Ironman Germany 2017 (July 9th) – Seedings

IMGermanyLogoThe final Regional Championship race is coming up, known either as the Ironman European Championships, IM Germany or IM Frankfurt. It is the last race with “big points” for Kona. Most of the top seeds only need to “validate” their slots after a good Kona result, but a lot of athletes have raced earlier in the season but without the result they were looking for, so most of the field is hoping for a lot of points to be able to qualify for Kona.

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Normann Stadler (GER) 08:20:50 Lisa Bentley (CAN) 09:15:31
2006 Cameron Brown (NZL) 08:13:40 Andrea Steinbecher (GER) 09:16:17
2007 Timo Bracht (GER) 08:09:15 Nicole Leder (GER) 09:04:11
2008 Chris McCormack (AUS) 07:59:55 Chrissie Wellington (GBR) 08:51:24
2009 Timo Bracht (GER) 07:59:15 Sandra Wallenhorst (GER) 08:58:08
2010 Andreas Raelert (GER) 08:05:15 Sandra Wallenhorst (GER) 09:04:27
2011 Faris Al-Sultan (GER) 08:13:50 Caroline Steffen (SUI) 09:12:13
2012 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:03:31 Caroline Steffen (SUI) 08:52:33
2013 Eneko Llanos (ESP) 07:59:58 Camilla Pedersen (DEN) 08:56:01
2014 Sebastian Kienle (GER) 07:55:14 Corinne Abraham (GBR) 08:52:40
2015 Jan Frodeno (GER) 07:49:48 Daniela Ryf (SUI) 08:51:00
2016 Sebastian Kienle (GER) 07:52:43 Melissa Hauschildt (AUS) 09:01:17

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:52:12 04:12:12 02:44:12 07:52:43
2 Andi Boecherer GER 00:48:41 04:15:27 02:45:02 07:53:40
3 Eneko Llanos ESP 00:49:11 04:15:21 03:00:33 08:09:08

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Melissa Hauschildt AUS 00:59:15 04:57:10 03:00:12 09:01:17
2 Katja Konschak GER 00:56:05 05:06:45 02:59:29 09:09:58
3 Daniela Saemmler GER 00:58:18 04:56:54 03:12:47 09:13:23

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:49:48 Jan Frodeno 2015-07-05
Swim overall 00:42:17 Jan Sibbersen 2004-07-12
Bike overall 04:08:43 Jan Frodeno 2015-07-05
Run overall 02:42:08 Will Clarke 2016-07-03
Total female 08:51:00 Daniela Ryf 2015-07-05
Swim female 00:45:04 Amanda Stevens 2012-07-08
Bike female 04:44:25 Natascha Badmann 2014-07-06
Run female 02:57:13 Kristin Moeller 2013-07-07

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Germany is 15:28.

Race Adjustments for IM Germany

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 06:40 01:17 07:25 -04:44 21 06:40 01:17 07:25 -04:44
2006 14:02 n/a n/a n/a 21 10:21 01:17 07:25 -04:44
2007 27:36 02:16 16:42 06:14 35 16:06 01:47 12:03 00:45
2008 30:17 04:53 10:36 06:21 21 of 28 19:39 02:49 11:34 02:37
2009 22:50 03:30 15:52 00:10 19 of 25 20:17 02:59 12:39 02:00
2010 11:33 01:20 05:55 00:52 30 18:50 02:39 11:18 01:47
2011 10:37 01:54 06:10 00:20 41 17:39 02:32 10:27 01:32
2012 12:24 04:20 05:29 01:27 37 17:00 02:47 09:44 01:31
2013 18:03 02:45 10:25 03:40 69 17:07 02:47 09:49 01:48
2014 14:11 02:25 14:57 01:01 39 of 56 16:49 02:44 10:23 01:42
2015 05:18 00:00 08:30 -03:44 32 of 44 15:47 02:28 10:12 01:10
2016 12:04 -01:31 11:26 05:06 44 of 61 15:28 02:06 10:19 01:31

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Germany is a P-4000 race. It has a total prize purse of 150.000 US$.

