2014 KPR Observer

April 7, 2014 by · Leave a Comment
Filed under: ReaderInfo 

KPRTitle The Kona Pro Ranking is the system used to determine which Professional triathletes qualify for the Ironman World Championships in Kona. To make the KPR easier to follow and understand, I’ve set up the „2014 KPR Observer“. It consists of an Initial Information Package on the KPR in general and my projections for the cutoffs. During the season, I will send out EMail updates about who is already in, who is close to qualifying, how many slots are still open and updated estimates of where the cutoffs will occur.

More details can be found on the sales page at https://gum.co/2014KPR or in my info post on the KPR Observer.

Challenge Taiwan 2014 (April 19th) – Predictions

April 10, 2014 by · Leave a Comment
Filed under: PreRace 

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Dylan McNeice NZL 00:47:00 04:29:35 02:54:54 08:16:21
2 Georg Potrebitsch GER 00:52:19 04:28:40 03:01:46 08:27:06
3 Fredrik Croneborg SWE 00:56:20 04:34:57 02:52:33 08:28:28

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Belinda Granger AUS 01:01:16 04:55:34 03:21:10 09:23:15
2 Hillary Biscay USA 00:54:53 05:09:54 03:27:18 09:37:40
3 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 00:56:26 05:24:00 03:39:14 10:05:09

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:16:21 Dylan McNeice 2013-05-04
Swim overall 00:47:00 Dylan McNeice 2013-05-04
Bike overall 04:28:40 Georg Potrebitsch 2013-05-04
Bike overall 04:28:40 Todd Skipworth 2013-05-04
Run overall 02:52:33 Fredrik Croneborg 2013-05-04
Total female 09:23:15 Belinda Granger 2013-05-04
Swim female 00:54:53 Hillary Biscay 2013-05-04
Bike female 04:55:34 Belinda Granger 2013-05-04
Run female 03:21:10 Belinda Granger 2013-05-04

Course Rating

The Course Rating for Challenge Taiwan is 09:36.

Race Adjustments for Challenge Taiwan

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2013 09:36 -04:41 12:29 05:45 12 09:36 -04:41 12:29 05:45

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 1 Dylan McNeice NZL 08:38:00 08:47:23 00:44:58 04:51:08 03:06:43 65
2 5 Andrej Vistica CRO 08:39:31 08:48:56 00:53:50 04:43:34 03:03:09 73
3 2 Fredrik Croneborg SWE 08:41:30 08:50:57 00:52:09 04:56:10 02:59:00 81
4 6 Nick Baldwin SEY 08:42:42 08:52:10 00:53:11 04:48:30 03:03:24 89
5 7 Matt Burton AUS 08:43:14 08:52:43 00:54:22 04:38:56 03:07:31 (95)
6 13 Jason Shortis AUS 08:43:46 08:53:15 00:54:00 04:51:08 03:01:47 99
7 9 Petr Vabrousek CZE 08:48:00 08:57:34 00:54:52 04:52:49 03:03:21 116
8 3 Guy Crawford NZL 08:50:51 09:00:28 00:48:47 04:45:04 03:24:56 132
9 4 Matt Burgess NZL 09:09:44 09:19:41 00:49:56 04:49:27 03:24:39 (204)
10 12 Jaroslav Kovacic SLO 09:22:15 09:32:26 00:50:03 05:04:49 03:20:01 (247)
11 11 Eneko Elosegui ESP 09:22:47 09:32:59 00:59:52 05:00:10 03:25:28 248
12 14 Till Schramm GER 10:02:32 10:13:27 00:55:15 04:51:52 04:06:26 (384)
8 Mao Yung yang TWN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
10 Brad Wauer AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 52 Gina Crawford NZL 09:15:58 09:26:02 00:51:55 05:14:00 03:13:13 10
2 56 Britta Martin NZL 09:29:34 09:39:53 01:00:30 05:12:08 03:18:38 34
3 50 Belinda Granger AUS 09:30:28 09:40:48 00:54:05 05:10:52 03:30:12 37
4 61 Simone Maier GER 09:44:56 09:55:32 01:04:19 05:21:49 03:19:05 69
5 58 Kate Bevilaqua AUS 09:52:29 10:03:13 00:56:42 05:24:46 03:36:06 90
6 55 Yvette Grice GBR 09:53:06 10:03:51 00:55:41 05:36:08 03:24:01 92
7 51 Hillary Biscay USA 09:59:09 10:10:00 00:52:18 05:34:25 03:36:49 98
8 59 Yasuko Miyazaki JPN 10:23:32 10:34:50 01:00:29 05:54:05 03:38:53 135
9 53 Jodie Scott AUS 10:29:53 10:41:18 00:56:44 05:39:59 03:57:53 (140)
10 54 Kathrin Walther GER 10:33:13 10:44:41 00:59:10 05:37:54 03:52:20 (142)
60 Stef Puszka AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
57 Jessica Fleming AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Dylan McNeice: 36% (2-1)
  • Fredrik Croneborg: 24% (3-1)
  • Jason Shortis: 12% (8-1)
  • Andrej Vistica: 12% (8-1)
  • Petr Vabrousek: 6% (16-1)
  • Matt Burton: 4% (22-1)
  • Nick Baldwin: 4% (24-1)
  • Guy Crawford: 2% (41-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Gina Crawford: 60% (1-1)
  • Britta Martin: 19% (4-1)
  • Belinda Granger: 15% (6-1)
  • Kate Bevilaqua: 2% (40-1)
  • Yvette Grice: 2% (60-1)

