Ironman Barcelona 2015 (Oct 4th) – Predictions

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Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2014 Clemente Alonso McKernan (ESP) 08:04:13 Eva Wutti (AUT) 08:49:21

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Clemente Alonso McKernan ESP 00:49:22 04:25:31 02:46:14 08:04:13
2 Miquel Blanchart Tinto ESP 00:49:36 04:25:41 02:46:37 08:04:38
3 Konstantin Bachor GER 00:49:40 04:19:40 02:57:49 08:09:42

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Eva Wutti AUT 01:00:42 04:41:30 03:04:02 08:49:21
2 Camilla Pedersen DEN 00:53:35 04:49:13 03:13:02 08:58:46
3 Susie Cheetham GBR 00:58:43 04:52:10 03:09:19 09:03:32

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:04:13 Clemente Alonso McKernan 2014-10-05
Swim overall 00:49:22 Clemente Alonso McKernan 2014-10-05
Bike overall 04:19:40 Konstantin Bachor 2014-10-05
Run overall 02:46:14 Clemente Alonso McKernan 2014-10-05
Total female 08:49:21 Eva Wutti 2014-10-05
Swim female 00:53:35 Camilla Pedersen 2014-10-05
Bike female 04:41:30 Eva Wutti 2014-10-05
Run female 03:04:02 Eva Wutti 2014-10-05

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Barcelona is 18:42.

Race Adjustments for IM Barcelona

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Athletes Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2014 18:42 -02:16 17:59 04:19 41 18:42 -02:16 17:59 04:19