Estimated Time Plan

The following table shows the time plan for the race start and the estimated times for the first athlete in the transition zones or across the finish line. The estimates are based on the start time and my time estimates, these times can change based on how fast or slow the race ends up:

What Est. Racetime Est. Local Time
Male Pro Start 06:30
Female Pro Start 06:32
Rolling Age Group Start 06:40 – 07:00
First Male in T1 00:44:43 07:14
First Female in T1 00:45:39 07:17
First Male in T2 05:04:41  11:34
First Female in T2 05:43:45  12:15
Male Winner 07:53:04  14:23
Female Winner 08:59:51  15:31

Frankfurt is on Central European Summer Time, 2 hours ahead of UTC. Here are the conversions to a few other time zones:

  • + 8 hours: Sydney (AEST), race starts at 14:30
  • – 1 hour: United Kingdom (BST), race starts at 5:30
  • – 6 hours: US East Coast (EDT), race starts at 12:30am
  • – 9 hours: US West Coast (PDT), race starts at 9:30pm on Saturday

German TV will cover the race and will show it on hr3 (available in Germany and adjacent countries). Ironman is going to pick up the pictures and will add their own commentary. The IMLive stream will be available worldwide through Ironman.com.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 20% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 1 Sebastian Kienle GER 07:53:04 08:08:32 00:48:27 04:11:43 05:05:11 02:47:53 98% +0% -2% (13) 2
2 3 Patrick Lange GER 07:53:32 08:14:49 00:45:58 04:27:44 05:18:42 02:34:50 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (3)
3 2 Andi Boecherer GER 07:54:21 08:17:13 00:45:10 04:14:31 05:04:41 02:49:40 56% +43% -2% (15) 4
4 11 Patrik Nilsson SWE 07:57:02 08:19:21 00:46:30 04:23:14 05:14:44 02:42:18 27% +51% -22% (8) 7
5 6 Bas Diederen NED 08:07:08 08:26:29 00:46:00 04:21:56 05:12:56 02:54:12 47% +6% -47% (19) 22
6 16 Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 08:07:15 08:35:32 00:45:31 04:28:49 05:19:20 02:47:55 42% +10% -48% (15) (55)
7 57 Ivan Tutukin RUS 08:09:29 08:41:47 00:45:59 04:37:51 05:28:50 02:40:39 43% +0% -57% (2) (76)
8 13 Marko Albert EST 08:13:02 08:31:02 00:44:43 04:25:09 05:14:52 02:58:10 96% +2% -2% (17) 33
9 5 Cyril Viennot * FRA 08:13:26 08:28:57 00:49:01 04:28:04 05:22:05 02:51:21 66% +11% -22% (19) 29
10 65 Jeff Symonds CAN 08:15:00 08:39:22 00:49:01 04:37:54 05:31:56 02:43:04 50% +0% -50% (10) 70
11 10 Giulio Molinari ITA 08:16:10 08:38:27 00:47:14 04:24:23 05:16:37 02:59:33 100% +0% -0% (2) (65)
12 20 Mark Bowstead NZL 08:16:42 08:34:41 00:46:28 04:28:07 05:19:35 02:57:07 100% +0% -0% (3) 48
13 14 Peru Alfaro ESP 08:17:30 08:40:35 00:45:25 04:31:55 05:22:20 02:55:10 82% +0% -18% (3) (73)
14 59 James Cunnama ZAF 08:18:58 08:33:24 00:47:24 04:28:59 05:21:23 02:57:35 65% +8% -27% (24) 41
15 60 Markus Fachbach GER 08:20:00 08:35:48 00:48:16 04:29:37 05:22:52 02:57:08 69% +1% -31% (20) 56
16 7 Michael Raelert GER 08:20:25 08:48:51 00:46:19 04:31:36 05:22:55 02:57:30 31% +0% -69% (4) (100)
17 64 Cameron Wurf AUS 08:20:37 08:45:13 00:47:00 04:16:14 05:08:13 03:12:24 18% +82% -0% (4) 86
18 22 Alberto Casadei ITA 08:23:06 08:44:37 00:46:05 04:38:09 05:29:14 02:53:52 34% +27% -39% (10) 82
19 36 Carlos Lopez Diaz ESP 08:24:58 08:58:31 00:46:10 04:34:32 05:25:43 02:59:15 12% +22% -66% (9) 132
20 47 Evert Scheltinga NED 08:26:37 08:54:42 00:47:06 04:26:08 05:18:13 03:08:24 60% +0% -40% (3) (116)
21 40 Ritchie Nicholls GBR 08:27:09 08:55:11 00:49:06 04:43:51 05:37:58 02:49:11 35% +0% -65% (7) 118
22 30 Esben Hovgaard DEN 08:28:14 08:52:12 00:50:14 04:32:39 05:27:53 03:00:21 41% +38% -21% (11) 108
23 45 Daniil Sapunov UKR 08:28:30 08:48:48 00:46:40 04:42:35 05:34:15 02:54:15 80% +20% -0% (5) 99
24 26 Trevor Delsaut * FRA 08:30:36 08:46:14 00:50:55 04:37:29 05:33:23 02:57:13 39% +5% -55% (27) 93
