Challenge Anhui 2019 – Analyzing Results

ChallengeAnhuiCourse Conditions

This was the first edition of Challenge Anhui. After a fast swim and bike the run was pretty slow. With an overall adjustment of 6:39, the finishing times are comparable to IM Australia or IM New Zealand.

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Levi Maxwell AUS 00:48:11 04:30:36 02:45:33 08:08:41 -41:10 EUR 6,000
2 Steven McKenna AUS 00:45:47 04:32:36 02:53:47 08:17:27 n/a EUR 3,900
3 Thomas Davis GBR 00:43:38 04:29:01 03:00:26 08:17:55 n/a EUR 2,750
4 Erik-Simon Strijk NED 00:48:14 04:35:22 03:06:17 08:35:53 -03:16 EUR 1,900
5 Courtney Ogden AUS 00:48:10 04:45:37 03:08:42 08:48:01 09:23 EUR 1,500
6 Matthew Slee AUS 00:48:08 04:42:03 03:12:49 08:49:16 n/a EUR 1,200
7 Christian Altstadt GER 00:48:12 04:41:59 04:02:15 09:38:34 1:05:07 EUR 1,000
8 Jesse Vondracek USA 00:48:06 04:39:02 04:52:44 10:24:53 1:36:29 EUR 800
Simon Billeau FRA 00:53:34 04:41:53 DNF

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Meredith Hill AUS 00:53:09 04:56:54 03:17:28 09:14:06 -13:34 EUR 6,000
2 Lisa Roberts USA 00:58:04 05:05:46 03:14:41 09:24:00 06:39 EUR 3,900
3 Joanna Ryter SUI 01:01:51 05:14:38 03:23:43 09:44:51 24:07 EUR 2,750
4 Kierra Sansome AUS 00:56:07 05:35:44 03:33:02 10:11:12 -24:26 EUR 1,900

Ironman Florida 2019 (Nov 2nd) – Seedings

IMFloridaLikely DNS after Pro meeting (marked with a “?” in the list): Victor Del Corral, Philip Graves, Peru Alfaro, Max Biessmann, Andreas Borch, Alessandro Degasperi, Alan Dempsey, Patrick Brady, Ivan Dominguez, Lewis Elliot, Peter Kotland, Franz Loeschke, James Lubinski, Gustavo Rodriguez

Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2005 Marino Vanhoenacker (BEL) 08:28:26 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 09:33:09
2006 Jan Raphael (GER) 08:22:44 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 09:28:28
2007 Stephan Vuckovic (GER) 08:21:29 Nina Kraft (GER) 09:05:35
2008 Tom Evans (CAN) 08:07:59 Bella Bayliss (GBR) 09:07:48
2009 Kirill Kotshegarov (EST) 08:24:29 Sofie Goos (BEL) 09:08:38
2010 James Cunnama (ZAF) 08:15:59 Jessica Jacobs (USA) 09:07:49
2011 Ronnie Schildknecht (SUI) 07:59:42 Jessica Jacobs (USA) 08:55:10
2012 Andrew Starykowicz (USA) 08:06:17 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:51:35
2013 Victor Del Corral (ESP) 07:53:12 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:43:07
2014 Lionel Sanders (CAN) 06:58:46 Yvonne Van Vlerken (NED) 08:01:47

The last IM Florida that was a Pro race has been in 2014 which was also the year that the swim had to be canceled.

Last Race’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Lionel Sanders CAN 04:12:46 02:44:12 06:58:46
2 Tom Lowe GBR 04:25:07 02:50:35 07:17:53
3 Maxim Kriat UKR 04:33:28 02:48:52 07:24:50

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 04:55:57 03:03:06 08:01:47
2 Camilla Lindholm Borg SWE 05:14:05 03:20:03 08:36:28
3 Ashley Clifford USA 05:24:11 03:09:51 08:36:55

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 07:53:12 Victor Del Corral 2013-11-02
Swim overall 00:44:36 John Flanagan 2011-11-05
Bike overall 04:02:17 Andrew Starykowicz 2013-11-02
Run overall 02:37:29 Victor Del Corral 2013-11-02
Total female 08:43:07 Yvonne Van Vlerken 2013-11-02
Swim female 00:50:26 Tereza Macel 2007-11-03
Bike female 04:35:49 Yvonne Van Vlerken 2013-11-02
Run female 02:53:26 Jessica Jacobs 2011-11-05

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Florida is 22:13.