IM South Africa 2014 – Analyzing Results

April 7, 2014 by · Leave a Comment
Filed under: RaceResults 

Race Conditions

This was the first year that South Africa had a new bike course. The adjustment for the bike was a slow -12:49. As the conditions on the swim seemed pretty normal (-1:37, pretty much in line with a swim rating of -3:02), it can’t only be caused by strong winds but is probably a consequence of the harder, hillier bike course. Also, the run was only a little bit slower than normal.

Male Race Results

After a long injury break, Nils Frommhold had his comeback races late in 2013, ending in a 5th place in the shortened IM Cozumel. He must have done some great session since then – he posted the fastest times in all three legs and won his second IM race by more than six minutes. The surprise second was Kyle Buckingham in his first professional IM, winning a duel late in the run with Faris Al-Sultan.

Top3Men

Bas Diederen came off the bike with Faris and was running steadily in 4th, but couldn’t bridge back up. Defending champion Ronnie Schildknecht was kicked in the stomach during the swim, and had to retire after the bike.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Nils Frommhold GER 00:48:17 04:37:12 02:55:59 08:26:07 -10:35
2 Kyle Buckingham ZAF 00:49:53 04:41:03 02:57:33 08:32:39 n/a
3 Faris Al-Sultan GER 00:48:27 04:43:34 02:56:59 08:33:19 -02:01
4 Bas Diederen NED 00:48:33 04:43:28 03:00:42 08:37:25 -10:30
5 Matt Trautman ZAF 00:49:43 04:54:17 03:00:04 08:48:25 n/a
6 Darby Thomas FIN 00:59:54 04:51:22 02:58:42 08:55:21 -27:02
7 Marek Jaskolka POL 00:49:50 05:05:58 02:59:56 09:00:15 -08:58
8 Miquel Blanchart ESP 00:49:54 05:10:40 02:59:32 09:04:09 15:43
9 Michael Davidson ZAF 00:58:01 05:07:40 03:03:07 09:13:42 -06:04
10 Karol Dzalaj SVK 00:56:02 04:57:18 03:23:06 09:21:53 03:10
11 Rafael Wyss SUI 01:00:02 05:02:31 03:14:26 09:22:08 00:11
12 Craig Twigg GBR 00:55:09 04:56:16 03:34:39 09:31:00 -17:28
13 James Cunnama ZAF 00:50:45 05:16:03 03:26:34 09:37:42 52:24
14 Bradley Venter ZAF 00:55:56 05:22:06 03:26:58 09:49:44 n/a
15 Gerhard De Bruin ZAF 00:57:47 05:19:29 03:35:41 09:57:46 n/a
16 Luca De Paolis ITA 01:00:15 05:20:07 03:40:02 10:07:56 08:24
17 Georg Potrebitsch GER 00:49:51 05:29:48 04:04:29 10:35:52 1:35:23
18 Martin Cain GBR 01:01:50 05:42:49 03:48:25 10:42:43 42:59
19 Marek Nemcik SVK 01:16:48 06:27:14 04:31:09 12:25:14 13:40
20 Pedro Gomes POR 00:49:49 05:02:38 DNF
21 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 00:53:47 04:47:54 DNF
22 Anton Blokhin UKR 00:52:50 DNF
23 Bertrand Billard FRA 00:50:06 04:52:43 DNF
24 Kent Horner ZAF 00:50:08 DNF
25 Edo Van der Meer NED 00:48:31 DNF

