Just a quick post without an accompanying details post to get my predictions out before the race starts. I’m playing a bit of a catch-up with upcoming races, and I’m planning a few things for Kona, so it’s quite busy right now.

Previous Results

From a time perspective, IM Louisville (rated 1:32) is pretty similar to IM Canada (3:08). Conditions are usually pretty hot on race day, so the resulting times are relatively slow.

Last year’s race was won by Paul Ambrose (8:29) and Rebekah Keat (9:33).

Male Participants

Paul Ambrose is back to defend his title, but my race favorite is Chris McDonald:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Chris McDonald	AUS	08:49:02	08:50:33	78
2	Paul Ambrose	AUS	08:53:19	08:54:50	92
3	Justin Daerr	USA	08:54:07	08:55:38	98
4	Patrick Evoe	USA	08:59:08	09:00:40	123
5	Daniel Bretscher	USA	09:06:46	09:08:20	164
6	Romain Guillaume	FRA	09:11:41	09:13:15	191
7	Dave Harju	CAN	09:14:39	09:16:14	213
8	Hiroyuki Nishiuchi	JPN	09:17:25	09:19:00	247
9	Tim Snow	USA	09:27:12	09:28:49	315
10	Logan Franks	USA	09:32:20	09:33:58	349
11	Bojan Maric	SCG	10:05:54	10:07:38	569
12	Richard Wygand	BRA	10:57:55	10:59:48	764

This race is going to be pretty close, any of the top four or five athletes has a decent shot at winning the race.

Female Participants

Nina Kraft has won the race in 2007 and 2009, so she has to be considered the favorite for 2011. Her last Ironman result is from 2009 however, so her rating has to be taken with a bit of caution. Probably Amy Marsh (coming off a second place in Switzerland) is in a better position to grab another title:

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Nina Kraft	GER	09:28:34	09:30:11	10
2	Amy Marsh	USA	09:29:44	09:31:22	14
3	Jackie Arendt	USA	10:00:46	10:02:29	85
4	Jacqui Gordon	USA	10:09:32	10:11:16	118
5	Maki Nishiuchi	JPN	10:12:10	10:13:55	132
6	Donna Phelan	USA	10:21:03	10:22:49	158
7	Terra Castro	USA	10:24:21	10:26:08	166
8	Marilyn McDonald	CAN	10:25:06	10:26:53	169
9	Marie Danais	CAN	10:32:37	10:34:25	191
10	Kelzie Beebe	USA	10:36:26	10:38:15	195
11	Jocelyn Wong	USA	10:40:03	10:41:53	203
12	Stephanie Jones	USA	10:56:48	10:58:40	239

As for all prediction posts, you can find additional information on the participants in the detail post.

Previous Results

IM Canada is one of the oldest IMs – and it will also be one of the bigger fields of the year. Even if it is just a 2000-points race, a lot of athletes trying to make it into the August Kona qualifiers are trying to secure some more points.

With a rating of 2:59, it’s not a fast course. Last year’s winners were Victor Zyemtsev in 8:32 and Meredith Kessler in 9:13.

Male Participants

The highest rated athlete is Jordan Rapp who is back to racing strong after his accident. He has a good shot at winning this race. It might even give him enough points to qualify for Kona, although as far as I know he is not interested in racing there.

Male Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Jordan Rapp	USA	08:28:42	08:31:32	11
2	Jasper Blake	CAN	08:43:12	08:46:07	46
3	Victor Zyemtsev	USA	08:47:16	08:50:12	75
4	Jason Shortis	AUS	08:47:18	08:50:14	76
5	Torsten Abel	GER	08:48:21	08:51:17	81
6	Bert Jammaer	BEL	08:57:08	09:00:07	116
7	Mike Neill	CAN	08:57:42	09:00:42	123
8	Christian Brader	GER	08:58:59	09:01:59	134
9	Kyle Marcotte	CAN	09:01:06	09:04:07	142
10	Trevor Delsaut	FRA	09:02:40	09:05:41	150
11	Bryan Rhodes	NZL	09:09:13	09:12:16	184
12	Christopher Bagg	USA	09:10:39	09:13:43	192
13	Nigel Gray	CAN	09:10:43	09:13:47	194
14	Scott Curry	CAN	09:11:41	09:14:45	203
15	Hiroyuki Nishiuchi	JPN	09:19:00	09:22:07	268
16	Matthew Russell	USA	09:20:20	09:23:27	278
17	Trevor Wurtele	CAN	09:23:49	09:26:57	302
18	Scott Tremblay	CAN	09:26:35	09:29:44	317
19	Anthony Toth	CAN	09:34:05	09:37:17	365
20	Dallas Cain	CAN	09:43:59	09:47:14	441
21	Juan Carlos Ramirez	USA	09:52:59	09:56:17	497
22	Ryan Cain	CAN	10:48:53	10:52:30	737

There are a lot of athletes on the start list, but with the new WTC Pro license (pay a flat fee to start in any race) it is never clear who is actually foing to race.