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Barcelona is a P-2000 race. It has a total prize purse of 50.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 37 Tim Brydenbach BEL 08:20:20 08:48:42 00:48:59 04:31:39 02:54:41 (85)
2 6 Per Bittner GER 08:21:29 08:41:33 00:51:58 04:26:18 02:58:13 55
3 2 Horst Reichel GER 08:21:58 09:05:12 00:50:51 04:27:12 02:58:54 158
4 60 David Plese SLO 08:24:17 08:39:59 00:55:18 04:27:24 02:56:34 50
5 20 Michael Ruenz GER 08:28:29 09:03:04 00:55:28 04:33:19 02:54:42 145
6 3 Ritchie Nicholls GBR 08:28:39 08:53:11 00:52:45 04:41:12 02:49:42 (99)
7 12 Anton Blokhin UKR 08:29:08 08:53:31 00:51:15 04:33:01 02:59:52 101
8 92 Chris McDonald AUS 08:30:01 08:45:19 00:55:48 04:28:21 03:00:51 71
9 10 Marek Jaskolka POL 08:30:47 08:44:39 00:51:20 04:38:08 02:56:20 69
10 63 Mauro Baertsch SUI 08:31:22 09:01:07 00:56:04 04:31:47 02:58:31 135
11 23 Matic Modic SLO 08:32:29 09:04:49 00:56:33 04:31:37 02:59:19 156
12 5 Stephen Bayliss GBR 08:33:07 08:50:51 00:50:18 04:33:53 03:03:57 92
13 4 Sergio Marques POR 08:33:52 08:55:24 00:57:12 04:39:27 02:52:13 115
14 1 Sylvain Sudrie FRA 08:33:55 09:03:03 00:51:58 04:32:58 03:03:59 (145)
15 62 Dirk Wijnalda NED 08:35:13 09:03:00 00:59:36 04:34:41 02:55:56 144
16 69 Bertrand Billard FRA 08:37:13 09:02:55 00:51:29 04:27:09 03:13:35 143
17 65 Sylvain Rota FRA 08:38:25 08:59:35 00:54:58 04:31:01 03:07:26 (129)
18 99 Andreas Niedrig GER 08:38:28 09:06:55 00:49:42 04:23:12 03:20:34 162
19 7 Georg Swoboda AUT 08:39:18 09:03:28 00:58:27 04:23:30 03:12:21 151
20 8 Harry Wiltshire GBR 08:39:19 09:01:52 00:50:08 04:35:29 03:08:43 138
21 100 Xavier Torrades ESP 08:40:53 09:10:25 00:49:30 04:42:25 03:03:58 (180)
22 98 Petr Vabrousek CZE 08:43:15 09:00:20 00:58:14 04:37:10 03:02:51 130
23 21 Vincent Riess AUT 08:45:03 09:18:18 00:57:21 04:47:36 02:55:06 (215)
24 13 Sebastian Bleisteiner GER 08:45:04 09:05:19 00:54:30 04:39:38 03:05:56 159
25 34 Jose Luis Villanueva ESP 08:46:47 09:03:27 01:01:16 04:42:16 02:58:15 (150)
26 41 Hannes Cool BEL 08:49:33 09:13:42 00:54:18 04:39:21 03:10:54 192
27 68 Herve Banti MCO 08:51:08 09:20:14 00:53:54 04:33:01 03:19:13 (218)
28 24 Bryan McCrystal IRL 08:51:28 09:21:36 01:07:35 04:28:49 03:10:04 (226)
29 46 Martin Droell GER 08:55:51 09:31:54 01:00:50 04:42:04 03:07:57 (268)
30 44 Roman Deisenhofer GER 09:00:01 09:26:16 00:55:13 04:32:19 03:27:28 (242)
31 15 Denis Sketako SLO 09:00:58 09:31:39 01:04:00 04:37:02 03:14:57 (267)
32 58 Josep Vinolas ESP 09:02:53 09:48:52 00:55:03 04:36:02 03:26:47 (327)
33 35 Antonio Cardona ESP 09:04:24 09:35:16 00:58:52 04:43:53 03:16:39 (286)
34 51 Enric Gussinyer ESP 09:04:53 09:28:33 00:53:23 04:38:36 03:27:54 247
35 43 Luca De Paolis ITA 09:05:19 09:41:45 01:03:55 04:45:37 03:10:47 305
36 32 Michael Louys BEL 09:05:43 09:31:06 01:04:09 04:44:35 03:11:59 264
37 16 Oliver Simon GBR 09:07:16 09:29:45 00:51:44 04:41:11 03:29:20 255
38 25 Urs Mueller SWI 09:07:47 09:33:14 00:58:55 04:43:32 03:20:20 (274)
39 53 Allan Hovda NOR 09:09:59 09:41:11 01:09:32 04:49:16 03:06:11 (304)
40 18 Craig Twigg GBR 09:10:33 09:53:29 00:55:30 04:32:57 03:37:07 347
41 27 Ivan Jezko SVK 09:16:17 09:47:17 01:02:17 04:46:32 03:22:28 322
42 47 Rafael Espinar Puig ESP 09:22:19 09:42:24 01:07:28 05:01:24 03:08:27 307
43 29 David Jilek CZE 09:23:57 09:47:14 01:01:58 04:48:13 03:28:46 321
44 40 Emanuele Ciotti ITA 09:25:06 09:57:09 00:56:37 04:52:48 03:30:41 (359)
45 59 Lukas Polan CZE 09:26:07 09:58:47 01:05:54 04:52:13 03:23:00 361
46 45 Vincent Depuiset FRA 09:28:56 09:54:46 01:10:29 04:55:20 03:18:07 351
47 28 Ivan Kharin RUS 09:30:59 10:00:02 01:07:19 04:57:07 03:21:32 366
48 31 Ludovic Le Guellec FRA 09:36:26 10:16:36 01:04:26 05:04:14 03:22:46 419
49 33 Magnus Magnoy SWE 09:37:27 10:10:12 00:00:00 00:00:00 00:00:00 (399)
50 36 Fabio Carvalho BRA 09:40:31 10:10:41 00:49:33 05:04:48 03:41:10 399
51 30 Roman Krutina CZE 09:43:29 10:16:34 00:59:33 04:55:33 03:43:23 (419)
52 22 Gilian Oriet SUI 09:46:44 10:26:12 01:01:50 04:48:17 03:51:37 (451)
53 14 Remmert Wielinga NED 09:46:50 10:36:58 01:15:19 04:46:44 03:39:47 (465)
54 50 Gili Oriol ESP 10:13:09 10:47:55 00:59:18 05:12:51 03:56:00 (475)
55 55 Michal Jalovecky CZE 10:18:23 10:52:18 01:04:21 05:37:59 03:31:02 (477)
56 70 Ruedi Wild SUI 10:20:47 10:56:00 00:52:06 04:35:56 04:47:45 (477)
57 9 Valentin Zasypkin RUS 10:25:25 11:25:05 01:12:37 05:17:15 03:50:32 484
58 38 Simon Brierley SEY 10:25:49 11:01:18 01:03:48 05:25:03 03:51:57 (478)
59 64 Marek Nemcik SVK 11:19:57 12:03:27 01:14:23 05:28:35 04:31:58 486
11 Albert Molins ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
19 Frederic Schaffner FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
26 Xavier Nunez ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
39 Javier Castro romero ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
48 Matteo Fontana ITA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
49 Jens Frommhold GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
52 Benoit Bigot FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
54 Mikita Hryhoryeu POL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
56 David Rovira doƱate ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
57 Lluis Vila aguilar ESP n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
61 Mikolaj Luft POL n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
67 Philip Mosley GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Female Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Overall
1 71 Yvonne Van Vlerken NED 09:00:07 09:15:13 01:00:49 04:45:01 03:09:17 6
2 83 Elisabeth Gruber AUT 09:15:41 09:40:23 01:03:50 04:56:15 03:10:36 46
3 72 Natascha Badmann SUI 09:17:09 09:33:12 01:04:24 04:48:11 03:19:34 33
4 74 Eimear Mullan IRL 09:19:50 10:04:46 01:01:55 05:02:04 03:10:51 (101)
5 85 Camilla Lindholm SWE 09:20:02 09:49:46 01:10:48 04:50:49 03:13:25 67
6 78 Martina Dogana ITA 09:25:08 09:46:48 00:59:44 05:07:28 03:12:56 57
7 80 Evi Neuscheler GER 09:25:59 09:54:16 01:05:53 04:51:17 03:23:49 76
8 89 Natascha Schmitt GER 09:33:58 10:11:32 00:56:45 05:13:45 03:18:28 117
9 94 Verena Walter GER 09:43:34 10:06:41 01:02:17 05:05:57 03:30:20 107
10 88 Lina-Kristin Schink GER 09:49:30 10:13:36 01:14:05 05:07:39 03:22:46 123
11 81 Svetlana Blazevic SRB 09:50:19 10:13:53 00:55:17 05:12:54 03:37:07 125
12 76 Jacqui Gordon USA 09:57:24 10:15:42 01:03:58 05:11:02 03:37:24 130
13 79 Nicole Woysch GER 10:02:28 10:47:51 01:01:23 05:11:35 03:44:30 (179)
14 82 Anna Rovira Garrido ESP 10:04:07 10:48:08 01:13:39 05:11:58 03:33:30 (180)
15 95 Vanessa Pereira POR 10:11:11 10:37:43 01:06:06 05:23:37 03:36:27 172
16 93 Michelle Vella Wood MLT 12:57:22 13:41:27 01:04:33 05:51:06 05:56:42 (187)
77 Kendra Goffredo USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
84 Kaisa Lehtonen FIN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
87 Michaela Renner-Schneck GER n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
96 Elise Maury FRA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)
97 Vanessa Raw GBR n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