Female Race Results

Once more, the women’s race was very exciting. As usual, Jodie Swallow stormed ahead on the swim and the bike, and started the run almost 10 minutes in front. Michelle Vesterby seemed to be in a good position, but also had to retire having sustained bruise ribs on the swim. Lucy Gossage took 2nd place and was slowly eating into Jodie’s lead. However, it was Simone Brändli who overtook both of them and won the race. Lucy managed to distance Jodie by 52 seconds, and the first three were within a little bit over two minutes. Jodie left it all on the course:

SA_JodieSwallow

Defending champion Jessie Donavan was back by more than 20 minutes after the swim, then posted the fastest bike split but couldn’t make up any more ground on the run and finished in fourth place.

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Simone Braendli SUI 00:51:00 05:26:55 03:09:08 09:31:54 -20:25
2 Lucy Gossage GBR 00:59:50 05:18:47 03:09:55 09:33:07 -06:54
3 Jodie Swallow GBR 00:48:34 05:21:19 03:19:40 09:33:59 -02:17
4 Jessie Donavan USA 01:09:16 05:17:08 03:18:13 09:49:44 02:19
5 Astrid Ganzow GER 01:01:11 05:24:33 03:30:05 10:00:55 n/a
6 Katja Konschak GER 00:54:36 05:41:30 03:32:45 10:15:12 00:52
7 Karina Ottosen DEN 01:00:01 06:00:21 03:42:58 10:48:39 35:09
8 Claire Horner ZAF 01:01:43 05:57:54 03:54:29 11:02:12 00:52
9 Caroline Koll ZAF 01:02:03 06:24:46 03:52:05 11:25:14 10:18
10 Linda Scattolin ITA 01:09:31 06:06:27 04:16:05 11:38:13 n/a
11 Michelle Vesterby DEN 00:54:28 05:23:13 DNF
12 Monique Grossrieder SUI 01:09:07 DNF
13 Lucie Reed CZE 00:49:53 05:53:53 DNF
14 Natascha Badmann SUI 01:08:06 05:31:13 DNF
15 Erika Csomor HUN 01:02:41 05:39:15 DNF

Ironman Los Cabos 2014 – Analyzing Results

March 31, 2014 by · Leave a Comment
Filed under: RaceResults 

Race Conditions

This year’s race was a lot quicker than the 2013 race, with an adjustment 8:37 ist was neither really fast nor really slow. Both the swim and the bike were faster, even if the run was a little bit slower. From what I heard it was a relatively hot and humid race – pretty much what you can expect from a resort town on the ocean.

Male Race Results

Jan Van Berkel was leading the race after the bike, but he faded on the run and ended up in 7th place. Daniel Fontana had the smartest race, he posted fast times across all legs and it was clear pretty early in the run that it was his race to loose. He was trying to win an Ironman for quite some time, and in Los Cabos everything went well for him. Stephen Bayliss also had a good, solid race and finished second, and with Domenico Passuello another Italian rounded out the podium. 

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Daniel Fontana ITA 00:47:43 04:39:53 02:55:06 08:26:15 -02:58
2 Stephen Bayliss GBR 00:45:37 04:42:08 03:01:10 08:32:19 -09:10
3 Domenico Passuello ITA 00:51:43 04:35:54 03:02:46 08:34:18 -27:40
4 Swen Sundberg GER 00:49:51 04:43:06 03:00:59 08:38:17 -05:34
5 Patrick Evoe USA 00:51:46 04:46:26 02:58:18 08:40:13 -09:14
6 Matthew Russell USA 00:51:34 04:51:41 02:54:51 08:42:20 -04:15
7 Jan Van Berkel SUI 00:47:46 04:36:25 03:18:30 08:46:31 -03:33
8 Derek Garcia USA 00:49:51 04:43:03 03:12:50 08:49:53 -10:11
9 Petr Vabrousek CZE 00:53:10 04:49:53 03:10:57 08:59:38 11:04
10 Mike Schifferle SUI 00:57:07 04:45:37 03:17:43 09:06:18 11:48
11 Jim Lubinski USA 00:58:10 05:11:53 02:54:49 09:09:10 -31:29
12 Ezequiel Morales ARG 00:49:49 05:04:43 03:11:52 09:12:07 29:11
13 Douglas MacLean USA 00:53:08 05:03:32 03:09:26 09:13:14 -00:59
14 Sergio Quezada MEX 00:49:52 05:06:30 03:52:41 09:54:24 -03:52
15 Matthew Curbeau USA 01:01:11 05:04:09 03:47:34 09:59:21 n/a
16 Allan Villanueva MEX 00:51:41 05:16:01 03:51:26 10:14:29 1:05:34
17 Scott Defilippis USA 00:51:47 05:18:27 04:34:13 10:49:57 1:42:40
18 Dan Mcintosh USA 00:49:51 04:50:53 05:05:16 10:49:58 1:54:06
19 Josef Svoboda CZE 01:07:39 06:28:02 04:24:04 12:09:18 25:07
20 James Duff USA 00:51:15 04:58:28   DNF  
21 Brent Mcburney USA 00:54:19 05:10:07   DNF  
22 Greg Close USA 00:58:24     DNF  
23 Trevor Delsaut FRA 00:49:52     DNF  
24 TJ Tollakson USA 00:47:40 04:40:13   DNF  

