev	UKR	08:16:56	08:33:02	00:38:22	04:42:39	02:50:55	80% +0% -20% (19)	33
4	8	Eric Limkemann	USA	08:18:45	08:45:35	00:36:53	04:33:58	03:02:54	67% +21% -12% (5)	82
5	5	Jeff Symonds	CAN	08:18:47	08:32:23	00:38:08	04:47:42	02:47:56	62% +17% -21% (7)	29
6	23	Henrik Hyldelund	DEN	08:20:26	08:43:56	00:36:48	04:32:23	03:06:15	66% +21% -13% (5)	(69)
7	4	Matthew Russell	USA	08:22:41	08:51:18	00:43:38	04:38:20	02:55:44	48% +30% -22% (38)	96
8	22	Esben Hovgaard	DEN	08:23:09	08:55:54	00:40:39	04:37:36	02:59:53	35% +25% -40% (9)	110
9	16	Daniel Bretscher	USA	08:27:07	08:51:18	00:39:54	04:44:43	02:57:30	45% +20% -35% (6)	96
10	7	Justin Daerr	USA	08:29:18	08:44:53	00:39:58	04:44:37	02:59:43	63% +11% -26% (29)	73
11	10	Thomas Gerlach	USA	08:29:18	09:01:16	00:40:43	04:37:13	03:06:23	39% +11% -51% (21)	131
12	15	Barrett Brandon	USA	08:29:35	08:49:04	00:36:20	04:45:50	03:02:26	70% +0% -30% (6)	89
13	17	Mario De Elias	ARG	08:33:32	08:56:49	00:38:59	04:50:43	02:58:49	29% +56% -15% (6)	116
14	6	Jozsef Major	HUN	08:42:30	08:55:26	00:44:04	04:41:40	03:11:47	76% +5% -19% (30)	108
15	20	Derek Garcia	USA	08:42:43	09:04:04	00:40:28	04:43:06	03:14:10	85% +5% -9% (11)	145
16	30	Adam Otstot	USA	08:43:16	09:13:27	00:42:25	04:58:35	02:57:16	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(178)
17	21	Chad Holderbaum	USA	08:44:18	09:12:52	00:40:44	04:46:22	03:12:12	52% +7% -40% (11)	175
18	9	Leon Griffin	AUS	08:49:21	09:22:10	00:38:33	04:40:23	03:25:25	19% +0% -81% (7)	(198)
19	11	AJ Baucco	USA	08:49:41	09:08:12	00:39:51	04:49:17	03:15:33	64% +0% -36% (7)	(157)
20	13	Raymond Botelho	USA	08:53:20	09:35:31	00:41:01	04:41:36	03:25:43	32% +36% -31% (14)	235
21	28	James Lubinski	USA	08:56:26	09:28:28	00:47:53	04:54:47	03:08:46	38% +35% -27% (17)	217
22	12	Blake Becker	USA	08:58:47	09:40:32	00:40:22	04:55:59	03:17:25	9% +29% -62% (20)	(245)
23	27	Colin Laughery	USA	09:00:38	09:22:30	00:44:32	04:57:27	03:13:39	100% +0% -0% (3)	199
24	31	Kyle Pawlaczyk	USA	09:04:32	09:58:22	00:42:17	05:00:58	03:16:17	4% +12% -84% (9)	(271)
25	32	Patrick Schuster	USA	09:13:17	09:42:41	00:47:32	04:55:48	03:24:57	50% +25% -24% (7)	252
26	29	Brent Mcburney	USA	09:18:14	09:43:34	00:44:59	05:05:17	03:22:58	14% +61% -25% (5)	254
27	26	Peter Kotland	CZE	09:23:52	09:55:20	00:44:19	05:01:00	03:33:34	62% +21% -17% (22)	268
28	33	Matt Shanks	USA	09:25:54	09:57:46	00:45:32	05:12:02	03:23:19	100% +0% -0% (2)	(270)
29	36	Dantley Young	USA	09:35:05	10:11:56	00:50:29	05:17:08	03:22:28	1% +16% -83% (8)	(281)
30	35	Robbie Wade	IRL	09:43:23	10:23:11	00:44:15	05:07:01	03:47:06	39% +0% -61% (2)	(288)
31	19	Andrew Fast	USA	10:02:34	10:38:34	00:44:04	05:11:36	04:01:53	19% +28% -52% (4)	(291)
32	24	Tyler Jordan	USA	11:44:31	12:21:27	00:43:52	05:21:52	05:33:48	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(303)
	14	Patrick Brady	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (1 IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	18	Ivan Dominguez	USA	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	25	Clint Kimmins	AUS	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)
	34	Dusty Spiller	CAN	n/a	unrated	unrated	unrated	unrated	n/a (no IM Pro race)	(n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

The Chattanooga field has a very interesting mix of athletes. Marino Vanhoenacker has said good-bye to Kona but continues to race strong across all continents. If Marino is on form, he is the clear favorite. But there is a large number of athletes that will try to make it hard for him. With Matt Hanson and Jeff Symonds there are two athletes that have had some bad luck with injuries and DNFs, they’ll be battling for the fastest run but will be looking for more. In addition to Marino, Matt and Jeff there are six more athletes that have won a Pro Ironman race before!

• Marino Vanhoenacker: 59% (1-1)
• Matt Hanson: 14% (6-1)
• Viktor Zyemtsev: 7% (13-1)
• Jeff Symonds: 6% (17-1)
• Matthew Russell: 5% (21-1)
• Henrik Hyldelund: 3% (28-1)
• Daniel Bretscher: 2% (55-1)
• Esben Hovgaard: 2% (59-1)
• Eric Limkemann: 2% (63-1)