Race Adjustments for IM Florida

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2005 13:46 00:11 14:10 -00:35 48 13:46 00:11 14:10 -00:35
2006 15:58 -01:35 11:45 05:48 63 14:52 -00:42 12:57 02:38
2007 26:44 01:19 19:24 06:02 78 18:49 -00:02 15:06 03:46
2008 28:18 01:01 20:36 06:41 55 21:12 00:14 16:29 04:30
2009 21:54 -00:57 19:00 03:52 35 of 43 21:20 00:00 16:59 04:22
2010 17:37 00:33 13:55 03:10 40 20:43 00:05 16:28 04:10
2011 23:29 00:29 18:35 04:25 34 21:07 00:09 16:46 04:12
2012 18:51 -03:02 22:52 -00:59 48 20:50 -00:15 17:31 03:34
2013 33:24 -01:15 27:12 07:26 63 of 81 22:13 -00:21 18:36 04:00

Kona slots and Prize Money

IM Florida has 2 Pro Kona slot(s). It has a total prize purse of 50.000 US$, paying 10 deep.

Male Race Participants

The strength of the field is 17% of a typical Kona field.

# Bib Name Nat Expected Rating ESwim EBike ET2 ERun Consistency Overall
1 3 Ben Hoffman USA 07:49:25 08:10:08 00:49:08 04:12:22 05:06:29 02:42:56 55% +25% -20% (22) 4
2 37 Franz Loeschke ? GER 07:50:55 08:26:48 00:48:11 04:18:05 05:11:15 02:39:40 24% +35% -41% (3) (34)
3 4 Joe Skipper GBR 07:56:19 08:16:34 00:51:55 04:13:24 05:10:19 02:46:00 64% +6% -30% (26) 12
4 6 Brent McMahon CAN 07:56:40 08:16:16 00:48:19 04:17:44 05:11:02 02:45:38 56% +0% -44% (15) 10
5 1 Andrew Starykowicz USA 07:59:27 08:27:17 00:49:05 04:00:31 04:54:36 03:04:51 30% +40% -30% (13) 36
6 7 Ruedi Wild SUI 08:02:06 08:22:31 00:49:07 04:18:49 05:12:56 02:49:10 67% +5% -28% (9) 23
7 10 Matthew Russell USA 08:03:12 08:24:18 00:54:22 04:13:34 05:12:56 02:50:16 62% +23% -15% (54) 28
8 44 Jesper Svensson SWE 08:04:17 08:30:08 00:46:50 04:16:26 05:08:16 02:56:01 56% +0% -44% (5) 48
9 21 Denis Chevrot FRA 08:05:01 08:27:42 00:48:25 04:21:49 05:15:13 02:49:48 85% +1% -13% (19) 39
10 25 Alessandro Degasperi ? ITA 08:08:08 08:33:11 00:51:11 04:24:17 05:20:28 02:47:40 55% +0% -45% (19) 58
11 12 Peru Alfaro San Ildefonso ? ESP 08:10:57 08:41:31 00:47:57 04:27:25 05:20:22 02:50:35 53% +0% -47% (7) 85
12 11 Sam Proctor GBR 08:12:56 08:43:11 00:49:31 04:25:32 05:20:03 02:52:53 100% +0% -0% (2) (92)
13 32 Tripp Hipple USA 08:13:11 08:45:47 00:52:26 04:17:56 05:15:22 02:57:49 40% +49% -11% (7) 103
14 2 Victor Del Corral ? ESP 08:13:41 08:35:54 00:55:55 04:21:54 05:22:49 02:50:52 41% +0% -59% (24) 67
15 5 Johann Ackermann GER 08:13:50 08:40:04 00:48:34 04:19:12 05:12:46 03:01:04 65% +0% -35% (12) (78)
16 42 Gustavo Rodriguez Iglesias ? ESP 08:14:33 08:43:22 00:53:35 04:21:23 05:19:59 02:54:34 73% +17% -10% (8) 92
17 20 Tyler Butterfield BMU 08:16:11 08:40:17 00:50:01 04:20:51 05:15:52 03:00:19 62% +11% -27% (19) 79
18 31 Pedro Gomes POR 08:18:24 08:51:16 00:52:26 04:29:30 05:26:55 02:51:29 46% +9% -45% (38) 120
19 39 Justin Metzler USA 08:20:43 09:14:55 00:49:40 04:26:17 05:20:57 02:59:46 27% +29% -44% (3) (202)
20 15 Cedric Boily CAN 08:21:00 08:55:40 00:52:30 04:25:30 05:22:59 02:58:01 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (134)
