Kona 2018 Pro Qualifying Before the Final August Races

This post looks at Kona Pro Qualifying before the remaining races before the August cutoff:

Date Type Race Points
12-Aug 70.3 70.3 Steelhead P-750
18-Aug IM IM Sweden – WPRO only P-2000
19-Aug 70.3 70.3 Bintan P-500
19-Aug IM IM Copenhagen – MPRO only P-2000
19-Aug 70.3 70.3 Dun Laoghaire P-500
19-Aug IM IM Mont Tremblant P-2000

(The results from 70.3 Steelhead and 70.3 Dun Laoghaire did not influence the race for the August slots.)

There are more Ironman and 70.3 races in August, but they are already part of 2019 qualifying. The August qualifiers for 2018 are determined on August 19th.

The following analysis is built on the available start lists posted by Ironman and assumes that there are not going to be any late entries. As always, you can check start lists and seedings on TriRating.com.

Women’s Qualifying

August 18th: Updated after IM Sweden, August 19th: Updated after 70.3 Bintan

There are 7 Kona points slots (not counting the athletes already qualified in July) for the female Pros in August. The following table lists the athletes currently occupying the qualifying slots:

Rank Athlete Points Races Comments
1 Corinne Abraham 5.289 3+1
(2) Yvonne Van Vlerken 5.100 3+1 expected to decline (not interested in racing Kona)
3 Asa Lundstroem 4.390 3+1
4 Beth McKenzie 4.310 1+2
5 Katja Konschak 4.110 3+1
6 Angela Naeth 4.065 3+1
7 Camilla Lindholm Borg 3.920 3+1
8 Haley Chura 3.875 2+2

The following table lists what each of the athletes will need who are on one of the start lists and who can still overtake Katharina (who was initially the athlete in the last qualifying spot with 3.620 points), even if that is probably not going to be enough for securing a slot (i.e. even if one can pass Katharina, there are likely others that leap further ahead). In brackets I have added the (result) that will be needed to be quite certain of a slot (regardless of where others may finish, “n/a” meaning that even with a win a slot is not assured). For the women, the “magic number” of points to qualify in August should be just below 4.200, anyone who can pass Katja should be safe:

Athlete Points Races Registered for Needs
Liz Blatchford 3.535 1+2 IM Mont Tremblant 8th (5th)
Asa Lundstroem 3.510 3+1 IM Sweden 4th (2nd)
Laurel Wassner 3.480 2+2 IM Mont Tremblant (DNS) 4th (3rd)
Angela Naeth 3.425 2+2 IM Sweden, IM Mont Tremblant 4th (2nd)
Corinne Abraham 3.280 2+1 IM Sweden 7th (4th)
Lauren Brandon 3.210 2+2 IM Mont Tremblant 4th (2nd)
Meredith Kessler 3.205 1+2 IM Mont Tremblant 5th (3rd)
Dede Griesbauer 2.780 2+1 IM Sweden 4th (2nd)
Kim Morrison * 2.690 2+2 IM Sweden 2nd (Win)
Jessie Donavan 2.395 3+1 IM Mont Tremblant (DNS) Win (Win)
Sonja Tajsich 1.800 2+1 IM Sweden Win (n/a)

* Similar to Yvonne Van Vlerken, Kim Morrison has indicated that she would decline a Kona slot.

Update August 10th: With Sara no longer in the mix for an August slot, the cutoff will probably occur somewhere between Katja and Camilla, likely around 4.000 points. This slightly reduces the needed finishes, in most scenarios athletes should qualify by finishing one rank further down than listed above.

There are a lot more athletes registered for the remaining August races, you can check start lists and seedings on TriRating.com.

Men’s Qualifying

August 19th: Updated after IM Copenhagen

There are 10 Kona points slots (not counting the athletes qualified in July) for the male Pros in August. The following table lists the male Pros in the direct qualifying ranks:

Rank Athlete Points Races Comments
1 Philipp Koutny 4.925 3+1
2 Boris Stein 4.880 2+2
3 Marc Duelsen 4.250 3+1
4 Cyril Vienot 4.060 2+2
5 Giulio Molinari 3.610 3+1
6 Callum Millward 3.465 2+2
7 Simon Cochrane 3.420 3+1
8 Nick Kastelein 3.340 1+2
9 Nick Baldwin 3.305 3+1
10 Jonathan Shearon 3.290 3+1
Ben Kanute 3.200 0+2 not validated, no known IM plans
11 Tim Don 3.160 1+2 registered for IM Copenhagen (should be safe with a 7th)
12 Jeremy Jurkiewicz 3.125 3+1
Sam Appleton 3.105 0+2 not validated, no known IM plans

Boris Stein still needs an Ironman finish to be eligible for a slot. He is registered for IM Copenhagen and “just finishing” will secure a points slot for him. With Ben Kanute and Sam Appleton not being eligible for Kona (no Ironman finish), this means that currently Nick Baldwin occupies the last direct qualifying slot, but it’s safe to assume that a number of athletes are going to score and that more than 3.100 points will be needed.

The next table lists what each of the athletes will need who are on one of the start lists and who can still get to at least 3.105 points, even if that is probably not going to be enough for securing a slot (i.e. even if one can pass that mark, there are likely others that leap further ahead). In brackets I have added the (result) that will be needed to be quite certain of a slot (regardless of where others may finish, “n/a” meaning that even with a win a slot is not assured). For the men I consider 3.500 to be the “magic number” for an August slot, anyone who can pass Callum should be safe:

Athlete Points Races Registered for Needs
Andrej Vistica * 3.060 3+1 IM Copenhagen 4th (3rd)
Joe Gambles 2.885 1+2 IM Mont Tremblant 8th (5th)
Mark Bowstead 2.830 3+1 70.3 Indonesia 2nd (n/a)
Giulio Molinari 2.670 3+1 IM Copenhagen 4th (3rd)
Jesper Svensson 2.620 1+2 IM Copenhagen 6th (4th)
Patrick McKeon 2.595 2+1 IM Mont Tremblant (DNS) 6th (4th)
Jeff Symonds 2.320 2+0 IM Mont Tremblant 4th (3rd)
Sam Long 2.305 3+1 IM Mont Tremblant 3rd (2nd)
Matthew Russell 2.080 2+2 IM Mont Tremblant 3rd (2nd)
Cyril Viennot 2.060 1+2 IM Copenhagen 3rd (2nd)
Johann Ackermann 1.905 2+2 IM Copenhagen 2nd (Win)
Stefan Schmid 1.680 2+0 IM Copenhagen 2nd (Win)
Daniil Sapunov 1.465 2+2 IM Copenhagen Win (n/a)

* Andrej Vistica has announced that he will skip IM Copenhagen and is therefore out of the qualifying game.

As for the women, there are a lot more athletes registered for the remaining August races, you can check start lists and seedings on TriRating.com.

2 Responses to Kona 2018 Pro Qualifying Before the Final August Races

  1. Spandexboy August 14, 2018 at 1:01 am #

    Any idea whether Ironman will do the gracious or rather the right thing and give Matt Russell a special Kona slot given the horrible on course accident he had in Kona last year?

Trackbacks/Pingbacks

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