Female Participants

Meredith Kessler is back to defend her title, but she faces strong competition in Mary Beth Ellis (two IM starts, two wins) who is trying to get some more points for Kona.

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Mary Beth Ellis	USA	09:15:45	09:18:51	4
2	Meredith Kessler	USA	09:37:11	09:40:24	36
3	Mackenzie Madison	USA	09:37:59	09:41:12	40
4	Kim Loeffler	USA	09:45:44	09:49:00	55
5	Uli Bromme	USA	09:55:36	09:58:55	75
6	Sara Gross	CAN	09:58:44	10:02:04	84
7	Lauren Harrison	USA	10:01:07	10:04:28	91
8	Tara Norton	CAN	10:06:25	10:09:48	110
9	Emi Shiono	JPN	10:06:29	10:09:52	112
10	Jacqui Gordon	USA	10:07:21	10:10:44	114
11	Haley Cooper	USA	10:10:01	10:13:25	128
12	Maki Nishiuchi	JPN	10:12:17	10:15:41	133
13	Rachel Kiers	CAN	10:21:17	10:24:44	160
14	Fernanda Keller	BRA	10:29:08	10:32:38	183
15	Kelzie Beebe	USA	10:37:35	10:41:08	200
16	Fiona Whitby	CAN	10:42:41	10:46:16	211
17	Miranda Alldritt	CAN	10:47:24	10:51:00	219

Male Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Jordan Rapp	USA	08:28:42	08:31:32	11
2	Jasper Blake	CAN	08:43:12	08:46:07	46
3	Victor Zyemtsev	USA	08:47:16	08:50:12	75
4	Jason Shortis	AUS	08:47:18	08:50:14	76
5	Torsten Abel	GER	08:48:21	08:51:17	81
6	Bert Jammaer	BEL	08:57:08	09:00:07	116
7	Mike Neill	CAN	08:57:42	09:00:42	123
8	Christian Brader	GER	08:58:59	09:01:59	134
9	Kyle Marcotte	CAN	09:01:06	09:04:07	142
10	Trevor Delsaut	FRA	09:02:40	09:05:41	150
11	Bryan Rhodes	NZL	09:09:13	09:12:16	184
12	Christopher Bagg	USA	09:10:39	09:13:43	192
13	Nigel Gray	CAN	09:10:43	09:13:47	194
14	Scott Curry	CAN	09:11:41	09:14:45	203
15	Hiroyuki Nishiuchi	JPN	09:19:00	09:22:07	268
16	Matthew Russell	USA	09:20:20	09:23:27	278
17	Trevor Wurtele	CAN	09:23:49	09:26:57	302
18	Scott Tremblay	CAN	09:26:35	09:29:44	317
19	Anthony Toth	CAN	09:34:05	09:37:17	365
20	Dallas Cain	CAN	09:43:59	09:47:14	441
21	Juan Carlos Ramirez	USA	09:52:59	09:56:17	497
22	Ryan Cain	CAN	10:48:53	10:52:30	737

Female Race Participants

Rank	Name	Nation	Expected Time	Rating	Rank
1	Mary Beth Ellis	USA	09:15:45	09:18:51	4
2	Meredith Kessler	USA	09:37:11	09:40:24	36
3	Mackenzie Madison	USA	09:37:59	09:41:12	40
4	Kim Loeffler	USA	09:45:44	09:49:00	55
5	Uli Bromme	USA	09:55:36	09:58:55	75
6	Sara Gross	CAN	09:58:44	10:02:04	84
7	Lauren Harrison	USA	10:01:07	10:04:28	91
8	Tara Norton	CAN	10:06:25	10:09:48	110
9	Emi Shiono	JPN	10:06:29	10:09:52	112
10	Jacqui Gordon	USA	10:07:21	10:10:44	114
11	Haley Cooper	USA	10:10:01	10:13:25	128
12	Maki Nishiuchi	JPN	10:12:17	10:15:41	133
13	Rachel Kiers	CAN	10:21:17	10:24:44	160
14	Fernanda Keller	BRA	10:29:08	10:32:38	183
15	Kelzie Beebe	USA	10:37:35	10:41:08	200
16	Fiona Whitby	CAN	10:42:41	10:46:16	211
17	Miranda Alldritt	CAN	10:47:24	10:51:00	219

Results for Jordan Rapp (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	08:16:45	08:29:06	08:31:32	4
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	08:13:35	08:25:12	08:32:22	1
IM Canada	2009-08-30	08:25:13	08:29:30	08:34:54	1
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	08:19:45	08:25:11	08:37:33	3
IM Arizona	2008-04-13	08:35:04	08:39:44	08:45:36	3
IM Canada	2007-08-26	08:51:32	08:52:38	08:52:38	5