25 43 Ivan Risti ITA 08:31:09 09:09:32 00:46:04 04:39:38 05:30:42 03:00:27 32% +14% -54% (9) 165
26 35 Andreas Linden SWE 08:31:21 09:05:04 00:56:32 04:19:10 05:20:43 03:10:38 49% +0% -51% (2) (157)
27 38 Matic Modic SLO 08:31:49 09:04:00 00:53:22 04:37:42 05:36:04 02:55:45 45% +11% -44% (12) 153
28 44 Michael Ruenz GER 08:31:52 08:51:46 00:53:41 04:38:07 05:36:48 02:55:04 77% +0% -23% (10) 106
29 55 Thiago Vinhal BRA 08:31:58 08:57:06 00:47:33 04:42:59 05:35:32 02:56:26 58% +34% -8% (13) 126
30 8 Horst Reichel GER 08:34:49 09:01:53 00:47:00 04:36:20 05:28:20 03:06:29 23% +13% -64% (17) 143
31 63 Sylvain Sudrie FRA 08:36:03 09:04:38 00:48:02 04:39:01 05:32:03 03:04:00 53% +0% -47% (2) (156)
32 33 Philipp Koutny SUI 08:36:08 08:56:04 00:50:19 04:36:20 05:31:39 03:04:29 44% +0% -56% (5) 120
33 51 Erik-Simon Strijk NED 08:37:28 08:57:34 00:51:20 04:36:57 05:33:17 03:04:11 73% +2% -25% (9) 128
34 29 Philip Graves GBR 08:40:56 08:54:47 00:47:35 04:30:13 05:22:48 03:18:08 100% +0% -0% (7) 116
35 18 Nick Baldwin SEY 08:41:06 09:05:26 00:51:17 04:37:00 05:33:17 03:07:49 60% +0% -40% (19) 159
36 9 Mike Schifferle * SUI 08:46:38 09:04:09 00:58:03 04:40:14 05:43:18 03:03:20 87% +11% -2% (63) 154
37 58 Peter Seidel GER 08:47:22 09:17:09 00:52:14 04:45:55 05:43:10 03:04:12 19% +36% -45% (4) 185
38 48 Youri Severin NED 08:48:05 09:31:30 00:45:21 04:41:17 05:31:39 03:16:26 27% +0% -73% (3) 228
39 53 Xavier Torrades ESP 08:50:49 09:10:13 00:47:52 04:47:15 05:40:07 03:10:42 57% +0% -43% (5) 168
40 28 Olivier Esser BEL 09:04:45 09:34:56 00:52:42 04:51:41 05:49:23 03:15:22 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (235)
41 34 Frederic Limousin FRA 09:06:42 09:29:54 00:50:59 04:52:45 05:48:45 03:17:57 61% +39% -0% (3) (226)
42 27 Sean Donnelly GER 09:08:33 09:51:55 00:46:01 04:41:39 05:32:40 03:35:53 12% +14% -74% (3) (262)
43 23 Bekim Christensen DEN 09:08:48 09:45:00 01:02:08 04:48:10 05:55:18 03:13:30 22% +0% -78% (2) (256)
44 49 Yu Shinozaki JPN 09:09:58 10:06:57 00:53:53 04:41:19 05:40:11 03:29:47 11% +18% -71% (11) (279)
45 24 Andres Darricau ARG 09:11:32 09:44:19 00:51:49 04:57:47 05:54:35 03:16:57 7% +93% -0% (2) (252)
46 61 David Jilek * CZE 09:12:55 09:38:54 00:55:38 04:50:27 05:51:04 03:21:51 64% +21% -15% (7) (241)
47 62 Alfred Rahm GER 09:20:44 09:47:11 01:01:41 04:55:34 06:02:14 03:18:30 57% +0% -43% (19) 257
48 50 Ohad Sinai ISR 09:23:08 09:54:20 00:55:54 05:12:22 06:13:16 03:09:52 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (265)
49 42 Lukas Polan * CZE 09:31:30 10:07:24 01:00:35 05:00:26 06:06:01 03:25:29 32% +9% -60% (12) 280
50 19 Rob Bobbaers * BEL 09:48:20 10:20:58 00:59:29 04:58:48 06:03:16 03:45:04 65% +0% -35% (3) (286)
51 37 Charles Martin FRA 09:50:35 10:29:32 00:51:10 05:07:51 06:04:01 03:46:34 48% +0% -52% (2) (291)
52 52 Kevin Thewes GER 09:53:19 10:26:11 01:07:04 05:05:12 06:17:17 03:36:02 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (288)
53 39 Marek Nemcik * SVK 11:20:31 11:58:58 01:08:55 05:39:28 06:53:23 04:27:08 30% +19% -50% (39) 300
15 Michael Patrick Alonso Mckernan ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
17 Lucas Amirault FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
21 Ivan Caceres Lopez ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
31 Michal Ivanco * SVK n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
32 Alfonso Jimenez Hernandez ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
41 Yuri Novikau BLR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
46 Frederic Schaffner FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated 0% +0% -100% (4) (n/a)
54 Felipe Van de Wyngard CHI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
56 Lukasz Wojt POL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note:Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 31% of a typical Kona field.