21 9 Philip Graves ? GBR 08:24:00 08:56:02 00:49:36 04:17:40 05:12:16 03:11:44 20% +20% -60% (14) 136
22 24 Scott Defilippis USA 08:24:49 08:58:22 00:55:43 04:33:29 05:34:11 02:50:38 49% +24% -27% (27) 148
23 19 David Breuer GER 08:25:20 08:55:08 00:49:58 04:24:42 05:19:40 03:05:40 100% +0% -0% (2) (133)
24 45 Raul Tejada GTM 08:27:25 08:52:02 00:54:14 04:32:46 05:31:59 02:55:26 100% +0% -0% (3) 122
25 22 Karl-Johan Danielsson SWE 08:28:12 09:00:34 00:51:17 04:21:56 05:18:14 03:09:58 44% +26% -30% (20) 156
26 35 Bjoern Laibacher GER 08:34:01 09:09:35 00:54:50 04:29:39 05:29:29 03:04:32 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (183)
27 29 Clay Emge USA 08:35:01 09:02:33 00:54:09 04:33:59 05:33:08 03:01:53 93% +0% -7% (5) 163
28 18 Patrick Brady ? USA 08:35:36 09:06:37 00:59:15 04:31:53 05:36:08 02:59:28 6% +44% -49% (7) 176
29 47 Brad Williams USA 08:37:12 09:10:11 00:55:00 04:32:38 05:32:38 03:04:34 29% +61% -9% (5) 185
30 46 Hans Christian Tungesvik NOR 08:39:53 09:10:17 00:55:42 04:34:36 05:35:17 03:04:36 100% +0% -0% (2) (186)
31 16 Andreas Borch ? DEN 08:40:24 09:08:40 00:50:38 04:34:19 05:29:57 03:10:27 41% +0% -58% (12) 181
32 41 Jason Pohl CAN 08:47:56 09:13:15 00:59:35 04:43:44 05:48:19 02:59:37 82% +0% -18% (5) 195
33 36 Colin Laughery USA 08:49:08 09:19:00 00:57:06 04:38:12 05:40:17 03:08:51 66% +10% -24% (14) 210
34 38 James Lubinski ? USA 08:52:46 09:25:46 01:03:59 04:40:46 05:49:45 03:03:01 61% +14% -25% (25) 223
35 30 Jonathan Fecik USA 08:54:04 09:37:22 00:57:32 04:36:52 05:39:23 03:14:41 24% +28% -48% (8) 242
36 43 Matthew Shanks USA 08:55:59 09:31:23 00:57:48 04:45:50 05:48:38 03:07:21 44% +31% -26% (9) (235)
37 17 Raymond Botelho USA 09:02:06 09:38:13 00:56:31 04:32:29 05:33:59 03:28:07 22% +6% -72% (19) 245
38 33 Derek Kidwell USA 09:03:20 09:46:45 00:52:15 04:24:46 05:22:01 03:41:19 29% +0% -71% (2) (253)
39 28 Lewis Elliot ? USA 09:19:21 09:41:07 00:54:45 04:38:46 05:38:31 03:40:50 60% +1% -38% (19) 249
40 13 Alexander Berggren SWE 09:19:56 10:07:49 00:47:39 04:50:23 05:43:02 03:36:54 46% +54% -0% (2) (264)
41 34 Peter Kotland ? CZE 09:23:21 09:57:05 00:59:51 04:49:09 05:53:59 03:29:22 73% +6% -21% (30) 261
42 14 Max Biessmann ? USA 09:41:51 10:19:21 00:51:24 04:41:37 05:38:01 04:03:50 13% +0% -87% (3) 268
43 27 Ivan Dominguez ? USA 09:48:09 10:41:29 00:55:33 04:54:04 05:54:37 03:53:32 13% +0% -87% (3) (272)
8 Taylor Reid CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
23 Michiel De Wilde BEL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
26 Alan Dempsey ? CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
40 Yorlliry Moreno VEN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Ben Hoffman: 43% (1-1)
  • Franz Loeschke: 20% (4-1)
  • Joe Skipper: 10% (9-1)
  • Andrew Starykowicz: 10% (9-1)
  • Matthew Russell: 7% (13-1)
  • Brent McMahon: 6% (17-1)
  • Denis Chevrot: 2% (52-1)