Female Race Results

Race favorite Linsey Corbin was patient and trusted her run to real in bike leader Carrie Lester. Even though Linsey ran a bit slower than expected, her good swim and bike times ensured she won in convincing fashion. Lisa Ribes had the best marathon and ran her way into second place. Carrie Lester held on to the third spot on the podium:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time Diff to expected
1 Linsey Corbin USA 00:53:11 05:06:17 03:12:03 09:16:43 01:24
2 Lisa Ribes USA 01:01:55 05:10:14 03:02:43 09:20:40 -14:50
3 Carrie Lester AUS 00:52:49 05:05:03 03:24:42 09:26:35 -14:58
4 Beth Shutt USA 00:55:53 05:16:57 03:14:27 09:32:28 -19:18
5 Haley Chura USA 00:47:57 05:23:16 03:17:27 09:33:35 -05:55
6 Katy Blakemore USA 00:47:59 05:25:55 03:19:47 09:37:56 -02:53
7 Kathleen Calkins USA 00:52:53 05:26:32 03:20:03 09:44:27 13:13
8 Ashley Clifford USA 00:51:45 05:37:22 03:12:13 09:45:57 14:22
9 Katharina Grohmann GER 01:13:10 05:23:57 03:20:50 10:02:19 -03:22
10 Molly Roohi USA 01:05:09 05:31:11 03:26:02 10:09:10 -13:09
11 Caroline Gregory USA 00:52:44 05:51:35 03:24:13 10:12:52 -09:34
12 Saleta Castro ESP 00:55:49 05:25:38 03:54:23 10:21:04 16:29
13 Alyssa Godesky USA 01:01:43 05:35:48 03:39:49 10:22:29 n/a
14 Kristina Wiegand GER 01:02:06 06:02:44 04:34:17 11:46:02 30:54
15 Sara Gross CAN 00:56:50 05:41:54   DNF  
16 Karen Thibodeau CAN 00:52:41 05:17:20   DNF  
17 Anne Basso FRA 00:56:44 05:32:35   DNF  
18 Mackenzie Madison USA 00:56:50 05:31:43   DNF  

Ironman South Africa 2014 (April 6th) – Predictions

March 28, 2014 by · Leave a Comment
Filed under: PreRace 

Update (April 2nd): Jens Petersen-Bach is not starting. He has had some knee problems which are gone now. He will be starting the season in Texas. (Thanks to Michelle Vesterby for telling me about Jens’ withdrawal, and to Jens for replying to my question about it.)

Update (April 3rd): In addition to Jens, Dianne McEwan also won’t be starting.

Update (April 4th): The start list on Ironman.com has some additional names. The most interesting among these is Bertrand Billard, who is the current ITU long distance world champion. Because of bad weather, the race was shortened and a Duathlon, so it’ll be interesting to see his debut over the full IM distance. Also on the list are Dirk Bockel (who is definitely not starting), Marek Jaskolka and Thomas Darby. 

With Ironman South Africa we have another early season Ironman race coming up. In addition to the „local“ triathletes, the race is interesting for a lot of European athletes: There is almost no time difference to South Africa, and it is a popular training destination.

Luke Dragstra and I are setting up pages for most Ironman races this season – use this page on IM-Predictions.com to submit your picks for South Africa. We have also released the second episode of our IM-Predictions podcast discussing the pro fields at IM Los Cabos and IM South Africa.