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. T2 Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 101 Anja Beranek GER 08:59:51 09:16:56 00:49:54 04:48:51 05:43:45 03:16:06 83% +8% -9% (10) 9
2 105 Corinne Abraham * GBR 09:01:07 09:22:06 00:55:52 04:56:48 05:57:39 03:03:28 91% +9% -0% (11) 17
3 125 Lucy Charles GBR 09:02:25 09:36:35 00:45:39 04:53:34 05:44:13 03:18:12 38% +62% -0% (2) (39)
4 118 Elizabeth Lyles USA 09:05:40 09:28:38 00:54:12 05:01:23 06:00:34 03:05:06 56% +8% -37% (16) 28
5 103 Sarah Crowley AUS 09:06:20 09:27:07 00:54:10 04:54:56 05:54:06 03:12:14 49% +51% -0% (5) 23
6 119 Diana Riesler * GER 09:08:31 09:28:46 00:55:41 04:51:55 05:52:36 03:15:55 48% +10% -42% (20) 29
7 104 Sonja Tajsich GER 09:09:44 09:27:21 00:59:01 04:55:42 05:59:42 03:10:02 79% +4% -17% (23) 26
8 127 Michaela Herlbauer * AUT 09:09:52 09:27:17 00:54:07 05:03:10 06:02:17 03:07:35 77% +14% -9% (8) 25
9 116 Katja Konschak GER 09:15:33 09:47:52 00:51:40 05:10:34 06:07:14 03:08:19 53% +23% -24% (19) 58
10 124 Elisabeth Gruber AUT 09:17:11 09:37:42 00:59:14 05:06:17 06:10:31 03:06:40 95% +5% -0% (9) 40
11 102 Natascha Schmitt GER 09:18:26 10:03:02 00:51:55 04:58:51 05:55:46 03:22:40 33% +23% -43% (8) 81
12 121 Pamela Tastets CHI 09:22:03 09:47:44 00:54:51 05:03:12 06:03:03 03:19:00 100% +0% -0% (2) (57)
13 122 Magali Tisseyre CAN 09:22:15 09:53:24 00:52:00 05:04:10 06:01:10 03:21:05 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (69)
14 128 Laurel Wassner USA 09:23:07 09:44:50 00:52:18 05:13:08 06:10:25 03:12:42 63% +16% -21% (10) 54
15 123 Alexandra Tondeur BEL 09:24:52 09:45:22 00:57:47 05:09:33 06:12:21 03:12:31 73% +0% -27% (5) 55
16 111 Dimity-Lee Duke AUS 09:24:54 09:42:09 00:57:00 05:04:57 06:06:56 03:17:58 74% +12% -14% (13) 48
17 109 Camille Deligny FRA 09:30:14 09:56:35 00:59:48 04:56:06 06:00:55 03:29:19 53% +0% -47% (3) (73)
18 112 Katharina Grohmann GER 09:31:06 09:57:31 01:07:56 05:05:44 06:18:40 03:12:26 73% +27% -0% (16) 73
19 117 Shiao-yu Li TWN 09:41:11 10:04:20 01:03:08 05:14:17 06:22:25 03:18:46 47% +14% -39% (14) 88
20 120 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 09:56:38 10:20:47 01:09:13 05:18:25 06:32:38 03:24:00 70% +0% -30% (9) 120
21 113 Helena Herrero Gomez ESP 09:56:57 10:34:13 00:57:32 05:33:18 06:35:50 03:21:07 38% +0% -62% (8) 143
22 110 Annabel Diawuoh * GER 11:35:09 12:13:40 01:22:07 06:03:57 07:31:04 04:04:05 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (157)
108 Franziska Bossow * GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
114 Pleuni Hooijman NED n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
115 Annett Jalowi GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
126 Olga Kowalska * POL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note:Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Sebastian Kienle: 60% (1-1)
  • Andi Boecherer: 22% (4-1)
  • Patrik Nilsson: 15% (6-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Anja Beranek: 30% (2-1)
  • Lucy Charles: 19% (4-1)
  • Corinne Abraham: 18% (4-1)
  • Elizabeth Lyles: 12% (7-1)
  • Sarah Crowley: 9% (11-1)
  • Diana Riesler: 7% (13-1)