Results for Jasper Blake (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2009-08-30	08:48:29	08:52:58	08:46:07	4
IM Canada	2008-08-24	08:36:08	08:41:16	08:42:39	3
IM Coeur d’Alene	2007-06-23	08:46:11	08:47:46	08:43:30	4
IM Canada	2006-08-27	08:33:58	08:33:07	08:40:16	1
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	08:50:54	08:50:54	08:50:54	5

Results for Victor Zyemtsev (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2010-08-29	08:32:28	08:40:59	08:50:12	1
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	08:43:56	08:49:03	08:54:19	2
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:18:27	09:19:19	08:55:58	47
IM Coeur d’Alene	2007-06-23	08:33:32	08:35:05	08:47:53	1
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:38:26	09:35:46	08:53:49	73
IM Lake Placid	2006-07-23	08:38:18	08:31:05	08:27:52	1
IM Coeur d’Alene	2005-06-26	08:23:29	08:23:29	08:23:29	1

Results for Jason Shortis (AUS)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid	2011-07-24	08:47:18	08:49:07	08:50:14	3
IM Australia	2011-05-01	08:46:07	08:55:09	08:50:29	3
IM South Africa	2010-04-25	08:34:52	08:42:57	08:49:15	4
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	08:58:09	08:58:13	08:50:47	3
IM Australia	2009-04-05	09:02:22	09:07:24	08:48:58	11
IM Wisconsin	2008-09-07	08:59:14	08:59:48	08:43:40	3
IM Australia	2007-04-08	08:25:33	08:27:43	08:38:27	2
IM Korea	2006-08-27	08:34:09	08:36:45	08:41:24	5
Challenge Roth	2006-06-24	08:30:55	08:43:09	08:42:46	8
IM Australia	2006-05-11	08:36:08	08:33:59	08:42:37	3
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	08:57:06	08:56:53	08:47:56	38
Challenge Roth	2005-06-24	08:27:25	08:38:10	08:38:10	8

Results for Torsten Abel (GER)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Texas	2011-05-21	08:38:40	08:45:51	08:51:17	10
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:42:42	08:45:24	08:52:59	26
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	08:20:39	08:32:26	08:55:42	3
IM Switzerland	2009-07-12	08:36:38	08:49:41	09:04:39	3
IM Canada	2007-08-26	09:02:07	09:03:15	09:12:35	12
IM Coeur d’Alene	2007-06-23	09:34:05	09:35:49	09:16:45	16
IM Canada	2006-08-27	09:14:42	09:13:47	09:02:39	10
Challenge Roth	2005-06-24	08:36:06	08:47:02	08:47:02	11

Results for Bert Jammaer (BEL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Germany	2011-07-24	08:32:26	08:44:22	09:00:07	8
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	09:41:51	09:44:51	09:03:16	58
IM Lanzarote	2010-05-22	08:39:36	08:38:14	08:55:22	2
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	08:41:13	08:39:07	08:58:53	16
IM Lanzarote	2009-05-23	08:54:03	08:51:24	09:02:58	1
IM Florida	2008-11-01	09:43:19	10:04:34	09:05:36	38
IM Lanzarote	2008-05-24	08:59:40	08:57:05	08:51:25	1
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	08:35:53	08:36:41	08:49:53	12
IM Lanzarote	2007-05-20	09:05:09	09:03:08	08:53:44	4
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:01:47	08:59:17	08:50:27	45
IM Austria	2006-07-16	08:22:48	08:34:20	08:46:43	5
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	08:53:16	08:53:03	08:54:40	32
IM Switzerland	2005-07-15	08:51:58	08:56:24	08:56:24	6

Results for Mike Neill (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid	2011-07-24	09:13:03	09:14:57	09:00:42	7
IM Texas	2011-05-21	08:39:40	08:46:52	08:57:19	11
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:11:07	09:08:54	09:00:21	37
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	08:44:05	08:53:54	08:58:26	7
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	08:57:00	08:56:41	08:59:29	26
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	08:53:09	08:58:21	09:00:14	4
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	08:47:57	08:48:46	09:00:49	21
IM Australia	2007-04-08	08:55:36	08:57:54	09:05:02	6
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	08:52:29	08:50:01	09:08:06	31
IM Lake Placid	2006-07-23	08:57:44	08:50:15	09:19:03	5
IM Canada	2005-08-29	09:57:42	09:56:21	09:56:21	22