Ironman Hawaii 2019 – Analyzing Results

Kona2019LogoCourse Conditions

Last year’s conditions were super-fast – this year’s results indicate that times were slower by maybe two minutes (2018 adjustment 4:18 vs. 2:13 for this year). The bike was about five minutes slower than last year, but a bike adjustment of 6:39 is still one the fastest ever in Kona. (Cameron Wurf is a good example of this difference: Last year he rode a 4:09, this year a 4:14, still the 9th -fastest ever in Kona.) The slightly slower bike was balanced with a run that was about three and a half minutes faster than last year.

We’ve seen Jan Frodeno break the men’s course record from last year: His 7:51:13 was 1:26 faster than last year’s winning time. Anne Haug’s 2:51:07 marathon is the third-fastest ever in Kona, but still 41 seconds slower than Rinny’s 2014 course record.

Kona Qualifying

Kona offers Automatic Qualifier slots for the podium finishers:

  • Women: Anne Haug, Lucy Charles, Sarah Crowley
  • Men: Jan Frodeno, Tim O’Donnell, Sebastian Kienle

These slots still have to be validated with an Ironman finish before August 2020.

Male Race Results

2019 Kona Frodo

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Jan Frodeno GER 00:47:31 04:16:02 02:42:43 07:51:13 -05:27 US$ 120,000
2 Timothy O’Donnell USA 00:47:38 04:18:11 02:49:45 07:59:41 -14:44 US$ 60,000
3 Sebastian Kienle GER 00:52:17 04:15:04 02:49:56 08:02:04 02:54 US$ 40,000
4 Ben Hoffman USA 00:51:01 04:24:01 02:43:08 08:02:52 -08:39 US$ 22,500
5 Cameron Wurf AUS 00:52:25 04:14:44 02:55:03 08:06:41 -08:38 US$ 19,000
6 Joe Skipper GBR 00:52:28 04:16:18 02:53:30 08:07:46 -09:42 US$ 16,000
7 Braden Currie NZL 00:47:41 04:30:30 02:46:25 08:08:48 -05:06 US$ 14,000
8 Philipp Koutny SUI 00:52:20 04:15:14 02:57:50 08:10:29 -16:10 US$ 12,500
9 Bart Aernouts BEL 00:57:03 04:19:47 02:51:08 08:12:27 -02:03 US$ 11,000
10 Chris Leiferman USA 00:52:29 04:24:20 02:52:19 08:13:37 -00:16 US$ 10,000
11 Jan van Berkel SUI 00:50:53 04:32:09 02:47:36 08:15:19 -06:30
12 Tim Reed AUS 00:51:02 04:25:53 02:55:51 08:17:37 -05:49
13 Michael Weiss AUT 00:57:05 04:21:37 02:54:34 08:18:02 01:05
