Ironman Sweden 2018 (Aug 18th) – Seedings

IMSweden_LogoIM Sweden is one of the final races before the August cutoff for Kona Pro Qualifying. I have analyzed the situation for August Pro qualifying – who is currently in, who can still make it?

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2012 Jan Raphael (GER) 08:04:01 Asa Lundstroem (SWE) 09:13:27
2013 Pedro Gomes (POR) 08:19:30 Jodie Cunnama (GBR) 08:54:01
2014 Horst Reichel (GER) 08:13:01 Leanda Cave (GBR) 08:56:50
2015 Patrik Nilsson (SWE) 08:08:05 Astrid Stienen (GER) 09:12:27
2016 Kristin Moeller (GER) 09:14:39
2017 Clemente Alonso McKernan (ESP) 08:07:48

Last Year’s TOP 3

IM Sweden is one of the single-gender European races (the counterpart is IM Copenhagen). Here are the links to the full analysis for the 2017 Male race and the 2016 Female race.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 00:47:29 04:24:55 02:50:23 08:07:48
2 Cameron Wurf AUS 00:50:20 04:14:27 03:00:38 08:08:58
3 Esben Hovgaard DEN 00:51:25 04:32:37 02:58:03 08:25:18

Female Race Results (2016)

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Kristin Moeller GER 01:02:48 05:12:09 02:55:09 09:14:39
2 Lucie Reed CZE 00:54:03 05:11:35 03:11:11 09:21:31
3 Carolin Lehrieder GER 00:57:47 05:01:25 03:22:15 09:24:30

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:04:01 Jan Raphael 2012-08-18
Swim overall 00:47:29 Clemente Alonso McKernan 2017-08-19
Bike overall 04:14:27 Cameron Wurf 2017-08-19
Run overall 02:44:18 Viktor Zyemtsev 2014-08-16
Total female 08:54:01 Jodie Cunnama 2013-08-17
Swim female 00:48:30 Jodie Cunnama 2013-08-17
Bike female 04:48:42 Helene Malmkvist 2012-08-18
Run female 02:55:09 Kristin Moeller 2016-08-20

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Sweden is 17:27.

Race Adjustments for IM Sweden

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2012 32:30 00:42 23:32 09:15 29 32:30 00:42 23:32 09:15
2013 15:19 00:21 08:58 07:16 30 23:55 00:31 16:15 08:16
2014 15:09 -00:15 06:26 05:07 24 of 27 21:00 00:16 12:59 07:13
2015 03:15 -02:45 03:10 02:45 19 of 21 16:34 -00:29 10:32 06:06
2016 25:15 -00:40 14:00 06:23 5 18:18 -00:31 11:13 06:09
2017 13:11 01:51 13:26 01:12 16 of 21 17:27 -00:08 11:35 05:20

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Sweden is a P-2000, WPRO-only race. It has a total prize purse of 40.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Female Race Participants

The strength of the field is 23% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 5 Corinne Abraham GBR 08:58:00 09:17:44 01:00:22 04:53:03 05:58:26 02:59:34 77% +23% -0% (15) 12
2 17 Sara Svensk SWE 09:09:04 09:39:05 00:57:58 04:56:34 05:59:32 03:09:32 35% +23% -43% (5) 49
3 9 Michaela Herlbauer AUT 09:09:22 09:27:33 00:56:24 05:01:34 06:02:57 03:06:25 69% +9% -22% (10) 31
4 3 Kimberley Morrison GBR 09:09:52 09:38:48 00:54:49 04:47:22 05:47:10 03:22:42 100% +0% -0% (2) (48)
5 12 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 09:10:03 09:28:02 00:58:46 04:59:36 06:03:22 03:06:41 65% +0% -35% (4) 32
6 2 Asa Lundstroem SWE 09:10:08 09:28:16 01:01:17 04:55:45 06:02:02 03:08:06 99% +1% -0% (19) 33
7 20 Tine Deckers BEL 09:10:13 09:25:41 00:58:13 04:53:39 05:56:52 03:13:21 79% +3% -18% (24) 26
8 18 Sonja Tajsich GER 09:11:16 09:29:09 01:02:37 05:00:04 06:07:42 03:03:34 88% +2% -10% (25) 34
9 1 Sofie Goos BEL 09:17:07 09:39:30 00:58:32 05:02:23 06:05:55 03:11:12 61% +9% -29% (27) 50
10 4 Camilla Lindholm Borg SWE 09:18:53 09:50:17 01:09:21 04:56:54 06:11:16 03:07:37 80% +8% -12% (20) 70
11 7 Celine Schaerer SUI 09:19:44 09:37:12 00:51:25 05:08:18 06:04:43 03:15:01 80% +0% -20% (11) 43
12 21 Angela Naeth * CAN 09:23:28 09:52:32 00:59:31 04:50:40 05:55:10 03:28:18 38% +11% -51% (8) 73
13 6 Dede Griesbauer USA 09:25:18 09:45:55 00:53:21 04:56:03 05:54:23 03:30:55 55% +10% -34% (29) 58
14 15 Simona Krivankova CZE 09:30:02 09:56:04 01:05:52 05:06:37 06:17:28 03:12:34 89% +11% -0% (6) 81
15 16 Pamela Tastets CHI 09:30:06 09:53:22 00:57:33 05:08:19 06:10:52 03:19:14 100% +0% -0% (4) 75
16 13 Federica De Nicola ITA 09:34:46 10:08:54 01:00:15 05:01:24 06:06:39 03:28:07 52% +0% -48% (2) (100)
17 11 Renee Kiley AUS 09:51:28 10:26:36 01:01:35 05:12:01 06:18:36 03:32:52 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (129)
18 10 Emma Graaf SWE 09:51:38 10:33:13 00:59:31 05:17:02 06:21:33 03:30:05 33% +9% -57% (7) (136)
8 Annie Thoren SWE n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
14 Melanie Baumann SUI n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Note: Athletes with a ‘*’ are also registered for another race within 8 days.

Winning Odds

A few of the athletes are unlikely to start, for example Tine Deckers and Maja Stage Nielsen have already secured their Kona slots in July.

Female Race Participants

  • Corinne Abraham: 50% (1-1)
  • Asa Lundstroem: 12% (7-1)
  • Michaela Herlbauer: 9% (10-1)
  • Sara Svensk: 6% (16-1)
  • Camilla Lindholm Borg: 5% (21-1)
  • Maja Stage Nielsen: 4% (21-1)
  • Tine Deckers: 4% (23-1)
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