Results for Christian Brader (GER)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Regensburg	2011-08-07	09:06:09	09:17:41	09:01:59	7
IM St. George	2011-05-07	09:08:19	09:09:49	08:59:59	8
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	08:33:43	08:36:22	08:58:40	16
IM Canada	2010-08-29	08:32:41	08:41:12	09:01:31	2
IM Regensburg	2010-08-01	08:25:30	08:31:35	09:04:24	4
Challenge Roth	2010-07-18	10:23:03	10:46:25	09:22:58	24
IM St. George	2010-05-01	09:14:42	09:10:10	09:09:41	8
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	08:57:39	08:55:30	09:09:36	26
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	08:56:35	08:56:39	09:12:06	2
IM Lanzarote	2009-05-23	09:21:47	09:19:00	09:15:10	12
IM Australia	2009-04-05	10:03:56	10:09:32	09:14:17	20
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	08:50:08	08:49:49	08:58:12	19
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	08:58:10	08:57:43	09:01:02	4
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:06:16	09:07:07	09:02:35	35
IM Germany	2007-07-01	08:51:09	09:05:05	08:59:53	12
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	08:56:01	08:53:32	08:53:32	37

Results for Kyle Marcotte (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2010-08-29	08:40:45	08:49:24	09:04:07	5
IM Canada	2009-08-30	08:58:34	09:03:08	09:08:23	7
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:35:48	09:35:28	09:09:51	59
IM Canada	2008-08-24	08:44:30	08:49:43	09:02:49	6
IM Canada	2007-08-26	08:55:19	08:56:26	09:07:31	6
IM Florida	2006-11-04	09:46:42	09:55:42	09:11:37	32
IM Canada	2006-08-27	08:54:41	08:53:48	08:53:20	4
IM Florida	2005-11-05	08:54:16	08:57:03	08:53:02	7
IM Canada	2005-08-29	08:49:59	08:48:47	08:48:47	7

Results for Trevor Delsaut (FRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2011-06-26	08:54:59	08:59:30	09:05:41	6
IM South Africa	2011-04-10	08:41:57	08:53:13	09:07:30	9
IM Cozumel	2010-11-28	08:32:24	08:43:06	09:12:59	5
IM Austria	2010-07-04	08:33:27	08:51:03	09:28:47	7
IM Switzerland	2008-07-13	09:27:44	09:43:07	10:02:21	19
IM France	2008-06-22	10:16:31	10:21:54	10:21:54	20

Results for Bryan Rhodes (NZL)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	10:18:40	10:23:49	09:12:16	25
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	08:53:35	08:53:16	08:52:21	23
IM Canada	2008-08-24	08:30:12	08:35:16	08:52:10	1
IM Florida	2007-11-03	08:26:52	08:42:17	08:56:12	3
IM UK	2007-08-19	09:36:07	09:43:00	08:59:27	23
IM Coeur d’Alene	2007-06-23	08:46:38	08:48:13	08:47:12	5
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	08:59:13	08:56:43	08:46:50	41
IM Lake Placid	2006-07-23	09:00:18	08:52:47	08:42:33	6
IM UK	2005-08-21	08:42:11	08:29:41	08:35:35	1
IM New Zealand	2005-05-03	08:42:01	08:42:01	08:42:01	3

Results for Christopher Bagg (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2010-08-29	08:48:11	08:56:57	09:13:43	8
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:31:13	09:36:03	09:36:03	22

Results for Nigel Gray (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:05:39	09:10:16	09:13:47	11
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:35:48	09:35:28	09:14:51	59
IM Canada	2008-08-24	08:50:35	08:55:51	09:08:33	9
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:55:10	09:56:05	09:13:51	77
IM Canada	2007-08-26	08:57:54	08:59:01	08:53:26	9
IM Canada	2006-08-27	11:22:36	11:21:29	08:48:35	31
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	08:56:03	08:55:50	08:48:35	35
IM Canada	2005-08-29	08:42:15	08:41:04	08:41:04	3

Results for Scott Curry (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Australia	2011-05-01	09:06:31	09:15:54	09:14:45	7
IM New Zealand	2011-03-05	08:50:44	08:54:19	09:14:33	5
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	09:19:39	09:22:32	09:18:31	52
IM Canada	2010-08-29	08:48:57	08:57:44	09:17:40	9
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:20:09	09:24:54	09:22:47	16
IM Coeur d’Alene	2009-06-21	09:04:45	09:10:00	09:22:17	7
IM Canada	2008-08-24	08:52:36	08:57:54	09:25:52	11
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	09:18:50	09:24:18	09:34:16	8
IM Florida	2007-11-03	10:30:03	10:49:12	09:38:15	51
IM Canada	2007-08-26	11:32:04	11:33:31	09:02:48	31
IM Florida	2006-11-04	08:45:12	08:53:15	09:02:48	5
IM Canada	2006-08-27	08:55:57	08:55:04	09:08:32	5
IM Wisconsin	2005-09-11	09:41:50	09:26:17	09:26:17	12