Previous Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Ronnie Schildknecht may not be a household name, but he has won IM Switzerland a million times – and he also won South Africa 2013:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 00:52:48 04:22:01 02:53:03 08:11:24
2 Cyril Viennot FRA 00:52:18 04:35:17 02:48:35 08:19:51
3 Bas Diederen NED 00:49:27 04:38:15 02:48:48 08:20:09

Female Race Results

It looked as if Jodie Swallow could win her Ironman debut race, but when she struggled on the run she was run down by Jessie Donavan:

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Jessie Donavan USA 01:07:11 04:50:27 03:09:11 09:10:58
2 Jodie Swallow GBR 00:49:56 04:46:05 03:36:44 09:17:00
3 Lucie Reed CZE 00:52:17 05:11:31 03:18:59 09:27:07

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:05:36 Raynard Tissink 2011-04-10
Swim overall 00:45:22 Anton Storm 2009-04-05
Bike overall 04:19:41 Raynard Tissink 2011-04-10
Run overall 02:45:48 Gerrit Schellens 2007-03-18
Total female 08:33:56 Chrissie Wellington 2011-04-10
Swim female 00:47:40 Lucie Reed 2009-04-05
Bike female 04:45:23 Chrissie Wellington 2011-04-10
Run female 02:52:54 Chrissie Wellington 2011-04-10

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM South Africa is 05:18. Conditions can be quite variable: In 2012 there was a lot of wind, leading to a choppy swim and slow bike times. If the conditions are good, South Africa is a pretty quick course.

This year, there are some significant course changes. Switching from a two-loop to a single loop will make it a bit easier for the top swimmers. But the biggest change is the bike course: It used to be relatively flat three laps (400m vertical), now it’s a two loops (with 1.600m vertical). (Thanks to Michelle Vesterby, Faris Al-Sultan and Vincent Nortier for the information.)

Race Adjustments for IM South Africa

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2006 -01:15 -05:30 -06:48 00:06 10 -01:15 -05:30 -06:48 00:06
2007 -04:20 -09:38 01:08 -01:14 20 -02:48 -07:34 -02:50 -00:34
2008 17:01 00:25 10:18 01:58 29 03:49 -04:54 01:33 00:17
2009 12:56 01:20 10:01 -00:57 24 06:05 -03:21 03:40 -00:02
2010 09:06 -00:56 07:36 01:46 28 06:42 -02:52 04:27 00:20
2011 12:29 -00:25 12:11 01:40 33 07:39 -02:27 05:44 00:33
2012 -14:14 -09:04 -09:56 02:49 23 04:32 -03:24 03:30 00:53
2013 10:42 -01:51 09:22 02:31 28 05:18 -03:12 04:14 01:05

