Ironman Chattanooga 20016 (Sept 25th) – Predictions

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Previous Winners

Year Male Winner Time Female Winner Time
2014 Matt Hanson (USA) 08:12:32 Angela Naeth (CAN) 08:54:55
2015 Kirill Kotshegarov (EST) 08:08:32 Carrie Lester (AUS) 08:56:00

Last Year’s TOP 3

Male Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Kirill Kotshegarov EST 00:44:51 04:27:37 02:50:53 08:08:32
2 Matt Chrabot USA 00:40:56 04:31:19 02:51:05 08:08:34
3 Stefan Schmid GER 00:44:25 04:27:31 02:51:05 08:08:40

Female Race Results

Rank Name Nation Swim Bike Run Time
1 Carrie Lester AUS 00:44:35 05:01:16 03:05:05 08:56:00
2 Lisa Roberts USA 00:51:50 05:10:29 03:01:04 09:08:46
3 Kim Schwabenbauer USA 00:48:50 05:11:55 03:08:28 09:14:11

Course Records

Leg Gender Record Athlete Date
Total overall 08:08:32 Kirill Kotshegarov 2015-09-27
Swim overall 00:38:06 Barrett Brandon 2014-09-28
Bike overall 04:27:31 Stefan Schmid 2015-09-27
Run overall 02:47:40 Matt Hanson 2014-09-28
Total female 08:54:55 Angela Naeth 2014-09-28
Swim female 00:39:56 Anna Cleaver 2014-09-28
Bike female 04:50:03 Angela Naeth 2014-09-28
Run female 03:01:04 Lisa Roberts 2015-09-27

Course Rating

The Course Rating for IM Chattanooga is 16:35.

Race Adjustments for IM Chattanooga

Year Adjustment Swim Adj. Bike Adj. Run Adj. # of Finishers Rating Swim Rating Bike Rating Run Rating
2014 18:19 16:30 05:38 00:54 44 of 58 18:19 16:30 05:38 00:54
2015 14:51 10:46 07:14 03:22 65 of 82 16:35 13:38 06:26 02:08

KPR points and Prize Money

IM Chattanooga is a P-2000 race. It is an MPRO-only race with a prize purse of 50.000 US$.