Results for Hiroyuki Nishiuchi (JPN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Korea	2011-07-03	09:18:12	09:24:36	09:22:07	4
IM New Zealand	2011-03-05	09:25:39	09:29:29	09:21:24	9
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	09:11:43	09:14:34	09:18:32	48
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	09:23:13	09:20:57	09:20:21	51
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:13:56	09:19:26	09:20:03	20
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:18:41	09:19:33	09:20:25	48
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	09:17:17	09:17:03	09:21:15	62
IM New Zealand	2005-05-03	09:26:02	09:26:02	09:26:02	21

Results for Matthew Russell (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid	2011-07-24	09:26:26	09:28:23	09:23:27	9
IM Texas	2011-05-21	09:03:06	09:10:37	09:21:29	14
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	09:09:15	09:22:54	09:28:03	21
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	09:28:58	09:33:42	09:33:42	13

Results for Trevor Wurtele (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2010-08-29	08:54:49	09:03:42	09:26:57	12
IM St. George	2010-05-01	09:33:44	09:29:02	09:31:26	13
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:26:03	09:30:51	09:31:57	18
IM Coeur d’Alene	2009-06-21	09:03:52	09:09:06	09:32:11	6
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	08:52:06	08:57:54	09:38:02	15
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:01:34	09:06:57	09:49:01	14
IM Canada	2007-08-26	09:29:11	09:30:22	10:03:23	17
IM Arizona	2007-04-15	10:08:42	10:12:16	10:14:47	22
IM Canada	2006-08-27	09:44:45	09:43:47	10:15:55	19
IM Coeur d’Alene	2006-06-25	10:10:31	10:10:36	10:35:15	6
IM France	2005-06-19	11:08:16	11:08:16	11:08:16	16

Results for Scott Tremblay (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene	2011-06-26	09:23:36	09:29:44	09:29:44	10

Results for Anthony Toth (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	08:46:57	09:00:03	09:37:17	10
IM Canada	2010-08-29	08:49:44	08:58:32	09:44:16	10
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:42:01	10:39:26	09:53:59	82
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:02:45	09:07:21	09:45:01	9
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	09:25:11	09:31:20	09:53:54	31
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:28:22	09:34:01	09:59:11	24
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:06:41	10:07:37	10:06:11	80
IM Coeur d’Alene	2007-06-23	09:59:02	10:00:50	10:05:47	21
IM Arizona	2007-04-15	09:37:49	09:41:12	10:07:27	17
IM Canada	2006-08-27	10:04:21	10:03:22	10:19:54	22
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	10:56:42	10:56:26	10:30:42	94
IM Canada	2005-08-29	10:05:22	10:04:00	10:04:00	24

Results for Dallas Cain (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2010-08-29	09:31:59	09:41:29	09:47:14	21
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	09:43:19	09:52:02	09:48:38	15
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	09:31:29	09:44:55	09:47:37	25
IM Coeur d’Alene	2009-06-21	09:19:14	09:24:37	09:48:31	10
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:18:09	09:23:42	09:58:47	22
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:15:13	10:16:10	10:16:44	83
IM Canada	2007-08-26	09:50:29	09:51:43	10:17:07	20
IM Canada	2005-08-29	11:03:39	11:02:09	11:02:09	29

Results for Juan Carlos Ramirez (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene	2011-06-26	09:37:55	09:44:12	09:56:17	13
IM Canada	2010-08-29	10:03:03	10:13:04	10:01:28	26
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:41:34	09:46:30	09:55:32	24
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:46:00	09:51:49	10:01:09	30
IM Canada	2007-08-26	10:11:53	10:13:10	10:09:15	29
IM Coeur d’Alene	2005-06-26	10:01:58	10:01:58	10:01:58	19

Results for Ryan Cain (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid	2011-07-24	10:50:16	10:52:30	10:52:30	15

Results for Mary Beth Ellis (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Regensburg	2011-08-07	09:18:55	09:30:44	09:18:51	1
IM Austria	2011-07-03	08:43:34	09:06:39	09:06:39	1

Results for Meredith Kessler (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	09:15:01	09:28:49	09:40:24	4
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	10:04:02	10:07:09	09:43:02	26
IM Canada	2010-08-29	09:13:46	09:22:58	09:36:14	1
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	09:23:52	09:32:18	09:41:13	2
IM St. George	2010-05-01	09:46:58	09:42:10	09:46:10	2
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	09:37:09	09:50:43	09:50:43	7

Results for Mackenzie Madison (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	09:24:11	09:38:12	09:41:12	7
IM Canada	2010-08-29	09:34:51	09:44:24	09:44:24	3