  • Horst Reichel: 25% (3-1)
  • Per Bittner: 19% (4-1)
  • Mauro Baertsch: 13% (7-1)
  • David Plese: 9% (10-1)
  • Anton Blokhin: 6% (15-1)
  • Matic Modic: 5% (20-1)
  • Michael Ruenz: 4% (24-1)
  • Chris McDonald: 4% (24-1)
  • Stephen Bayliss: 4% (25-1)
  • Sergio Marques: 3% (33-1)
  • Tim Brydenbach: 3% (35-1)
  • Andreas Niedrig: 2% (52-1)

Female Race Participants

  • Yvonne Van Vlerken: 61% (1-1)
  • Camilla Lindholm: 12% (7-1)
  • Natascha Badmann: 9% (11-1)
  • Eimear Mullan: 9% (11-1)
  • Elisabeth Gruber: 8% (11-1)

2 Responses to Ironman Barcelona 2015 (Oct 4th) – Predictions

  1. Mark October 1, 2015 at 4:58 pm #

    How is Brydenbach 35-1, yet you have him ranked 1st?

    • Thorsten October 1, 2015 at 6:16 pm #

      He’s got only one result, so even with a good rating, his “expected” results are quite variable (e.g. compared to a Per Bittner with 10+ IM finishes). Also lots of other athletes that are relatively close to him.

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