Ironman Hawaii 2013 – Analyzing Results

I’ve had a lot of fun following the Kona race through Twitter and updating my “Live Predictions” at kona.trirating.com. (It’s still up with the final results, so you can sort and analyze the results.) Rather than recount the exciting races (other sites will do a much better job than I can), I’ve decided to offer some additional insight by quickly doing my usual race analysis, noting where athletes went quicker (green) or slower (red) than expected by their previous results. For some fun, I’ve done a twitter roundup of the women’s race and the men’s race.

Race Conditions

The conditions in Kona were relatively fast. Kona has a course rating of -4:51, with the adjustments floating between -2 and -12 minutes. This year, the adjustment was 00:36, more than 10 minutes quicker as last year and even a bit faster than in 2011 when the it took course records to win both the men’s and women’s races.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Frederik Van Lierde BEL 00:51:02 04:25:35 02:51:18 08:12:29 -12:10
2 Luke McKenzie AUS 00:51:17 04:22:25 02:57:20 08:15:19 -25:48
3 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:54:13 04:22:33 02:58:35 08:19:24 -03:06
4 James Cunnama ZAF 00:51:13 04:34:21 02:52:37 08:21:46 -12:50
5 Timothy O’Donnell USA 00:51:04 04:35:37 02:51:07 08:22:25 -10:40
6 Ivan Rana ESP 00:51:06 04:40:34 02:47:54 08:23:43 -09:48
7 Tyler Butterfield BMU 00:51:24 04:30:10 02:58:22 08:24:09 -06:09
8 Bart Aernouts BEL 00:57:26 04:39:46 02:44:03 08:25:38 03:51
9 Timo Bracht GER 00:51:21 04:34:46 02:56:07 08:26:32 05:25
10 Faris Al-Sultan GER 00:51:19 04:29:56 03:05:46 08:31:13 07:43
11 Eneko Llanos ESP 00:51:28 04:34:44 03:01:49 08:32:04 13:42
12 Cyril Viennot FRA 00:54:13 04:38:15 02:56:47 08:33:12 -03:10
13 Igor Amorelli BRA 00:51:02 04:35:16 03:04:11 08:34:59 -05:46
14 Christian Ritter GER 00:51:08 04:44:33 02:55:39 08:35:23 -07:47
15 Ben Hoffman USA 00:51:12 04:40:29 03:00:28 08:36:25 01:15
16 Marko Albert EST 00:51:02 04:43:40 02:58:43 08:37:44 -01:10
17 Paul Amey GBR 00:54:10 04:45:43 02:55:17 08:39:20 -04:19
18 Matthew Russell USA 01:04:12 04:38:25 02:52:58 08:39:59 -14:08
19 Andrew Starykowicz USA 00:51:07 04:21:50 03:25:34 08:43:00 18:58
20 TJ Tollakson USA 00:53:41 04:38:00 03:07:24 08:43:56 05:24
21 Craig Alexander AUS 00:51:14 04:40:35 03:07:49 08:43:59 28:20
22 Brandon Marsh USA 00:50:51 04:40:54 03:08:31 08:45:11 -06:12
23 Jimmy Johnsen DEN 00:53:04 04:53:29 02:56:55 08:47:45 06:23
24 Daniel Halksworth GBR 00:51:06 04:48:34 03:05:27 08:49:33 03:02
25 Per Bittner GER 00:54:12 04:50:08 03:05:08 08:53:38 14:22
26 Stefan Schmid GER 00:57:31 04:50:16 03:01:17 08:53:56 08:33
27 David Plese SVN 00:57:50 04:56:34 03:01:49 09:00:59 23:10
28 Chris Legh AUS 01:00:02 04:49:51 03:07:43 09:01:42 -16:49
29 Dominik Berger AUT 00:51:33 04:53:41 03:11:59 09:01:50 02:01
30 Mike Schifferle SUI 01:04:08 04:47:55 03:03:18 09:01:52 -00:04
31 Luke Bell AUS 00:51:17 04:40:23 03:30:40 09:06:39 21:44
32 Pete Jacobs AUS 00:50:56 04:40:53 03:30:40 09:06:39 24:15
33 Balazs Csoke HUN 00:51:13 04:58:43 03:19:39 09:14:20 15:18
34 Horst Reichel GER 00:53:43 04:45:49 03:30:01 09:14:30 22:03
35 Axel Zeebroek BEL 00:51:11 04:47:30 03:31:31 09:15:16 29:02
36 Ben Cotter CAN 01:00:20 04:48:59 03:22:12 09:15:45 05:06
37 Ian Mikelson USA 00:54:10 05:03:44 03:16:57 09:19:13 24:41
38 Petr Vabrousek CZE 01:03:56 04:53:20 03:18:28 09:22:39 26:19
39 Thomas Gerlach USA 01:00:02 04:49:53 03:33:26 09:28:02 33:44
40 Bert Jammaer BEL 00:51:15 04:40:26 04:04:48 09:40:39 54:17
41 Maxim Kriat UKR 00:53:43 04:50:53 04:57:38 10:47:31 14:02