Results for Kim Loeffler (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2011-06-26	09:53:08	09:58:09	09:49:00	4
IM Texas	2011-05-21	09:20:04	09:27:49	09:47:21	6
IM Florida	2010-11-06	09:21:26	09:38:48	09:51:32	3
IM New Zealand	2010-03-06	09:30:57	09:41:19	09:54:23	3
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:32:00	10:29:28	09:57:21	36
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	09:33:54	09:40:09	09:49:12	4
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	09:54:55	09:54:25	09:51:26	2
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:00:15	10:01:11	09:50:34	22
IM New Zealand	2007-03-03	09:33:43	09:38:00	09:47:26	3
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:48:40	09:45:57	09:50:33	15
IM Coeur d’Alene	2006-06-25	10:16:39	10:16:44	09:52:30	11
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	09:30:18	09:30:04	09:37:13	8
IM Lake Placid	2005-07-24	09:49:44	09:44:51	09:44:51	2

Results for Uli Bromme (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Germany	2011-07-24	09:44:10	09:57:46	09:58:55	11
IM St. George	2011-05-07	10:10:48	10:12:28	09:59:17	3
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	09:31:22	09:45:34	09:53:41	9
IM Canada	2010-08-29	09:46:19	09:56:03	09:58:30	7
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	09:47:44	10:01:33	10:01:33	10

Results for Sara Gross (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2009-08-30	10:42:08	10:47:34	10:02:04	13
IM Brasil	2009-05-31	09:44:46	09:59:18	09:54:37	4
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	10:06:10	10:05:49	09:53:47	20
IM Canada	2008-08-24	09:41:31	09:47:18	09:51:40	4
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	10:03:45	10:09:39	09:52:33	4
IM Florida	2007-11-03	09:24:41	09:41:51	09:48:26	7
IM Canada	2007-08-26	09:43:34	09:44:47	09:50:05	2
IM Austria	2007-07-08	09:24:06	09:36:07	09:51:44	4
IM Brasil	2007-05-27	09:33:09	09:45:19	09:58:26	5
IM Canada	2006-08-27	10:12:35	10:11:35	10:07:42	5
IM Canada	2005-08-29	10:03:55	10:02:33	10:02:33	6

Results for Lauren Harrison (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Texas	2011-05-21	09:46:22	09:54:29	10:04:28	10
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	09:33:53	09:48:09	10:08:17	10
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	10:00:16	10:09:14	10:18:21	7
IM Canada	2009-08-30	10:14:00	10:19:12	10:25:39	11
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:35:45	10:36:44	10:36:44	42

Results for Tara Norton (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Canada	2010-08-29	10:20:44	10:31:03	10:09:48	13
IM Lake Placid	2010-07-25	10:11:08	10:16:13	10:06:57	6
IM Lanzarote	2010-05-22	10:17:37	10:15:59	10:05:33	4
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:59:42	10:04:47	10:03:49	5
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	10:13:26	10:13:31	10:03:40	7
IM Switzerland	2008-07-13	09:43:46	09:59:35	10:01:54	4
IM Lanzarote	2008-05-24	10:13:19	10:10:23	10:02:16	3
IM Arizona	2008-04-13	09:35:45	09:40:58	10:00:52	6
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	09:41:03	09:41:57	10:04:51	12
IM Austria	2007-07-08	09:32:50	09:45:02	10:09:41	5
IM Lanzarote	2007-05-20	10:12:08	10:09:53	10:15:39	2
IM Coeur d’Alene	2006-06-25	10:11:27	10:11:32	10:17:24	10
IM Lanzarote	2006-05-20	10:25:40	10:20:58	10:19:12	3
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	10:05:48	10:05:33	10:18:27	28
IM Lake Placid	2005-07-24	10:36:06	10:30:50	10:25:37	11
IM Arizona	2005-04-09	10:19:56	10:19:56	10:19:56	8

Results for Emi Shiono (JPN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Hawaii	2010-10-09	10:28:57	10:32:12	10:09:52	36
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:01:13	09:58:48	10:03:43	18
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	09:54:17	10:05:25	10:05:00	6
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	09:57:04	09:56:43	10:04:53	19
IM New Zealand	2008-03-01	09:23:26	09:32:05	10:07:37	3
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:04:25	10:05:21	10:21:29	28
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	10:13:56	10:11:06	10:30:09	33
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	11:08:41	11:08:25	10:43:09	54
IM Korea	2005-08-28	10:23:07	10:16:54	10:16:54	2

Results for Jacqui Gordon (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid	2011-07-24	10:07:22	10:09:27	10:10:44	5
IM Texas	2011-05-21	09:27:20	09:35:11	10:10:59	8
IM Florida	2010-11-06	10:09:42	10:28:34	10:19:21	9
IM Lake Placid	2009-07-26	10:08:19	10:08:24	10:17:02	6
IM South Africa	2009-04-05	09:46:26	09:57:40	10:18:51	4
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	10:20:49	10:20:27	10:23:51	27
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	10:31:53	10:31:22	10:24:44	6
IM Arizona	2008-04-13	10:32:32	10:38:15	10:22:36	15
IM Florida	2007-11-03	09:51:46	10:09:45	10:16:00	15
IM Canada	2007-08-26	10:29:13	10:30:32	10:19:42	14
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	10:08:41	10:05:52	10:05:52	29