KPR points and Prize Money

IM South Africa has 2000 KPR points for the winner. It has a total prize purse of 75k$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 4 Faris Al-Sultan GER 08:20:21 08:25:19 00:47:35 04:34:11 02:58:51 7
2 13 Nils Frommhold GER 08:21:50 08:26:49 00:46:36 04:37:13 02:50:15 (11)
3 1 Ronnie Schildknecht SUI 08:28:47 08:33:50 00:51:40 04:38:29 02:58:14 22
4 2 James Cunnama ZAF 08:28:58 08:34:01 00:50:03 04:42:00 02:58:07 23
5 18 Jens Petersen-Bach DEN 08:32:31 08:37:36 00:51:44 04:46:19 02:54:00 32
6 5 Miquel Blanchart ESP 08:32:43 08:37:48 00:48:39 04:48:18 02:54:18 34
7 3 Bas Diederen NED 08:32:44 08:37:49 00:47:55 04:47:59 02:55:31 35
8 14 Pedro Gomes POR 08:41:32 08:46:42 00:50:23 04:45:14 03:06:18 61
9 19 Georg Potrebitsch GER 08:42:53 08:48:04 00:48:57 04:45:40 03:08:04 69
10 6 Anton Blokhin UKR 08:47:28 08:52:42 00:48:56 04:52:07 03:04:20 92
(11) Marek Jaskolka POL 08:53:23 08:58:40 00:47:25 04:54:31 03:02:18 (124)
11 16 Andrey Lyatskiy RUS 08:56:28 09:01:47 00:48:28 04:57:01 03:10:53 139
12 12 Karol Dzalaj SVK 09:02:22 09:07:45 00:53:19 04:50:22 03:18:14 157
13 9 Michael Davidson ZAF 09:03:34 09:08:57 00:53:29 04:53:17 03:05:38 (164)
14 15 Kent Horner ZAF 09:04:58 09:10:22 00:48:49 04:54:07 03:22:05 167
15 24 Rafael Wyss SUI 09:05:33 09:10:58 00:59:35 04:55:43 03:07:15 (171)
16 22 Edo Van der Meer NED 09:13:10 09:18:39 00:47:33 04:48:48 03:36:21 (194)
17 21 Craig Twigg GBR 09:31:39 09:37:19 00:52:14 04:56:01 03:39:59 255
18 8 Martin Cain GBR 09:41:25 09:47:11 00:58:39 05:13:11 03:29:05 293
19 11 Luca De Paolis ITA 09:41:54 09:47:40 01:01:09 04:56:51 03:35:39 (296)
20 17 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:49:59 11:57:01 01:11:37 05:57:01 04:38:36 420
10 Gerhard De Bruin ZAF n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
7 Kyle Buckingham ZAF n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
23 Bradley Venter ZAF n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
20 Matt Trautman ZAF n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
Bertrand Billard FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
Thomas Darby FIN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating Rank
1 26 Jodie Swallow GBR 09:19:30 09:25:03 00:48:41 05:02:52 03:27:21 9
2 41 Michelle Vesterby DEN 09:22:23 09:27:58 00:52:05 05:09:20 03:21:19 13
3 30 Natascha Badmann SUI 09:22:35 09:28:10 01:00:58 05:03:44 03:15:17 14
4 33 Lucy Gossage GBR 09:23:14 09:28:49 00:57:19 05:08:33 03:11:17 15
5 31 Erika Csomor HUN 09:25:50 09:31:27 00:57:47 05:15:27 03:12:02 20
6 25 Jessie Donavan USA 09:30:15 09:35:54 01:07:18 05:07:18 03:14:41 27
7 28 Simone Braendli SUI 09:35:27 09:41:09 00:51:50 05:16:41 03:27:05 39
8 27 Lucie Reed CZE 09:35:30 09:41:12 00:50:31 05:17:43 03:27:40 40
9 38 Edith Niederfriniger ITA 09:42:42 09:48:29 00:54:42 05:26:58 03:21:09 (55)
10 29 Dianne McEwan ZAF 09:50:24 09:56:15 00:56:10 05:26:33 03:21:24 (71)
11 39 Karina Ottosen DEN 09:54:56 10:00:50 00:58:48 05:28:31 03:27:04 (85)
12 37 Katja Konschak GER 09:56:24 10:02:19 00:52:22 05:29:39 03:30:12 88
13 34 Monique Grossrieder SUI 10:11:44 10:17:48 01:04:44 05:34:07 03:27:16 113
14 35 Claire Horner ZAF 10:42:02 10:48:24 01:01:43 05:37:25 03:59:15 138
15 36 Caroline Koll ZAF 10:55:03 11:01:33 00:59:09 05:58:36 03:59:37 143
40 Linda Scattolin ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
32 Astrid Ganzow GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

Ronnie Schildknecht is back to defend his title from last year. His 2013 win gives him great odds. Nils Frommhold has won his IM debut in Arizona with a great time, but he was injured for most of the 2013 season. Faris Al-Sultan is racing as well, and even if his statistical odds are not that great, he is rarely beaten outside of Kona. James Cunnama will try to win his home race – after his great 2013 season he can focus his early season on South Africa. Another athlete of note is South African Kyle Buckingham, who’s doing his first Pro race after being the fastest age grouper in Kona 2013.

  • Ronnie Schildknecht: 38% (2-1)
  • Nils Frommhold: 18% (4-1)
  • Faris Al-Sultan: 15% (6-1)
  • James Cunnama: 13% (7-1)
  • Bas Diederen: 7% (13-1)
  • Jens Petersen-Bach: 4% (27-1)
  • Miquel Blanchart: 2% (42-1)

Female Race Participants

Jessie Donavan is back to defend her title, but Jodie Swallow has gained more experience doing Ironman races and was steadily improving. Michelle Vesterby is another top athlete who excels in tight racing conditions. Lucy Gossage also had a great 2013 season (ending with wins at both IM UK and Wales), has taken some time to finish her doctorate and can focus on Ironman racing for a bit. Then you also have the veterans Erika Csomor (always a threat on the run) and Natascha Badmann (eager to race after missing IM Melbourne when she was hit by a car while training).

  • Jessie Donavan: 20% (4-1)
  • Jodie Swallow: 20% (4-1)
  • Michelle Vesterby: 17% (5-1)
  • Lucy Gossage: 14% (6-1)
  • Erika Csomor: 11% (8-1)
  • Natascha Badmann: 11% (8-1)
  • Lucie Reed: 3% (34-1)

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