14 Andy Potts USA 00:50:57 04:24:16 02:58:58 08:19:30 01:20
15 Daniel Baekkegard DEN 00:47:35 04:37:18 02:49:50 08:19:38 06:40
16 Tim Van Berkel AUS 00:51:44 04:31:01 02:52:37 08:20:16 00:22
17 Matthew Russell USA 00:52:23 04:17:25 03:07:22 08:22:18 -00:06
18 Kristian Hogenhaug DEN 00:52:21 04:15:21 03:10:28 08:23:36 02:28
19 Cyril Viennot FRA 00:52:18 04:29:08 02:57:48 08:23:53 -04:42
20 Nils Frommhold GER 00:50:47 04:24:29 03:05:10 08:24:56 14:56
21 Alistair Brownlee GBR 00:47:33 04:19:58 03:13:00 08:25:03 n/a
22 Lionel Sanders CAN 00:52:22 04:15:22 03:13:42 08:25:54 11:21
23 Marc Duelsen GER 00:52:21 04:28:26 03:01:14 08:26:35 01:20
24 Daniil Sapunov UKR 00:50:55 04:33:57 02:58:07 08:28:22 -10:49
25 Will Clarke GBR 00:52:20 04:30:29 03:01:13 08:29:00 -00:31
26 David Plese SLO 00:52:28 04:31:56 02:59:56 08:30:03 06:57
27 Mario De Elias ARG 00:56:59 04:36:06 02:53:11 08:30:59 -14:28
28 Matt Trautman ZAF 00:52:14 04:25:06 03:11:25 08:33:05 10:43
29 Eneko Llanos ESP 00:51:03 04:40:18 02:56:21 08:33:29 13:12
30 Frank Silvestrin BRA 00:50:55 04:41:52 02:59:04 08:37:06 -05:14
31 Tobias Drachler GER 00:52:08 04:41:40 03:01:59 08:40:44 17:27
32 James Cunnama ZAF 00:52:12 04:27:59 03:16:19 08:41:19 21:42
33 Josh Amberger AUS 00:47:28 04:27:16 03:25:25 08:44:29 19:57
34 Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 00:51:41 04:43:10 03:03:54 08:45:40 25:32
35 Daniel Fontana ITA 00:51:01 04:41:59 03:13:17 08:51:17 17:40
36 Joe Gambles AUS 00:51:47 04:31:01 03:26:18 08:54:14 34:01
37 Jesper Svensson SWE 00:47:42 04:27:33 03:41:22 09:00:53 44:52
38 Maurice Clavel GER 00:47:40 04:38:33 03:28:39 09:01:05 43:56
39 Mike Phillips NZL 00:50:55 04:33:55 03:36:02 09:05:29 48:14
40 Stefan Schumacher GER 01:04:31 04:30:16 03:26:58 09:08:54 36:13
41 Lukas Kraemer GER 00:57:50 04:48:40 03:54:52 09:47:15 1:18:37
Boris Stein GER 00:54:15 04:13:18 DNF
Patrik Nilsson SWE 00:50:49 04:25:51 DNF
Matt Hanson USA 00:52:23 04:38:34 DNF
Patrick Lange GER 00:47:40 DNF
Andi Boecherer GER 00:50:52 DNF
David McNamee GBR 00:50:59 DNF
TJ Tollakson USA 00:51:44 DNF
Cody Beals CAN 00:52:16 DNF
Franz Loeschke GER 00:52:19 DNF
Andreas Dreitz GER 00:54:26 DNF
Kennett Peterson USA 00:57:07 DNF