Results for Haley Cooper (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Coeur d’Alene	2011-06-26	09:56:21	10:02:50	10:13:25	3
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	09:42:02	09:50:44	10:15:45	4
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:23:19	10:20:49	10:20:43	34
IM Canada	2009-08-30	09:53:35	09:58:37	10:20:42	4
IM Coeur d’Alene	2009-06-21	09:51:11	09:56:53	10:25:47	4
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	09:45:59	09:52:22	10:33:49	6
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	11:23:33	11:23:09	10:59:57	45
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	10:08:04	10:14:00	10:51:52	5
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:38:15	10:39:14	11:09:37	45
IM Coeur d’Alene	2007-06-23	10:42:57	10:44:53	11:28:34	1
IM Coeur d’Alene	2006-06-25	12:26:37	12:26:43	12:26:43	23

Results for Maki Nishiuchi (JPN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Korea	2011-07-03	09:56:28	10:03:18	10:15:41	2
IM Texas	2011-05-21	10:06:29	10:14:53	10:20:40	12
IM New Zealand	2011-03-05	10:16:48	10:20:58	10:24:21	9
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:31:57	10:29:25	10:29:25	35

Results for Rachel Kiers (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Arizona	2010-11-21	10:16:33	10:31:52	10:24:44	14
IM Canada	2010-08-29	10:06:22	10:16:26	10:23:23	9
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	10:03:48	10:12:49	10:24:52	8
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	09:45:26	09:59:12	10:27:59	9
IM Canada	2009-08-30	10:45:04	10:50:32	10:36:01	14
IM Coeur d’Alene	2009-06-21	09:53:43	09:59:26	10:30:53	5
IM Canada	2008-08-24	10:04:47	10:10:48	10:46:39	9
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	11:51:02	11:52:08	11:10:04	57
IM Canada	2007-08-26	10:25:05	10:26:23	10:26:23	12

Results for Fernanda Keller (BRA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Germany	2011-07-24	11:07:02	11:22:34	10:32:38	12
IM Austria	2011-07-03	10:39:08	11:07:18	10:23:04	12
IM Brasil	2011-05-29	09:48:03	10:11:49	10:12:48	5
IM Hawaii	2009-10-10	10:37:44	10:35:10	10:13:06	38
IM Brasil	2009-05-31	09:54:11	10:08:57	10:08:10	6
IM Hawaii	2008-10-11	10:43:16	10:42:53	10:07:58	38
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:25:03	10:26:01	09:58:42	39
IM Brasil	2007-05-27	09:29:29	09:41:35	09:51:54	4
IM Hawaii	2006-10-21	09:50:35	09:47:51	09:54:52	17
IM Austria	2006-07-16	09:44:06	09:57:29	09:57:06	7
IM Brasil	2006-01-01	09:51:39	09:58:54	09:56:57	5
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	10:10:30	10:10:15	09:55:51	33
IM Brasil	2005-05-28	09:39:46	09:39:46	09:39:46	2

Results for Kelzie Beebe (USA)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Brasil	2011-05-29	10:01:52	10:26:12	10:41:08	8
IM Cozumel	2010-11-28	10:44:55	10:58:23	10:58:23	12

Results for Fiona Whitby (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM France	2011-06-26	11:38:06	11:44:00	10:46:16	13
IM Cozumel	2010-11-28	10:05:05	10:17:43	10:25:47	6
IM Canada	2010-08-29	10:10:58	10:21:07	10:29:15	11
IM Coeur d’Alene	2010-06-27	10:34:44	10:44:13	10:34:41	10
IM Lake Placid	2008-07-20	10:18:34	10:18:03	10:18:03	4

Results for Miranda Alldritt (CAN)