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Mirinda Carfrae AUS 00:58:50 04:58:20 02:50:38 08:52:14 -18:27
2 Rachel Joyce GBR 00:54:09 04:55:25 03:03:37 08:57:28 -17:54
3 Liz Blatchford GBR 00:54:07 04:57:40 03:03:23 09:03:35 -17:16
4 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 01:01:57 04:54:38 03:03:25 09:04:34 -08:33
5 Caroline Steffen SUI 00:54:10 04:57:50 03:11:55 09:09:09 -02:49
6 Caitlin Snow USA 00:58:47 05:08:05 02:58:53 09:10:12 -23:11
7 Meredith Kessler USA 00:54:06 04:55:13 03:16:35 09:10:19 -17:49
8 Michelle Vesterby DEN 00:54:12 04:55:53 03:16:31 09:11:13 -18:58
9 Gina Crawford NZL 00:54:14 05:04:17 03:11:18 09:14:47 -10:37
10 Linsey Corbin USA 00:59:11 05:07:50 03:04:54 09:17:22 -05:40
11 Amanda Stevens USA 00:54:06 05:00:32 03:18:48 09:17:57 -22:25
12 Leanda Cave GBR 00:54:04 04:58:54 03:27:38 09:25:07 -00:18
13 Jessie Donavan USA 01:12:46 04:59:38 03:08:03 09:25:16 -08:21
14 Natascha Badmann SUI 01:06:41 04:59:54 03:16:29 09:27:57 01:48
15 Kristin Moeller GER 01:13:05 05:09:54 03:04:18 09:31:41 -03:15
16 Elizabeth Lyles USA 01:01:55 05:14:02 03:12:36 09:32:54 -02:47
17 Amy Marsh USA 00:54:15 05:02:11 03:34:16 09:35:29 03:05
18 Rebecca Hoschke AUS 01:06:45 05:08:37 03:15:21 09:35:52 -07:53
19 Sofie Goos BEL 00:58:56 05:12:06 03:20:59 09:36:38 -01:52
20 Jennie Hansen USA 01:06:36 05:08:53 03:16:52 09:37:29 02:46
21 Britta Martin NZL 01:06:11 05:09:50 03:19:03 09:39:46 03:01
22 Kim Schwabenbauer USA 01:06:02 05:15:28 03:17:44 09:45:08 10:28
23 Ashley Clifford USA 00:59:05 05:18:48 03:26:48 09:49:49 10:41
24 Haley Chura USA 00:53:55 05:29:44 03:26:42 09:55:00 17:19
25 Mirjam Weerd NED 00:58:54 05:18:33 03:35:15 10:00:17 23:36
26 Anna Ross NZL 01:06:12 05:16:53 03:32:12 10:00:28 16:02
27 Eva Nystroem SWE 01:13:08 05:12:07 03:31:45 10:02:20 28:01

Trackbacks/Pingbacks

  1. Post 13 – 15 oct | - October 15, 2013

    […] de los resultados versus previsiones IM Hawaii 2013 http://www.trirating.com/ironman-hawaii-2013-analyzing-results/ 13 […]

  2. Revue du mois d’octobre | nakan.ch - October 31, 2013

    […] analyse plutôt complète des résultats de l’Ironman d’Hawai, ainsi que la désormais traditionnelle liste du matériel […]

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