Female Race Results

2019 Kona Anne

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to exp. Prize Money
1 Anne Haug GER 00:54:09 04:50:17 02:51:07 08:40:10 -14:43 US$ 120,000
2 Lucy Charles-Barclay GBR 00:49:02 04:47:20 03:05:59 08:46:44 -09:21 US$ 60,000
3 Sarah Crowley AUS 00:54:05 04:50:13 02:59:20 08:48:13 -12:51 US$ 40,000
4 Laura Philipp GER 00:59:03 04:45:04 03:02:11 08:51:42 02:22 US$ 22,500
5 Heather Jackson USA 00:59:12 04:46:45 03:04:17 08:54:44 -09:25 US$ 19,000
6 Kaisa Sali FIN 00:59:14 04:53:53 02:57:18 08:55:33 -05:02 US$ 16,000
7 Corinne Abraham GBR 01:02:46 04:51:15 02:59:28 08:58:38 -11:38 US$ 14,000
8 Carrie Lester AUS 00:54:15 04:50:01 03:09:37 08:58:40 -07:23 US$ 12,500
9 Daniela Bleymehl GER 00:59:06 04:45:08 03:19:32 09:08:30 -01:35 US$ 11,000
10 Linsey Corbin USA 00:59:09 05:00:25 03:03:50 09:09:06 -00:45 US$ 10,000
11 Maja Stage Nielsen DEN 00:59:04 05:00:47 03:05:47 09:10:28 -11:02
12 Imogen Simmonds SUI 00:54:10 04:53:25 03:21:00 09:13:20 04:56
13 Daniela Ryf SUI 00:54:20 04:54:19 03:20:36 09:14:26 30:17
14 Sarah Piampiano USA 01:04:36 04:57:04 03:08:54 09:16:29 02:00
15 Gurutze Frades Larralde ESP 01:04:38 05:08:07 02:58:45 09:16:50 -12:11
16 Els Visser NED 01:02:44 04:51:43 03:19:42 09:18:42 -12:49
17 Kristin Liepold GER 01:15:24 05:02:21 03:00:24 09:23:13 -07:01
18 Annah Watkinson ZAF 00:59:14 05:05:19 03:16:09 09:26:03 -02:33
19 Susie Cheetham GBR 00:59:02 05:00:17 03:22:41 09:27:21 16:41
20 Svenja Thoes GER 00:59:07 05:02:16 03:23:49 09:30:50 22:55
21 Mareen Hufe GER 00:59:12 05:03:28 03:22:52 09:30:51 08:17
22 Lesley Smith USA 00:59:03 05:14:16 03:11:40 09:31:40 10:12
23 Nikki Bartlett GBR 00:59:14 04:58:09 03:31:24 09:34:04 06:02
24 Caroline Steffen SUI 00:59:01 05:08:44 03:23:53 09:37:11 22:51
25 Laura Siddall GBR 01:04:34 05:04:43 03:28:20 09:42:52 27:57
26 Kimberley Morrison GBR 00:58:58 04:54:22 03:45:23 09:44:19 22:58
27 Nina Derron SUI 00:59:05 05:11:48 03:30:52 09:46:27 16:16
28 Jeanni Seymour ZAF 00:54:07 05:08:17 03:37:55 09:46:54 38:48
29 Martina Kunz SUI 01:09:17 05:08:43 03:24:20 09:48:17 06:29
30 Bianca Steurer AUT 01:04:32 05:19:49 03:35:43 10:06:31 36:02
31 Lauren Brandon USA 00:49:08 05:11:20 04:10:13 10:16:10 50:28
32 Danielle Mack USA 01:08:16 05:33:15 03:35:16 10:22:35 41:57
33 Meredith Kessler USA 00:54:21 05:28:47 04:57:36 11:27:45 1:05:40
34 Jennifer Spieldenner USA 00:54:00 05:22:41 05:03:36 11:28:22 n/a
35 Sue Huse CAN 01:51:02 05:39:16 04:11:50 11:52:45 1:53:55
Jen Annett CAN 01:02:49 05:12:03 DNF
Camilla Pedersen DEN 00:54:13 05:23:58 DNF
Jocelyn McCauley USA 00:54:02 DNF
Sarah True USA 00:54:03 DNF
Kelsey Withrow USA 00:54:17 DNF
Mirinda Carfrae AUS 00:59:10 DNF
Emma Bilham SUI 01:01:17 DNF

Kona 2019 Kings & Queens: Patrick Lange

Kona Kings & Queens is a collaboration project with sports photographer James Mitchell to highlight some of the Pros racing in Kona. James supplies his awesome pictures (for more check his Instagram account), I add some data and commentary.

JM KoK Patrick Lange

PatrickPoints

BibPatrickM1

Patrick Lange is the Kona winner of the last two years. He holds both the run course record and the overall course record. So obviously he’s the favorite to win Kona 2019 as well?

As the saying goes, you’re only as good as your last race. Applying this yardstick, others are the Kona frontrunners. Patrick’s season started well with a win against a solid field at 70.3 Vietnam in May, but his performance in Frankfurt was a disappointment. He was riding in a bigger bike group that lost seven minutes in the first 100k to Frodo and Sebi, then suffered a flat that he had to fix in the middle of downtown Frankfurt with thousands of spectators around him. He went on to finish the race in 11th place – after all he needed a full Ironman to validate his Kona slot. Even if he wasn’t in a position to play a big role at 70.3 Worlds, his result was another disappointment: A solid swim was followed by losing a lot of time on the bike, and even a good 1:11 run only resulted in a 23rd place for him. These results certainly put a big question mark on his chances for another Kona title this year.