Race	Date	Total	Adjusted	Rating	Rank in Race
IM Lake Placid	2011-07-24	10:46:46	10:48:59	10:51:00	8
IM Switzerland	2011-07-10	12:52:27	13:11:36	10:51:15	8
IM France	2011-06-26	10:56:48	11:02:21	10:51:15	11
IM Texas	2011-05-21	10:19:12	10:27:47	10:49:48	14
IM St. George	2011-05-07	11:51:45	11:53:42	10:52:59	8
IM Canada	2010-08-29	12:47:12	12:59:57	10:42:49	18
IM St. George	2010-05-01	10:40:59	10:35:44	10:42:49	7
IM Arizona	2009-11-22	09:53:01	10:06:58	10:43:50	12
IM Coeur d’Alene	2009-06-21	13:39:19	13:47:13	10:49:09	14
IM New Zealand	2009-03-07	10:18:02	10:29:36	10:49:09	10
IM Arizona	2008-11-23	10:06:24	10:13:00	10:51:45	12
IM Wisconsin	2008-09-07	10:54:52	10:55:33	10:57:10	12
IM Canada	2008-08-24	11:21:23	11:28:09	10:57:25	17
IM Coeur d’Alene	2008-06-22	10:18:14	10:24:16	10:52:00	8
IM Arizona	2008-04-13	10:21:42	10:27:20	10:57:35	13
IM Hawaii	2007-10-13	10:43:58	10:44:58	11:04:43	48
IM Arizona	2007-04-15	10:16:31	10:20:08	11:09:47	5
IM Canada	2006-08-27	11:15:34	11:14:28	11:23:59	17
IM Coeur d’Alene	2006-06-25	11:22:19	11:22:24	11:26:57	19
IM Hawaii	2005-10-15	11:27:13	11:26:56	11:28:53	55
IM Canada	2005-08-29	11:19:15	11:17:43	11:29:55	14
IM Coeur d’Alene	2005-06-26	11:42:45	11:42:45	11:42:45	5

Race Conditions

Conditions on race day in Regensburg were similar to Frankfurt – cold, with some rain. Compared to last year (when it was quite hot), the times were a little bit faster (adjustment of 11:27 this year vs. 6:31 last year), resulting in a new course rating of 8:59.

Male Results

Race favorite Andreas Raelert injured his foot a few days before the race, so he just raced to validate his Kona slot. This allowed Markus Fachbach to win his first IM in front of a number of veteran athletes:

Rank	Name	Nation	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Markus Fachbach	GER	08:29:16	08:36:58
2	Stefan Riesen	SWI	08:36:54	08:36:47
3	Frank Vytrisal	GER	08:37:12	08:47:17
4	Horst Reichel	GER	08:42:07	09:30:45
5	Lothar Leder	GER	08:45:30	08:52:48
6	Rene Vallant	AUT	08:56:50	09:22:59
7	Christian Brader	GER	09:06:09	08:48:43
8	Mario De Elias	ARG	09:06:20	n/a
9	Daniel Mueller	GER	09:07:39	09:31:02
10	Matjaz Kovac	SVN	09:09:08	09:39:46
11	Heinrich Sickl	AUT	09:25:50	09:33:57
12	Brian Hadley	USA	09:45:23	08:57:10
13	Andreas Raelert	GER	10:21:05	08:03:57

Female Results

On the female side, the favorite Mary Beth Ellis won convincingly:

Rank	Name	Nation	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Mary Beth Ellis	USA	09:18:55	08:55:04
2	Annett Kamenz	CAN	09:28:23	10:07:12
3	Nicole Leder	GER	09:30:27	09:36:03
4	Heidi Jesberger	GER	09:32:42	10:01:08
5	Katja Rabe	GER	09:44:45	09:51:30
6	Ute Streiter	GER	10:20:34	10:17:25
7	Ariane Monticeli	BRA	11:03:14	09:48:17
8	Olja Bregar	SLO	13:46:56	10:21:04

She couldn’t quite match her blazing fast time from Austria four weeks ago, but is the newest member of the women’s TOP 10 in fourth place.

Race Conditions

IM UK has gone through quite a few course changes and we’ve seen some pretty wild swings in the race adjustments. This year was no different, the race was still in the same location as last year but apparently the course was made a little bit easier. The race adjustment was 10:23 bringing the course rating to 1:30.

Male Results

Some of the pre-race favorites did not show up, so Aaron Farlow managed to win this race:

Rank	Name	Nation	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Aaron Farlow	GBR	08:24:34	08:35:51
2	Romain Guillaume	FRA	08:41:25	09:07:14
3	Nick Saunders	GBR	08:51:31	08:47:05
4	Domenico Passuello	ITA	08:51:52	08:58:06
5	Oliver Simon		08:54:28	n/a
6	Gregorio Morales	ESP	09:01:44	08:58:48
7	Paul Hawkins	GBR	09:03:41	09:31:53
8	Toby Radcliffe	GBR	09:04:24	09:13:46
9	Juha Laitinen	FIN	09:39:00	09:49:54

Female Results

Defending champion Yvette Grice had a pretty good race but was beat by two up-and-coming German athletes:

Rank	Name	Nation	Actual Time	Expected Time
1	Kristin Moeller	GER	09:19:04	09:31:58
2	Diana Riesler	GER	09:25:41	09:29:01
3	Yvette Grice	GBR	09:37:32	10:14:31
4	Joanna Carritt	GBR	09:59:21	10:21:17
5	Nicole Klingler	GER	10:09:58	09:44:07
6	Monika Stadlmann	AUT	10:37:06	10:15:07
7	Conny Dauben	GER	10:41:39	10:39:22