Kona Qualifying Situation

As IM Germany is a Regional Championship and there are Automatic Qualifier spots for the winners, every participant has a chance to qualify for Kona. Also the P-4000 race has a lot of KPR points so there are a lot of athletes that should be able to qualify even without winning the race. Here are the minimum finishes to get close to the cutoffs for most of the participants.

Male Race Participants

The male cutoff for July is projected to be around 3.500 points. With 3.780 Thiago Vinhal is already in a good position to qualify, I’d be surprised to see him racing.

  • Just finish to validate: Sebastian Kienle, Andi Böcherer, Patrick Lange
  • 10th or better (at least 685 points): Marko Albert
  • 8th (1070 points) or better: Cyril Viennot, Daniil Sapunov, Mark Bowstead
  • 6th (1670 points) or better: Ivan Tutukin, Giulio Molinari, Patrik Nilsson, Nick Baldwin, Carlos Diaz, Michael Raelert
  • 5th (2090 points) or better: James Cunnama, Cameron Wurf, Markus Fachbach, Philip Graves, Jeff Symonds
A podium finish (3rd place is 2.890 points) should be enough for Esben Hovgaard, Ivan Risti, Michael Ruenz, Trevor Delsaut, Bas Diederen, Phillip Koutny, and Peru Alfaro – the list gets almost too long to mention!

Female Race Participants

The female cutoff is likely to be around 4.300 points. Sarah Crowley (winner of IM Cairns) is already safe for Kona, but she indicated that she wants to try the “double” and see how she handles racing two Ironman so close together.

  • Just finish to validate: Anja Beranek
  • 12th (385 points) or better: Michi Herlbauer (though she’s likely racing IM Austria a week before)
  • 11th (515 points) or better: Liz Lyles
  • 10th (685 points) or better: Dimity-Lee Duke
  • 8th (1070 points) or better: Katharina Grohmann, Sonja Tajsich
  • 7th (1335 points) or better: Diana Riesler
  • 6th (1670 points) or better: Corinne Abraham
  • 5th (2090 points) or better: Lisi Gruber, Alexandra Tondeur, Pamela Tastets, Shiao-Yu Li
  • 4th (2455 points) or better: Katja Konschak, Lucy Charles, Magali Tisseyre
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