Male Race Participants

Rank Bib Name Nation Expected Time Rating Exp. Swim Exp. Bike Exp. Run Consistency Overall
1 2 Marino Vanhoenacker BEL 08:03:17 08:18:47 00:37:25 04:26:00 02:54:52 57% +14% -29% (22) 4
2 1 Matt Hanson USA 08:15:55 08:44:37 00:40:40 04:42:27 02:47:47 24% +33% -43% (10) 71
3 3 Viktor Zyemtsev UKR 08:16:56 08:33:02 00:38:22 04:42:39 02:50:55 80% +0% -20% (19) 33
4 8 Eric Limkemann USA 08:18:45 08:45:35 00:36:53 04:33:58 03:02:54 67% +21% -12% (5) 82
5 5 Jeff Symonds CAN 08:18:47 08:32:23 00:38:08 04:47:42 02:47:56 62% +17% -21% (7) 29
6 23 Henrik Hyldelund DEN 08:20:26 08:43:56 00:36:48 04:32:23 03:06:15 66% +21% -13% (5) (69)
7 4 Matthew Russell USA 08:22:41 08:51:18 00:43:38 04:38:20 02:55:44 48% +30% -22% (38) 96
8 22 Esben Hovgaard DEN 08:23:09 08:55:54 00:40:39 04:37:36 02:59:53 35% +25% -40% (9) 110
9 16 Daniel Bretscher USA 08:27:07 08:51:18 00:39:54 04:44:43 02:57:30 45% +20% -35% (6) 96
10 7 Justin Daerr USA 08:29:18 08:44:53 00:39:58 04:44:37 02:59:43 63% +11% -26% (29) 73
11 10 Thomas Gerlach USA 08:29:18 09:01:16 00:40:43 04:37:13 03:06:23 39% +11% -51% (21) 131
12 15 Barrett Brandon USA 08:29:35 08:49:04 00:36:20 04:45:50 03:02:26 70% +0% -30% (6) 89
13 17 Mario De Elias ARG 08:33:32 08:56:49 00:38:59 04:50:43 02:58:49 29% +56% -15% (6) 116
14 6 Jozsef Major HUN 08:42:30 08:55:26 00:44:04 04:41:40 03:11:47 76% +5% -19% (30) 108
15 20 Derek Garcia USA 08:42:43 09:04:04 00:40:28 04:43:06 03:14:10 85% +5% -9% (11) 145
16 30 Adam Otstot USA 08:43:16 09:13:27 00:42:25 04:58:35 02:57:16 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (178)
17 21 Chad Holderbaum USA 08:44:18 09:12:52 00:40:44 04:46:22 03:12:12 52% +7% -40% (11) 175
18 9 Leon Griffin AUS 08:49:21 09:22:10 00:38:33 04:40:23 03:25:25 19% +0% -81% (7) (198)
19 11 AJ Baucco USA 08:49:41 09:08:12 00:39:51 04:49:17 03:15:33 64% +0% -36% (7) (157)
20 13 Raymond Botelho USA 08:53:20 09:35:31 00:41:01 04:41:36 03:25:43 32% +36% -31% (14) 235
21 28 James Lubinski USA 08:56:26 09:28:28 00:47:53 04:54:47 03:08:46 38% +35% -27% (17) 217
22 12 Blake Becker USA 08:58:47 09:40:32 00:40:22 04:55:59 03:17:25 9% +29% -62% (20) (245)
23 27 Colin Laughery USA 09:00:38 09:22:30 00:44:32 04:57:27 03:13:39 100% +0% -0% (3) 199
24 31 Kyle Pawlaczyk USA 09:04:32 09:58:22 00:42:17 05:00:58 03:16:17 4% +12% -84% (9) (271)
25 32 Patrick Schuster USA 09:13:17 09:42:41 00:47:32 04:55:48 03:24:57 50% +25% -24% (7) 252
26 29 Brent Mcburney USA 09:18:14 09:43:34 00:44:59 05:05:17 03:22:58 14% +61% -25% (5) 254
27 26 Peter Kotland CZE 09:23:52 09:55:20 00:44:19 05:01:00 03:33:34 62% +21% -17% (22) 268
28 33 Matt Shanks USA 09:25:54 09:57:46 00:45:32 05:12:02 03:23:19 100% +0% -0% (2) (270)
29 36 Dantley Young USA 09:35:05 10:11:56 00:50:29 05:17:08 03:22:28 1% +16% -83% (8) (281)
30 35 Robbie Wade IRL 09:43:23 10:23:11 00:44:15 05:07:01 03:47:06 39% +0% -61% (2) (288)
31 19 Andrew Fast USA 10:02:34 10:38:34 00:44:04 05:11:36 04:01:53 19% +28% -52% (4) (291)
32 24 Tyler Jordan USA 11:44:31 12:21:27 00:43:52 05:21:52 05:33:48 n/a (1 IM Pro race) (303)
14 Patrick Brady USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (1 IM Pro race) (n/a)
18 Ivan Dominguez USA n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
25 Clint Kimmins AUS n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)
34 Dusty Spiller CAN n/a unrated unrated unrated unrated n/a (no IM Pro race) (n/a)

Winning Odds

Male Race Participants

The Chattanooga field has a very interesting mix of athletes. Marino Vanhoenacker has said good-bye to Kona but continues to race strong across all continents. If Marino is on form, he is the clear favorite. But there is a large number of athletes that will try to make it hard for him. With Matt Hanson and Jeff Symonds there are two athletes that have had some bad luck with injuries and DNFs, they’ll be battling for the fastest run but will be looking for more. In addition to Marino, Matt and Jeff there are six more athletes that have won a Pro Ironman race before!

  • Marino Vanhoenacker: 59% (1-1)
  • Matt Hanson: 14% (6-1)
  • Viktor Zyemtsev: 7% (13-1)
  • Jeff Symonds: 6% (17-1)
  • Matthew Russell: 5% (21-1)
  • Henrik Hyldelund: 3% (28-1)
  • Daniel Bretscher: 2% (55-1)
  • Esben Hovgaard: 2% (59-1)
  • Eric Limkemann: 2% (63-1)
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