Then again, this story isn’t really new and pretty much a copy of his last two seasons, both of which ended with Kona wins and new course records. When he raced Ironman Frankfurt in 2017 and 2018 and wasn’t able to seriously contend for the win, finishing 6th and 3rd about ten minutes behind the winner. “The start of the season 2018 didn’t go well, but I was quickly able to identify why I hadn’t been able to win. I learned a lot and was able to make the appropriate changes. It was too bad that I had been written off, but it helped to take a bit of the pressure off for Hawaii”.

Of course the conditions and how the races developed played into his hands, but winning Kona two times in a row takes a lot more than a bit of luck. Patrick has posted the fastest run splits in Kona for the last three years, starting with his run course record of 2:39:45 in 2016. In all likelihood he will also be one of the fastest runners in 2019. In order for him to be able to run himself into another win (or at least a podium), coming off the bike he can only afford to be just a few minutes behind stronger bikers that will be able to run in the 2:45 to 2:50 range. As in the last years, this will put the pressure on him in the swim and especially on the bike, and other athletes will expect him to put in the effort needed to keep the bike leaders in view. For quite some time he has said that “I’m only seen as a runner, but I feel I’m under-rated on the bike. Because I was further behind than expected after the swim last year, I had to take some extra risks at the start of the bike. If I had stuck to my original plan, it would have cost me the title. The decision to take the risk and to go with the stronger bike riders showed to me how much I have improved and that I have been able to absorb the hard session in the mountains. The run might have looked under control from the outside, but I struggled a lot with the heat. To be honest, the first part of the run was tough: My competition started to attack from the first kilometers and I decided to let them go. This was a decisive moment – after 8k I found back into the race and was able to catch up to the others again. From then on, my head was back in the game as well.”

It’s clear that once again he plans to use his heat camp in Texas to get into his best physical shape possible but also the right frame of mind. Last year “in Texas I was able to completely focus on my training for the first time since Kona 2017. I almost didn’t have any contact with the outside world, only my coach, my family and my training partners. That’s what flipped the switch.”

Following his performance in the swim and bike will probably require a bit more digging through the tracker data as the race goes on. If he’s not on point on race day, we might only see him for short glimpses in the live coverage. But if he manages to get things right again, he’ll get a lot of camera time in the second half of the run.


This is an excerpt from my “Kona 2019 Rating Report”. You can download your copy here.

Kona 2019 Kings & Queens: Daniela Ryf

Kona Kings & Queens is a collaboration project with sports photographer James Mitchell to highlight some of the Pros racing in Kona. James supplies his awesome pictures (for more check his Instagram account), I add some data and commentary.

JM QoK Daniela Ryf

DanielaPoints

DaniBibF1

When writing about Daniela and her chances in Kona, there are two different approaches you can take: Make it clear how dominant she continues to be – or focus on how she can be beaten and who might be able to do so.

We’ve seen a couple of races this year where a few of the other athletes were not willing to concede the race to her. Most notably, Jocelyn McCauley and Kim Morrison rode with her on the bike leg at Ironman Texas, making this her first long-distance race that she was not leading in T2 and that she didn’t post the fastest bike split. Jocelyn was even leading for a good part of the marathon, before Daniela felt pressured to go harder than she probably was ready for – and probably run harder than her April fitness normally would have allowed. The result in Texas was the same as usual when Dani is on the start line, but it was an indication that one day even Daniela is not going to win an Ironman she races at and that there are athletes thinking about beating her and what it will take to get ready for that.

The other approach – how dominant she is in her racing – is expressed very well in a blog post by her coach Brett Sutton titled “It’s Not Easy Flying Solo“, written after her win at 70.3 Worlds. I’ll just add that the only time she didn’t win an Ironman she finished was her first Kona race in 2014 when it took a course record 2:50 run by Mirinda Carfrae to relegate her to second place. Even jellyfish stings shortly before last year’s start didn’t derail Dani, and as she’s also been able to deal with the immense expectations, it’s extremely likely that she’ll become the first female to win Kona five times in a row.


This is an excerpt from my “Kona 2019 Rating Report”. You can download your copy here.

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